Eph 25 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3263 • Amazwana Off ku-Yen ikhuphuka uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga, njengoba i-BOJ igcina isilinganiso senzalo esiyinhloko ku--0.1%, idola laseMelika ligcina ukuphakama kwakamuva, njengoba abadayisi be-FX bephendulela ukugxila kwabo kudatha ye-GDP yangoLwesihlanu.
I-Bank of Japan igcine izinga lenzalo ku--0.1%, i-yen ikhuphuke ngokushesha ngemva kwesimemezelo nangesikhathi sokusakazwa kwesitatimende senqubomgomo yezimali ye-BOJ kanye nokushicilelwa kombiko wabo wokubukeka. I-BOJ iphinde yazibophezela kunqubomgomo yayo yamanje, ekhululekile kakhulu, yezimali, nokho, inkolelo yayo yokuthi ihlosile futhi iyaqiniseka, ukuthi ukukhula kuzoqhubeka kuze kube ngu-2021, kuhlangene nesifiso sabo sokufinyelela izinga le-CPI engu-2%, inikeze ukuzethemba kwemakethe ukuthi i-BOJ ingase ilawule inqubomgomo, ngaphambi kwalokho obekulindelwe ngaphambilini.
Ngakho-ke, i-yen yenyuka ekuhwebeni kwase-Asia kwasekuqaleni futhi ngo-9:00am ngesikhathi sase-UK, i-USD/JPY ihwebe ngo-111.8, yehle -0.25%, njengoba intengo yayeka ukwephula i-S1. I-Versus EUR, AUD, GBP iphethini efanayo yokuziphatha kwesenzo samanani yaboniswa, nge-AUD/JPY ethuthukisa isenzo sentengo ye-bearish kakhulu, yehla ngo -0.35%, ibhoboza i-S1. Ngokwengxenye kusekelwe emgudwini oqhubekayo ngokumelene ne-Aussie yonkana, ngemva kokuba i-CPI igeje isibikezelo ngebanga elithile, phakathi nezindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho zangoLwesithathu.
I-euro iqhubekile nokuwa kwayo kwakamuva uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo, ukufundwa kwemizwelo yedatha ethambile yaseJalimane, eshicilelwe yi-IFO phakathi neseshini yokuhweba yangoLwesithathu, ibe nomthelela omkhulu, naphezu kokubhalisa kuphela njengokukhishwa okunomthelela ophansi kuya omaphakathi. Abahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi bakhathazeke ngokuthi amandla okukhula komnotho, kokubili kwe-Eurozone kanye ne-European Union, angase adlale ngothando ngokuwohloka komnotho emikhakheni ethile. Ubufakazi bokwehla komnotho okungenzeka, busekelwa izinkomba ezihamba phambili ezishicilelwe ekuqaleni kwenyanga nguMarkit waseJalimane, ngochungechunge lwabo lokufundwa kwe-PMI, izibikezelo ezimbalwa ezingabanjwanga.
Ngo-9:45am isikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD ihweba eduze neflethi, inyakaza ebangeni eliqinile elingaphansi kwephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke, kuyilapho kunyatheliswa ukwehla kwezinyanga ezingamashumi amabili nambili. Kubathengisi abahlaziya ukunyakaza besuka kumafreyimu esikhathi aphezulu, ukwehla kwe-EUR/USD kuboniswa kahle eshadini lamasonto onke, lapho ukuthambekela kwe-bearish kungaboniswa khona ngokucacile, ikakhulukazi kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2018 kuye phambili. I-euro yabhekana nokuziphatha okufanayo, kwansuku zonke, kwesenzo samanani ngokumelene nabanye ontanga phakathi namaseshini okuqala, ngaphandle kwe-EUR/JPY.
Imicimbi yekhalenda lezomnotho lase-UK, ibigxile ezindabeni zokuthi ikhomishini ye-monopolies and fusions Commission ivimbe ukuhlanganiswa kwe-Asda ne-Sainbury's, inkomba ye-FTSE 100 ithengiswe ngo -0.44% ngenxa yalokho, intengo yesabelo se-Sainsbury yehle ngo-circa -6%, ukuze kufinyelelwe ezingeni elingakaze libonwe kusukela ngo-1989. Kwakungekho ukuhlobana okuhle ekukhuphukeni kwe-GBP, njengoba okuhle kakhulu okurekhodiwe ekuseni kakhulu kuwela kuqhathaniswa nontanga abambalwa. Ngo-10: 00am, i-GBP/USD iqhubekile nokukhiywa ngaphansi kwe-200 DMA, ihweba ku-1.288, ephansi engakaze ibonwe kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2019, lapho abathengisi abaningi be-FX babekhathazekile ngezinkinga ze-Brexit. Nakuba amandla edola ngokwengxenye anomthelela ebuthakathakeni be-GBP/USD, ukuntengantenga kukonke komnotho wase-UK kanye naleyo nqubo emile edlulela ku-Brexit, kubangele ukuntuleka komfutho ekusebenzeni okuhle kakhulu kumaseshini akamuva.
Imicimbi ebalulekile yezindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho lase-USA kule ntambama ihlanganisa ama-oda akamuva ezimpahla ezihlala isikhathi eside ashicilelwe ngo-13:30pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. AbakwaReuters babikezela ukuthi bazokwenyuka bafinyelele ku-0.8% ngenyanga kaMashi, benyuka besuka ekwehleni -1.6% ngoFebhuwari. Njengomcimbi onomthelela omkhulu, abathengisi abasebenza ngamapheya e-USD, noma abancamela ukuhwebelana ngemicimbi, kufanele baveze lokhu kusakazwa ngokusekelwe ebufakazini obungokomlando bamandla ako okuhambisa izimakethe. Ama-oda wezimpahla ezihlala isikhathi eside avame ukubhekwa njengenkomba yokuzethemba okuphelele kokubili abathengi namabhizinisi abanako, khona kanye 'ebusweni bamalahle' omnotho wase-USA.
I-USA BLS izoshicilela izimangalo zakamuva zamasonto onke neziqhubekayo zokuntuleka kwemisebenzi/zokungasebenzi, okubikezelwa ukuthi kuzodalula ukwenyuka okuncane, ngokumangazayo, ngemva kokurekhodwa kokwehla okungalawuleki kweminyaka eyishumi emasontweni asanda kwedlula. Izimakethe ze-futures bezikhombisa indawo evulekile e-New York ye-SPX, nesibikezelo se-NASDAQ sizokhuphuka kancane endaweni evulekile.
Abathengisi be-FX abahweba ngemicimbi, noma abahweba ngamadola ase-Australasia; i-kiwi ne-Aussie, idinga ukuhlala iluqaphele uchungechunge lwakamuva lwedatha ezoshicilelwa yiziphathimandla zase-NZ kusihlwa ngoLwesine, ngo-23:45pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ukungenisa, ibhalansi yokuhweba kanye nokufunda kwakamuva kokuthenjwa komthengi okuvela ebhange le-ANZ, kuzoshicilelwa. Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kanye nomphumela webhalansi yokuhweba, kubikezelwa ngabakwaReuters ukuveza ukuthuthuka okukhulu ngoMashi. Idola le-kiwi lingakhuphuka uma izibikezelo zifinyelelwa noma zishaywa, njengoba abahlaziyi bengase bahumushe imiphumela yedatha njengobufakazi bokuthi umthelela wokwehla kwe-China uhwamukile, okwesikhashana noma ngenye indlela.
« Ukwehla kwamadola ase-Australasia, idola laseMelika liyakhuphuka, amasheya aseMelika asuka kumarekhodi aphezulu. Izinga lakamuva lokukhula kwe-GDP yase-USA lingabangela ukunyakaza ngenani le-USD. »
I-Yen ikhuphuka iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga, njengoba i-BOJ igcina isilinganiso senzalo esiyinhloko ku--0.1%, idola laseMelika ligcina ukuphakama kwakamuva, njengoba abadayisi be-FX bephendukela kudatha ye-GDP yangoLwesihlanu.
Eph 25 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3263 • Amazwana Off ku-Yen ikhuphuka uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga, njengoba i-BOJ igcina isilinganiso senzalo esiyinhloko ku--0.1%, idola laseMelika ligcina ukuphakama kwakamuva, njengoba abadayisi be-FX bephendulela ukugxila kwabo kudatha ye-GDP yangoLwesihlanu.
I-Bank of Japan igcine izinga lenzalo ku--0.1%, i-yen ikhuphuke ngokushesha ngemva kwesimemezelo nangesikhathi sokusakazwa kwesitatimende senqubomgomo yezimali ye-BOJ kanye nokushicilelwa kombiko wabo wokubukeka. I-BOJ iphinde yazibophezela kunqubomgomo yayo yamanje, ekhululekile kakhulu, yezimali, nokho, inkolelo yayo yokuthi ihlosile futhi iyaqiniseka, ukuthi ukukhula kuzoqhubeka kuze kube ngu-2021, kuhlangene nesifiso sabo sokufinyelela izinga le-CPI engu-2%, inikeze ukuzethemba kwemakethe ukuthi i-BOJ ingase ilawule inqubomgomo, ngaphambi kwalokho obekulindelwe ngaphambilini.
Ngakho-ke, i-yen yenyuka ekuhwebeni kwase-Asia kwasekuqaleni futhi ngo-9:00am ngesikhathi sase-UK, i-USD/JPY ihwebe ngo-111.8, yehle -0.25%, njengoba intengo yayeka ukwephula i-S1. I-Versus EUR, AUD, GBP iphethini efanayo yokuziphatha kwesenzo samanani yaboniswa, nge-AUD/JPY ethuthukisa isenzo sentengo ye-bearish kakhulu, yehla ngo -0.35%, ibhoboza i-S1. Ngokwengxenye kusekelwe emgudwini oqhubekayo ngokumelene ne-Aussie yonkana, ngemva kokuba i-CPI igeje isibikezelo ngebanga elithile, phakathi nezindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho zangoLwesithathu.
I-euro iqhubekile nokuwa kwayo kwakamuva uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo, ukufundwa kwemizwelo yedatha ethambile yaseJalimane, eshicilelwe yi-IFO phakathi neseshini yokuhweba yangoLwesithathu, ibe nomthelela omkhulu, naphezu kokubhalisa kuphela njengokukhishwa okunomthelela ophansi kuya omaphakathi. Abahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi bakhathazeke ngokuthi amandla okukhula komnotho, kokubili kwe-Eurozone kanye ne-European Union, angase adlale ngothando ngokuwohloka komnotho emikhakheni ethile. Ubufakazi bokwehla komnotho okungenzeka, busekelwa izinkomba ezihamba phambili ezishicilelwe ekuqaleni kwenyanga nguMarkit waseJalimane, ngochungechunge lwabo lokufundwa kwe-PMI, izibikezelo ezimbalwa ezingabanjwanga.
Ngo-9:45am isikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD ihweba eduze neflethi, inyakaza ebangeni eliqinile elingaphansi kwephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke, kuyilapho kunyatheliswa ukwehla kwezinyanga ezingamashumi amabili nambili. Kubathengisi abahlaziya ukunyakaza besuka kumafreyimu esikhathi aphezulu, ukwehla kwe-EUR/USD kuboniswa kahle eshadini lamasonto onke, lapho ukuthambekela kwe-bearish kungaboniswa khona ngokucacile, ikakhulukazi kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2018 kuye phambili. I-euro yabhekana nokuziphatha okufanayo, kwansuku zonke, kwesenzo samanani ngokumelene nabanye ontanga phakathi namaseshini okuqala, ngaphandle kwe-EUR/JPY.
Imicimbi yekhalenda lezomnotho lase-UK, ibigxile ezindabeni zokuthi ikhomishini ye-monopolies and fusions Commission ivimbe ukuhlanganiswa kwe-Asda ne-Sainbury's, inkomba ye-FTSE 100 ithengiswe ngo -0.44% ngenxa yalokho, intengo yesabelo se-Sainsbury yehle ngo-circa -6%, ukuze kufinyelelwe ezingeni elingakaze libonwe kusukela ngo-1989. Kwakungekho ukuhlobana okuhle ekukhuphukeni kwe-GBP, njengoba okuhle kakhulu okurekhodiwe ekuseni kakhulu kuwela kuqhathaniswa nontanga abambalwa. Ngo-10: 00am, i-GBP/USD iqhubekile nokukhiywa ngaphansi kwe-200 DMA, ihweba ku-1.288, ephansi engakaze ibonwe kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2019, lapho abathengisi abaningi be-FX babekhathazekile ngezinkinga ze-Brexit. Nakuba amandla edola ngokwengxenye anomthelela ebuthakathakeni be-GBP/USD, ukuntengantenga kukonke komnotho wase-UK kanye naleyo nqubo emile edlulela ku-Brexit, kubangele ukuntuleka komfutho ekusebenzeni okuhle kakhulu kumaseshini akamuva.
Imicimbi ebalulekile yezindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho lase-USA kule ntambama ihlanganisa ama-oda akamuva ezimpahla ezihlala isikhathi eside ashicilelwe ngo-13:30pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. AbakwaReuters babikezela ukuthi bazokwenyuka bafinyelele ku-0.8% ngenyanga kaMashi, benyuka besuka ekwehleni -1.6% ngoFebhuwari. Njengomcimbi onomthelela omkhulu, abathengisi abasebenza ngamapheya e-USD, noma abancamela ukuhwebelana ngemicimbi, kufanele baveze lokhu kusakazwa ngokusekelwe ebufakazini obungokomlando bamandla ako okuhambisa izimakethe. Ama-oda wezimpahla ezihlala isikhathi eside avame ukubhekwa njengenkomba yokuzethemba okuphelele kokubili abathengi namabhizinisi abanako, khona kanye 'ebusweni bamalahle' omnotho wase-USA.
I-USA BLS izoshicilela izimangalo zakamuva zamasonto onke neziqhubekayo zokuntuleka kwemisebenzi/zokungasebenzi, okubikezelwa ukuthi kuzodalula ukwenyuka okuncane, ngokumangazayo, ngemva kokurekhodwa kokwehla okungalawuleki kweminyaka eyishumi emasontweni asanda kwedlula. Izimakethe ze-futures bezikhombisa indawo evulekile e-New York ye-SPX, nesibikezelo se-NASDAQ sizokhuphuka kancane endaweni evulekile.
Abathengisi be-FX abahweba ngemicimbi, noma abahweba ngamadola ase-Australasia; i-kiwi ne-Aussie, idinga ukuhlala iluqaphele uchungechunge lwakamuva lwedatha ezoshicilelwa yiziphathimandla zase-NZ kusihlwa ngoLwesine, ngo-23:45pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ukungenisa, ibhalansi yokuhweba kanye nokufunda kwakamuva kokuthenjwa komthengi okuvela ebhange le-ANZ, kuzoshicilelwa. Ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kanye nomphumela webhalansi yokuhweba, kubikezelwa ngabakwaReuters ukuveza ukuthuthuka okukhulu ngoMashi. Idola le-kiwi lingakhuphuka uma izibikezelo zifinyelelwa noma zishaywa, njengoba abahlaziyi bengase bahumushe imiphumela yedatha njengobufakazi bokuthi umthelela wokwehla kwe-China uhwamukile, okwesikhashana noma ngenye indlela.
« Ukwehla kwamadola ase-Australasia, idola laseMelika liyakhuphuka, amasheya aseMelika asuka kumarekhodi aphezulu. Izinga lakamuva lokukhula kwe-GDP yase-USA lingabangela ukunyakaza ngenani le-USD. »