Ngabe i-euro izosabela uma (njengoba bekulindelekile), i-ECB imemezela umugqa wesikhathi wokunciphisa uhlelo lwayo lokuthengwa kwempahla ngoLwesine?
NgoLwesine Okthoba 26, ngo-11: 45 GMT, ibhange elikhulu lase-Eurozone, i-ECB, lizodalula isinqumo salo maqondana nezinga lenzalo ye-single currency bloc. Izinga lokweboleka lokhiye wamanje lingamaphesenti angu-zero, kanti inani lediphozi lingaphansi kuka-zero, ku- -0.40%. La mazinga aphuthumayo kuseyifa lokwehla kwamandla emali i-Eurozone eyazithola ikuyo ngemuva nje kweziphepho zezinkinga zezimali zomhlaba wonke zango-2007/2008, ukwenyuka kwezikweletu okwalandela kanye nezinye izindaba, ezifana; inkinga yezikweletu zaseGrisi. I-ECB izibandakanye nohlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla / lwebhondi ngenhloso yokunciphisa ukungabi bikho kwesikweletu.
Kusukela ngoMashi 2015 kuze kube nguMashi 2016, ijubane elijwayelekile lenyanga lokuthengwa kwempahla kwakungu- € 60 billion. Kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2016 kuze kube nguMashi 2017 isilinganiso esivamile senyanga sokuthengwa kwempahla sasingu- € 80 billion. Izinga lamanje lingu- € 60b ngenyanga, kulindeleke ukuthi i-ECB imemezele ukwehliswa (i-taper) kuya ku- € 40b, noma i- € 30b ngenyanga ngoLwesine, mhlawumbe kusuka ngoDisemba, noma cishe ngoJanuwari 2018. I-ECB igcina imali ukugcina i-inflation CPI ingaphansi nje kwe-2%, okwamanje iku-1.5%.
Abahlaziyi abathile bakholelwa ukuthi i-ECB idinga ukuqala ukubamba manje, njengoba ingenakukwazi ukududula i-APP idlule ophahleni lwe- € 2.5 trillion, ngaphansi kwemithetho kanye nokubusa kwayo kanye nokuthengwa kwempahla ephelele kusibikezelo se-ECB sheet sheet ukuze ifinyelele ku-circa € 2.3 trillion ngasekupheleni kuka-2017, isiphakamiso ukuthi i-ECB inama-circa angama-200b kuphela anganikeza.
Ngakho-ke kuzogxilwa ekulandiseni okuphathelene nesikhathi sokuncishiswa kwe-APP, ngokungafani nanoma yisiphi isimemezelo sokukhuphuka kwenzalo esheshayo, imininingwane emihle ezodalulwa impela ngesikhathi sesithangami sabezindaba sikaMario Draghi, ngo-12: 30 ntambama GMT. Kuncane ukulindela ukwenyuka kwamazinga okuzomenyezelwa ngoLwesine, kodwa-ke, izazi eziningi zezomnotho zikholelwa ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwamazinga enzalo kuzoqala ekuqaleni kuka-2018, kanti i-APP ekugcineni izophela ngonyaka wezi-2018 ngemuva kwesikhathi sokuthwebula. UMario Draghi kulindeleke ukuthi ahlanganise zombili lezi zinkinga; yamanani wenzalo ne-APP, ngesikhathi somhlangano wabezindaba.
I-euro izocutshungulwa ngokushesha ngemuva kwesinqumo sezinga (kanye nokulandisa okuhambisana nezinga lenzalo nezinga lamanje le-APP), kuze kufike engqungqutheleni yabezindaba ebibanjwe emizuzwini engamashumi amane nanhlanu kamuva. Ngaleli windi futhi ngemuva nje kwesithangami nabezindaba singalindela ukunyuka kokungazinzi nokunyakaza kwezimbhangqwana zemali ye-euro, ikakhulukazi uma kunokushaqeka ekuvumelaneni okuphelele. Isibikezelo esivela kubacwaningi abavotelwe yi-ejensi, njengeReuters neBloomberg, ngesilinganiso senzalo esemqoka ukuze sihlale singashintshi ku-zero futhi nohlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla luhlale lungashintshi, ngokuholwa phambili kuzo zombili izingqinamba ezibalulekile, ukukhombisa ushintsho oluqala ekuqaleni kuka-2018 .
IZIMBANGO ZOMNOTHO EZIMqoka I-EURO ZONE
Izinga lenzalo 0.00%
Isilinganiso se-APP € 60b ngenyanga
Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali (CPI) 1.5%
Ukukhula 2.3% (GDP ngonyaka)
Izinga lokungasebenzi 9.1%
I-PMI eyinhlanganisela 55.9
Ukuthengisa okudayiswayo YoY 1.2%
Isikweletu sikahulumeni v GDP 89.2%
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