E ʻike ʻo Kēkēmapa i nā mākeke kaulike ʻo US e paʻi i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe hou a he aha nā prospect no GBP?
ʻOiai ke kūʻai aku ʻana o nā mākeke kaulike i ke kau hope loa o Nowemapa 2020, ua hauʻoli ka mākeke kaulike US, i ka mahina hōkū. ʻO nā papa kuhikuhi alakaʻi ʻekolu; ka DJIA30, SPX500 a me ka NASDAQ paʻi paʻi kiʻekiʻe ma Nowemapa me ka DJIA kaulana no ka haki ʻana i ka pae 30,000 no ka manawa mua ma kāna moʻolelo. Hoʻonui ʻia ka manaʻolana i ka honua holoʻokoʻa; ua loaʻa ka papa inoa honua MSCI i ka 13% i Nowemapa, ka piʻi nui loa o ka moʻolelo.
He mea kupaianaha ke kiʻi ʻana i kēia pae i ka wā o ke ahulau inā hoʻohui ʻia ka US kokoke ma 750,000 i kāna helu hana ʻole i kēlā me kēia pule i ka mahina. Eia nō naʻe, me ka hoʻonāukiuki kālā a me ke kālā i hāʻawi ʻia e ke aupuni US a me ka Fed e kūʻai aku ana i $ 4 trillion + maopopo ia kahi i maikaʻi ai nā stimulus financial.
Ua ʻike ka 600+ biliona kālā ma ka US i kā lākou waiwai waiwai hui ulu ʻana ma kahi o $ 1 triliona mai Malaki 2020. Me he mea lā ua kākau ka Fed iā lākou i nā hōʻoia pilikino mai ka ʻauhau ʻauhau.
E like me ka pilikia 2008-2009, ua holomua ʻo Wall Street ma ka lilo o Main Street. ʻAʻole hoʻokumu ʻia ka exuberance irational i kēia manawa i nā loaʻa kālā a i ʻole nā waiwai paʻa. Akā he mea koa wiwo ʻole ia e hakakā i ka Fed a i ʻole lawe i kahi medium i kahi wā pōkole lōʻihi i kēia mākeke.
ʻO nā mea kālepa a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka ma ka pae pae ke kumu kūʻai i ka hiki ʻana mai o nā lāʻau Covid maikaʻi a me ka hoʻōla hou ʻana o ka honua i ke kālepa, i kākoʻo ʻia e nā mea hoʻonāukiuki nui aʻe. Inā kūlike kēia mau kūlana, a laila paʻakikī i ka leo i ka manaʻo kūʻē; e hāʻule nā mākeke i ka mea a mākou e noʻonoʻo ai i ka waiwai kūpono.
Ua hāʻawi ka maʻi ahulau i ka volatility a me nā kūlana kalepa maikaʻi, keu hoʻi no nā mea kālepa FX kūʻai liʻiliʻi i ʻoluʻolu i nā pālahalaha paʻa a me nā kūlike kūmau ma ke ʻano he hopena.
ʻO ka hana mai ka home (WFH) hanana i hāʻawi i nā kūlana kūpono no nā limahana home he nui e hoʻokolohua me ke kālepa ʻana no ka manawa mua. No kēlā mau novice i noho kūleʻa i ka hōʻea ʻana o nā stimuli, ua hauʻoli lākou i hoʻokahi manawa i ka hoʻi ʻana o ke ola.
Ua piʻi aʻe ka NASDAQ e 36% makahiki a hiki i kēia lā, a noho lōʻihi ʻo Tesla mai ka hāʻule ʻana o Malaki a i ka piko o Nowemapa e hāʻawi ana i kahi kokoke ma 500% hoʻihoʻi. Inā paha e hana hou ʻia kahi hana e ka NASDAQ a me nā waihona e like me Tesla e ʻike ʻia i ka 2021 hiki ʻole ke wānana. Ma hope o hoʻokahi manawa i ka hanauna Black Swan hanauna, ua ʻike mākou i kēia makahiki, hiki i kahi makahiki o ka hoʻohui ʻana a ke ʻike nei ka hapa nui o nā loiloi i kēia hopena.
Ua hauʻoli ʻo Cryptocurrency i kahi piʻi kupaianaha o ke kumukūʻai i ka manawa o 2020. I ka manawa hou ua ʻike ʻia ka maʻi maʻi. Ua hōʻea ʻo BTC (bitcoin) i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe kokoke i 20,000 ma luna o nā kau i hala iho nei, e lawe ana i nā kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i ka hopena o 2017.
ʻO ke kolu o ka makahiki hoʻomanaʻo o ka popping crypto popping mua e kānalua ʻole i ka noʻonoʻo o ka poʻe kalepa i ka lā o Kekemapa. Hoʻemi ʻia ke kumukūʻai e 70% ma waena o Dekemaba 2017 a me Spring 2018, akā ua ulu nui ka mākeke crypto mai ia manawa. ʻO "kēia manawa ʻokoʻa" kahi huaʻōlelo i hoʻohana nui ʻole ʻia i kā mākou ao kālepa, akā i kēia manawa paha, he kumuhana a me ke kumumanaʻo e uhi mākou i kā mākou ʻatikala crypto e paʻi ʻia ma hope o kēia pule.
ʻO ka nānā a me ka paʻi kiʻi o nā paʻa kālā i ka wā o Ladana
Ua piʻi aʻe ka EUR / USD ma 0.44% a ke kālepa nei i kahi pae ākea ma luna o ka pivot point i kēlā me kēia lā. ʻO ka lua i kālepa nui ʻia e ka leo e hoʻoweliweli i ka haki i ka pae mua o ke kūʻē R1 ma 1.198. I ka mahina o Nowemapa ua piʻi nui ka pālua kālā ma ke kūʻai aku ʻana o nā mea kālepa a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālā i ke kālā US.
ʻAʻole i kikoʻī ka piʻi ʻana o ka euro i ka mahina o Nowemapa i ke dālā, ua piʻi nui ʻo EUR / JPY, a ua hoʻomau ʻia kēlā ala i ka wā kakahiaka me ka pālua ma hope o kahi alahele like i EUR / USD e kālepa ai ma 124.95.
Ua hina ka euro me ka paona UK ma Nowemapa, a ua haʻahaʻa ka volatility ma EUR / GBP i ka manawa i komo ai ʻo UK i ka mahina hope loa o ke kūkākūkā ʻana ma mua o ka haʻalele ʻana o ka ʻāina i ka European Union. Ua hina nui ʻo EUR / GBP i ka wā ʻOkakopa, a hoʻomau ka momentum i Nowemapa. Ua kūʻai mua ʻia nā mea hoʻopukapuka pūnaewele i ka hopena me ka hopena weliweli e puka ai ka puka ma UK kalepa?
Ua kālepa aku ʻo EUR / GBP i kahi pae ākea kokoke i ka PP o kēlā me kēia lā ma 0.8961. Ua kālepa ʻo EUR / GBP ma luna o ka helu o ka pivot o kēlā me kēia lā e hoʻoweliweli nei e uhaʻi iā S1 i ka wā mua o ka noho ʻana ma Ladana. Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻo GBP / USD i nā loaʻa kupaianaha mai ka waenakonu o Malaki i ka manawa i paʻi ʻia kahi haʻahaʻa he mau makahiki he 1.1600 mau makahiki ma lalo o 1.3352. I ke kau kakahiaka, ua kālepa aku ia ma 1, ke kūʻai aku nei ma ke kūʻai ʻana ma hope o ka haki ʻana iā RXNUMX ma mua.
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