Yimaphi amabhangqa emali okufanele siwahwebe nokuthi kungani 'sihlelelwe' ukubona amaphethini eshadi lapho engekho khona ngempela
Ababhali abaningi bebhulogi be-FX nabanikelayo ezinkundleni ze-FX bazovame ukucaphuna ukuthi yimaphi amapheya e-FX “ayizintandokazi zabo zokudayisa”. Bazophinde futhi bavame ukubhekisela ezicini ezikhethekile zamapheya abo emali abayintandokazi nokuthi lawa mapheya (ngokubona kwawo) asebenza ngokuhlukile kumashadi awo kwabanye abaningi. Kodwa-ke uma sibuza abahwebi be-FX abangochwepheshe nabaphumelelayo uma bebona iphethini efanayo kumabhangqa athile kungenzeka banqabe. Kunalokho bazophakamisa ukuthi kufanele sigxile ekusabalaleni nasekungabini kwezimali kwezimali ezimbili njengoba lezi zici ezimbili zixhumene ngokungenakuhlukaniswa. Futhi ukuthi kufanele kube ukusabalala kanye 'nokuduma' okuphelele kokupheya okuthile okusenza sincamele ukuziphatha kwayo hhayi amaphethini 'engawadweba' okwesikhashana emashadini ethu.
Umbuthano omuhle kungenzeka uyaqedwa. Uma ukusabalala kuphansi kusho ukuthi imali yemali iphezulu, okusho futhi ukuthi uhlobo lwemali ludume kakhulu phakathi kweqembu lethu labadayisi. Ngamafuphi ukuthi ukusabalala okuphansi kungenxa yesizathu, i-currency pair ithengiswa kakhulu. Konke okushiwoyo ingabe kukhona ukufaneleka kulawa alula ukuhweba amaphethini emali ebhangqwe abaningi phakathi kwethu okuthiwa bayayibona, noma ingabe abaningi bethu bamane bathenga inganekwane eye yavivinya isikhathi somthengisi? Empeleni kungaba khona isizathu sesayensi nesiphusile sokuthambekela kwethu njengabahwebi ukubona amaphethini kuzintengo eziningi zedatha esiyihlanganisayo futhi siyihlanganise njengedatha.
I-Apophenia - ukubona amaphethini kudatha engasho lutho
Njengabantu sihlala sivuzwa (kusukela sisebancane) ukuhlukanisa isiphithiphithi empilweni yethu yansuku zonke. Kusukela sisebancane siyakhuthazwa futhi ukuthi sixazulule izinkinga. Ngokwesibonelo; sikhuthazwa ukuba siphile kahle ngokugcina amagumbi ethu ecocekile futhi ezinye zezinkumbulo zethu zakuqala zesikole zihilela ukuxazulula izindida zezibalo kanye namathebula ezikhathi zokuphindaphinda. Ngakho-ke akumangazi ukuthi lapho sithola ukuhweba siye sithatheke ngokwengxenye futhi (ngokwezinga elithile) sithatheke ngokuzama ukwakha uhlobo lokuhleleka kulokho okungase kube isiphithiphithi esingahleliwe. Singase futhi sibone ukuthi abathengisi abaningi bazonamathela kanjani ngokomzwelo ezinkolelweni zabo eziyinhloko uma bephonselwa inselelo mayelana namaphethini angahleliwe abakholelwa ukuthi 'anengqondo'.
Esinye sezizathu esenza sifise ukuhleleka ezimpilweni zethu ukwenza umqondo kulokho okungaba uchungechunge lwezehlakalo ezingahleliwe. Siyathanda ukwakheka ezimpilweni zethu. Sebenza ngamahora athile, ukuya emakilasini okuzivocavoca ngamahora athile, ubeke isikhathi sethu sokuphumula ezintweni ezithile zokuzilibazisa nokuvuka nokulala ngezikhathi ezithile. Le ntuthuko ehlelekile iletha umuzwa wokulawula ezimpilweni zethu futhi isiphenduke insika yokuthi bangaki bethu abakhona emphakathini wethu wanamuhla.
Kodwa amaphethini akhona ekuhwebeni; singabona ngokucacile izitayela kumapheya amaningi e-FX
Kunzima ukuphikisana neqiniso lokuthi singabona iphethini ikhula eshadini lapho, isibonelo, ukupheya okukhulu kohlobo lwemali kuthambekela mhlawumbe inyanga ukuya phezulu eshadini lansuku zonke ngephethini cishe enganqamuki. Kodwa-ke, hlubula ishadi eshadini eliyintombi nto, ngisho nokusebenzisa igrafu yomugqa futhi yini esinayo? Ulayini olula onendlela elinganayo eya phezulu kodwa sisebenzisa izinkomba eziningi futhi sidweba imigqa eminingi ukuze sisekele ukuqonda kwethu kwangaphambili kanye nokucwasa ukuthi le phethini inencazelo futhi kwezinye izimo inqunywa kusengaphambili - uma sikholelwa ukuthi ezinye zalezi zinkomba zingase zihole hhayi ukubambezeleka. Eqinisweni igrafu yomugqa elula ibonisa kuphela imizwa yabenzi bemakethe yokusalela nabathuthi abanayo ngokuphathelene nokuphepha okuthile, ngokusekelwe kudatha enkulu eyisisekelo esiyilethwa njalo.
Uma sidayela phansi amafreyimu wesikhathi lapho abadayisi bosuku bengase babe namandla khona kulapha lapho ithiyori ye-Apophenia ifaneleka kakhulu. Kuvamise ukubizwa ngokuthi “i-patternicity,” noma ukuthambekela kokuthola amaphethini anenjongo emsindweni ongasho lutho. Ubuchopho bethu buyizinto ezikholelwayo. Siphethe umshini wokubona iphethini yomuntu siqu kakhulu oxhuma amachashazi futhi udale incazelo kumaphethini esicabanga ukuthi siwabona yonke indawo. Kwesinye isikhathi u-A uxhumeke ngempela ku-B; ngezinye izikhathi akunjalo. Uma kunjalo, sifunde okuthile okubalulekile ngendawo yokuhweba lapho singenza khona izibikezelo. Siyinzalo yalabo abaphumelele kakhulu ekutholeni amaphethini. Le nqubo yaziwa ngokuthi ukufunda ngokuhlanganyela.
I-Apophenia umuzwa wokubona amaphethini noma ukuxhumeka kudatha engahleliwe noma engasho lutho
Leli gama liqanjwe u-Klaus Conrad owalichaza ngokuthi “ukubona okungagqugquzelwa kokuxhumana” okuhambisana “nokuhlangenwe nakho okuqondile kokunenjongo okungajwayelekile”, kodwa selimele ukuthambekela komuntu kokufuna amaphethini olwazini olungahleliwe lujwayelekile, njengokuthi ngokugembula kanye nezigigaba ze-paranormal.
Ukugembula
I-Apophenia ibhalwe kakhulu njengomthombo wezizathu zokugembula, lapho abagembuli becabanga ukuthi babona amaphethini ekwenzeka kwezinombolo kulotho, amasondo e-roulette, ngisho namakhadi. Ukwehluka okukodwa kwalokhu kwaziwa ngokuthi I-Fallacy Yomgembuli.
Umsuka nokutholakala kwe-Apophenia
Ngo-1958, uKlaus Conrad washicilela i-monograph enesihloko esithi Die beginnende Schizophrenie. Versuch einer Gestaltanalyse des Wahns (“Ukuqala kwe-schizophrenia. Umzamo wokubumba ukuhlaziya ukuduka”, okungakahunyushwa noma kushicilelwe ngolimi lwesiNgisi), lapho achaza khona ngokuningiliziwe okudabukisayo isimo se-prodromal kanye nezigaba zokuqala ze-schizophrenia.
Waqamba igama elithi “Apophänie” ukuze abonise ukuqala kokucabanga okukhohlisayo ku-psychosis. Le neologism ihunyushwa isuselwa kwelesiGreek elithi apo + phaenein, ukukhombisa iqiniso lokuthi i-schizophrenic ekuqaleni ihlangabezana nenkohliso njengesambulo.
Ngokuphambene ne-epiphany, nokho, i-apophany ayinikezi ukuqonda ngemvelo yangempela yeqiniso noma ukuxhumana kwayo, kodwa "inqubo yokuzwa izincazelo ezingavamile kuwo wonke umkhakha ozungezile", ezizimele ngokuphelele, ezithinta ingqondo. kanye ne-paranoid: “ukubukwa, okukhulunywa ngakho, into yokulalela, kulandelwa abantu abangabazi”. Ngamafuphi, elithi “apophenia” igama elingelona iqiniso elithathe incazelo engafanele engakaze ihloswe uConrad lapho eqamba i-neologism “apophany”.
Ngo-2008, uMichael Shermer waqamba igama elithi "patternicity", elichaza ngokuthi "ukuthambekela kokuthola amaphethini anengqondo emsindweni ongasho lutho". Encwadini ethi The Believing Brain (2011), uShermer uthi “sinomkhuba wokufaka amaphethini anencazelo, inhloso, ne-ejensi”, uShermer akubiza ngokuthi “ukusebenzelana”. Ngo-2011, isazi sokusebenza kwengqondo u-David Luke saphakamisa ukuthi i-apophenia iwukuphela kwe-spectrum nokuthi ukuziphatha okuphambene, ukuthambekela kokuchasisa amathuba okuba khona kwedatha ephethe iphethini, kungabizwa ngokuthi "i-randomania". ULuka ubonisa ukuthi lokhu kuvame ukwenzeka ngesandla esinyakazisa izenzakalo zansuku zonke, njengokuqaphela amaphupho, nokuthi lokhu kwenzeka ngisho noma ucwaningo lwesayensi lusikisela ukuthi lesi senzakalo singase singokoqobo.
« Ukungezwani e-Ukraine kudlula izimakethe ezivimbela noma iyiphi idatha enhle yokuthumela ama-indices aphezulu njengezindawo zokuphepha ezizingelwayo Ukwehla kwamandla emali eJalimane kwehla kancane ngenkathi abatshalizimali bebheke emhlanganweni phakathi kukaKerry noLabrov ukunciphisa izingxabano zaseCrimea »
