Ukubikezelwa kwamathrendi, isonto eliqala ngoSepthemba 22
Yonke imicimbi yezindaba ezinomthelela omkhulu nezinqumo zenqubomgomo zesonto eledlule, ngaphandle kokungabaza, zambozwa umhlangano we-FOMC (owawubanjwe ngaphezu kwezinsuku ezimbili) lapho isimemezelo esibaluleke kakhulu, sokuthi i-FOMC izonamathela ekwehleni kwamandla emali kwasekuqaleni futhi ngaphezu kwalokho ukungasebenzi Okubhekiswe kubo okungu-6.5% ngakho-ke ukungazisebenzisi izinhlelo zabo zokwehlisa / zokuthenga izimpahla, kubangele ukuqhuma kwamagagasi ethusayo ukuba kudlule izimakethe zomhlaba. Ngokuyinhloko izinkomba zomhlaba zisabele kahle kakhulu kulesi simemezelo. Ngaphansi kwamasonto amabili emuva i-DJIA yayingaphansi kakhulu kwe-15000 nge-200 SMA yama-circa ayi-14,500 15,500 abukeka esongelwa. Kodwa-ke, njengoba izinkomba zomhlaba wonke zahlanganisa inkomba ye-DJIA yaphakama ukuvala isonto ngaphansi nje kuka-XNUMX XNUMX ngama-indices amaningi ase-USA afinyelela kumarekhodi aphezulu phakathi nesonto.
Ngokwemvelo ukugxekwa kuzobekwa ngokuqinile ezinyaweni zeFed ukuthi bakhuthaze ukuluthwa kokuncishiswa kwemali nokuthi izimakethe ezinkulu manje sezakhiwe ngamanga, zingenalo iqiniso ezimpilweni zokusebenza, njengezakhamizi zase-USA. Ngemuva kwalokho kuphakama imibuzo yokuthi iFed ingaqala nini ukucisha izinhlelo zokunciphisa ubuningi ngaphandle kokubangela ukuphahlazeka ezimakethe zezimali? Okwamanje le mibuzo izobekwa ohlangothini olulodwa njengoba izimakethe ziba ngolunye usuku olusha kanye neqiniso elisha.
Imicimbi yezindaba enomthelela omkhulu ezayo yesonto eliqala ngoSepthemba 22
UMsombuluko. Lapho nje izimakethe seziphapheme ngomphumela we-flash General of the General Germany, oshicilelwe ngezilokotho zeMarkit Economics, yiyona elawula iningi lezehlakalo zezindaba ezinomthelela omkhulu ekuqaleni kwesonto lokuhweba…
I-PMS ekhiqiza i-HSBC yaseChina ishicilelwa esimisweni sokulala / ekuseni ngakusasa ngeSonto kusihlwa. Ngemuva kwalokho, ngezikhathi zokuhweba zaseYurophu naseLondon ekuseni, kushicilelwa i-PMI yaseFrance, kanye nezinsizakalo ze-PMI. I-PMI yokukhiqiza yaseJalimane ishicilelwe futhi inikezela ngezinsizakalo, ngama-PMI e-European jikelele nawo ashicilelwe kuyo yomibili imikhakha.
NgoMsombuluko uphinde abone umengameli we-ECB uMario Draghi ekhuluma maqondana nokuqondiswa komnotho wase-Europe. I-USA flash yokukhiqiza i-PMI ishicilelwe. Omunye umcimbi wezindaba onomthelela omkhulu owoSihlalo webhange elikhulu laseSwitzerland onikeza inkulumo maqondana nokuholwa yibhange, akungabazeki ukuthi 'ukubetheka' kwe-franc yaseSwitzerland kwi-euro kuzoba ngesinye sezihloko ezimbalwa ezihlanganisiwe.
NgoLwesibili. Inkomba yebhizinisi yaseJalimane ye-IFO iyashicilelwa, njengokuthengiswa okuyisisekelo kweCanada kanye nenkomba yemizwa yabathengi yeBhodi Yenkomfa yase-USA kanye nenkomba yokukhiqiza yeRichmond Fed.
NgoLwesithathu. Ukuthengiswa kwekhaya okusha e-USA nama-oda ezimpahla ahlala isikhathi eside kwakha iningi lemicimbi yezindaba ezinomthelela omkhulu ngoLwesithathu. Izimpahla zikawoyela ongahluziwe nazo ziyashicilelwa kanti ukuphrinta kwangesonto eledlule kwehle ngo -4.4million emiphongolweni abatshalizimali bazobheka lokhu kuphrinta kwempahla ngokucophelela, ngenkathi bebeke iso entengweni kawoyela.
NgoLwesine. Umphakathi wokwakha ozimele wase-UK, iNationalwide, ushicilela inyanga yayo enkombeni yamanani ezindlu ngoLwesine ekuseni. I-UK ibuye ishicilele imininingwane ngokushoda kwe-akhawunti kwamanje kahulumeni bese kushicilelwa isibalo sokugcina seGDP. Ukuthengiswa kwasekhaya okulindile kukhiqizwa yi-USA, okulindeleke ukuthi ukuphrinta kuzokwehla cishe ngo-0.9%.
Friday. Umongameli we-ECB uMario Draghi uphinde abambe inkantolo, kanti ngesikhathi sokuhweba sasekuseni i-UK ikhiqiza inombolo yayo yesithathu yenani lezinsizakalo. Ukusetshenziswa komuntu siqu kwabathengi base-USA kuyashicilelwa, kuhlanganiswe nezinombolo ezibuyekeziwe ezivela enkombeni yemizwa yabathengi yaseYunivesithi yaseMichigan.
Ukubuka konke kwezobuchwepheshe / ukujwayela kokuhweba kwesonto elizayo
Okulandelayo manje ukubuka kuqala kwezobuchwepheshe kwesonto elizayo eshadini lansuku zonke ngokusebenzisa; isenzo sentengo esiboniswe kusetshenziswa imigoqo / amakhandlela kaHeikin Ashi, ukuqashelwa kwephethini, izinombolo eziyindilinga ezibalulekile namazinga abucayi, izilinganiso ezihamba phambili ezibalulekile kanye nezinkomba zokhiye zokuhweba / zokujwayela ezithandwa ngabathengisi bejingi. Kuzohlaziywa amabhangqa emali amakhulu, izimpahla nezinkomba eziholayo.
EUR / USD. Kusukela ukuguquka kwezithandani zemali kubhekwe isikhathi eside ngoSepthemba 9th umfutho obheke phezulu kulo mbhangqwana omkhulu wemali uhlale ungaphuli. I-PSAR ingaphansi kwentengo, i-MACD ne-DMI zinhle futhi kusetshenzisiwe ukubonwa okuphezulu kwe-histogram. I-RSI iku-circa 70, ulayini we-stochastic weqile futhi womabili asondela endaweni ethe xaxa endaweni eyi-9,9,5, ngenkathi ulayini ophezulu weBollinger wephuliwe. I-stochastics kanye ne-RSI endaweni ethe xaxa kanye neBollinger ephezulu ephuliwe, kungakhuthaza abathengisi be-swing ukuthi banqume ukuthi le nhlangano ifinyelele eqophelweni layo lokukhathala. Abahwebi bazokwelulekwa ukuthi bathuthe ukuma ukuze baqinisekise ukuthi bavikela inzuzo abayitholile, ngenkathi bebheka ngokucophelela ishadi lokuthi kungenzeka kube nokuguquka kwemizwa. Kuze kube yisikhathi lapho izinkomba eziningi ezisetshenziswa kakhulu ziba ngabadayisi ababi kufanele bagweme ukuhweba ngokuthambekela ebubini.
GBP / USD. I-Cable yaqala ukushintshela phezulu ngoSepthemba 2, kusukela ngaleso sikhathi ukuzuza kube kukhulu, ngaphezu kwama-pips angama-400. I-PSAR ingaphansi kwentengo, i-MACD iyakhanya njenge-DMI, yize behluleka ukukhuphuka kakhulu nge-MACD engapheli ngoLwesihlanu endaweni enhle. I-RSI isendaweni ebekwe ngaphezulu, njengoba kunjalo nangolayini bobabili be-stochastic. Ulayini ophezulu weBollinger nawo wephuliwe. Amabhendi e-RSI, eBollinger nolayini be-stochastic konke kuyizinkomba zokuthi ezokuphepha zingase zithengwe ngokweqile, ngakho-ke abathengisi abaningi bangafuna ukucabanga ukuvala le ndlela yokuhweba ende, noma ukuqinisekisa ukuthi yonke inzuzo etholakele ikhiyiwe ngokuya ngemuva. Isonto lokuhweba liphele nge-doji yakudala eboniswa yimigoqo ye-Heikin Ashi, engeza ukuqiniseka okuthe xaxa kokuthi lokhu kuhamba ngamandla kungenzeka kufinyelele eqophelweni lokukhathala. Ngaphambi kokuzibophezela ekushintsheni, noma ukuvala abadayisi bezentengiselwano abade bangahle bacabangele ukuthi badinga ubufakazi obuvela ezinkomba ezibalulekile njengePSAR ukuze iguqulwe.
I-AUD / USD. Ngokufanayo nekhebula i-Aussie iqale umfutho wayo phezulu noma ngomhlaka Septhemba 2. Emasontweni ambalwa ngaphambi kwalokhu i-Aussie yayithengise ebangeni eliqinile kakhulu. Kusukela ukushintshela ohlangothini olude ukuzuza kube kukhulu futhi kwalandelwa iphethini lamanye ama-dollar amabili njengoba i-USD ithengisiwe. Kodwa-ke, selokhu isimemezelo esithi 'akukho taper' esenziwe yi-FOMC ngoLwesine kusihlwa ukuboshwa kwe-Aussie kuqhathaniswa ne-greenback sekuboshiwe. Uma ubheka ishadi lansuku zonke i-PSAR lingaphansi kwentengo, i-MACD ne-DMI zinethemba, kepha zehlulekile ukukhuphuka kakhulu ezinsukwini ezimbili zokugcina zokuhweba zansuku zonke, ngenkathi amakhandlela amabili e-doji anganqumi, esebenzisa uHeikin Ashi, kungakhombisa ukuthi ukunyakaza sekufinyelele iphuzu lokukhathala njengokushintshashintsha kwemizwa kuqhathaniswa ne-Aussie. Imigqa ye-Stochastic, esimeni esilungisiwe esingu-9,9,5 ukuze kushayelwe 'umsindo' wemakethe, isendaweni ethengwe kakhulu, ngenkathi i-RSI iwile ekubeni sezindaweni ezingama-70, okukhombisa ukuthi isenzo sezokuphepha ifinyelele ekukhathaleni. Intengo yehle ngebhendi yaseBollinger emaphakathi, kanye ne-stochastics kanye ne-RSI, engahle iphakamise ukuthi abadayisi kumele bazi ukuthi kungenzeka kube yisikhathi sokuvala lokhu kuhwebelana okude. Noma yibaphi abathengisi abakujabulele lokhu kuhweba okude kusukela ngomhlaka 2 bazokwelulekwa ukuthi bazikhiyele inzuzo yabo ngesitobhi esilandelanayo futhi mhlawumbe babheke ukuthi iPSAR idlule intengo, ihlanganiswe nezinye izinkomba ezingezinhle ukuze kuvalwe ukuhweba.
Spot igolide. Igolide libonakale liguqule ukuthambekela ebheke phezulu ngoSepthemba 18th, ngokwemvelo njengendawo ephephile eliba khona ngenxa yesitatimende se-FOMC maqondana nezinhlelo eziqhubekayo zokuthengwa kwempahla / izinhlelo zokwehlisa imali. Kodwa-ke, ngemuva kokuphuka ngokuphawulekayo lesi sinyathelo siboshwe ngezikhathi zokuhweba zangoLwesihlanu njengoba i-DJIA ilahlekelwe yi-1.5% ngosuku ngemuva kokuthi amalungu ahlukahlukene e-FOMC azithathele isinqumo sokuphambuka esimweni esihlangene nomyalezo wokuphakamisa ukuthi umuntu ophethe izintambo angathatha indawo ngo-Okthoba.
Njengoba sesidlulile ngaphezu kwesilinganiso sokuhamba esingu-50 ngoSepthemba 18 intengo isibuyele emuva yadlulela konakele ngezikhathi zokuhweba zangoLwesihlanu. I-PSAR njengamanje ingaphansi kwentengo, i-MACD ne-DMI zimbi futhi zenze ukwehla okuphansi, i-RSI ingaphansi komugqa ophakathi nendawo kuma-43, womabili amarowu we-stochastic athinta indawo engaphezulu, ngenkathi iqembu eliphakathi leBollinger lephuliwe kwehla. Igolide njengamanje limele ukuhweba okunzima ngokumangazayo kunikezwe ukungaqiniseki okwenziwe yimilayezo exubile evela ku-FOMC. Abahwebi njengamanje isikhathi eside bazokwelulekwa ukuthi baqaphe lokhu kuvikeleka ngokucophelela nganoma yiziphi izinkomba zokubuyiselwa emuva, kulokho okubonakala kuyimizwa yamanje yokungathathi hlangothi.
I-DJIA. I-DJIA iqale ukuthambekela kwayo kwamanje ngo-Septhemba 2 noma cishe lapho izothumela i-circa esanda kubalwa engu-14,800. Njengoba ithole amaphuzu angaphezu kwamakhulu ayisishiyagalombili nesishiyagalombili inkomba ibuyele emuva kakhulu ngoLwesihlanu ngenxa yezitatimende ze-FOMC maqondana ne-taper yokuqala engaba khona. I-PSAR ingaphansi kwentengo, i-MACD ne-DMI zinhle, yomibili imigqa yesitokofela isendaweni ethengwe ngokweqile, ngenkathi i-RSI iwa isuka endaweni ethengwe kakhulu yaphrinta kuma-circa 850 ngasekupheleni kokuhweba ngoLwesihlanu. Abahwebi abagibele lo mkhuba we-bullish kusukela ekuqaleni kukaSepthemba bazobe bezilandele izitobhi zabo, mhlawumbe ngokusebenzisa i-PSAR okuyindlela ejwayelekile. Abahwebi bangahle bathambekele ekuvaleni ukuhweba kwabo okude uma kunikezwa inzuzo enkulu, kungenjalo bangafisa ukulinda obunye ubufakazi bokuthi ukuhweba ngomfutho omude kufinyelele eqophelweni lokukhathala, mhlawumbe njengokungenani i-PSAR ebonakala ngaphezu kwentengo.
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