Meyi 20 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4253 • Amazwana Off Ngokusebenzisa inkomba yobuchwepheshe ye-RSI ukuhlonza izimo zokuhweba ezidayiswe kakhulu nezithengiwe ngokweqile.
Kunezinkomba eziningana ezisiza abathengisi be-FX nabahwebi bezinye izibambiso eziningi, ukukhomba lokho okubizwa ngokuthi "i-oversold", noma izimo "zokuthenga ngokweqile". Izinkomba ezidume kakhulu zokukhomba ukweqisa okubili kokuziphatha kwemakethe, yi-RSI kanye ne-stochastic oscillator. Inkomba ye-stochastic ngokuvamile ibizwa ngokuthi "i-stochastics", ireferensi esekelwe ekusetshenzisweni kwemigqa emibili ukuze kunqunywe inani lokufunda.
Kokubili izinkomba ze-RSI kanye ne-stochastic zinebanga lesilinganiso esingu-0-100 futhi uma zibekwe emashadini nasezimisweni zesikhathi ezihlukahlukene, zinezindawo emashadini okuthi, lapho inkomba idlula, kwenziwe izinqumo mayelana nesibambiso esibhekwa njengesidayiswe ngokweqile, noma sithengwe ngokweqile. . Ku-RSI izindawo zithathwa njengezingama-70 noma ezingama-30; uma inkomba ikhiqiza ukufundwa okungaphezulu kuka-70 isibambiso sithathwa njengesithengiwe ngokweqile, ngaphansi kwama-30 futhi isibambiso sithathwa njengesidayiswe ngokweqile.
Inkomba ekuqaleni yasungulwa ngu J. Welles Wilder Jr. futhi yethulwa encwadini yakhe 1978; Imiqondo Emisha Ezinhlelweni Zokuhweba Zezobuchwepheshe. Ukuthandwa kwamanje kwe-RSI kubonisa ukuthandwa kwezinkomba zokuhweba zobuchwepheshe, ngaphambi kokuzalwa kokuhweba kwe-intanethi. Ukusetha okujwayelekile kwe-RSI kungu-14, okumelela inani elilinganiselwe phakathi nenkathi yokuhweba yezinsuku eziyishumi nane. Abahlaziyi nochwepheshe bezibalo abafana no-Welles Wilder, badale inkomba ezosetshenziswa: amashadi ansuku zonke, masonto onke noma nyanga zonke, nakuba ngokombono i-arithmetic esekela ukusetshenziswa kwenkomba ingonakalisiwe, uma isetshenziswa kumafreyimu esikhathi esiphansi.
Kodwa-ke, abahlaziyi abaningi bezobuchwepheshe bazophakamisa ukuthi isilungiselelo akufanele sishintshwe esimweni saso esijwayelekile 14 njengoba ukwenza kanjalo, kuyilapho futhi ukuyibeka kumafreyimu esikhathi esiphansi, kungadala ukufundwa okungamanga futhi kubangele abahwebi ukuthi bahlanganyele ekuziphatheni okuhambisana nejika; lapho bezama ukufanisa ukunyakaza kwenkomba nezimo ezikhona.
Okubalulekile abathengisi nabahlaziyi abakhuthazwa ukuthi bakwenze maqondana ne-RSI, ukucabangela ukufaka izinga elengeziwe lama-50 esikhathini esibekiwe. Isiphakamiso siwukuthi leli zinga elengeziwe lokuklama lingasetshenziswa njengendlela yokuhweba ukuze ungene kwezohwebo. Okucatshangwayo ukuthi lapho usondela futhi udlula ulayini we-50, kunoma iyiphi indlela, ukuphepha sekuqala ukuthuthukisa izici ezithrendayo. Ngokwesibonelo; uma intengo ihamba ngendlela ye-bullish, ukuze ibangele umugqa wenkomba ukuthi udlule ezingeni lama-50 ekukhuphukeni, abahwebi bangase bakhethe ukuhamba isikhathi eside uma sekufinyelelwe ku-50 bese behlala ekuhwebeni kuze kufinyelelwe ukufundwa kwe-70, ngaleso sikhathi. ukuhweba kuphumile.
Amanye amasu angase afake ukuthengisa noma ukuthenga, lapho ukufundwa okudayiswe ngokweqile noma okuthengwe ngokweqile kufinyelelwa. Isibonelo, ngokushesha ukufundwa kwe-70 kufinyelelwa, abadayisi bangase bafinyeze isibambiso. Kodwa-ke, leli su lingabandakanya ukuhlala ekuhwebeni isikhathi esithile kuyilapho lidinga ukuma okubanzi kakhulu, njengoba izimo ezidlulele, ezithengwa kakhulu zingase zihlale zikhona, isikhathi esithile.
Abathengisi abaningi bacabanga ukuhlanganisa ukusebenzisa izimfanelo ezinyakazayo ze-RSI, nezinye izinkomba. Inhlanganisela ye-RSI + inkomba yomfutho we-MACD, iyisinqumo esidumile eside. I-MACD ikala ubudlelwano phakathi kwama-EMA amabili, kuyilapho i-RSI ikala ukushintsha kwentengo ngokuhlobene nokuphakama nokwehla kwentengo kwakamuva. Izinkomba zisebenzisa amafomula ahlukene ezibalo futhi zilethe amasiginali ahlukene, phakathi nezimo ezithile zokuhweba. Abahwebi ngokuvamile bazobheka izinkomba ukuze ziqondaniswe, ukuze balethe ukuqinisekiswa okwengeziwe, ngaphambi kokuthi bazibophezele ekwenzeni isinqumo sokuhweba.
Esibonelweni esilandelayo, i-RSI kuphela esetshenziswayo futhi ihlukaniswa ngesikhathi sansuku zonke, isilungiselelo esishiywe njengesijwayelekile kokuthi 14. Umfanekiso usetshenziswa njengesibonelo sokuthi inkomba ingasetshenziswa kanjani ukuze kukhonjwe: ukudayiswa ngokweqile, ukuthengwa ngokweqile kanye izimo ezihamba phambili. Ngenyanga kaMeyi 2019, i-GBP/USD ibonise izici zencwadi yombhalo ezichazwe encazelweni eshiwo ngenhla, ebonisa ngokusobala ukusebenza kahle kwenkomba, lapho isetshenziselwa injongo umdali wokuqala ayeyihlosile.
Kumele kuqashelwe ukuthi ukunyakaza okugcizelelayo ku-GBP/USD phakathi nenyanga, kuhlobene ngokuyinhloko nezindaba ezithinta i-Brexit. Kodwa-ke, ukuhlaziya ukunyakaza kwesibambiso kusukela kusisekelo sobuchwepheshe kuphela, kusetshenziswa isenzo senani futhi, kuveza ngokucacile izinzuzo ezingaba khona zokusebenzisa i-RSI ngokokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kanyekanye. Abahwebi kufanele futhi bakhumbule iqiniso lokuthi cishe zonke izinkomba ziyapenda kabusha; ukufundwa ozokubona nganoma isiphi isikhathi, akuhambisani nokufundwa kokubheka emuva ongakuzwa, ngazo zonke izinsuku nezikhathi okubhekiselwe kuzo.
I-RSI ikhuphuke ngaphezu kwezinga le-50 ngo-Ephreli 30, njengoba isenzo sentengo ye-bullish sithuthukile, okuholele ekutheni i-200 DMA iphulwe phezulu. I-RSI yahlala ingaphezulu kwezinga lama-50, ngaphandle kokwephula umugqa wama-70, okubonisa izimo ezithengiwe ngokweqile. NgoMeyi 8 ukufundwa kwehle ngaphansi kwezinga lama-50. Njengekhandlela le-doji elakhiwe ngosuku olwedlule, isenzo sentengo ye-bearish yebhuku lombhalo sathuthukiswa ochungechungeni lwezikhathi zokuhweba, njengoba kuthengisiwe okubalulekile, ngenkathi i-200 DMA yephulwa kwaze kwaba ngaphansi.
Lokhu kudayiswa kwaqhubeka kwaze kwaba nguMeyi 17, njengoba inani lenze i-RSI yehla ngaphansi kwezinga lama-30. Inani elibalulekile lama-pips acishe abe ngu-300, okungenzeka ukuthi lafakwa ebhange ngoMeyi 8 kuya kuMeyi 17, ngokulandela nje izincomo eziyisisekelo ezinikezwa abahlaziyi abaningi, abafakaza ngezinzuzo zokusebenzisa i-RSI ekuhlaziyeni lobuchwepheshe. Futhi nakuba zonke izimo zingezona 'njengencwadi yombhalo' njengokuhweba okulandelayo kwe-GPB/USD, lesi sibonelo asizange sikhethwe i-cherry. Isihloko, yakamuva futhi izilungiselelo azishintshiwe, ukuze ijika lilingane nesimo samanje.
« Idola lase-Aussie liyakhuphuka njengoba ukhetho lukazwelonke lunomphumela oshaqisayo, liyashelela njengoba ukwesaba kweBrexit kugqama. Ukuhweba okuhle kakhulu endaweni eyisicaba, ewumngcingo njengeBrexit ne-govt. izindaba zibusa, inkomba yedola laseMelika iwa njengoba abahlaziyi belindele intuthuko ezindabeni zokuhweba zaseChina nase-USA. »
Kusetshenziswa inkomba yezobuchwepheshe ye-RSI ukukhomba izimo zokuhweba ezingaphezulu kokuthengiwe.
Meyi 20 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4253 • Amazwana Off Ngokusebenzisa inkomba yobuchwepheshe ye-RSI ukuhlonza izimo zokuhweba ezidayiswe kakhulu nezithengiwe ngokweqile.
Kunezinkomba eziningana ezisiza abathengisi be-FX nabahwebi bezinye izibambiso eziningi, ukukhomba lokho okubizwa ngokuthi "i-oversold", noma izimo "zokuthenga ngokweqile". Izinkomba ezidume kakhulu zokukhomba ukweqisa okubili kokuziphatha kwemakethe, yi-RSI kanye ne-stochastic oscillator. Inkomba ye-stochastic ngokuvamile ibizwa ngokuthi "i-stochastics", ireferensi esekelwe ekusetshenzisweni kwemigqa emibili ukuze kunqunywe inani lokufunda.
Kokubili izinkomba ze-RSI kanye ne-stochastic zinebanga lesilinganiso esingu-0-100 futhi uma zibekwe emashadini nasezimisweni zesikhathi ezihlukahlukene, zinezindawo emashadini okuthi, lapho inkomba idlula, kwenziwe izinqumo mayelana nesibambiso esibhekwa njengesidayiswe ngokweqile, noma sithengwe ngokweqile. . Ku-RSI izindawo zithathwa njengezingama-70 noma ezingama-30; uma inkomba ikhiqiza ukufundwa okungaphezulu kuka-70 isibambiso sithathwa njengesithengiwe ngokweqile, ngaphansi kwama-30 futhi isibambiso sithathwa njengesidayiswe ngokweqile.
Inkomba ekuqaleni yasungulwa ngu J. Welles Wilder Jr. futhi yethulwa encwadini yakhe 1978; Imiqondo Emisha Ezinhlelweni Zokuhweba Zezobuchwepheshe. Ukuthandwa kwamanje kwe-RSI kubonisa ukuthandwa kwezinkomba zokuhweba zobuchwepheshe, ngaphambi kokuzalwa kokuhweba kwe-intanethi. Ukusetha okujwayelekile kwe-RSI kungu-14, okumelela inani elilinganiselwe phakathi nenkathi yokuhweba yezinsuku eziyishumi nane. Abahlaziyi nochwepheshe bezibalo abafana no-Welles Wilder, badale inkomba ezosetshenziswa: amashadi ansuku zonke, masonto onke noma nyanga zonke, nakuba ngokombono i-arithmetic esekela ukusetshenziswa kwenkomba ingonakalisiwe, uma isetshenziswa kumafreyimu esikhathi esiphansi.
Kodwa-ke, abahlaziyi abaningi bezobuchwepheshe bazophakamisa ukuthi isilungiselelo akufanele sishintshwe esimweni saso esijwayelekile 14 njengoba ukwenza kanjalo, kuyilapho futhi ukuyibeka kumafreyimu esikhathi esiphansi, kungadala ukufundwa okungamanga futhi kubangele abahwebi ukuthi bahlanganyele ekuziphatheni okuhambisana nejika; lapho bezama ukufanisa ukunyakaza kwenkomba nezimo ezikhona.
Okubalulekile abathengisi nabahlaziyi abakhuthazwa ukuthi bakwenze maqondana ne-RSI, ukucabangela ukufaka izinga elengeziwe lama-50 esikhathini esibekiwe. Isiphakamiso siwukuthi leli zinga elengeziwe lokuklama lingasetshenziswa njengendlela yokuhweba ukuze ungene kwezohwebo. Okucatshangwayo ukuthi lapho usondela futhi udlula ulayini we-50, kunoma iyiphi indlela, ukuphepha sekuqala ukuthuthukisa izici ezithrendayo. Ngokwesibonelo; uma intengo ihamba ngendlela ye-bullish, ukuze ibangele umugqa wenkomba ukuthi udlule ezingeni lama-50 ekukhuphukeni, abahwebi bangase bakhethe ukuhamba isikhathi eside uma sekufinyelelwe ku-50 bese behlala ekuhwebeni kuze kufinyelelwe ukufundwa kwe-70, ngaleso sikhathi. ukuhweba kuphumile.
Amanye amasu angase afake ukuthengisa noma ukuthenga, lapho ukufundwa okudayiswe ngokweqile noma okuthengwe ngokweqile kufinyelelwa. Isibonelo, ngokushesha ukufundwa kwe-70 kufinyelelwa, abadayisi bangase bafinyeze isibambiso. Kodwa-ke, leli su lingabandakanya ukuhlala ekuhwebeni isikhathi esithile kuyilapho lidinga ukuma okubanzi kakhulu, njengoba izimo ezidlulele, ezithengwa kakhulu zingase zihlale zikhona, isikhathi esithile.
Abathengisi abaningi bacabanga ukuhlanganisa ukusebenzisa izimfanelo ezinyakazayo ze-RSI, nezinye izinkomba. Inhlanganisela ye-RSI + inkomba yomfutho we-MACD, iyisinqumo esidumile eside. I-MACD ikala ubudlelwano phakathi kwama-EMA amabili, kuyilapho i-RSI ikala ukushintsha kwentengo ngokuhlobene nokuphakama nokwehla kwentengo kwakamuva. Izinkomba zisebenzisa amafomula ahlukene ezibalo futhi zilethe amasiginali ahlukene, phakathi nezimo ezithile zokuhweba. Abahwebi ngokuvamile bazobheka izinkomba ukuze ziqondaniswe, ukuze balethe ukuqinisekiswa okwengeziwe, ngaphambi kokuthi bazibophezele ekwenzeni isinqumo sokuhweba.
Esibonelweni esilandelayo, i-RSI kuphela esetshenziswayo futhi ihlukaniswa ngesikhathi sansuku zonke, isilungiselelo esishiywe njengesijwayelekile kokuthi 14. Umfanekiso usetshenziswa njengesibonelo sokuthi inkomba ingasetshenziswa kanjani ukuze kukhonjwe: ukudayiswa ngokweqile, ukuthengwa ngokweqile kanye izimo ezihamba phambili. Ngenyanga kaMeyi 2019, i-GBP/USD ibonise izici zencwadi yombhalo ezichazwe encazelweni eshiwo ngenhla, ebonisa ngokusobala ukusebenza kahle kwenkomba, lapho isetshenziselwa injongo umdali wokuqala ayeyihlosile.
Kumele kuqashelwe ukuthi ukunyakaza okugcizelelayo ku-GBP/USD phakathi nenyanga, kuhlobene ngokuyinhloko nezindaba ezithinta i-Brexit. Kodwa-ke, ukuhlaziya ukunyakaza kwesibambiso kusukela kusisekelo sobuchwepheshe kuphela, kusetshenziswa isenzo senani futhi, kuveza ngokucacile izinzuzo ezingaba khona zokusebenzisa i-RSI ngokokuhlaziywa kobuchwepheshe kanyekanye. Abahwebi kufanele futhi bakhumbule iqiniso lokuthi cishe zonke izinkomba ziyapenda kabusha; ukufundwa ozokubona nganoma isiphi isikhathi, akuhambisani nokufundwa kokubheka emuva ongakuzwa, ngazo zonke izinsuku nezikhathi okubhekiselwe kuzo.
I-RSI ikhuphuke ngaphezu kwezinga le-50 ngo-Ephreli 30, njengoba isenzo sentengo ye-bullish sithuthukile, okuholele ekutheni i-200 DMA iphulwe phezulu. I-RSI yahlala ingaphezulu kwezinga lama-50, ngaphandle kokwephula umugqa wama-70, okubonisa izimo ezithengiwe ngokweqile. NgoMeyi 8 ukufundwa kwehle ngaphansi kwezinga lama-50. Njengekhandlela le-doji elakhiwe ngosuku olwedlule, isenzo sentengo ye-bearish yebhuku lombhalo sathuthukiswa ochungechungeni lwezikhathi zokuhweba, njengoba kuthengisiwe okubalulekile, ngenkathi i-200 DMA yephulwa kwaze kwaba ngaphansi.
Lokhu kudayiswa kwaqhubeka kwaze kwaba nguMeyi 17, njengoba inani lenze i-RSI yehla ngaphansi kwezinga lama-30. Inani elibalulekile lama-pips acishe abe ngu-300, okungenzeka ukuthi lafakwa ebhange ngoMeyi 8 kuya kuMeyi 17, ngokulandela nje izincomo eziyisisekelo ezinikezwa abahlaziyi abaningi, abafakaza ngezinzuzo zokusebenzisa i-RSI ekuhlaziyeni lobuchwepheshe. Futhi nakuba zonke izimo zingezona 'njengencwadi yombhalo' njengokuhweba okulandelayo kwe-GPB/USD, lesi sibonelo asizange sikhethwe i-cherry. Isihloko, yakamuva futhi izilungiselelo azishintshiwe, ukuze ijika lilingane nesimo samanje.
« Idola lase-Aussie liyakhuphuka njengoba ukhetho lukazwelonke lunomphumela oshaqisayo, liyashelela njengoba ukwesaba kweBrexit kugqama. Ukuhweba okuhle kakhulu endaweni eyisicaba, ewumngcingo njengeBrexit ne-govt. izindaba zibusa, inkomba yedola laseMelika iwa njengoba abahlaziyi belindele intuthuko ezindabeni zokuhweba zaseChina nase-USA. »