UFebhu 23 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4517 • Amazwana Off kokuthi Ingabe Izovuleka Isizini Emabhange Njengoba Isizini Yokubika Siqala?
I-debacle yaseGreece (okwesikhashana) iye yasuswa buthule ekhasini lokuqala lazo zombili izindaba zezimali nezidumile, manje isishiywe kumaGreki ukuthi abhekane nomthwalo wezezimali ongenakwenzeka, wezizukulwane nezizukulwane, ongaxazululeki ochwepheshe babo abangakhethiwe abavumelene nawo. Ibheyili yebhange elingaqondile kanye nomnikazi webhondi, okuvunyelenwe ngakho ukuze i-Greece ikwazi ukukhokhela abanikazi bebhondi kanye namabhange, isiqalile ukusebenza. Ukunaka manje kungase kushintshele kwezinye izinkinga 'ezinzima' njengoba ukubika ngesizini yasebhange, (ikakhulukazi egxile e-Europe), kukhula ngokugcwele.
Nakuba abezindaba abavamile bengase bakhulise udaba lwamabhonasi kukhona udaba olumnyama kakhulu oludlalwa amabhange ase-Europe – inzuzo, kanye namabhange amabili abike imiphumela ngobusuku obubodwa futhi namhlanje ekuseni ashicilele izibalo eziyinhlekelele.
I-Royal Bank of Scotland imemezele ukuthi ukulahlekelwa kukhule kwafinyelela ku-£ 2bn ngo-2011, ngenkathi iqinisekisa ukuthi ikhokhele u-£390m wamabhonasi kumabhange okutshalwa kwezimali. Umkhokhintela wase-UK okwamanje uhlezi ku-£20bn wokulahlekelwa esitekweni sakhe esingu-82%, naphezu kokukhuphuka kwamasheya ngo-2% kuya ku-28p ngo-8.30am GMT.
Ibhange lesithathu ngobukhulu eFrance, i-Credit Agricole, lidalule izibalo ezimbi kakhulu kunalokho okulindelwe umhlaziyi; ibike ukulahlekelwa okukhulu kunesilinganiso esilinganiselwe engxenyeni yesine ngemva kokubekela eceleni imali kunethiwekhi yayo yamabhange omthengi waseGreece nokubhala phansi izimali ezitshaliwe. Amasheya ehle ngemuva kokuthi ukulahleka kwenetha kunwetshwe kuma-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-3.07 kusuka kusilele kuma-euro ayizigidi ezingama-328 ngonyaka owedlule. Lokho kugeja izilinganiso zabahlaziyi zokulahlekelwa kwama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-2.7.
I-Credit Agricole yehle ngamaphesenti angu-4.2, yaya kuma-euro angu-4.80 futhi yayikuma-euro angu-4.88 ngo-9:02 ekuseni ekuhwebeni kweParis kwehlisa inzuzo kulo nyaka yaba ngamaphesenti angu-12. I-BNP Paribas, okuyibhange elikhulu laseFrance, inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-18 kulo nyaka, i-Societe Generale, ibhange lesibili elikhulu elibolekisa ngemali, ithuthuke ngamaphesenti angu-32.
Njengoba i-ECB icubungula usuku lapho izokhipha khona i-LTRO elandelayo, (ukusebenza kabusha kwezimali zesikhathi eside) ngeke ikwazi ukufika maduzane kwamanye amabhange, ikakhulukazi amabhange amathathu amakhulu aseFrance aye (asenakho) ukuchayeka okukhulu kwesimo samaGreki. Kodwa akubona bodwa abadinga ukulungisa amaphepha abo ebhalansi asegugile, ukoma okunganeliseki kwamabhange ase-Italy akhonjiswe ukuthola imali, emzuliswaneni wokuqala we-LTRO, kungenzeka kuphindeke.
Ukuzethemba Kwebhizinisi LaseJalimane Kuyanda
Isikhungo se-Ifo esizinze eMunich sibike namhlanje ekuseni ukuthi inkomba yesimo sezulu sebhizinisi, esekelwe ocwaningweni lwabaphathi be-7,000, ikhuphukele ku-109.6 isuka ku-108.3 ngoJanuwari. Leyo inzuzo yesine eqondile nokufunda okuphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi. Izazi zezomnotho zibikezele ukuthi izonyuka ifike ku-108.8.
IBundesbank yaseJalimane ithe ngoFebhuwari 20 ukuthi isimo somnotho “sithuthuke ngokusobala,” noma “kusekhona ubungozi obuhlobene nenkinga yezikweletu ezinkulu.” I-Bundesbank ngo-December ukukhula kwesibikezelo kuzohamba kancane kumaphesenti angu-0.6 kulo nyaka kusuka kumaphesenti angu-3 ngo-2011 ngaphambi kokunyuka ngesivinini kuya kumaphesenti angu-1.8 ngo-2013. Inkomba ye-DAX ye-benchmark yaseJalimane izuze amaphesenti angu-16 kulo nyaka, idlula yonke intanga yayo enkulu yaseYurophu.
Market Sibutsetelo
Amasheya aseYurophu akhuphuke okokuqala ezinsukwini ezintathu ngenkathi i-euro iqina ngemuva kokuthi ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi laseJalimane kukhuphuke ngaphezu kwesibikezelo. I-US equity index ikusasa nempahla ezuziwe.
I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 ngo-9:10 ekuseni eLondon. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lingeze amaphesenti angu-0.4. Ukuvunwa kwebhondi yase-Italy yeminyaka eyi-10 kukhuphuke amaphuzu ayisisekelo ayisithupha kuya kumaphesenti angu-5.57. I-euro ithole amaphesenti angu-0.5 kuya ku-$1.3319. I-Dollar Index, elandelela uhlobo lwemali yase-US iqhathaniswa nozakwethu abahwebayo abayisithupha, yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.3.
Isifinyezo semakethe kusukela ngo-10: 20 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Izimakethe zase-Asia-Pacific zithole imiphumela exubile eseshini yasekuseni yasebusuku, i-Nikkei ivale ngo-0.44%, i-Hang Seng yehle ngo-0.78% kwathi i-CSI yavala ngo-0.34%. I-ASX 200 ivale ngo-0.16%. Izinkomba ze-European bourse zijabulele ukuzuza okulinganiselwe kuseshini yaseYurophu, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.01%, i-FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.34%, i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.14% kanti i-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.31%. I-MIB yehle ngo-0.67% kanti i-Athens exchange, i-ASE iwukukhuphuka okuhamba phambili phakathi kwezinkomba zase-Europe okwamanje ezikhuphuke ngo-0.96%. I-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuka ngo-$1.07 umphongolo ngo-$123.97, igolide le-Comex likhuphuka ngo-$9.50 iounce. Ikusasa le-SPX equity index okwamanje likhuphuke ngo-0.27%.
Izisekelo Zezimpahla
I-Iran ikhiqize imiphongolo kawoyela eyizigidi ezingu-3.5 ngosuku ngoJanuwari, ngokwezilinganiso zabahlaziyi ezahlanganiswa yiBloomberg. ISaudi Arabia, okuyilungu elikhulu kunawo wonke ku-OPEC (Inhlangano Yamazwe Athumela Uphethiloli), yayikhipha imiphongolo eyizigidi ezingu-9.7 ngosuku.
I-Brent crude ikhuphuke yafinyelela ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ngemuva kokuthi ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi laseJalimane kudlule izibikezelo, okwandisa ithemba lokuthi izinyathelo zokuxazulula inkinga yezikweletu zaseYurophu zizophumelela. Uwoyela we-Brent wokunxeshezelwa ngo-Ephreli wawukhuphuke ngamasenti angama-89 ngo-$123.79 umphongolo ekuhwebeni kwe-ICE Futures Europe eLondon ngo-9:40 am GMT. I-premium yenkontileka yebhentshimakhi yase-Europe eya e-West Texas Intermediate edayiswa eNew York yayiku-$17.26. Ifinyelele irekhodi lika-$27.88 ngo-Oct. 14.
E-New York Mercantile Exchange, ukulethwa kuka-April kwakungama-$106.53, kwakhuphuka ngamasenti angama-25. Inkontileka ikhuphuke izolo yafinyelela ku-$ 106.28, okusondele kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 4. Ikusasa laseNew York likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-3.2 kuleli sonto ngokuqagela ukuthi ukungezwani ne-Iran mayelana nohlelo lwayo lwenuzi kuzosongela izimpahla. Amanani azuze amaphesenti angu-8.6 ngonyaka odlule.
Igolide elizothunyelwa ngokushesha lizuze amaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku-$1,780.07 i-ounce ngo-9:40 ekuseni eLondon. Inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-14 kulo nyaka futhi ifinyelele irekhodi elingu-$1,921.15 ngoSepthemba 6.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-euro yaqina uma iqhathaniswa nedola kanye ne-yen ngemuva kombiko waseJalimane ukhombise ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi kukhuphuke ngaphezu kokubikezela kwezazi zezomnotho. Idola lehlile uma liqhathaniswa nozakwabo abayi-13 kwabangu-16 abakhulu. Imali yezizwe eziyi-17 iqinise amaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.3315 ngo-9:11 am ngesikhathi saseLondon futhi yenyuka ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 yaya ku-106.74 yen.
amabhangecredit agricoleama-rbs
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Ingabe Izoba Isizini Evuliwe Emabhange Njengoba Isizini Yokubika Iqala?
UFebhu 23 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4517 • Amazwana Off kokuthi Ingabe Izovuleka Isizini Emabhange Njengoba Isizini Yokubika Siqala?
I-debacle yaseGreece (okwesikhashana) iye yasuswa buthule ekhasini lokuqala lazo zombili izindaba zezimali nezidumile, manje isishiywe kumaGreki ukuthi abhekane nomthwalo wezezimali ongenakwenzeka, wezizukulwane nezizukulwane, ongaxazululeki ochwepheshe babo abangakhethiwe abavumelene nawo. Ibheyili yebhange elingaqondile kanye nomnikazi webhondi, okuvunyelenwe ngakho ukuze i-Greece ikwazi ukukhokhela abanikazi bebhondi kanye namabhange, isiqalile ukusebenza. Ukunaka manje kungase kushintshele kwezinye izinkinga 'ezinzima' njengoba ukubika ngesizini yasebhange, (ikakhulukazi egxile e-Europe), kukhula ngokugcwele.
Nakuba abezindaba abavamile bengase bakhulise udaba lwamabhonasi kukhona udaba olumnyama kakhulu oludlalwa amabhange ase-Europe – inzuzo, kanye namabhange amabili abike imiphumela ngobusuku obubodwa futhi namhlanje ekuseni ashicilele izibalo eziyinhlekelele.
I-Royal Bank of Scotland imemezele ukuthi ukulahlekelwa kukhule kwafinyelela ku-£ 2bn ngo-2011, ngenkathi iqinisekisa ukuthi ikhokhele u-£390m wamabhonasi kumabhange okutshalwa kwezimali. Umkhokhintela wase-UK okwamanje uhlezi ku-£20bn wokulahlekelwa esitekweni sakhe esingu-82%, naphezu kokukhuphuka kwamasheya ngo-2% kuya ku-28p ngo-8.30am GMT.
Ibhange lesithathu ngobukhulu eFrance, i-Credit Agricole, lidalule izibalo ezimbi kakhulu kunalokho okulindelwe umhlaziyi; ibike ukulahlekelwa okukhulu kunesilinganiso esilinganiselwe engxenyeni yesine ngemva kokubekela eceleni imali kunethiwekhi yayo yamabhange omthengi waseGreece nokubhala phansi izimali ezitshaliwe. Amasheya ehle ngemuva kokuthi ukulahleka kwenetha kunwetshwe kuma-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-3.07 kusuka kusilele kuma-euro ayizigidi ezingama-328 ngonyaka owedlule. Lokho kugeja izilinganiso zabahlaziyi zokulahlekelwa kwama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-2.7.
I-Credit Agricole yehle ngamaphesenti angu-4.2, yaya kuma-euro angu-4.80 futhi yayikuma-euro angu-4.88 ngo-9:02 ekuseni ekuhwebeni kweParis kwehlisa inzuzo kulo nyaka yaba ngamaphesenti angu-12. I-BNP Paribas, okuyibhange elikhulu laseFrance, inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-18 kulo nyaka, i-Societe Generale, ibhange lesibili elikhulu elibolekisa ngemali, ithuthuke ngamaphesenti angu-32.
Njengoba i-ECB icubungula usuku lapho izokhipha khona i-LTRO elandelayo, (ukusebenza kabusha kwezimali zesikhathi eside) ngeke ikwazi ukufika maduzane kwamanye amabhange, ikakhulukazi amabhange amathathu amakhulu aseFrance aye (asenakho) ukuchayeka okukhulu kwesimo samaGreki. Kodwa akubona bodwa abadinga ukulungisa amaphepha abo ebhalansi asegugile, ukoma okunganeliseki kwamabhange ase-Italy akhonjiswe ukuthola imali, emzuliswaneni wokuqala we-LTRO, kungenzeka kuphindeke.
Ukuzethemba Kwebhizinisi LaseJalimane Kuyanda
Isikhungo se-Ifo esizinze eMunich sibike namhlanje ekuseni ukuthi inkomba yesimo sezulu sebhizinisi, esekelwe ocwaningweni lwabaphathi be-7,000, ikhuphukele ku-109.6 isuka ku-108.3 ngoJanuwari. Leyo inzuzo yesine eqondile nokufunda okuphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi. Izazi zezomnotho zibikezele ukuthi izonyuka ifike ku-108.8.
IBundesbank yaseJalimane ithe ngoFebhuwari 20 ukuthi isimo somnotho “sithuthuke ngokusobala,” noma “kusekhona ubungozi obuhlobene nenkinga yezikweletu ezinkulu.” I-Bundesbank ngo-December ukukhula kwesibikezelo kuzohamba kancane kumaphesenti angu-0.6 kulo nyaka kusuka kumaphesenti angu-3 ngo-2011 ngaphambi kokunyuka ngesivinini kuya kumaphesenti angu-1.8 ngo-2013. Inkomba ye-DAX ye-benchmark yaseJalimane izuze amaphesenti angu-16 kulo nyaka, idlula yonke intanga yayo enkulu yaseYurophu.
Market Sibutsetelo
Amasheya aseYurophu akhuphuke okokuqala ezinsukwini ezintathu ngenkathi i-euro iqina ngemuva kokuthi ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi laseJalimane kukhuphuke ngaphezu kwesibikezelo. I-US equity index ikusasa nempahla ezuziwe.
I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 ngo-9:10 ekuseni eLondon. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lingeze amaphesenti angu-0.4. Ukuvunwa kwebhondi yase-Italy yeminyaka eyi-10 kukhuphuke amaphuzu ayisisekelo ayisithupha kuya kumaphesenti angu-5.57. I-euro ithole amaphesenti angu-0.5 kuya ku-$1.3319. I-Dollar Index, elandelela uhlobo lwemali yase-US iqhathaniswa nozakwethu abahwebayo abayisithupha, yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.3.
Isifinyezo semakethe kusukela ngo-10: 20 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Izimakethe zase-Asia-Pacific zithole imiphumela exubile eseshini yasekuseni yasebusuku, i-Nikkei ivale ngo-0.44%, i-Hang Seng yehle ngo-0.78% kwathi i-CSI yavala ngo-0.34%. I-ASX 200 ivale ngo-0.16%. Izinkomba ze-European bourse zijabulele ukuzuza okulinganiselwe kuseshini yaseYurophu, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.01%, i-FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.34%, i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.14% kanti i-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.31%. I-MIB yehle ngo-0.67% kanti i-Athens exchange, i-ASE iwukukhuphuka okuhamba phambili phakathi kwezinkomba zase-Europe okwamanje ezikhuphuke ngo-0.96%. I-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuka ngo-$1.07 umphongolo ngo-$123.97, igolide le-Comex likhuphuka ngo-$9.50 iounce. Ikusasa le-SPX equity index okwamanje likhuphuke ngo-0.27%.
Izisekelo Zezimpahla
I-Iran ikhiqize imiphongolo kawoyela eyizigidi ezingu-3.5 ngosuku ngoJanuwari, ngokwezilinganiso zabahlaziyi ezahlanganiswa yiBloomberg. ISaudi Arabia, okuyilungu elikhulu kunawo wonke ku-OPEC (Inhlangano Yamazwe Athumela Uphethiloli), yayikhipha imiphongolo eyizigidi ezingu-9.7 ngosuku.
I-Brent crude ikhuphuke yafinyelela ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ngemuva kokuthi ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi laseJalimane kudlule izibikezelo, okwandisa ithemba lokuthi izinyathelo zokuxazulula inkinga yezikweletu zaseYurophu zizophumelela. Uwoyela we-Brent wokunxeshezelwa ngo-Ephreli wawukhuphuke ngamasenti angama-89 ngo-$123.79 umphongolo ekuhwebeni kwe-ICE Futures Europe eLondon ngo-9:40 am GMT. I-premium yenkontileka yebhentshimakhi yase-Europe eya e-West Texas Intermediate edayiswa eNew York yayiku-$17.26. Ifinyelele irekhodi lika-$27.88 ngo-Oct. 14.
E-New York Mercantile Exchange, ukulethwa kuka-April kwakungama-$106.53, kwakhuphuka ngamasenti angama-25. Inkontileka ikhuphuke izolo yafinyelela ku-$ 106.28, okusondele kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 4. Ikusasa laseNew York likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-3.2 kuleli sonto ngokuqagela ukuthi ukungezwani ne-Iran mayelana nohlelo lwayo lwenuzi kuzosongela izimpahla. Amanani azuze amaphesenti angu-8.6 ngonyaka odlule.
Igolide elizothunyelwa ngokushesha lizuze amaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku-$1,780.07 i-ounce ngo-9:40 ekuseni eLondon. Inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-14 kulo nyaka futhi ifinyelele irekhodi elingu-$1,921.15 ngoSepthemba 6.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-euro yaqina uma iqhathaniswa nedola kanye ne-yen ngemuva kombiko waseJalimane ukhombise ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi kukhuphuke ngaphezu kokubikezela kwezazi zezomnotho. Idola lehlile uma liqhathaniswa nozakwabo abayi-13 kwabangu-16 abakhulu. Imali yezizwe eziyi-17 iqinise amaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.3315 ngo-9:11 am ngesikhathi saseLondon futhi yenyuka ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 yaya ku-106.74 yen.
amabhangecredit agricoleama-rbs
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