Ukwehla kwedola laseMelika njengoba uNobhala Wezezimali wase-USA ethi inani lemali liphezulu kakhulu, izimakethe zezimali zaseMelika nazo zishaye indiva, ngenxa yokuphawula kukaStephen Mnuchin
Sekuyisikhashana kusukela i-Trump tweet, noma isitatimende sibangele ukuthengiswa emakethe yama-USA noma idola; I-USD iwele phansi iqhathaniswa nabo bonke ontanga bayo ngoLwesithathu ngemuva kokuthi uStephen Mnuchin, uNobhala Wezezimali, enikeze ingxoxo eDavos lapho ethe khona idola liphezulu kakhulu. Isimangalo esingajwayelekile, sinikezwe ukuthi le mali yehle kangakanani uma iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo abaningi ngonyaka we-2017, futhi ikakhulukazi inikezwe izitatimende zikaTrump maqondana ne-Chinese renminbi eshibhile kakhulu. Inkomba yedola isondele eminyakeni emithathu ephansi, nge-EUR / USD ekuphakameni kweminyaka emithathu. Ngenkathi i-GBP / USD isibuyiselwe ku-1.42, isondela eduze kwenani lereferendamu yangaphambi kweBrexit.
Abahlaziyi bemvelo babecabanga ukuthi ziphansi kanjani futhi kungani abaphathi bakaTrump befuna idola laseMelika liphansi? I-orthodoxy ejwayelekile yezomnotho ithi idola elishibhile likhuthaza ukukhiqizwa nokuthumela kwamanye amazwe, inhloso enesifiso sokuphatha kukaTrump. Kodwa-ke, ngumbono owodwa ohlangothini futhi ophelelwe yisikhathi, ohluleka ukubheka imali ephansi yasekhaya ephakamisa intengo yokungenisa ngaphakathi. Ngakho-ke, ngaphandle kokuthi ukhiqiza kusuka kubahlinzeki kuphela abazinze e-USA, lapho-ke umbono wedola ophansi okhuthaza ukukhiqizwa, uwela phansi. UMnuchin nesinye isikhulu sikaMgcinimafa uWilbur Ross, baze baqhubekela phambili; esithangamini esikhuthaza ukubambisana komhlaba wonke, bamemezele (ngokungangabazeki) ukuthi impi yezohwebo iyeza futhi yabuye yasetshenziswa kabusha i-credo evikelayo esize uTrump ukuthola isikhundla, ngenkathi ephinda imantra "ebeka iMelika phambili".
Abadayisi beFX abachithanga sikhathi bathengisa ngedola ngemuva kwevolumu yamazwana wokuvuvukala; I-USD / JPY ewela ngesibambo esingu-109.00 okokuqala ngqa kusukela maphakathi noSepthemba, i-EUR / USD ekhuphukela phezulu ayibonwanga kusukela ngoDisemba 2014, ngenkathi i-USD / CHF yehlela ezingeni elingakaze libonwe kusukela maphakathi noSepthemba, inkomba yedola yehle cishe ngo-1.02% ngosuku. I-SPX ivalwe kancane ngosuku, ne-DJIA ivala u-0.16%. Igolide lisabele kahle njengendawo ephephile emazwini abaphathi base-USA, lenyukela kuma-intraday aphezulu ka- $ 1,362 nge-ounce, okuyizinga lentengo elingakaze libonwe kusukela ngoJulayi 2016. Insimbi eyigugu yavala usuku cishe kuma-1,358.
Iqoqo lama-PMIs e-Eurozone Markit Economics 'lishicilelwe ngoLwesithathu, ukufundwa okuyinhlanganisela kwe: France, Germany kanye ne-Eurozone kwashaya izibikezelo, kodwa-ke, izitatimende zempi yokuvikela / zokuhweba ezivela eMnuchin zibukeke zonakalisa izimakethe kanye nebhizinisi lokuhweba elikhuthaza ukuzwana futhi ukubambisana; i-DAX ivale u-1.07% kwathi i-euro STOXX yehla ngo-0.79%. I-euro yabhekana nenhlanhla exubile ngalolo suku; phezulu kuqhathaniswa ne-USD, i-flat uma iqhathaniswa ne-AUD ne-CAD, yehle kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-CHF ne-GBP. I-franc yaseSwitzerland ithole isikhalazo esiphephile emakethe ebeka phakathi kwengozi nobungozi bokuziphatha.
AbakwaSterling bahlangana nabalingani babo abaningana njengomphumela wokukhuthaza ukungasebenzi, imininingwane yokuqashwa kanye nemivuzo ye-UK Employment ikhule ngo-102k ezinyangeni ezintathu ezedlule zika-2017, kanti izinga lokungasebenzi lihlala ku-4.3%, kanti amaholo akhuphukele ku-2.4% ukukhula kwe-YoY , ukuvala igebe lokwehla kwamandla emali (CPI) ngo-3%. Inkomba ehamba phambili yase-UK i-FTSE 100 yawa, yavala i-1.14%, nge-GBP inyuka v bonke ontanga bayo, inzuzo enkulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-EUR ne-USD.
I-USDOLLAR
I-USD / JPY ithengiswe esiteshini esibanzi se-bearish nokuthambekela phakathi nezikhathi zangoLwesithathu, njengoba ingena ezingeni lesibili lokusekelwa (i-S2), ukwephula isibambo se-109.00, izinga lentengo elingazange libonwe kusukela ngoSepthemba 2017, ukuvala usuku olwehle cishe ngo-0.7 % ku- 109.7. I-USD / CHF yacwila nge-circa 1.1% ngosuku, ifinyelele kwi-intraday low engabonwa kusukela ngeviki lokuqala lika-Septhemba 2017, ivala cishe ku-0.945, yephule izinga lokuxhaswa lesithathu, i-S3. I-USD / CAD ithengiswe kububanzi obubanzi be-bearish ngezikhathi zonke zosuku, yephula i-S2, laba bobabili basabise ngokufika ku-S3, ekugcineni bavala usuku cishe ku-1.233, nge-approx engezansi. 0.7% ngosuku.
UKUQALA
I-GBP / USD ithengiswe ngomkhuba obanzi we-bullish nesiteshi esichaziwe phakathi nezikhathi zangoLwesithathu, ukwephula ikhebula le-R3 kuvaliwe ngenhla nje kwesibambo se-1.420, okuyizinga elingazange libonwe kusukela ngemuva nje kwesinqumo se-UK sereferendamu, ngoJuni 2016. I-GBP / CHF yathathelwa phezulu ngabo bobabili futhi izimo zokuqina njengoba amandla wephawundi ebebhekene nesikhalazo seSwitzerland franc njengempahla ephephile, izithandani zemali zavala cishe u-0.2% ku-1.344. Ukuqhathanisa kokubili i-AUD ne-NZD sterling kuvale usuku cishe ngo-0.5%.
EURO
I-EUR / GBP iqale yahweba eduze nepivot iphuzu lansuku zonke, ngaphambi kokuqala ukucwilisa lapho ibhanqa yemali yesiphambano yehla kuwo wonke amazinga amathathu osizo, ukuvala ngo-0.872, okuyizinga elingakaze libonwe kusukela ekuqaleni kukaDisemba 2017. I-EUR / USD ifinyelele ku i-intraday ephezulu ye-1.2415, ivala cishe ku-1.240, up approx. 0.7% ngosuku, ngemuva kokwephula u-R2. I-EUR / CHF yawa ezingeni lokuxhaswa lesithathu njengoba i-CHF ibambe amabhidi ephephile, laba bobabili bavale cishe i-0.9% ku-1.172.
GOLD
I-XAU / USD ifinyelele ku-intraday ephezulu engu-1,362, njengoba ijabulele isikhalazo esiphephile ngesikhathi sokuhweba sosuku, insimbi eyigugu ithengiswe ngomkhuba omkhulu we-bullish nesiteshi, ivala ngenhla kwe-R3, inyuka ngo-1% ngosuku. Intengo manje inyuke ngama-dollar ayi-128 nge-ounce, kusukela ekuqaleni kukaDisemba okuphansi kuka-1236, ukukhuphuka kwe-circa 9.6% ngokuya ngentengo yokuvala engu-1,258.
ISITHOMBE SOKUFANANA KWEZIMPAWU ZOKULINGANA NGO-JANUARY 24
• I-DJIA ivale u-0.16%.
• I-SPX ivale u-0.06%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale u-1.14%.
• I-DAX ivale u-1.07%.
• I-CAC ivale u-0.72%.
IZENZAKALO ZEKHALENDA EZISEMQOKA ZOMNOTHO NGOJANUARY 25.
• i-EUR. Ukuzethemba Komthengi waseGfK (FEB).
• i-EUR. Ukuhlolwa Kwamanje kwe-IFO yaseJalimane (JAN).
• i-EUR. Isinqumo se-European Central Bank Rate (JAN 25).
• i-EUR. UMongameli we-ECB uDraghi ubambe isithangami nabezindaba eFrankfurt.
• USD. I-Advance Goods Trade Balance (i-DEC).
• USD. Izimangalo Zokuqala Ezingenamsebenzi (JAN 20).
• USD. Ukuthengiswa Kwasekhaya okusha (MoM) (DEC).
• I-JPY. Inkomba Kazwelonke Yamanani Abathengi (YoY) (DEC).
• I-JPY. Amaminithi we-BOJ Amhlangano Wenqubomgomo.
« Umbono we-Elliott wave - imethrikhi yokukhomba imizwa yezimakethe kanye nokusebenza kwengqondo Kokubili i-UK ne-USA bashicilela imiphumela yabo yokugcina ye-GDP Q4 ngoLwesihlanu, zombili zizobhekwa ngeso elibukhali, ngezizathu ezahlukene »
