Izimali ze-US zikhuphuka ngemuva kokuwa kwezinsuku ezimbili, i-FOMC ikhombisa ukuthi inani lenyuka likaMashi selikhuphukile, igolide liyakhuphuka, ngenkathi idola laseMelika liwela ngokuqhathaniswa nontanga
UMongameli uTrump wethule inkulumo yakhe yokuqala yenkulumo yenyunyana ekuseni ngoLwesithathu, ebonakale ithoba imizwa yabatshalizimali baseWall Street, okuholele ekutheni izimakethe zezimali zase-USA zikhuphuke njengoba kuvulwa iseshini yaseNew York. I-FOMC imemezele ukuthi inzalo ebalulekile (ephezulu) izohlala ku-1.5% ekupheleni komhlangano wabo wezinsuku ezimbili. Ngaphakathi kokulandisa okuhambisana nalokhu, ikomidi leFed lethule umkhombandlela phambili, okukhombisa ukuthi ukukhuphuka kwezinga likaMashi kungenzeka kakhulu, ngenxa yokukhula okunamandla kunokulindelekile nokuzethemba kwabo ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzokhuphuka ngaphezu kwenhloso engu-2%. Ukuvumelana okujwayelekile, okuvela kubahlaziyi abaningi okwaxoxwa nabo ngemuva kwesinqumo sezinga lenzalo, ukuthi amalungu e-FOMC manje asethuthele inaliti yaya ekubukeni okwengeziwe kwe-hawkish.
Izithelo kumabhondi wemali eyishumi zifinyelele ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2014, ngaphezulu kuka-2.75%. I-SPX manje isiqophe ukuqala kwayo okuhle kakhulu ngoJanuwari kusukela ngo-1997, ivala ngokulinganisela ngo-0.05%, yize izimakethe zivala izinkomba ze-SPX ne-DJIA zawa njengekusasa. I-USD inyuke ngo-0.3% uma iqhathaniswa ne-yen, kepha uma kuqhathaniswa ne-euro ne-UK iphawulwe ngedola, ngenkathi inkomba yedola yehle ngo-0.2% ngoLwesithathu. IGolden ibambe ukuthengiswa kwayo kwakamuva, ngokuvala cishe u-0.4%. Uwoyela we-WTI usabise ukwephula i- $ 65.00 isibambo somgqomo, ngenkathi abahlaziyi bezwakalisa ukukhathazeka kwabo ukuthi iCalifornia (umnotho wesithupha / wesikhombisa ngobukhulu bomhlaba), ingahle ithole imali ephezulu yeminyaka engu- $ 4 ngelitha ngoMeyi. Izindaba zekhalenda lezomnotho ngokuvamile zazivuna umnotho wase-USA; inombolo yokuguqulwa kokuqashwa kwe-ADP yayikhuthaza; ngo-234k eshaya isibikezelo, kuphakamisa ukuthi inombolo ye-NFP nayo ingashaya isibikezelo uma ishicilelwa ngoLwesihlanu, ngenkathi kusalindwe ukuthengiswa kwekhaya kusondele ukubikezela.
Izindaba zaseYurophu zigxile ekukhishweni kwamaJalimane; ukuthengisa okuthengisiwe kuphuthelwe yithagethi ngebanga elithile, kwehla ngo -1.9% MoM nangesibalo esifanayo i-YoY, isibalo seYoY kwakulindeleke ukuthi sibhalise ukukhula kwe-2.8%. Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi kwahlala kungashintshi eJalimane ngo-5.4%, kanti izicelo zokungasebenzi zazihla. Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi sekukonke ku-Eurozone kwahlala kumile ku-8.3%, ukwehla kwamandla emali ku-EZ kwaba ngaphezu kokulindelwe ngo-1.3%, kwathi i-euro yabonakala iwela ezindabeni, abahlaziyi babheka ukuthi i-ECB ingaba nezinkinga ezikhuthaza ukukhula kwamanani emali ukuthi zenzeke, ngaphambi kokuthinta ngolaka i-APP futhi mhlawumbe inyuse izinga lenzalo ngaphezu kwe-0.00%. I-DAX ishibilikile, ngenkathi i-CAC ne-EURO STOXX inyuka ngokulingene.
Ngosuku olunokuthula, kokubili kwezomnotho nakwezepolitiki e-UK ukufunda okuphawuleka kakhulu okushicilelwe kuhilela ukufundwa kokuzethemba komthengi kwe-GfK, okuthuthuke kwaba -9 kusuka -13. USterling uhlangabezane nokuwa okuphakathi, ngenxa yezindaba zokuthi izikhulu ze-European Commission zisenqabile isiphakamiso seDolobha laseLondon sokuteleka isivumelwano sokuhweba ngokukhululekile seBrexit ngezinsizakalo zezezimali. Kodwa-ke, iphawundi manje selizitholele inyanga yalo engcono kakhulu yokuzuza uma iqhathaniswa ne-USD kusukela ngoMeyi 2009, kuze kube ngu-5% phakathi nenyanga.
EURO
I-EUR / USD ithengiswe ebangeni eliqinile ngokuchema okunamandla phakathi nezikhathi zangoLwesithathu, inyuka nge-R1, ngaphambi kokuyeka ukuzuza kokuqeda usuku kuze kube ngu-0.1% ngo-1.241, ngenhla kwephuzu lezinsuku zonke. I-EUR / GBP ithengiswa ezinhlotsheni eziningi, isakazeka phakathi kwezimo ezinamandla nezimbi, inyuka ngaphezu kwe-R1, bese ibuyela emuva nge-PP yansuku zonke ukuze ifinyelele ku-S1, ivala cishe i-0.3% ku-0.874.
UKUQALA
I-GBP / USD ithengiswe usuku lonke nge-bullish range, yephula i-R1 ntambama ngaphambi kokuyeka ukuzuza okuthile, ivala cishe i-0.3% cishe ngo-approx. 1.420. ISterling yenze inzuzo yayo enkulu ngosuku kuqhathaniswa ne-Aussie; I-GPB / AUD ishaywe ngebanga elibanzi nge-bullish bias, ivala cishe i-0.6% ngo-1.761, yephula i-R2.
I-USDOLLAR
I-USD / JPY ithengiswe nge-tight bullish range ye-circa 0.4% ngosuku, ivala cishe i-0.3%, ibuyela emuva ngesibambo se-109 ku-109.1. I-USD / CHF ithengiswe ngesiteshi esiqinile se-bearish se-circa 0.3% emini, kuvalwa cishe u-0.3% ngosuku, kuphumula ku-S1 ngo-0.930. I-USD / CAD ishaywe ebangeni elibanzi le-bearish, yehlela ku-S2, yehla nge-circa 0.6% ku-intraday low ye-1.2300, ngaphambi kokululama ukuvala nge-circa 1.2303, nge-approx ephansi. 0.3%.
GOLD
I-XAU / USD ivale cishe u-0.4% ngosuku, kuboshwa ukuwa kwakamuva okubone ukuthi inani lensimbi eliyigugu lehla lisuka ku-1,366 laya ku-1,333. Ukuwa nge-spike ezansi kuya kwi-intraday ephansi yenani le-1,332 bese kubuyiselwa ku-1,345 nge-ounce.
IZIKHOKHISI ZESITHOMBISO SANGO-JANUARY 31
• I-DJIA ivale u-0.28%.
• I-SPX ivale u-0.05%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale u-0.72%.
• I-DAX ivale u-0.06%.
• I-CAC ivale u-0.15%.
• I-EURO STOXX ivale u-0.07%.
IZENZAKALO EZIYINHLOKO ZEKHALENDA KOMNOTHO NGO-FEBRUARY 1.
• I-GBP. UMarkit UK PMI Ukukhiqiza sa (JAN).
• USD. Izimangalo Zokuqala Ezingenamsebenzi (JAN 27).
• I-CAD. I-RBC Canadian Production Production PMI (JAN).
• USD. Ukukhiqiza kwe-ISM (JAN).
• USD. Ukuqashwa kwe-ISM (JAN).
« Njengoba izimakethe zokulingana zase-USA ziqhubeka nokufinyelela ekuqophelweni eliphezulu nokuwa kwedola laseMelika, kungasikisela ini ngo-2018, ngokuhweba ngeFX Ukukhishwa kwenombolo yokuqala ye-NFP yemisebenzi ka-2018 kulindeleke ukuthi kubuyele emuva, ngemuva kokufundwa kukaDisemba kungasibikezelanga isibikezelo »
