Hankalin masu saka jari zai koma kan sabon hauhawar farashin Euro, saboda damuwar ECB game da darajar Euro
A ranar Laraba 28 ga Fabrairu, da 10:00 na safe agogon GMT (lokacin Landan), za a fitar da sabon kiyasi game da Eurozone CPI (hauhawar farashin kayan masarufi). Hasashen, wanda aka samo ta hanyar karɓar ra'ayi ɗaya daga manyan masana tattalin arziki, yayi hasashen faɗuwa zuwa 1.2% YoY a watan Fabrairu, daga 1.3% da aka rubuta har zuwa Janairu 2018. Adadin hauhawar farashin kowane wata na Janairu (MoM) ya girgiza kasuwanni, ta hanyar shigowa a -0.9%, bayan hauhawar 0.4% a cikin Disamba.
Adadin zai kasance mai matukar sha'awar masu saka jari da 'yan kasuwa, saboda hirarrakin kafofin yada labarai na hada-hadar kudi, dangane da sadaukarwar da ECB suka yi na ficewa daga APP dinsu (tsarin siyen sayen kadara a wannan shekarar). Dangane da jagorar jagorancin Mario Draghi da aka gabatar a cikin 2017, ECB na niyyar fara ɓarnatar da (sigar sassaucin adadi) ƙwarai da gaske a cikin farkon rubu'i uku na 2018, da niyyar kawo ƙarshen APP a cikin Q4. Akwai kuma shawarar, duk da cewa jita-jita ce, cewa babban bankin Eurozone na iya yin la'akari da karin kudin ruwa, daga bene na 0.00%. Koyaya, akwai batutuwa guda biyu waɗanda zasu iya ɓatar da maƙasudin biyu.
Da fari dai, duk da tsarin APP, CPI (hauhawar farashi) ya kasance mai taurin kai, tare da burin ECB na manufa a ko sama da 2%, adadi na YoY ya yi kusan kimanin adadi na 1.5% na watanni da yawa, lokacin da ECB ke fata / shirin cewa makircin zai tayar da hauhawar farashi. Matsakaicin riba mafi girma ba zai iya tayar da hauhawar farashi ba, kuma yayin da QE ya haɓaka zai iya haɓaka hauhawar farashi, ECB zai yi jinkirin yin hakan.
Abu na biyu, ECB yana nuna damuwa cewa darajar Euro ta yi yawa sama da yawancin takwarorinta, musamman yen, dalar Amurka da fam na Burtaniya. Qare QE da haɓaka ƙimar riba mai yiwuwa ƙara darajar euro. ECB yana da tasiri ta hanyar manufofin kuɗi na sauran bankunan na tsakiya, na kuɗaɗen gida da aka lissafa, ba shi ke iko da ƙaddarar kansa ba. Saboda haka akwai wasu takamaiman kayan aikin da zata iya amfani da su don daidaita darajar kuɗin ƙungiyar guda ɗaya.
Idan CPI ta saki ko dai ta hadu, ta doke, ko kuma ta rasa hasashen, to abinda ake tsammani shine Yuro zai yi martani game da sakin saboda gaskiyar cewa ana fitar da hauhawar farashi a matsayin fitowar bayanai masu wahala, wanda hakan kan shafi darajar kudin da ya shafi zuwa ga sakin. Tare da wannan a cikin tunanin masu kasuwancin canjin kuɗi (waɗanda suka kware a Euro nau'i-nau'i), ya kamata su kula da matsayin su da kyau.
MAGANIN MAGANAR TATTALIN ARZIKI DANGANE DA MALAMIN KALALE.
• GDP na YoY 2.7%.
• Kudin sha'awa kashi 0.00%.
• Hawan hauhawar farashin kashi 1.3%.
• Yawan hauhawar farashin kaya duk wata -0.9%.
• Rashin aikin yi 8.7%.
• Bashi v GDP 88.9%.
• Girman albashi 1.6%.
« Kasuwannin hada-hadar Amurka sun ƙare a makon da ya gabata tare da haɓaka mai mahimmanci, kuma masu saka jari za su mai da hankali kan alkaluman GDP na Amurka a wannan Laraba don yin hukunci kan alkaluman hada-hadar kuɗi da dalar Amurka Sabbin alkaluman ci gaban GDP na Amurka na iya kwantar da hankulan masu saka jari, amma su gabatar da tambayoyi game da manufofin kudin Fed »
