Isibalo se-GDP sakamuva sase-UK singahle sifike enanini elivelele futhi siveze noma yimuphi umthelela oqhubekayo weBrexit
Ngo-9: 30 ekuseni GMT, ngoLwesine Novemba 23, i-UK ejensi yezibalo i-ONS izodalula zombili izibalo zakamuva zanyanga zonke nonyaka ze-GDP emnothweni wase-UK. Isibikezelo asikho ushintsho; Ukukhula okungu-1.5% minyaka yonke kanye no-0.4% kwikota yesi-3, okulingana no-0.4% obikwe ku-Q2. Yize izibalo ezinjalo zithusa kakhulu kunabahlaziyi abaningi kanye nabatshalizimali abebesabela i-UK ngemuva kwesinqumo sayo sereferendamu esathathwa ngoJuni 2016, ukukhula okungu-1.5% kumele ukwehliswa kwezibalo zangaphambilini zokukhula okungu-2% + ngo-2016 futhi kusilela kakhulu ekuqageleni okwenziwe yibo bobabili uhulumeni waseBrithani kanye ne-ejensi yabo ye-OBR (ihhovisi elibhekele ezamabhizinisi) lowe-2017.
Izibalo ze-GDP zizoshicilelwa ngosuku olulandelayo ngemuva kokuthi iKhansela lase-UK lethule isabelomali salo, imininingwane yakamuva iveze ukuthi uhulumeni uboleka futhi imali esilele inyukile nge-MoM, isibalo se-GDP sizobhekwa ngokucophelela ngabatshalizimali ukuthola izimpawu zanoma ikuphi ukubuthakathaka komnotho okuqhubekayo, okuvezwe yisibalo esibi -0.3% sokukhula kokudayiswa kweYo okusanda kuqoshwa, emnothweni othembele kakhulu kumthengi, lesi sibalo sibangele ukukhathazeka kwabatshalizimali.
Abatshalizimali nabahlaziyi bangakholelwa ukuthi (okwesikhashana) okubi kakhulu sekuphelile nge-UK, ngokuya ngomthelela weBrexit. I-sterling isiyonke igcine izinga eliphakeme (ngokusobala) uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo, yize kunezinkinga eziqhubekayo zeBrexit. Selokhu kwafinyelela inani eliphakeme leminyaka engu-93.00 ngasekupheleni kuka-Agasti 2017, i-EUR / GBP ibuyele encazelweni; manje isihlelwe eduze nezinga le-89.00, yehluleka ukubamba isibambo se-90.00. I-GBP / USD manje ibambe ezingeni le-1.32, iwele ku-1.20 ngoJanuwari, yize kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi inzuzo yekhebula ibilokhu ingumphumela wobuthakathaka bedola, ngokungafani namandla amangalisayo.
Uma izibalo zokukhula zakamuva zingalahlekelwa yimigomo, kungenzeka kakhulu ukuthi iziphambano ezinhle nekhebula (i-GBP / USD) zithinteke. Ngokunjalo, uma izibalo zishaya ukuqagela, khona-ke okuhle kakhulu kufanele kukhuphuke kuqhathaniswa nontanga yabo futhi isibalo se-Q2 siveze ukuthuthuka okuthe xaxa ku-0.3% owake waqophelwa i-Q1 phambilini, kanti i-Q3 ngokomlando ingahlala imele ikota elingcono kakhulu lokukhula komnotho.
Njengemicimbi yekhalenda yezomnotho enzima, izibalo ze-GDP zihlala zinekhono lokwenza inani lemali yasekhaya yezwe lapho kukhishwa khona izibalo, ngakho-ke abathengisi beFX bazokwelulekwa ukuthi: bahlukanise umcimbi, baqaphe ukutholakala kwabo kukhebula nobuhle iziphambano, futhi ulungise ubungozi nezikhundla zabo ngokufanele.
UK UKHUSELEKA KWEZIMITHI ZOMNOTHO KAKHULU
• Ukukhula kwekota ye-GDP u-0.4%.
• Ukukhula konyaka kwe-GDP 1.5%.
• Ukwehla kwamandla emali (CPI) 3%.
• Ukungasebenzi 4.3%.
• Ukukhula komholo u-2.2%.
• Isilinganiso senzalo 0.5%.
• Ukuthengisa okudayiswayo YoY -0.3%.
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