ʻO ka pule nūhou nui e hoʻopau ʻia e ka helu hana NFP
He pule loa kēia no nā mea kalaiwa nui i hoʻokumu ʻia, no ka hapa nui ʻaʻole i hāʻawi wale ka mākeke i nā hoʻoholo kulekele i manaʻo ʻia a me nā wanana hanana hanana, akā ua hoʻolohe nā ʻano i nā wānana, me kekahi mau hoʻokoe…
Me ka ʻōlelo a ka FOMC ke kuhikuhi kulekele maopopo, ma ka ʻoluʻolu a Ben Bernanke a me ka Fed, kahi o ka hoʻomau ʻana; ʻO ka pahuhopu ka 6.5% hana ʻole ma o ka $ 85 biliona o ka hōʻemi kālā ʻana, e hoʻomau me ka ikaika a hiki i ka wā i loaʻa ai ka pahuhopu. ʻAʻole hōʻike ʻia ka ʻōlelo o ka huaʻōlelo “taper” ma ka leksikona o ka Fed.
Loaʻa iā mākou ka nui o nā PMI i kēia hebedoma e uhi ana i ka hana ʻana i maikaʻi loa i kekahi mau hanana, ʻo ia hoʻi nā kiʻi UK i ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o nā balota.
ʻO ka 'lele wale i loko o ka pōhaku paʻa' wale nō ka nūhou USA e pili ana i ke kūʻai ʻana aku i nā noi home a me nā molaki e hiki ai ke waiho i ka pipi i loko o ke kumukūʻai kūʻai hale absurd a mākou e hōʻike nei i kēia manawa i nā Aupuni piʻi nā kumukūʻai o ka hale e 4.3% kūhaka i kēlā me kēia mahina ma kekahi mau wahi. ʻAe kēlā no kēlā me kēia mahina, ʻaʻole hoʻokahi makahiki ma ka helu makahiki.
ʻO ka ECB, e like me ka mea i manaʻo ʻia, mālama i kā lākou helu kumu ma 0.5% a me kā Mario Draghi ʻōlelo me ka hoʻoholo i holo ʻole e hana i nā mea ahi mua i ʻike ʻia ma kāna mau kūkā kamaʻilio mua, i ka manawa e ʻike ai ke kumukūʻai o EUR / USD i nā loli ahiu. ke kuʻi ʻana ma o ke kūʻē a laila kākoʻo (a i ʻole versa) i ka lōʻihi o kāna ʻōlelo.
Nā helu hana USA
ʻO nā hoʻopiʻi hana ʻole, ka helu mau o ka pule, ma USA hāʻule i 326K mai kahi wānana 345K, ʻoiai ka helu ADP, i manaʻo pinepine ʻia he mea hoʻolaha no nā helu NFP ʻoiai ʻo kāna ʻano ma mua o ka hoʻoponopono ʻana i nā helu o ka mahina i hala, ua hele mai ma kahi 200K maikaʻi. . Hōʻike ʻo ADP ua hana ʻia nā hana 200K i ka mahina i hala iho nei.
No laila huli nā maka āpau i ka hanana nūhou hopena hopena kiʻekiʻe o ka pule, ka helu NFP. I nā manawa i hala ma hope o kēia hanana nūhou e hoʻohuli i ka nui o nā kuʻina kālā USD nui a he nui nā mea kālepa, ʻo ia hoʻi nā mea kālepa novice, e kau i kā lākou pili ma kahi hopena maikaʻi a maikaʻi ʻole paha.
ʻO ka wānana no kahi helu hana hana ʻano haʻahaʻa, ʻo 195K nā paʻi o nā hana o ka mahina i hala, no ka 184K ka wānana o kēia mahina. Pono ia e ʻike ʻia e ka poʻe ʻekekema hanohano e koho ana he pono nā USA e hana i nā hana hou he 285K i kēlā me kēia mahina e 'hoʻonui'.
He 162K hana hoʻohoka nui ka helu i hana ʻia i ka mahina o Iulai me ka pae hana ʻole e emi ana i 7.4%.
« Ua haki ke ʻano kaula uea i kēia pule e like me ka yen e hōʻike nei i nā loaʻa nui ʻO ka wānana no nā hebedoma e hoʻomaka ana Iulai 3 2013 »
