ʻO ka wānana no nā hebedoma e hoʻomaka ana Iulai 3 2013
Ke piʻi nei ka SPX i nā moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe e hoʻohoka nā helu NFP, akā kūʻai ʻia ke dālā.
Me he mea lā e pono ana ka hōʻoia o ka hoʻomau mau o ka Fed i ke kālā 
ke hoʻonāukiuki nei i ka piʻi ʻana o nā ʻikepili kaulike nui o ka SPX, ka DJIA a me ka NASDAQ, ua hele mai ia ma ke ʻano o nā hanana kūkala nūhou i hala i ka pule i hala i hala ʻole i ka ʻimi ʻana i kēia mau gravity defying time a me nā mākeke. ʻO ka papa inoa o nā ʻike maikaʻi ʻole e kū mai ana mai USA i ka pule i hala aku nei he mea nui ia, akā na ka hana maikaʻi ʻole ia i hoʻokumu i nā loiloi e noho a hoʻolohe. ʻO nā paʻi waiwai ʻilihune i hoʻopili ʻia i kēia mau mea;
- Ua hāʻule ke kūʻai aku ʻana i ka home mai ka 5.8% +, a i ka 0.4% -
- Ua hāʻule ka hilinaʻi o ka papa kūkā i 80.3
- Ua hāʻule ka hana NFP i 163K
- Ua hāʻule nā kauoha hale hana i 1.5% mai 3.0%
ʻOiai nā hanana nūhou maikaʻi ʻole e kū ʻole i ka ʻikepili maikaʻi ʻole, ʻē aʻe ma mua o USA GDP e piʻi nei i ka 1.7% mahina i ka mahina a me nā ʻimi noiʻi hilinaʻi like ʻole o nā mea kūʻai aku i maikaʻi, ua piʻi aʻe nā mākeke, a me ke dālā me ka nui o kāna mau hoa kālā pāʻina.
ʻO kēia piʻi ʻana o ka greenback i nā kau kalepa o ka pule i hala i hoʻohuli ai i nā loli lōʻihi i hoʻolālā ʻia ma ka pakuhi o kēlā me kēia lā a me kēia mau hoʻololi e nānā pono mākou e pili ana i ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hopena i kēia pule.
ʻO nā hanana kulekele, a i ʻole nā hanana kūkala nūhou e like me ka hopena kiʻekiʻe ma luna o ka pule, hiki ke hoʻopili i ka manaʻo a hoʻololi i nā ʻano.
Hoʻopuka ʻia nā lawelawe PMI no UK ma ka Pōʻakahi. I loko o kahi hoʻokele waiwai i hilinaʻi nui ʻia i ka ʻoihana hoʻokele e hoʻokūpaʻa i ka hilinaʻi a me nā loiloi hana hoʻokele waiwai e uku nei i ka heluhelu maikaʻi ʻana o 57.4 me 56.5 ma mua. ʻO nā hua hana, ʻoluʻolu a nā UK o ONS e paʻi ʻia i ka Poalua. Ma mua he 0.8% maikaʻi ʻole ka paʻi, ʻo ka mea i lana no ka paʻi 0.9% maikaʻi. Inā kū ka helu maikaʻi ʻole hiki i kēia ke hoʻomaka e nīnau i ka PMI maikaʻi i hāʻawi ʻia e Markit ma mua a pili i ke kumukūʻai o ka Sterling ma mua o kāna mau hoa nui.
E nānā pono ʻia ke kaulike kaulike ʻo USA ma ka Poalua no ka hana ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai a no ka hoʻoholo inā he kaupaona kūpono ka ulu ʻana. E hoʻopili nā ʻenekini aila maikaʻi ʻole no USA i ke kumukūʻai aila a hōʻike i ka 'make wai' o ka hoʻokele waiwai USA no ka ikehu.
ʻO ka helu hana Australia i paʻi ʻia i ke ahiahi Pōʻakolu / kakahiaka Pōʻakahi hiki ke hoʻoholo pehea ka hawkish, a i ʻole dovish ke aupuni Aussie a inā paha aia kahi makemake i ka RBA e hoʻohaʻahaʻa i nā uku paneʻe ma mua o ke kūkākūkā mua ʻia.
ʻO ka Pōʻalima ke ʻike nei i ka hālāwai nūpepa BOJ e hoʻoholo ai i ka hoʻokō piha ʻana o ka BOJ a me ko Iapana aupuni i kā lākou mau manaʻo like ʻole e pili ana i ka hoʻonui kālā, ka ulu ʻana a me ka hoʻomāmā kālā.
Ua hiki ke nānā pono ʻia nā koi hana mau a ka USA ma mua o nā pule i hala i ka Pōʻahā i hāʻawi ʻia i ka paʻi NFP hoʻohoka nui loa. ʻO ka wanana no nā koi mau e hele mai i 336K.
Nā nānā i nā kū no ka pule
Forex
Ua kūleʻa ʻole ʻo EUR / USD i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i nā wā kālepa o ka pule i hala ke hoʻonui nei i nā kānalua i ka hopena o kēia au i ka hopena organik. ʻEhā o nā lā kālepa ʻelima i pau me Hiekin Ashi dojis o nā ʻano ikaika a me nā helehelena. Eia nō naʻe, he maikaʻi nō ka DMI, ʻo ka MACD pū kekahi, ke heluhelu nei ka RSI ma luna o 70, ʻoiai e noho ana nā stochastics i ka ʻāina i kūʻai ʻia akā e hāʻule.
Ua wāwahi ʻia ka hui waena Bollinger i ka wā hema i nā wā kālepa o ka Pōʻalima, ʻo kēia wale nō ka hōʻailona, pale i ke kumu kūʻai o ke kumu kūʻai i hōʻike ʻia e ka ihoiho Heikin Ashi i kēlā me kēia lā, e ʻōlelo nei ua pau ke kū ʻana i kēia wā. Inā ua komo nā mea kalepa i ke kālepa, e like me nā hōʻailona kū i ke au ma Iulai 11th, a laila nui ka waiwai o nā pip. Kūkā ʻia nā mea kalepa e nānā no nā hōʻailona maikaʻi hou aʻe, malia paha he PSAR palena iki e ʻike ʻia ma luna o ke kumukūʻai a me kekahi mau histograms e lilo i maikaʻi ʻole (ka DMI a me MACD) ma mua o ka pani ʻana i kā lākou kālepa lōʻihi o kēia wā a ma hope iho ua hoʻohiki lākou i kahi kālepa pōkole..
GBP / USD. Ua hoʻopau ka kaula kaula i kāna hana kū i kēia manawa ma ka 31 Iulai hou. Ua hoʻomaka ka hana i luna e like me nā hana ʻē aʻe me ka dālā ma a ma kahi o Iulai 11th. Ua pau ka hana me ka nui o nā hōʻailona kālepa maʻamau i huli i ka maikaʻi ʻole; ʻO PSAR ma luna o ke kumukūʻai, ʻo DMI a me MACD e hōʻike nei i nā heluhelu maikaʻi ʻole, nā stochastics e hele ana i kahi hoʻonohonoho i hoʻonohonoho ʻia o 9,9,5 a puka i waho o ka ʻāina nui, ʻoiai ua hāʻule ka RSI ma lalo o ka laina waena o 50. Eia naʻe, ua pau ka pule ma o ka hāʻawi ʻana i kahi pilikia. no nā mea kālepa i lawe paha i nā kālepa kū pōkole e pili ana i nā hōʻailona kaulana a me ka hana kumukūʻai i hōʻike ʻia e nā ihoiho Heikin Ashi. Ma muli o ka maikaʻi ʻole o ka manaʻo paʻi NFP maikaʻi ʻole i hoʻololi ʻia me ke kālā i ka wā kūʻai hope loa. Ua piʻi aʻe ka uwea ma o R1, ke kau nei ma kahi o ka pivot pae o kēlā me kēia lā ma mua o ka paʻi ʻana o nā hana. ʻO ke kālepa kālepa o Pōʻalima i hana i kahi ihoiho doij. ʻO nā mea kālepa pōkole pōkole e pono e nānā i ka hana kumukūʻai ma nā wā kūʻai ʻelua e hiki mai ana e hoʻoholo inā hiki ke ola i kā lākou kālepa pōkole. Lana ka manaʻo i nā mea kālepa pōkole hiki ke loaʻa i kahi hōʻoluʻolu mai ke kūlana o kēia manawa inā lākou i komo e like me nā mea kuhikuhi a i ʻole ma kahi o Iulai 31st a ma muli o ka hopena he pip nō ia, a i ʻole hōʻike wale i kahi nalo kalepa liʻiliʻi..
USD / JPY mālama i kāna hana i nā kau kālepa o ka pule i hala ma ke ʻano he kālepa paʻakikī paʻakikī. Ua kālepa ka greenback i kahi pae paʻa mai Iulai 11th i ka manawa e hoʻowalewale ʻia ai nā mea kalepa e pōkole i ka pai kālā. Ma hope mai o ka ikaika o ka downside i ʻike ʻia ma ka pakuhi ua nāwaliwali loa, ʻoiai ua loaʻa ka yen ma muli o kona kūlana palekana hou e like me ka Nikkei i loaʻa i nā pohō nui i kekahi o nā kau pō / kakahiaka i kālepa ʻia i ka pule i hala.
Ke hoʻomohala nei ʻo USD / JPY i nā hana he nui o kahi palekana i mākaukau e wāwahi i luna. Maikaʻi ka DMI ma kahi hoʻonohonoho hoʻoponopono o 20 (e hoʻolaha i ka walaʻau), ke hana nei ʻo MACD i nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa kiʻekiʻe, e hoʻohana ana i ka histogram ma ke ʻano he visual, ʻoiai aia ka RSI ma luna o ka 50 laina waena ma nā lā i hala. Ke hele nei nā stochastics a piʻi pinepine i luna ma kahi hoʻonohonoho hoʻomaʻemaʻe o 9,9,5. Kūkā ʻia nā mea kālepa e nānā pono i kā lākou pakuhi e nānā pono ana no nā hōʻike hou aʻe, e like me PSAR e hōʻike nei ma lalo o ke kumukūʻai, i mea e lawe ai i kahi loli lōʻihi, a i ʻole ke kālepa kūlana..
AUD / USD. ka Aussie versus ka USD i hōʻoia he hana paʻakikī paʻakikī loa ia i nā pule i hala aku nei i hāʻawi ʻia i kēia pālua waiwai makemake nui, e like me ke dālā yen, i kālepa ʻia ma kahi ākea loa. Eia nō naʻe, i ka lā 30 o Iulai ua pau ke ʻano moribund o ka hana a kēia pālua kālā ma ke ʻano he breakout i ka downside i ʻike ʻia me nā mea nui a pau nā hōʻailona kālepa kū i ka hana. ʻO PSAR ma luna o ke kumu kūʻai, ʻo MACD e hana ana i nā haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa ma ka histogram, a ʻo ka DMI kekahi. Ke paʻi nei ka RSI ma ka ʻāpana 30, ʻae ʻia ma ke ʻano he hōʻike pinepine i ka holo ʻana o kēia hāʻule huhū. Ua wāwahi ʻia ka hui ʻo Bollinger haʻahaʻa i ka wā i hele ai nā stochastics ma kahi hoʻonohonoho hoʻololi o 9,9,5. E aʻo ʻia ka poʻe kalepa i kēia kālepa pōkole e noho pū me ia a hōʻike ʻia nā hōʻailona ʻē aʻe. Malia paha e nānā ka poʻe kalepa liʻiliʻi i ka PSAR e kū ma lalo o ke kumukūʻai e puka a kali no ka hōʻoia hou ʻana o ka hōʻailona ma mua o ka hoʻololi ʻana i kā lākou manaʻo i ka bullish.
NāʻIke
ka SPX ua hōʻea i nā kiʻekiʻe i nā wā kalepa o ka pule i hala, like me ka DJIA i ukali ai. I loko nō o kēia mau kiʻekiʻena kiʻekiʻe a me ka hoʻokolokolo ʻia e ka hana kumukūʻai e hōʻike ʻia ma ka pakuhi o kēlā me kēia lā, nui nā loiloi a me nā mea kalepa i manaʻo ʻole ʻole he breakout i ka ʻaoʻao iʻoi aku ka ikaika. Ua kālepa aku ʻo DJIA, SPX a me NASDAQ i nā pae paʻa i nā mau pule i hala iho nei e hāʻawi ana i kahi kūlana paʻakikī no nā mea kālepa maʻamau e hoʻokele.
ʻO ke kaʻao mau o ka Fed stimulus tapering ke kuleana no kēia impasse, a i ʻole ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ʻole e makemake ʻole nā mea kālepa e kau i ke kumukūʻai ma nā papa kuhikuhi ma mua o nā pae hoʻopaʻa hou me ka ʻole o nā hōʻailona maopopo e hoʻomaʻamaʻa maoli ana ka ʻoihana ʻo USA. No nā mea kālepa kū i ke au; me ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā mea hōʻikeʻike maʻamau e makemake nui ʻia, e noho lōʻihi ana i ka DJIA he hoʻoholo maopopo e kali ana i nā hanana nūhou maikaʻi ʻole e hiki ai ke kūʻai aku. Makemake ka poʻe kalepa e aʻo ʻia ʻo DJIA e nānā no ka PSAR e hōʻike nei ma luna o ke kumukūʻai ma ke kumu he kumu liʻiliʻi e hopu i kā lākou kālepa lōʻihi. ʻOiai e ʻimi nei hoʻi i ka hōʻoia hou aʻe ma o ka MACD, DMI a me RSI paʻi paʻi bearish hōʻailona.
muli o ka ho'āʻo
ʻAila WTI hoʻomaka hou i kāna hana kūmākena ma hope o ke kūʻai aku ʻana aku nei, e kūlike ana me nā helu helu helu haʻahaʻa o USA a hoʻonui i nā haunaele ma ka Hikina Waena. Ua hoʻomaka ʻo WTI i ka haki i luna ma ʻAukake 1st ma hope o ke kū ʻana o kahi ihoiho doji kahiko e hoʻohana ana iā Heikin Ashi i pani ʻia ma Iulai 31st. Hoʻoweliweli hou ka ʻaila e lawe i kāna kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i paʻi ʻia i ʻelua mau pule ma mua. Ke nānā nei i nā mea kuhikuhi kālepa swing makemake nui ʻia ʻo WTI a me Brent aila e kū pono ana i ka bullish, ke paʻi nei ka DMI i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe ma ka histogram e like me ka MACD, ʻoiai ka RSI e heluhelu ana ma 60. E paipai ʻia nā mea kālepa loihi i ka aila lōʻihi e noho lōʻihi a hiki i nā hōʻailona bearish, e ke ala o nā mea hoʻohana pinepine ʻia, e ʻike ʻia ma ka pakuhi o kēlā me kēia lā..
Gold
ʻAʻole i mālama ʻo Gold i kāna breakout bullish i ka ʻaoʻao i luna i kālepa ʻia i kahi pae puaʻa puaʻa no kekahi mau kau kalepa o nā pule i hala. ʻO ka hōʻailona e pani a kālepa paha i ka lalo, hele mai ka ʻoluʻolu o ka hōʻailona PSAR e hōʻike ana ma luna o ke kumukūʻai ʻoiai ʻo RSI e pīpī nei me ka laina waena 50. Ua wāwahi ʻia ka hui waena Bollinger ʻoiai ka stochastics, (ma kahi hoʻonohonoho i hoʻonohonoho ʻia o 9,9,5) i hele aʻe a puka i ka ʻāpana i kūʻai ʻia. Kūkā ʻia nā mea kālepa gula e noho pōkole a hiki i ka manawa o ka nui o nā ʻōuli alakai e kuhikuhi ʻē aʻe. Hiki ke kau ʻia ka hilinaʻi liʻiliʻi loa i ke kūlana palekana o ke gula i kēia manawa, hāʻawi ʻia i ka makaʻu i ka makaʻu ma paradigm a me nā hoʻopili hope e hiki ʻole ke hoʻoholo..
« ʻO ka pule nūhou nui e hoʻopau ʻia e ka helu hana NFP Ua nalowale ke gula i kāna glitter bullish hou? »
