Isibalo sabamangali bokungasebenzi eMelika sikhuphuka ngaphezu kwalokho obekulindelwe, izimakethe ziyajama njengoba iqiniso lishaya ngemuva kwesinqumo se-FOMC sokuqhatha

Dis 20 • Ukushayela kwe-Morning Roll • Ukubukwa okungu-3801 • Amazwana Off ku-USA isibalo sabamangali sokungasebenzi sikhuphuka ngaphezu kokulindelekile, izimakethe zithengisa njengoba iqiniso lihlasela ngemuva kwesinqumo se-FOMC

Ngemuva kwesasasa lesinqumo esingalindelekile se-TOM esivela ku-FOMC ngoLwesithathu izimakethe zase-Europe, ebezivele zivaliwe ngenkathi kuvezwa isinqumo, ngokushesha zahlangana zivulekele ukufinyelela 'ukulingana' namabhange ase-USA. Izimakethe zase-USA bezihlala ziyisicaba esimisweni santambama njengoba imicimbi yezindaba ezinomthelela ophakathi nendawo kuya phezulu inikeze imiphumela exubile.

Izimangalo zabangasebenzi e-USA kuleli sonto zikhuphuke kakhulu, zeqa izibikezelo zabahlaziyi; isibalo sommangali sakhuphuka u-10,000 kusuka esontweni eledlule laya ku-379K, kanti isilinganiso esinqumayo samaviki amane sikhuphuke ngo-4 saya ku-13,250. Nakulokhu futhi ukufunda kufinyelele kulolo hlu oluncane eseluleke ukuthi isibalo sihlale kulo iningi lonyaka wezi-343,500. Futhi kufanele wazi ukuthi ingxenye yomqondo wesinqumo seFed sokuthwebula ibisuselwa ekuthuthukisweni kokuqashwa kanye nezinombolo zesibalo sommangali. kuthathwe usuku kuphela ukuthi leso sizathu senziwe singabazeki.

Kwezinye izindaba zase-USA ukuthengiswa kwamakhaya okukhona e-USA kwehle ngo-4.3% ngenyanga, bawela ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sonyaka okokuqala ngqa ezinyangeni ezingamashumi amabili, okwengeza inkolelo yokuthi intokozo ezungeze umsebenzi wezindlu ubukeka weqiwe. Yize i-NAR ikhombe ukukhuphuka kwamanani njengesibonakaliso se-heathy, inempilo kubatshalizimali, kepha hhayi abathengi, njengabathengi bokuqala.

Ukuphrinta kwePhilly Fed kufike ngaphansi kokulindelwe; ukufundwa bekuyi-7 lapho abahlaziyi abaningi bebebikezele i-10. Kubhalansi nokho, kube nokufundwa okuhle ezinyangeni eziyisikhombisa ezedlule.

Umbiko Wokufuna Izimangalo Wamasonto onke wase-US Wokungasebenzi

Esontweni eliphela ngoDisemba 14, isibalo sangaphambili sezimangalo zokuqala ezilungiswe ngezikhathi ezithile sasingu-379,000, ukwanda okungu-10,000 kusuka kusibalo sesonto eledlule esingu-369,000. Isilinganiso sokuhamba samasonto amane sibe ngama-4, ukwanda ngo-343,500 13,250 kusukela kwesilinganiso esibuyekeziwe sesonto eledlule esingu-330,250. Izinga lokungasebenzi eliqinisekisiwe elilungiswe ngezikhathi ezithile lonyaka lalingamaphesenti angu-2.2 evikini eliphela ngoDisemba 7, okuwukukhuphuka kwamaphesenti ayi-0.1 kusuka kunani elingalungisiwe lesonto eledlule. Inani eliphambili lokungasebenzi kwemisebenzi eqinisekisiwe ngezikhathi ezithile phakathi nesonto eliphela ngoDisemba 7 lalingu-2,884,000, ukwanda kwama-94,000.

Ukuthengisa Okukhona Kwasekhaya Kwehla ngoNovemba, kepha Izinzuzo Zamanani Aqinile ziyaqhubeka

Ukuthengiswa kwamakhaya okukhona kwehle ngoNovemba, yize amanani aphakathi nendawo eqhubeka nokukhombisa ukukhula okuqinile konyaka nonyaka, ngokusho kweNational Association of Realtors. Ukuthengiswa okuphelele kwamakhaya okukhona, okuqedile ukuthengiselana okubandakanya amakhaya omndeni owodwa, amakhaya asedolobheni, amakhondomu kanye nama-co-ops, kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-4.3 kusilinganiso sonyaka esilungiswe ngezikhathi esingu-4.90 wezigidi ngoNovemba sisuka ku-5.12 wezigidi ngo-Okthoba, futhi siyi-1.2 amaphesenti angaphansi kwesilinganiso samayunithi ayizigidi ezingama-4.96 ngoNovemba 2012. Lesi yisikhathi sokuqala ezinyangeni ezingama-29 ukuthi ukuthengisa kube ngaphansi kwamazinga enyaka edlule.

Inkomfa Yezomnotho Ehola Inkomba Yezomnotho ye-US Ikhuphukile

IConference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) yase-US inyuse amaphesenti ayi-0.8 ngoNovemba kuya ku-98.3 (2004 = 100), kulandela ukwanda ngamaphesenti ayi-0.1 ngo-Okthoba, nokwenyuka ngo-1.0% ngoSepthemba.

U-Ataman Ozyildirim, Isazi Sezomnotho eBhodi Yengqungquthela;

Disemba 2013 Ucwaningo lwe-Business Outlook - UPhilly Fed

Ukukhula kokukhiqiza esifundeni kuqhubeke ngoDisemba ngejubane elifana nelikaNovemba, ngokusho kwamafemu aphendula ku-Business Outlook Survey yale nyanga. Izinkomba ezibanzi zocwaningo zomsebenzi ojwayelekile, ama-oda amasha, ukuthunyelwa, kanye nokuqashwa bekukuhle, okukhombisa ukukhula, nokufundwa kuthuthukiswe kancane esigabeni ngasinye kusuka ngoNovemba. Izinkomba zocwaningo zomsebenzi wesikhathi esizayo zilinganiswe kancane kepha ziyaqhubeka nokuphakamisa ithemba elijwayelekile mayelana nokukhula ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo.

Isilinganiso esibanzi senhlolovo yezimo zokukhiqiza, inkomba yokusabalalisa yomsebenzi wamanje, ibingashintshi kusuka ngoNovemba kuya kuDisemba, ngo-7.0. Inkomba manje isihle izinyanga eziyisikhombisa zilandelana. Iphesenti lamafemu abika umsebenzi owandisiwe kule nyanga (amaphesenti angama-29) lalilikhulu kunokubika kwephesenti okwenze umsebenzi wehla (amaphesenti angama-22).

Ukubuka konke kwemakethe ngo-11 ebusuku isikhathi sase-UK

I-DJIA ivalwe kancane ngo-0.07%, i-SPX ivale u-0.06% kwathi i-NASDAQ yehla ngo-0.29%. Izimakethe zase-Europe zidlale ngokuthola umfutho oshukumisayo ngemuva kwesinqumo se-Fed sika-taper ngoLwesithathu, i-STOXX ivale u-1.88%, i-CAC yenyuka ngo-1.64%, i-DAX yenyuka ngo-1.68%, i-FTSE yenyuka ngo-1.43%.

Uma ubheka ukuvulwa kwangakusasa ikusasa lenkomba yokulingana ye-DJIA lenyuke ngo-0.02%, ikusasa le-SPX phansi ngo-0.17%, ikusasa le-NASDAQ phansi ngo-0.45%. I-Euro STOXX equity index future is up 1.78%, DAX future up 1.56%, CAC future up 1.66%, FTSE up 1.52%.

Uwoyela we-NYMEX WTI ukhuphuke ngo-0.99% waya ku- $ 98.77 emgqonyeni ngamunye, i-NYMEX nat gas inyuke ngo-4.52% kuya ku- $ 4.44 nge-therm ngayinye ngenxa yokukhathazeka komthamo wesitoreji. ICOMEX yegolide ithole ukuthengiswa okuphawulekayo, kwehle ngo-3.69% ngosuku kuya ku- $ 1189.40 ngehora elilodwa. Isiliva le-COMEX lavalwa ngosuku u-4.11% ngo- $ 19.24 ngehora.

Ukugxila kwe-Forex

Idola lenyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku- $ 1.3655 nge-euro emini yantambama isikhathi saseNew York ngemuva kokudlulela ku- $ 1.3650, okuyizinga eliqine kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 6. Imali yaseMelika yehle ngamaphesenti ayi-0.1 yaya kuma-yen ayi-104.21. I-yen ithole amaphesenti angu-0.3 kuya ku-142.29 nge-euro ngayinye ngemuva kokushelela ku-142.90 izolo, okuyizinga elibuthakathaka kakhulu kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2008. Idola likhuphukele ezingeni eliqine kakhulu cishe amasonto amabili uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro njengoba abatshalizimali behlola izinhlelo zeFederal Reserve zokuqeda ukuthenga amabhondi ngonyaka ozayo. phakathi kwezimpawu zokuthi ukukhula komnotho kuyadlondlobala. Imali yaseMelika ithuthuke kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa nozakwabo abakhulu abali-16 ngemuva kokuthi ikomidi i-Federal Open Market Committee lathi izolo lizokwehlisa umfutho wemali ube ngu- $ 75 billion ngenyanga usuka ku- $ 85 billion.

I-US Dollar Index, elandelela i-greenback uma iqhathaniswa nontanga abayishumi abakhulu, inyuke ngo-10% yaya ku-0.2 ngemuva kokuthola u-1,023.07% izolo. Imali yaseMelika inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 kulo nyaka, ngokusho kweBloomberg's Correlation-Weighted Indices elandela umkhondo wezimali eziyishumi ezithuthukile. I-euro ithole amaphesenti angu-4.3, kanti i-yen yehle ngamaphesenti angu-10.

I-loonie, njengoba idola laseCanada laziwa lithole amaphesenti angu-0.4 laya ku-C $ 1.0666 ngedola laseMelika ngasekupheleni kwesikhathi saseNew York. Phambilini ithinte i-C $ 1.0728, okuyisibalo esiphansi kunazo zonke kusukela ngoMeyi 2010. I-loonie eyodwa ithenga amasenti angama-93.76 aseMelika. Idola laseCanada lenyuke lisuka kweliphansi kunawo wonke eminyakeni emithathu ekubhejeni iFederal Reserve izogcina inzalo iphansi isikhathi eside kunesibikezelo ngenkathi inciphisa ijubane lokuthengwa kwempahla yayo evuselelayo.

Ikusasa likawoyela ongahluziwe, elihambisana kakhulu nezimali zezimpahla ezifana ne-loonie, lenyuke ngo-1% laya ku- $ 98.77 emgqonyeni eNew York ngemuva kokuthinta ama- $ 99.17, okuyisibalo esiphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngo-Okthoba 22nd.

izibopho

Izithelo zeminyaka eyi-10 zeMgcinimafa zikhuphule amaphuzu ayisisekelo amane, noma iphesenti le-0.04, laya kumaphesenti we-2.93 ntambama isikhathi saseNew York. Bafike kumaphesenti angu-2.95, okuyisibalo esiphezulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 13. Intengo yokuphepha kwamaphesenti angu-2.75 ngenxa kaNovemba 2023 yehle ngo-10/32, noma $ 3.13 ngemali yobuso eyi- $ 1,000, yaya ku-98 14/32.

Izithelo zeminyaka emihlanu zithinte amaphesenti angu-1.68, okuyizinga eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 16, ngaphambi kokuhweba ngamaphesenti angu-1.64, kukhuphuke amaphuzu ayisisekelo ayi-10. Isivuno kunothi seminyaka emibili sinyuse amaphuzu ayisisekelo amathathu saba ngamaphesenti angama-0.36, kanti isivuno seminyaka engama-30 sesibopho asishintshwanga kangako ngamaphesenti angu-3.9.

Izinqumo zenqubomgomo eyisisekelo nemicimbi yezindaba ezinomthelela omkhulu engathinta imizwa ngoDisemba 20

NgoLwesihlanu kushicilelwa i-PPI yaseGerman yale nyanga, okucatshangwa ukuthi izobhekana nesimo sezebhizinisi saseGerman seGfK kulindeleke ngo-7.4. Idatha ye-akhawunti yamanje yase-UK kulindeleke ukuthi ibe yimbi ku -13.8 bn, lapho ukubolekwa kwemikhakha yomphakathi kulindeleke ukuthi kuhlale kungama- £ 6.6 bn kanti i-GDP yokugcina kulindeleke ukuthi ibe ngu-0.8%.

Idatha emaphakathi yeCanada ifaka i-CPI ebikezelwe ukuthi izongena ngo-0.1% kanti ukuthengisa okuthengiswayo kulindeleke ukuthi kube flat futhi i-CPI ilindeleke ku-0.2%. Idatha yokugcina ye-GDP yase-USA kulindeleke ukuthi ikhombise ukukhula ngama-3.6% minyaka yonke. Ukuthembela kwabathengi eYurophu kulindeleke ukuthi kwenzeke ngo-15 kanti umcimbi wokugcina wezindaba onomthelela omkhulu kuleli sonto ubona ivoti lokuphakanyiswa kukasihlalo weFed. 
  

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