Bayanin Kasuwa na Forex - Fihirisar Dry Baltic

Fihirisan Dankalin Baltic Da Lissafin Shigo da Sinawa

Fabrairu 10 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 11107 • 1 Comment akan Fihirisar Bishiyar Baltic da Figures na Shigo da Sinawa

Fihirisar Bishiyar Baltic da Sigogin Shigo da Chineseasar Sin suna ba da Labarin da Mafi yawan Masana Tattalin Arziki Ba sa Son Ji

Idan da akwai sanannen sanannen sanannen ɗan littafin da ya faɗi sama da kashi 60% a shekara a kan shekara ba kawai jama'ar masu saka hannun jari za su damu sosai ba, kafofin watsa labarai na yau da kullun za su iya zama masu fa'ida a cikin aikin. Adadin labarai zai nuna yanayin 'ƙarshen kwanaki'. Muryar ihu, cewa wani abin da ba makawa game da hadari na gab da bayyana, zai zama mai jan hankali…

Babu babba, sanannun alamun da aka ambata sosai sun faɗi da irin wannan adadin shekara a shekara A cikin ƙwaƙwalwar ajiyar rai, ko dai a cikin haɗarin 2008-2009 ko gyara na baya-bayan nan a cikin kwata na ƙarshe na 2011. Mafi kusancin da muka fuskanta a lokacin rikicin bashin Eurozone shi ne / shine gyaran musayar Athens, wanda ya rushe ta hanyar kusan 50% shekara a shekara kuma wannan duk da kusan 30% ƙaruwa tun kwanan nan kwanan nan na Jan 10th. Amma ASE, duk da cewa an maida hankali sosai ga Athens, da wuya a ɗauke shi azaman “babban fihirisa”.

Yaya za a yi idan barometer da aka yarda da shi wanda ake tsammani lafiyar tattalin arziki ya faɗi kusan 60% shekara a shekara, kamar SPX ko FTSE 100? Matsar da duk wani imani da ka'idar cewa manyan kasuwanni ba su zama madaidaiciyar alama ta lafiyar tattalin arziki kamar yadda suke a da, saboda manufofin zirp, balouts, ceto, tarp da shirye-shiryen sauƙaƙe na samar da ɓarna na karya wanda ba shi da alaƙa da gaskiyar tattalin arziki, idan ainihin fihirisan sun sha wahala irin wannan faɗakarwar zai zama mai ban mamaki.

Akwai alamomi guda daya wanda masana tattalin arziki da yawa, masu sharhi akan kasuwa da masu sharhi kan kasuwa suke sanyawa idanuwansu yanayi da kuma jayayya, saboda manyan kasuwanni sun kasance sunada matukar canji ta hanyar yin famfon kwastomomin ceto, hakan yana nuna gaskiyar yanayin yanayin kasuwannin duniya na yanzu kamar yadda yake a kan ginshiƙan tattalin arzikin duniya kamar wadata da buƙatu, shigo da fitarwa, ana san shi da Index na Baltic Dry Index.

Lokaci ya yi kuma ya dace a ambaci wannan jadawalin idan aka bayar da alkaluman da aka fitar yau da safiyar nan daga China game da adadin fitarwa da shigo da kaya; Kasuwancin kasar Sin ya ragu a watan Janairu idan aka kwatanta da makamancin lokacin a shekarar da ta gabata, yana mai nuna damuwar cewa raunin bukatun kasashen waje na yin illa ga tattalin arzikin da ake fitarwa zuwa kasashen waje.

Alkaluman da hukumar kwastan ta fitar ranar Juma’a sun nuna shigo da kaya ya nutse da kashi 15.3 zuwa dala biliyan 122.6, yayin da kayan da aka fitar suka sauka da kashi 0.5 zuwa dala biliyan 149.9. Wannan shi ne mafi munin bayanan cinikayya tun shekara ta 2009. Ragowar cinikayyar da ke da matukar damuwa a siyasance ya haura dala biliyan 27.3 a watan Janairu, wanda shi ne adadi mafi girma a cikin watanni shida. Da yawa daga cikin masanan harkokin kudi na ba da shawarar cewa sakamakon cinikayyar watan Janairun ya nuna cewa kasa ta biyu mafi karfin tattalin arziki tana tafiyar hawainiya, saboda yawan rashin aikin yi na Amurka da kuma rikicin bashin Eurozone.

Bunkasar tattalin arzikin Sin da ke da zafi-zafi ta ragu zuwa kashi 8.9 cikin dari, wanda shi ne mafi kasa da kasa cikin shekaru biyu da rabi. Asusun bada lamuni na duniya ya yi hasashen ci gaban kaso 8.2 cikin dari ga kasar Sin a shekarar 2012, amma ta yi gargadin cewa adadin zai iya raguwa zuwa rabin idan matsalolin kudi na Turai suka kara ta'azzara.

Tattalin arzikin China da ya bunkasa a baya ana iya cewa da gaske 'tsohuwar duniya' ce. Ya dogara ne da kasuwancin gargajiya, yawan ci gaban da aka samu a cikin gida ya haifar da ƙishirwar shigo da kayayyaki daga ƙasashe kamar Australia. Yayinda ayyukan kudi suka bunkasa, musamman a tsohuwar mulkin mallakar Burtaniya ta Hongkong, bunkasar China ta kirkiro wata kyakkyawar hanyar kasuwanci ta duniya wacce ke bukatar shigo da albarkatun kasa da yawa. Cewa waɗancan abubuwan da aka shigo da su sun faɗi da sama da 15% shekara a shekara ya kamata ya zama babban abin damuwa, musamman idan ana ɗaukar China a matsayin babbar madogara wacce yawancin ƙasashe ke daidaita kuma suke bunƙasa.

Koyaya, ana iya ɗaukar ƙididdigar kasuwancin a matsayin alamomi masu ɓarna, duk da cewa wannan ra'ayi hukumomin China sun yi nisa a safiyar yau don jaddada cewa lokacin hutu da kalandar wata sun yi tasiri sosai game da ƙididdigar. Tsarin tattalin arziki, samarwa / nema shigowa / fitarwa ya kasance abin birgewa ganin cewa IMF kuma hakika kungiyar 'yar'uwarta' Bankin Duniya ta ba da shawarar cewa za a iya rage ci gaba, daga 8.3%, idan rikicin Eurozone ya ci gaba ko ya ta'azzara. Koyaya, batun Eurozone na iya zama wani ɓangare ne na batun, rugujewar abubuwa masu shigo da kayayyaki na iya ba da sanarwar gabaɗaya abubuwan damuwa game da tattalin arzikin cikin gida na ƙasar Sin, tsananin buƙatar albarkatun ƙasa na iya zuwa ƙarshen ba zato ba tsammani kuma wannan bugawar kwatsam na mayila an riga an annabta masu kariya idan muka kula da duban duhun bayanan tattalin arziki inda mutane da yawa ke tsoron zuwa ..

Fihirisar Bishiyar Baltic
Lamarin bushewar Baltic (BDI) lamba ce da ake bayarwa yau da kullun ta Kasuwar Baltic da ke Landan. Ba a iyakance shi ga ƙasashen Tekun Baltic ba, littafin yana biyan farashin jigilar kayayyaki na ƙasa da ƙasa na yawancin kayan masarufi masu yawa.

Indexididdigar ta ba da “kimar farashin jigilar manyan albarkatun ƙasa zuwa teku. Inaukar hanyoyin jigilar kaya guda 26 da aka auna akan tsarin lokaci da kuma tafiye-tafiye, lissafin ya shafi Handymax, Panamax, da Capesize busassun manyan dako ɗauke da kayayyaki da dama da suka haɗa da gawayi, ƙarfe da hatsi. ”

 

Asusun Demo na Forex Asusun Forex Live Asusunka na Asusu

 

Ta yaya Yana Works
Kowace rana ta aiki, wani rukuni na masu siyar da jiragen ruwa na ƙasa da ƙasa suna gabatar da ra'ayinsu game da farashin jigilar kayayyaki na yanzu a kan hanyoyi daban-daban zuwa Kasuwancin Baltic. Hanyoyin ana nufin su zama wakilai, watau babba cikin girma don matsala ga kasuwar gabaɗaya.

Wadannan ƙididdigar ƙididdigar ana auna su tare don ƙirƙirar duka BDI gaba ɗaya da takamaiman takamaiman Supramax, Panamax, da esididdigar Capesize. Abubuwan BDI a cikin nau'uka daban-daban masu girma huɗu na jiragen ruwa masu saurin bushewa:

BDI ya ƙunshi kimantawa ta hanya duka a kan “USD da aka biya ta kowace tan” (watau kafin a cire mai, tashar jiragen ruwa da sauran farashin masu dogaro da balaguro) da kuma “ana biyan dala a kowace rana” (watau bayan an cire farashin dogaro da balaguro, galibi ana kiransa “ Yarjejeniyar lokaci kwatankwacin albashi ”). Fuel (= "Bunkers") shine mafi ƙimar farashin dogaro da tafiya tare da farashin ɗanyen mai. A lokutan da farashin bunker ke canzawa sosai, a can BDI zai motsa fiye da kuɗin da masu kamfanin ke samu.

Ana iya samun bayanan a kan tsarin biyan kuɗi kai tsaye daga Kasuwar Baltic da kuma daga manyan bayanan kuɗi da sabis na labarai kamar Thomson Reuters da Bloomberg LP.

Me yasa Masana Tattalin Arziki Da Masu Jarin Kasuwar Hannun Jari Su Karanta shi
Mafi yawancin kai tsaye, layin bayanan yana auna bukatar karfin jigilar kaya ne tare da wadatar dako masu yawa. Bukatar jigilar kayayyaki ya banbanta da yawan kayan da ake cinikinsu ko ake turawa a kasuwanni daban-daban (wadata da buƙata).

Samun jiragen jigilar kaya gabaɗaya ya kasance tsaurara da mara ƙarfi - yana ɗaukar shekaru biyu kafin a gina sabon jirgi, kuma jiragen ruwa suna da tsada sosai don hana fitar da su ta hanyar da jiragen sama ke ajiye jiragen da ba su da kyau a cikin hamada. Don haka, haɓakar da ke ƙasa a cikin buƙata na iya tura ƙididdigar sama da sauri, kuma ƙarancin buƙatun ƙasa zai iya haifar da index ɗin ya faɗi da sauri. misali “idan kana da jiragen ruwa guda 100 wadanda suke takara don kaya 99, farashin ya sauka, amma idan kana da jirage 99 da suke fafatawa da kaya 100, to hawan zai tashi. A wasu kalmomin, sauye-sauyen kananan jiragen ruwa da lamuran aiki na iya fadada farashin… ”Fihirisar a kaikaice tana auna wadatar duniya da bukatar kayayyaki da ake jigilarsu a cikin dako masu daskarewa, kamar kayan gini, gawayi, kayan karafa, da hatsi.

Tatsuniya Tape
Ranar 20 ga Mayu, 2008, adadin ya kai matsayin mafi girma tun bayan gabatarwar a shekarar 1985, ya kai maki 11,793. Rabin shekara daga baya, a ranar 5 ga Disamba 2008, adadin ya ragu da kashi 94%, zuwa maki 663, mafi karanci tun 1986; duk da cewa daga ranar 4 ga Fabrairu 2009 ta dawo da ƙasa kaɗan da ta ɓace, ya koma 1,316. ​​Waɗannan ƙananan farashin sun koma cikin haɗari kusa da haɗakar farashin aiki na jirgi, mai, da ma'aikata.

An Samu Sabbin adeananan Newananan Onan Rana A Fabrairu 3rd 2012
A lokacin shekarar 2009, adadin ya farfado har zuwa 4661, amma daga baya ya sauka zuwa 1043 a watan Fabrairu, 2011, bayan ci gaba da jigilar sabbin jiragen ruwa da ambaliyar ruwa a Australia. Kodayake an sake dawowa zuwa 2000 a ranar 7 ga Oktoba, zuwa 3 ga Fabrairu, 2012, adadin ya yi ƙasa da 647 na shekaru da yawa a kan ci gaba da jigilar jiragen ruwa kuma ya ragu a cikin umarnin ƙarfe da gawayi.

Indexididdigar a halin yanzu yana da kashi 60.01% a shekara zuwa shekara kuma 36.36% ya faɗi a farkon makonni shida na 2012. Gaskiyar cewa sabon shekarun da suka gabata ya kai ƙasa a farkon watan Fabrairu ya kamata ya zama ɗayan mahimman ƙididdigar tattalin arziki da aka bayyana a wannan shekara. Koyaya, yayin da yawancin masu sharhi a cikin kafofin watsa labarai na yau da kullun suka kasance a kan manyan kasuwannin kasuwar wannan kayan aikin masu matukar mahimmanci zasu kasance ba a duba su ba.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BDIY:IND

Comments an rufe.

« »