Ua hōʻea ʻo GBP / USD i ke kiʻekiʻe he kanakolukūmāono mahina ma hope o ka hana ʻana o ka PM PM i kahi hopena maikaʻi ma nā kūkākūkā Brexit.
Ua kālepa mua ʻia nā pālua kālā GBP i nā pae paʻa i ka wā kūʻai mua o ka Pōʻalua i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o nā mea hoʻopukapuka a me nā mea kālepa e hoʻonoho iā lākou iho me ka palena palena Brexit i mua o ka maka.
E haʻalele ʻo UK i ka EU ma ka lā 31 o Kekemapa. Ke uku nei nā mea loiloi he nui i ka hoʻoponopono a me ka euro a me US kālā a i ʻole ke manaʻo ʻana i nā kūkā kamaʻilio hope loa e hopena i kahi hoʻonohonoho hiki i nā ʻaoʻao ʻelua ke ʻae a kūʻai aku i kā lākou mau lālā o ka pāremaka, nā wahi pāpāho a me nā lehulehu.
Ua piʻi aʻe ʻo GBP / USD e like me 0.6% i ka wā o ke kakahiaka a laila wāwahi ʻia ma o R2 e hoʻonui ana ma mua o 1% i ka lā ma hope o ka hāʻawi ʻana o ke Kuhina Nui ʻIlika Michael Martin i kahi ʻōlelo maikaʻi.
Ua haʻi aku ʻo ia i ka ʻIrani Times ke lana lana kona manaʻo no kahi hana Brexit ma ka hopena o ka pule ʻoiai ke Kuhina Nui o ʻEulopa Pelekane ʻo Clement Beaune i ʻōlelo like ai. Ma 1.3437, ua piʻi ka GBP / USD (uwea) i kahi kiʻekiʻe i ʻike ʻole ʻia mai Mei 2018. Ua kū ʻo EUR / GBP i ka lā, e haki ana iā R1 i ke kau Lākana-ʻEulopa, ma mua o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i kahi ʻāpana o ka piʻi ʻana i ke kālepa ma 0.896 ma ke ʻano he haki ka nūhou.
Hoʻonui mau ʻo EUR / USD i ka Poalua, mālama i ka ikaika i hoʻokumu ʻia mai Malaki 2020 i ka wā i komo ai ka US govt a me Fed i kahi hana stimulus nui. ʻO ka pālua kālā i kālepa ʻia i kālepa ʻia ma luna o ka ʻau 1.20 no ka manawa mua mai Mei 2018.
Me ke kālepa ʻana ʻo GBP a me EUR ma ke kiʻekiʻe he kanakolukūmālani a me USD, ua paʻa i ka ʻāpana o ka piʻi ʻana o GBP / USD ma muli o ka nāwaliwali o ke dālā ʻaʻole pono ka ikaika. No ke kākoʻo ʻana i kēia mau hoʻopiʻi hiki i nā mea kālepa ke huki i kahi pakuhi o kēlā me kēia pule a ʻike i ke kālepa ʻana o EUR / GBP i kēlā me kēia makahiki i kēia lā. I Ianuali ua uku ʻia ka pālua ma lalo o ke kī kī 0.8400, i ka wā o ka Pōʻalua i kālepa ai ma 0.897.
Ma ke ʻano he hōʻike hou no ka nawaliwali o ka USD ma o ka papa, ua kālepa ʻo USD / CHF kokoke i ka ʻau o 0.900 i nā kau o ka lā. Ke kālepa nui nei ka lua nui i kahi haʻahaʻa i ʻike ʻole ʻia mai ka 2015.
Hiki iā mākou ke manaʻo i ka volatility nui i nā hui paʻa a pau ke kokoke mai ka lā puka Brexit; no laila, pono nā mea kūʻai aku e mālama iā lākou i kahi kiʻekiʻe o ka makaʻala. E hoʻonui nā manawa kūpono i ke kālepa ʻana e like me ka hopena.
Pono nā mea kālepa Swing e nānā i kā lākou mau palapala kiʻi Sterling i ka lā o Kekemapa ma nā papa manawa he nui, e hōʻoia i ka hoʻokō o kā lākou hoʻolālā me ka loli ʻana i ka manaʻo mākeke.
E like me ka mea i hōʻoia ʻia e ka neʻe ʻana o ka neʻe ʻana o ka hui ma GBP ma hope o ka ʻōlelo a ke kuhina nui o ʻIralani, hiki i ke kalena waiwai a me ka loiloi ʻenehana ke kākoʻo nui i kāu noiʻi. Pono ʻoe e makaʻala i ka haki ʻana i nā nūhou i ka hoʻokokoke ʻana o ka ʻaoʻao hope o ke kaʻina Brexit.
Ua kū ʻo XAU / USD (gula) i nā kau o ka Pōʻalua, e hoʻihoʻi i ka pae paʻa kī ma luna o 1800 i ka wā o ke awakea. Ua pilikia ka waiwai nui o ka metala i loko o nā kau o nā pule i hala iho nei, e like me ka makemake o ka pōpilikia i ka nui o nā mākeke kaulike honua. Ma 5 pm UK manawa kūʻai ke kumukūʻai ma luna o R2, e hoʻoweliweli nei e uhaʻi iā R3 e hōʻailona ana i nā loaʻa nui hoʻokahi lā i ʻike ʻia i nā pule he nui.
ʻO nā hanana kalena hopena kiʻekiʻe a me waena e nānā i ka Pōʻakolu, Kekemapa 2
Ma ka hola 7 o ke UK, e paʻi ʻia nā kiʻi kūʻai aku Kelemania hou loa. ʻO ka wanana a Reuters no kahi piʻi MoM o 1.2. Me ka ʻikepili o ka mahina i hala e hele mai ana ma -2.2%, he hōʻailona kēia i kahi hoʻomaikaʻi nui. Eia nō naʻe, ua luhi ka ʻikepili kūʻai liʻiliʻi a ua pilikia ʻo Kelemania i kahi laka hou o Covid, no laila inā ʻaʻole e nalo a ʻoi paha ka helu i ka wanana e kahi mamao, ʻaʻole paha e neʻe ka waiwai o ka euro.
E hōʻike ʻia nā minuke Bank of England hou ma 9:30 am UK manawa. E nānā nā mea kālepa i nā hōʻailona e pili ana i kahi alakaʻi i mua o ka helu kumu UK. Ke hoʻomau nei nā lono e komo ka BoE i loko o NIRP (kahi kulekele uku paneʻe maikaʻi ʻole) ma 2021, kahi e hopena ai i ka waiwai o sterling ma mua o kāna mau hoa.
Ma 1:15 pm hoʻolaha ʻia nā helu hana ʻoihana ADP hou loa. ʻO ka mea i manaʻo ʻia no ka hoʻonui hoʻonui o 410K, ma mua o 365k ma mua. ʻO kēia ʻikepili ADP he mea mua i ka ʻikepili hana NFP, i paʻi ʻia ma ka Pōʻalima mua o kēlā me kēia mahina. Hiki i nā helu ADP ke neʻe pinepine i ka waiwai o USD a me US index index market.
Ma ka hola 3 o ka pō ma hope koke iho o ka wehe ʻana o ka mākeke US, e hāʻawi ka luna Fed ʻo Jerome Powell i kāna hōʻike i nā luna aupuni o US. ʻO kēia hōʻike i kakali nui ʻia e hiki ke hāʻawi i ka ʻike a me nā hōʻailona e pili ana i ka manaʻo o Mr. Powell e hana pū ana me ka luna ʻo Biden. ʻO nā mākeke ma USD a me nā kaulike US e loli paha i kona wā i hele aku ai.
« E ʻike ʻo Kēkēmapa i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo US e paʻi i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe hou a he aha nā prospect no GBP? He aha ke kālepa ʻana o ECN, a no ke aha ke komo ʻana i FX he nui nā mea kalepa e koi e hoʻohana? »
