Dow Jones Index imagwera pansi pa 24,000 intraday, pomwe masheya apadziko lonse amagulitsidwa, kugwa kwakukulu chifukwa cha mantha a Brexit ndi chuma
Pomwe chidwi chake chidatembenuzidwa kumsika waku USA, pomwe a DJIA adataya ma 1,600 pozungulira pakulowa kwa intraday Lolemba, atolankhani ambiri azachuma adasowa kupereka malipoti zakugwa kwaposachedwa m'misika yaku Europe. Index yotsogola yaku UK - FTSE 100, yagwa pafupifupi 4.5% chaka mpaka pano ndipo Lolemba idagulitsidwa kwambiri kuyambira pomwe Prime Minister May adamuyitanitsa chisankho pa Epulo 18 chaka chatha. Tiyeneranso kukumbukira kuti index yaku UK yomwe ikutsogola ikungotsika ndi 400 poyerekeza ndi 1999. Zinatengera index yaku UK zaka 15 kuti aphwanye mbiri ya 1999 ya 6,950 ndipo tsopano, pamtengo wotsika ku 7,334 kumapeto kwa tsiku, index ili pafupifupi pafupifupi. 5.5% pamwamba pa dot com boom level ya 1999. Misika yotsogola yaku Europe sinasangalale ndi kuchuluka kwa ndalama zomwe USA yakumana nazo pazaka zaposachedwa, chifukwa chakuchepa kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kutatha, chifukwa chake kukonza (kwa 10%) kumatha zaka zambiri , osati milungu kapena miyezi, yazopeza / zopindulitsa.
Msika waku Europe udagulitsa kugulitsa komwe misika yaku Asia idamanga usiku umodzi - m'mawa; DAX, CAC, STOXX 50 zonse zagulitsidwa kwambiri, CAC ikutseka 1.48% patsikuli. EUR / USD idagwa ndi circa 0.50%, pomwe EUR / JPY imagwa pafupifupi circa 1.5%. Sterling idatsika pafupi ndi 2% poyerekeza ndi yen, ndipo idagwera motsutsana ndi anzawo ambiri, pomwe nkhani ya Brexit idadzetsa kukayikira ku UK mapaundi. Mosiyana ndi miyezi ingapo pomwe chisankho cha referendum chidalengezedwa, USA idalamulira kampani FTSE 100 yalephera kupeza phindu, pamalonda olakwika, pomwe sterling idagweranso. Kuda nkhawa kwa Brexit (kuchokera ku UK) kudapangidwa ndi boma la Britain. kunena kuti dzikolo silikhalabe mgulu la miyambo, kapena msika umodzi wokha. Izi zimatsutsana ndi mgwirizano womwe akuti udachitika mu Disembala, womwe udalola kuti zokambiranazo zipite kukambirana zamalonda. Momwe izi zitha kupitira patsogolo tsopano ndikulingalira kwa aliyense, monga momwe malire a Ireland angapewere, ngati kulibe CU komanso kulibe msika umodzi.
Mayitanidwe angapo a Markit a Eurozone adasindikizidwa Lolemba, pokhala ndi msonkhano wambiri, kapena kumenyana maulendo. Malonjezano a PMI owonetsera ku UK akusowa ku 53.5, akugwetsa miyezi khumi ndi isanu ndi umodzi ndikupatsa dziko kudalira kwambiri zopititsa patsogolo zomwe zimatsogoleredwa kupita ku mautumiki, izi zikuphonya osanthula ndi osunga ndalama, pamene nkhani za Brexit zinabwereranso pakati pa mayiko onse gulitsa.
Msika wa New York unatseguka unali woyembekezera mwachidwi ndi msika wamtsogolo wa ziwongolero za USA zomwe zikupereka zopanda umboni ngati zogulitsidwa kwambiri zomwe zatha. Panthawi inayake DJIA yatsanulira 7% (mwachidziwitso mfundo yomwe mzunguli wa pulaneti umayambira pa ndondomeko ya SPX yomwe imalepheretsa kugwa) ndikugwedezeka pozungulira ndime za 1,600, musanayambirenso kutsiriza tsiku lozungulira 1,175 ndi 4.60%, Tsiku lalikulu kwambiri lomwe likugulitsidwa kuyambira 2011. SPX inagwa ndi zizindikiro za 100 ndi 3.61%, zopindula za 2018 YTD / kuwuka kwa ziwonetsero za US tsopano zikufafanizidwa. Ngakhale kuti kugulitsidwa ndi kupha magazi kunali chiwonongeko cha chiyembekezo chokhudza chuma cha USA; chiwerengero cha ISM chosalongosoka chinafika ku 59.9, kugonjetsa chithunzi cha 56.7 ndi mtunda wina. Ndalama ya ku America inapindula poyerekeza ndi anzanga angapo, kupatulapo yen ndi Swiss Franc, zomwe zimakhala ngati malo otetezeka ngati ndalama zogulitsidwa. Golide inalephera kutenga malo otetezeka, akukwera modzichepetsa pozungulira 0.2%, ndi mafuta a WTI omwe akugwera pa 2%. Bitcoin inagwera ku 6,600, kuchokera ku circa 20,000 December mkulu, selloff tsopano akuphwanya 200 DMA, akukamba 7,234.
EURO
EUR / USD inagulitsidwa m'magulu osiyanasiyanambiri tsiku lonse, akudutsa mu S1, akugwa pang'ono S2, kutseka tsiku lozungulira 1.237, mpaka pafupi. 0.5% tsiku. EUR / GBP inagulitsidwa pazowonjezera, ndikuphwanya R2, kutseketsa circa 0.6% patsiku, kukwera pamwamba pa chingwe chovuta cha 0.8800 kwa 0.886. EUR / CHF inagwidwa ndi mitundu yosiyanasiyana, ikuwonetsera zonse ndikuthandizira, mtengo unayambitsidwa kudzera mu R1 yomwe ikupezeka ndi circa 0.5%, musanayambe kutsogolera njira, kudula kupyolera mu S3, ndi kutseka pa 1% pafupifupi. 1.152.
USDOLLAR
USD / JPY inagwa ndi circa 0.5%, posakhalitsa S2 kutseka kunja kwa 109.11. USD / CHF anaopseza kuti aphwanye R2, asanapereke zopindulitsa za tsikulo, kutseka tsiku pafupi ndi lathyathyathya, pamwamba pa PP tsiku ndi tsiku, ku 0.931. USD / CAD ikugulitsidwa muzowonjezera kwambiri ndi njira, ikukwera mpaka R2, kutseka pa 1.252, kufika pa 0.5% patsiku.
KUCHITA
GBP / USD inagwera pa 1% tsikulo, ikudutsa muzitsulo zovuta zogwiritsira ntchito 1.4000, kugwedeza kupyolera mu S2 kutsiriza tsiku lozungulira 1.395, litakwera ndi pafupifupi. Zipangizo za 400 kuyambira polemba 2018 pamwamba pa January 26th. GPB / JPY inagunda pafupi ndi 2% patsikulo, kuswa S3, kutsekera tsiku lozungulira 152.2. GBP / CHF inagwera pa 1%, ikudutsa kupyolera mu S3, kutsirizitsa tsiku pafupi ndi nsonga yofunika ya 1.300.
Golide
XAU / USD inagulitsidwa mndandanda wa 0.2% masana, kutsekera pamwamba pa PP tsiku ndi tsiku, pa 1,339. Chitsulo chamtengo wapatali chinagwera intraday low ya 1,328, ndipo chinafika pamwamba pa 1,341. Pa 1,279 200 DMA ili kutali kwambiri ndi mtengo wamtengo.
NKHANI ZOYENERA ZA FEBRUARY 5th.
• DJIA yatseka 4.6%.
• SPX inatseka 4.10%.
• FTSE 100 inatseka 1.46%.
• EURO STOXX inatseka 1.26%.
• DAX inatseka 0.76%.
• CAC inatseka 1.48%.
ZOCHITIKA ZIKHALIDWE ZAKALAMA ZA FEBRUARY 6th.
• USD. Trade Balance (DEC).
• Chida cha German Chimalamula nsa (YoY) (DEC)
• USD. JOLTS Job Openings (DEC).
• NZD. Kusintha kwa Ntchito (YoY) (4Q).
• AUD. AiG Performance of Construction Index (JAN).
ZINTHU ZOFUNIKA KUYAMBIRA PATSAMBA LA FEBRUARY 6TH.
Ngakhale kuti selloff mu USA equities, lows lows amangotenga indices ambiri molingana kumapeto November / oyambirira December 2017. Ngati zotsatira zotsatila zotsatira zikubwera pa chandamale, ndipo maofesi a ntchito akugwirizana ndi deta yabwino kwambiri ya NFP yosindikizidwa Lachisanu 2nd, ndiye misika ndi mtengo wa USD zikhoza kukhazikika. Makampani angapo owona malonda a PMI adzasindikizidwa ku mayiko akuluakulu a ku Ulaya ndi Eurozone pa Lachiwiri, awa adzayang'anitsitsa mosamala zizindikiro zirizonse zofooka za ogulitsa. Monga momwe EZ imathandizira kukula, nambala ya Germany yogulitsa fakitale idzayang'aniridwa mosamala, monga momwe zidzakhalire ndi ndondomeko ya zomangamanga ku Germany, kusiyana kulikonse komwe angayang'ane kungathe kuwona EUR ikugwirizana ndi anzawo apamtima. Pogwiritsa ntchito RBNZ kulengeza chigamulo chake cha chiwongoladzanja pa Lachitatu, ziwerengero za kusowa kwa ntchito zidzayang'anitsitsa mosamala pamene zimasulidwa Lachiwiri madzulo, NZD mwachibadwa ikhoza kuchitapo kanthu.
« Kuyang'ana kwambiri kudzakhala pamisika yachuma ku USA yomwe idzatsegulidwe Lachisanu Pomwe MPC ya Bank of England ikumana kuti ikambirane ndi kulengeza chiwongola dzanja cha ku UK, ofufuza ayamba kufunsa kuti "kukwera kosapeweka kudzachitika liti?" »
