Shin Cutar Zuciya na Iya haifar da Ilham?
An buga alkaluman mako-mako na rashin aikin yi na Amurka da aka sabunta ranar Alhamis. Adadin Ba'amurke da ke shigar da ƙorafe-ƙorafe don fa'idodin rashin aikin yi da kyar ya canza tun makon da ya gabata. Aikace-aikace don biyan inshorar rashin aikin yi ya rage 1,000 a cikin satin da ya kare a ranar 8 ga Oktoba 404,000 zuwa 405,000, alkaluman Ma'aikatar Kwadago sun nuna a yau. Masana tattalin arziki sun yi hasashen ikirarin 308 gwargwadon kimantawa na tsakiya a cikin binciken Bloomberg News. USAasar Amurka tana da kimanin miliyan 30 kuma sun karu da kusan miliyan 75 a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata. Kusan 18% sun wuce shekaru 231. Daga cikin yawan mutanen da suka kai miliyan 1000 wadanda ake zaton 'labari mai dadi' a yau shi ne cewa ƙananan XNUMX ne kawai suka rage don neman fa'idodin rashin aikin yi a watan da ya gabata.
Har yanzu akwai sabbin da'awa 404,000 da aka gabatar a makon da ya gabata kuma duk da haka manyan kafofin watsa labarai sun sami damar yin farin ciki da raguwar 0.247% na bayyana wannan labarin da kuma sauran ci gaban da ke taƙaice a cikin ratar cinikayya da 0.4%, a matsayin alamu cewa tattalin arzikin yana inganta. Tattalin arzikin Amurka ya yi asarar kusan kamfanoni masu zaman kansu miliyan 10.5 tun daga shekarar 2008, abubuwan da ke faruwa daban-daban sun samar da ayyuka miliyan 2. Imididdiga don ƙimar motsa jiki, la'akari da duk tallafin, ceto da QE, yana nuna kimanin. An ƙirƙiri / kashe dala tiriliyan 3.27 tun shekara ta 2008 kuma wasu masu sharhi sun sanya farashi akan kowane aikin da aka haifar da abubuwan da suka shafi kusan $ 280,000 ga kowane aiki.
Hikimar da aka karɓa ita ce, dole ne Amurka ta samar da yanki na ayyuka 265,000 a kowane wata don tsayawa, saboda irin wannan ƙimar rashin aikin yi zai faɗi daga 9.1% zuwa kusa da 5%. Don haka idan Amurka ba za ta iya ƙirƙirar wasu ayyukan yi da hankali ta hanyar kamfanoni masu zaman kansu ba (don cike gibin miliyan goma da aka rasa tun shekarar 2008) ta yaya za a ci gaba da kowane irin motsa jiki da za a ci gaba a irin wannan kuɗin ta kowane aiki?
Girman gibi tsakanin masu arziki da talakan Amurka yana sake fasalta tattalin arzikin Amurka, kwayar halittar yanzu bata cikin kwalba. Ba tare da kulawa ba, halin da ake ciki game da karuwar rashin daidaito na iya girgiza zaman lafiyar jama'a. Tun 1980, kimanin. Kashi 5 cikin 5,934 na kudin shigar shekara-shekara ya sauya daga matsakaita zuwa magidanta masu arzikin kasa. Gidaje 2010 da suka fi arziki a cikin shekarar 650 sun more ƙarin dala biliyan 109, kusan dala miliyan 1980 kowannensu, fiye da abin da zasu samu idan aka raba 'kek ɗin tattalin arziki' kamar yadda yake a XNUMX, bisa ga bayanan Ofishin ensusidaya. Shin wahayi zai fito ne daga rashin tsammani? Tabbas Amurka ba zata iya ci gaba akan halin da take ciki ba. Yunkurin Mamayar yana kawai fara ne da datti daga ainihin abin da ke ƙasa.
Matsayi ko Tsagaitawa?
Rashin kwanciyar hankali shine mafi kyawun yawancin kasashe masu tasowa mafi girma a duniya da zasu iya fata sama da shekara mai zuwa, tare da dama suna fuskantar babbar dama ta koma bayan tattalin arziki, a cewar wani ƙuri'a na Reuters na kusan masanan tattalin arziki 350 da aka nuna a ranar Alhamis. Shekarar 2011 ta kasance abin takaici ga kasashen da suka ci gaba tattalin arzikin duniya, wadanda suka gurgunta ta hadewar; tattalin arziki, rikicin bashi da bala'o'i.
Wanda ya samu tallafi daga raunin alkaluman kasuwanci na ranar Alhamis daga kasar China, wanda ke nuni da raunin tattalin arzikin duniya, binciken kwata-kwata na watan Oktoba ya ba da shawarar karancin ci gaba a kasashe da dama na G7 da zai iya fadadawa zuwa shekara mai zuwa da kuma gaba. An yi hasashen tattalin arzikin duniya zai karu da kashi 3.8 a shekarar 2011, da kuma kashi 3.6 bisa dari a shekara mai zuwa sabanin kashi 4.1 da kashi 4.3 na hasashen da aka yi daga binciken kwata-kwata da ya gabata a watan Yuli.
Turai
Byan taƙaitaccen abu, zuƙutawa ta hanyar (sanɗaɗaɗaɗaɗaɗaɗa da akaɗa) zuƙowa, mummunan labari yana ta ɓarna dangane da manyan rubutattun bankunan Turai za su sha wahala don bin tsarin da ake bayyanawa a matsayin babban shirin. A cewar labaran Bloomberg ya kamata bankunan Jamus su shirya kansu na asarar da ta kai kusan kashi 60 cikin ɗari kan bashin gwamnatin Girka. Bankunan kasar sun gudanar da taron taro a wannan makon, mahalarta taron sun tattauna kan yiwuwar asara a kan kudaden Girka tsakanin kashi 50 zuwa 60 na kudin.
Tare da jefa kuri’ar “eh” yanzu a cikin jaka daga Slovakia Van Rompuy da Barroso sun sanar da cewa S 440 biliyan EFSF yana aiki sosai, wadanne matakai za su dauka domin samun damar yin amfani da wannan asusu zuwa kimanin tiriliyan 2-3 Yankin Euro zai iya zama mai ban sha'awa don bayyana bayyana. Yuro biliyan 440 zai isa ya biya bashin Girka ɗaya.
Fitch Samun Fidgety
Fididdigar Fitch ta ɗauki ɓarna ga wasu ƙididdigar darajar bankuna da yammacin Alhamis, suna sanya mutane da yawa a kan agogon mutuwa yayin da suka la'anci wasu ƙalilan zuwa ofishinsu da ke cin ruwa. Fitch Ratings ya rage darajar UBS a ranar Alhamis kuma ya sanya wasu bankunan Amurka da na Turai guda bakwai kan agogon bashi, yana mai bayyana kalubalen tattalin arziki da kasuwannin hada hadar kudi, da kuma tasirin sabbin ka'idoji. Hukumar kimantawa ta saukar da kimar mai bayarwa na UBS na dogon lokaci zuwa A daga A +.
Fitch yana sake nazarin ƙididdigar bankin Barclays Bank Plc, BNP Paribas, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG, Societe Generale, Bank of America Corp, Morgan Stanley da Goldman Sachs Group don ƙarin yiwuwar ragi. Yankewa a mafi yawan lokuta zai zama sananne ɗaya, don wasu ƙididdiga biyu. Tun da farko a ranar Alhamis, Fitch ya kuma rage kimantawa kan Royal Bank of Scotland da Lloyds Banking Group PLC.
kasuwanni
Hannayen jari sun fadi, tare da dakatar da babban gangami na 500 na Standard & Poor na jerin Index a cikin kwanaki bakwai tun shekara ta 2009, biyo bayan raguwar ribar JPMorgan Chase & Co. a cikin damuwar cewa masu hada-hadar kudi sun wuce gona da iri kan fata game da matsalar bashin Turai. Kayayyakin kayan masarufi da Baitulmali sun haɗu. S & P 500 ya zame kaso 0.3 a 4 na yamma agogon New York, yana karkatar da komawarsa daga kashi 1.4. JPMorgan ya ba da rahoton kashi 33 cikin ɗari ƙasa da riba, ban da fa'idodin lissafin dala biliyan 1.9, yayin da bankin saka hannun jari da kuɗin shiga kasuwanci suka faɗi ƙasa. Kasuwannin Turai sun faɗi ƙasa ƙwarai saboda damuwa kan yadda bankuna ke yin ruwa da tsaki. STOXX ya rufe 1.67%, FTSE ya sauka 0.71%, CAC 1.33% da DAX sun rufe 1.33%. Italianasar Italiya, MIB ta rufe 3.71%, batutuwan Unicredit da ƙuri'ar rashin amincewa ga gwamnatin Berlusconi da ke auna nauyi a kan ma'auni wanda ya riga ya faɗi da kimanin 24.8% shekara a shekara.
Sakin tattalin arziki wanda zai iya shafar jin daɗi a safiyar London da taron Turai sun haɗa da masu zuwa;
10:00 Yankin Yankin Turai - CPI Satumba
10: 00 Yankin Yankin Turai - Balance na Ciniki Agusta
Binciken Bloomberg na manazarta ya nuna tsinkayen matsakaici na 3.0% shekara a shekara don ƙididdigar farashin mai amfani bai canza daga adadi na baya ba. Adadin 'core' da aka annabta shine 1.5% daga 1.2% wanda shine adadi da aka saki kafin wannan. Watan kan wata fata shine 0.8% daga 0.2% a baya.
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