Oktoba 5 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 7927 • 2 Comments a kan Deutschland über alles, ko ke jagorantar mu zuwa makauniyar hanya?
Menene zai zama babban labarai dangane da rikicin Eurozone mai gudana? Ba mu magana ne game da Girka ba a nan, ko kuma troika a karshe ta tura farin hayaki daga hayakin daga Vatican dinsu kamar mafaka yayin da suke wasa da fasalinsu na Kwalejin Cardinal a haɗuwa don zaɓar sabon shugaban Kirista, (bailout). Yaya game da ainihin fashewar bam da aka jefa. Ga ɗaya, Jamus ta bar Euro. Tabbas hakan ba zai yuwu ba idan akayi la'akari da tsada da kokarin ilimi wanda ya tallafawa kirkirar kasashen Turai a cikin shekaru goman da suka gabata ko sama da haka? Ba haka bane a tsarin hadadden ikon Amurka mai karfin jini ..
Hikimar karɓa ita ce, aikin Euro ya wuce haɗin kuɗi da na kasafin kuɗi, ana tunatar da mu koyaushe cewa “aikin siyasa ne” wanda shine dalilin da ya sa yawancin ƙasashen Turai goma sha bakwai waɗanda suka ba da kuɗin Euro ba za su iya ba kuma ba za su janye ba. Koyaya, shin akwai lokacin da gwamnatin hadaka ta Jamus za ta yi 'lissafi' har ta kai ga cimma matsayar cewa rikicin ya kai wani matsayi na faɗakar da tattalin arziki cewa yana da kyau su cire kansa daga tsarin, (ta amfani da wannan lafazin da ya shiga yanzu littafinmu), a cikin 'tsari mai kyau'? Maimakon kawai yarda da ra'ayin cewa Jamus ba za ta iya ko ba za ta sami wani mai iko ko kuma da ƙwarewar ƙwarewa da gaske ya lalata lambobin ba? Akwai 'yan siyasa da yawa da ke zaune a dama zuwa dama ga abin da suka ga babban shirin gurguzu ne wanda zai yi farin ciki da Euroland kuma musamman karyewar kudin Euro, babu wanda ya fi haka a bangaren dama da ke kunshe a cikin gwamnatin Amurka. a cikin dukkan tantinsa da bangarorinta.
Akwai masu sharhi da yawa da ke nuna karfi cewa Jamus na iya ficewa daga Euro, musamman Pippa Malmgren wanda ke ba da shawarar cewa a cikin ƙasan Jamusawa sun hau kan matakin kasancewar ana buga ƙuraren buga littattafai kuma suna shirin tafi. Wataƙila za ta iya ba mu bayanan taswirar Google? Babu wani wuri a cikin sharhin nata da ta ambaci kalmomin "wheel barrow" ko "Weimar republic". Shin yakamata a girmama wannan ka'idar, shin ta tsaya ne don rufe bincike ko, (kyale makirci ya tashi na wani lokaci), ashe Jamus ta zama abin takaici tare da rashin ingantattun hanyoyin da ECB, EU da troika suka gabatar an dauki wani abu na sharri a matsayin gwaji mai amfani don a karshe a karfafa yanke shawara, ko kuwa akwai wani dalili mafi sauki da kite nata yake tashi?
Malama Malmgren ta yi kururuwa game da amincin ta. Ta yi aiki a matsayin mai ba da shawara kan kasuwar hada-hadar kudi a Fadar White House da kuma Majalisar Tattalin Arziki ta Kasa daga 2001-2002, inda ta ke da alhakin matsalolin kasuwar kudi. Ta kafa Malmgren da Kamfani, a Landan, Ingila a 2000 kuma a baya ita ce Mataimakiyar Shugaban Dabarun Duniya a UBS da kuma Cif Strategist Currency for Bankers Trust. Ta jagoranci kasuwancin Gudanar da Zuba Jari na Bankers Trust a Asiya. Tana da BA daga Kwalejin Mount Vernon da M.Sc. da kuma Ph.D. daga Makarantar Tattalin Arziki ta London. Ta kammala Shirin Harvard akan Tsaron Kasa. Taron Tattalin Arzikin Duniya ya ambaci Dokta Malmgren a matsayin Shugaban Duniya na Gobe a 2000. Ita ma mamba ce a Majalisar kan Harkokin Hulda da Kasashen waje, Chatham House, Kungiyar Tattalin Arziki ta New York da Cibiyar Tsaron Dabarun Tsaro ta Duniya.
Wataƙila mafi ban mamaki wahayi a cikin cv ita ce membar Majalisar Hulɗa da Kasashen Waje. Duk da irin alamar da ke tattare da wannan 'majalissar' don wanzu don inganta matsayin Amurka gaba ɗaya, saboda haka ra'ayoyin Ms. Malmgren ba na ƙwararrun masanin tattalin arziki bane, CFR koyaushe yana da ajanda. Duk da yake ba a gaba ɗaya ya rufe sanannun sananninta ba yanzu za a haɓaka, kuma muna iya sa ran jin ƙarin cikin fewan makonni da watanni masu zuwa yayin da CFR ke amfani da sararin watsa labaran ta don saka takalmin cikin Euro. Shin Amurka zata sami fa'ida daga kasancewar Yuro ya ruguje, ya bar matsayin kudin ta kusan yadda yake? Rushewar Euro zai ba da bawul ɗin sakin matsi ga mai kula da Amurka. daga hanyoyi biyu; da farko kasancewa irin wannan babban taron zai ba wa masu kula da harkokin Amurka damar sake saita manufofinsu na kasafin kudi da na kudi ba komai. Abu na biyu, su (masu kula da Amurka) suna amfani da lokacin da suka fi so don girmamawa don ƙirƙirar 'bogey mania' don ɓatar da hankali daga rashin kulawar su na duniya a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata.
A matsayin takardar ci gaba zai zama abin birgewa ganin yadda yawancin hasashen Ms. Malmgren zasu cika a cikin 'yan watanni masu zuwa idan ba shekaru ba. Shin zai iya wuce mataki na uku lokacin da yawancin masana tattalin arziki da ake girmamawa suka yi imanin cewa asalin Girkanci zai ba da dama mai kyau ga sauran Euroland don samun gidan kuɗi cikin tsari kuma saboda haka Euro zai tashi sosai da dala? Ga 'labarinta' da ci gaban da ake tsammani a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa da makonni masu zuwa:
- Girka ba daidai ba
- Jamus na kare bankunan Jamusawa amma wasu ƙasashe ba za su iya yin hakan ba saboda haka da sauri haifar da gazawa da yawa ko kuma gazawar bankuna, duk waɗannan na iya haifar da rikicin biyan kuɗi cikin tsarin bankin duniya.
- Abubuwan da aka kayyade suna cikin haɗari musamman dangane da aiki da aiwatarwa.
- Yuro ya faɗi cikin daraja musamman akan dalar Amurka.
- Jamusawa sun ba da sanarwar sun sake gabatar da Deutschmark. Sun riga sun yi odar sabon kuɗin kuma sun nemi masu buga takardu suyi sauri.
- Yuro ya faɗi fiye da kowane labari cewa Jamus ta janye daga Euro.
- Takaddama ta doka ta fara game da halaccin shawarar Jamus. Yanke shawara yana daukar shekaru.
- Jamus ta nace cewa Euro na ci gaba da kasancewa har ma ba sa amfani da shi kuma.
- Sun jaddada cewa haɗin kan Turai zai ci gaba da ba da shawarar sabbin kayan aikin doka don ƙarfafa haɗin kan Turai ciki har da sabbin Yarjejeniyar EU.
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Deutschland über alles, ko ke jagorantar mu zuwa makauniyar hanya?
Oktoba 5 • Sharhin kasuwancin • Ra'ayoyin 7927 • 2 Comments a kan Deutschland über alles, ko ke jagorantar mu zuwa makauniyar hanya?
Menene zai zama babban labarai dangane da rikicin Eurozone mai gudana? Ba mu magana ne game da Girka ba a nan, ko kuma troika a karshe ta tura farin hayaki daga hayakin daga Vatican dinsu kamar mafaka yayin da suke wasa da fasalinsu na Kwalejin Cardinal a haɗuwa don zaɓar sabon shugaban Kirista, (bailout). Yaya game da ainihin fashewar bam da aka jefa. Ga ɗaya, Jamus ta bar Euro. Tabbas hakan ba zai yuwu ba idan akayi la'akari da tsada da kokarin ilimi wanda ya tallafawa kirkirar kasashen Turai a cikin shekaru goman da suka gabata ko sama da haka? Ba haka bane a tsarin hadadden ikon Amurka mai karfin jini ..
Hikimar karɓa ita ce, aikin Euro ya wuce haɗin kuɗi da na kasafin kuɗi, ana tunatar da mu koyaushe cewa “aikin siyasa ne” wanda shine dalilin da ya sa yawancin ƙasashen Turai goma sha bakwai waɗanda suka ba da kuɗin Euro ba za su iya ba kuma ba za su janye ba. Koyaya, shin akwai lokacin da gwamnatin hadaka ta Jamus za ta yi 'lissafi' har ta kai ga cimma matsayar cewa rikicin ya kai wani matsayi na faɗakar da tattalin arziki cewa yana da kyau su cire kansa daga tsarin, (ta amfani da wannan lafazin da ya shiga yanzu littafinmu), a cikin 'tsari mai kyau'? Maimakon kawai yarda da ra'ayin cewa Jamus ba za ta iya ko ba za ta sami wani mai iko ko kuma da ƙwarewar ƙwarewa da gaske ya lalata lambobin ba? Akwai 'yan siyasa da yawa da ke zaune a dama zuwa dama ga abin da suka ga babban shirin gurguzu ne wanda zai yi farin ciki da Euroland kuma musamman karyewar kudin Euro, babu wanda ya fi haka a bangaren dama da ke kunshe a cikin gwamnatin Amurka. a cikin dukkan tantinsa da bangarorinta.
Akwai masu sharhi da yawa da ke nuna karfi cewa Jamus na iya ficewa daga Euro, musamman Pippa Malmgren wanda ke ba da shawarar cewa a cikin ƙasan Jamusawa sun hau kan matakin kasancewar ana buga ƙuraren buga littattafai kuma suna shirin tafi. Wataƙila za ta iya ba mu bayanan taswirar Google? Babu wani wuri a cikin sharhin nata da ta ambaci kalmomin "wheel barrow" ko "Weimar republic". Shin yakamata a girmama wannan ka'idar, shin ta tsaya ne don rufe bincike ko, (kyale makirci ya tashi na wani lokaci), ashe Jamus ta zama abin takaici tare da rashin ingantattun hanyoyin da ECB, EU da troika suka gabatar an dauki wani abu na sharri a matsayin gwaji mai amfani don a karshe a karfafa yanke shawara, ko kuwa akwai wani dalili mafi sauki da kite nata yake tashi?
Malama Malmgren ta yi kururuwa game da amincin ta. Ta yi aiki a matsayin mai ba da shawara kan kasuwar hada-hadar kudi a Fadar White House da kuma Majalisar Tattalin Arziki ta Kasa daga 2001-2002, inda ta ke da alhakin matsalolin kasuwar kudi. Ta kafa Malmgren da Kamfani, a Landan, Ingila a 2000 kuma a baya ita ce Mataimakiyar Shugaban Dabarun Duniya a UBS da kuma Cif Strategist Currency for Bankers Trust. Ta jagoranci kasuwancin Gudanar da Zuba Jari na Bankers Trust a Asiya. Tana da BA daga Kwalejin Mount Vernon da M.Sc. da kuma Ph.D. daga Makarantar Tattalin Arziki ta London. Ta kammala Shirin Harvard akan Tsaron Kasa. Taron Tattalin Arzikin Duniya ya ambaci Dokta Malmgren a matsayin Shugaban Duniya na Gobe a 2000. Ita ma mamba ce a Majalisar kan Harkokin Hulda da Kasashen waje, Chatham House, Kungiyar Tattalin Arziki ta New York da Cibiyar Tsaron Dabarun Tsaro ta Duniya.
Wataƙila mafi ban mamaki wahayi a cikin cv ita ce membar Majalisar Hulɗa da Kasashen Waje. Duk da irin alamar da ke tattare da wannan 'majalissar' don wanzu don inganta matsayin Amurka gaba ɗaya, saboda haka ra'ayoyin Ms. Malmgren ba na ƙwararrun masanin tattalin arziki bane, CFR koyaushe yana da ajanda. Duk da yake ba a gaba ɗaya ya rufe sanannun sananninta ba yanzu za a haɓaka, kuma muna iya sa ran jin ƙarin cikin fewan makonni da watanni masu zuwa yayin da CFR ke amfani da sararin watsa labaran ta don saka takalmin cikin Euro. Shin Amurka zata sami fa'ida daga kasancewar Yuro ya ruguje, ya bar matsayin kudin ta kusan yadda yake? Rushewar Euro zai ba da bawul ɗin sakin matsi ga mai kula da Amurka. daga hanyoyi biyu; da farko kasancewa irin wannan babban taron zai ba wa masu kula da harkokin Amurka damar sake saita manufofinsu na kasafin kudi da na kudi ba komai. Abu na biyu, su (masu kula da Amurka) suna amfani da lokacin da suka fi so don girmamawa don ƙirƙirar 'bogey mania' don ɓatar da hankali daga rashin kulawar su na duniya a cikin shekaru goma da suka gabata.
A matsayin takardar ci gaba zai zama abin birgewa ganin yadda yawancin hasashen Ms. Malmgren zasu cika a cikin 'yan watanni masu zuwa idan ba shekaru ba. Shin zai iya wuce mataki na uku lokacin da yawancin masana tattalin arziki da ake girmamawa suka yi imanin cewa asalin Girkanci zai ba da dama mai kyau ga sauran Euroland don samun gidan kuɗi cikin tsari kuma saboda haka Euro zai tashi sosai da dala? Ga 'labarinta' da ci gaban da ake tsammani a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa da makonni masu zuwa:
Sashin TuraiJamusrashin lafiya
« Dexia na Tsakar dare Black Swan, Rashin aikin yi da ba a sani ba »