Pomwe MPC ya Bank of England ikumana kuti ikambirane ndi kulengeza chiwongola dzanja cha ku UK, ofufuza ayamba kufunsa kuti "kukwera kosapeweka kudzachitika liti?"
Lachinayi February 8th, nthawi ya 12:00pm GMT (nthawi yaku UK) banki yayikulu ya UK Bank of England, idzawulula chisankho chawo chokhudza chiwongola dzanja. Pakalipano mlingo wapansi uli pa 0.5%, ndipo pali chiyembekezo chochepa cha kukwera. A BoE amakambirananso ndikuwulula lingaliro lawo lokhudza dongosolo la UK la kugula zinthu (QE), lomwe pano lili pa £435b, akatswiri omwe adafunsidwa ndi Reuters ndi Bloomberg, akuyembekeza kuti izi sizisintha.
Chigamulo cha chiwongoladzanja chikawululidwa, chidwi chidzayang'ana mwachangu nkhani yomwe ikutsagana ndi chisankho cha Banki. Otsatsa malonda ndi akatswiri akuyang'ana malangizo amtsogolo kuchokera kwa bwanamkubwa wa BoE, ponena za ndondomeko yawo yazachuma yamtsogolo. Mlingo wa inflation wa UK panopa ndi 3%, yomwe ili peresenti imodzi pamwamba pa chandamale / malo okoma omwe BoE ikufuna monga gawo la ndondomeko ya ndalama. Nthawi zina BoE ikhoza kukweza mitengo kuti iziziziritsa kukwera kwa mitengo. Komabe, kukula kwa GDP ku UK kuli pa 1.5%, chifukwa chake kukweza mitengo kumatha kuwononga kukula kocheperako. Kuphatikiza apo, kukweza mitengo tsopano kungakhudze mitengo yamtengo wapatali, mwachitsanzo, pakuyesa kwaposachedwa kwa banki yayikulu, adatsimikiza kuti kukwera kwamitengo mpaka 3% kungachepetse mtengo wa msika wa katundu wa London ndi South East England mpaka 30%.
MPC/BoE iyeneranso kuyang'ana kwambiri ndondomeko yandalama ya Fed ndi ECB, mabanki awiri apakati a mabungwe akuluakulu ogulitsa ku UK- USA ndi Eurozone. The FOMC/Fed inawirikiza kawiri mitengo mu 2017 mpaka 1.5%, zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa ndi kukwera kwina katatu mu 2018, kutengera mitengo ku 2.75%. ECB ikuyenera kukweza, kuti isunge / kuyang'anira mtengo wa yuro, motsutsana ndi dollar yaku US. Mwachibadwa zisankhozi zikhoza kuimitsidwa, ngati msika wamakono wa selloff ukuwonetseratu kuti ndi kukonza kwa 10% kapena kuposa, kuchokera pachimake chaposachedwapa.
BoE imagwidwanso pakati pa thanthwe ndi malo ovuta, chifukwa cha mkhalidwe wa Brexit. Mark Carney, bwanamkubwa wa banki yayikulu ndi anzake a MPC (komiti ya ndondomeko ya ndalama), adakumana ndi zovuta kwambiri. Sikuti amangoyang'anira ndondomeko zandalama pamene akulimbana ndi zovuta zomwe chuma chidzakhala nacho, akuyeneranso kukumbukira pang'onopang'ono komanso pamapeto pake zomwe Brexit idzakhudzire chuma cha UK, Britain ikachoka mu March 2019. kutchedwa "nthawi yosinthira" yamalonda, kuyambira Marichi 2019, kwatsala chaka chimodzi, udindo woyang'anira kutuluka tsopano ndi gawo la BoE, osati boma la Tory.
Ogulitsa sayenera kudzikonzekeretsa okha pa chisankho cha chiwongoladzanja, komanso pamsonkhano wa atolankhani ndi nkhani ina iliyonse yoperekedwa ndi BoE. Ngati chigamulocho chikugwira ntchito pa 0.5%, sizitanthauza kuti sterling adzakhalabe wosasunthika motsutsana ndi anzawo. Sterling adakhala pampanipani koyambirira kwa sabata chifukwa cha msika wapadziko lonse wa equity selloff, chifukwa chake ndalamazo zitha kukhudzidwa ndi mawu aliwonse omwe bankiyo, kapena Mark Carney amapanga.
ZINTHU ZOFUNIKA KWAMBIRI ZA UK ZOKHUDZA KUTULUKA KWA ZOKHUDZA KWAMBIRI
Chiwongola dzanja cha 0.5%.
• GDP YoY 1.5%.
• Kutsika kwa mitengo (CPI) 3%.
• Mulingo wopanda ntchito 4.3%.
• Kukula kwa malipiro 2.5%.
• Ngongole zaboma v GDP 89.3%.
Wophatikiza PMI 54.9.
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