I-OECD Prick the Eurozone Bubble as 200 Million Bayesatshiswa Abangasebenzi
Ngabe kuyindida noma ukuqondana kwezinto ukuthi njengoba samukela isakhamuzi sethu sezigidi eziyisikhombisa zomhlaba wonke emhlabeni wethu ukungasebenzi kwabantu kufinyelela kwizigidi ezingama-200 ngokwe-ILO. I-International Labour Organisation yathi embikweni wayo ukuthi kuzodingeka imisebenzi emisha engaba yizigidi ezingama-80 eminyakeni emibili ezayo ukubuyela emazingeni okuqashwa angaphambi kwenhlekelele — izigidi ezingama-27 emnothweni osezingeni eliphezulu kanti okusele emazweni asafufusa nasathuthukayo. Ukuqagela ukuthi kuzokwakhiwa izigidi ezingama-40 kuphela.
"Sinethuba elifushane elifushane lokuthola ithuba lokugwema ukuqashwa kabili," kusho uRaymond Torres, umqondisi we-ILO International Institute for Labour Studies, okhiphe lo mbiko.
Ingozi yezinxushunxushu zomphakathi iyenyuka emazweni angama-45 kwangu-118 eliwahlolile — ikakhulukazi ngaphakathi kwe-European Union kanye nesifunda sama-Arabhu, i-ILO ixwayise. Imininingwane ekhishwe ngoMsombuluko ikhombise ukuthi isibalo sabantu abangasebenzi emnyangweni we-euro sikhuphuke saya ezigidini eziyi-16.2 ngoSepthemba, okuyizinga eliphakeme kakhulu selokhu kwaqalwa amarekhodi ngo-1998. I-ILO ithe isibalo sabantu abangasebenzi emhlabeni wonke sesifikile naseqophelweni eliphezulu kakhulu ngaphezu kwezigidi ezingama-200.
Ngaphambi komhlangano we-G20 ozoba ngasekupheleni kwaleli sonto e-Cannes, e-France i-OECD ilimaze leli qembu futhi yahlikihla igwebu lesasasa langesonto eledlule ngaphambi kokuba izikhulu zihlangane futhi zingene ezingxoxweni ezigcwele. I-OECD ithe ukukhula komnotho ku-eurozone kuzokwehla kuye ku-0.3pc ngonyaka ozayo ngemuva kokukhula kwe-1.6pc kulo nyaka, futhi kuzohlala kubuthakathaka e-US njengoba izimakethe ezisafufusa zizothola ukukhula kancane kunangaphambi kokuqala kwenkinga yezezimali. Kukonke, ukukhula emazweni e-G20 kuzokwehla kuye ku-3.8pc ngo-2012, uma kuqhathaniswa no-3.9pc kulo nyaka, kungakhuphukela ku-4.6pc ngo-2013. I-OECD yengeze ukuthi isimo sizoba sibi kakhulu uma isivumelwano sokutakula i-eurozone sehluleka ukubuyisa ukuzethemba. I-OECD ithe umnotho wase-US uzokhula ngo-1.8% ngonyaka ozayo, ngaphansi kuka-3.1% wokukhulisa owawubikezele ngoMeyi, futhi uzothatha ijubane kuphela ngo-2013, ngokwandiswa ngo-2.5%. Izilinganiso zezikweletu kuya kwi-GDP zizoqhubeka zikhuphuke, zifike esikhathini seminyaka emibili i-108.7% e-US, i-97.6% endaweni ye-euro kanye ne-227.6% eJapan, izibalo ze-OECD zikhombisile.
Ukuphindwa kwesimo sezezimali sango-2007 kungasusa amaphesenti ama-5 kwi-GDP yezomnotho emikhulu engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka wezi-2013, kungeze i-OECD. Kodwa-ke, uhlelo olunamandla lokwenziwa yi-G20 lungasiza ukukhulisa ukukhula ngaphezu kokuqagela kwayo. Izizwe ze-G20 zidinga ukwenza izinguquko ezakhiwayo ukubhekana nokuntuleka kwemisebenzi kanye nokulinganiswa kwesidingo somhlaba wonke, kuyilapho amazinga wenzalo ku-euro kufanele ehliswe ngaphansi kukamongameli omusha uMario Draghi, kungezwe i-OECD.
Ngenkathi amehlo amaningi egxile embuthanweni wemakethe yezimali kusukela ngesonto eledlule kumenyezelwe isixazululo (sohlobo oluthile) enkingeni enkulu yezikweletu ze-Eurozone i-euro ayikaze idlale njengoba manje isilahlekelwe yizo zonke izinzuzo zokumenyezelwa kwezixazululo zeposi. Imali manje isisule yonke inzuzo, cishe ama-pips angama-400 uma kuqhathaniswa nedola lase-USA kusukela ngasekupheleni kwesonto eledlule. Njengobusuku obulandela usuku ezinye izizwe ze-PIIGS, ngemfashini ehamba phambili ka-'Oliver Twist ', zicela ngesizotha ukuthi “ngicela Mnumzane, ngicela ukuthola okungaphezulu?” Njengoba bebone iGreece ithola izinwele zezikweletu ezingamaphesenti angamashumi amahlanu manje bazizwa benamandla okubuza ukuthi kungani kufanele bakhandleke futhi bajuluke ukuze balondoloze ukuzibophezela nokujezisa ukuzibophezela kwabo bonke abavumelene ngakho ezinyangeni eziyishumi nambili ezedlule.
UNdunankulu waseGrisi okhaliphile futhi okhaliphile uzibonakalisa eyikho, kungekudala i-inki isomile esivumelwaneni sonke futhi uphakamisa inhlolovo kazwelonke ephaketheni le-austerity, isigqoko esinqunyiwe, lokho `` ukuqina '' kwezinga lomhlaba, kepha ubenokuthile okukhethekile abafundisi kanye nemfundo ye-helluva eminyakeni emithathu edlule. UPapandreou uphinde wathi uzocela ivoti lokuzethemba ukuze aqinisekise ukwesekwa kwenqubomgomo yakhe kuze kuphele isikhathi sakhe seminyaka emine, esiphela ngo-2013. Abahlaziyi bathi kungenzeka ukuthi akuphumelele lokho, yize kukhona ukungaboni ngaso linye eqenjini lakhe lasePhalamende. Uphoqeleke ukuba axoshe ilungu leqembu eliphakeme ngokuvota ngokumelene nengxenye yephakethe lakhe lakamuva futhi abanye bamxwayisa ukuthi bekungokokugcina ukuthi bavotele izinyathelo abangakholelwa kuzona.
Siyazethemba izakhamuzi, siyakholelwa ekwahluleleni kwazo, siyakholelwa esinqumweni sazo. Emasontweni ambalwa isivumelwano se- (EU) kuzoba inkontileka entsha yemalimboleko, kufanele sipele ukuthi siyayemukela noma siyayenqaba.
UNdunankulu uSilvio Berlusconi ubhekane nezingcingo ezintsha zokuthi asule esikhundleni ngoMsombuluko njengoba izimakethe zigcine ziqale ukuvula i-Italy, zafaka izindleko zokuboleka kwazo emazingeni amasha ayingozi ekukhathazekeni okusha ngokuqhubeka kwenkinga yendawo ye-euro. Izithelo zeminyaka eyishumi e-Italy, ama-fixed-bond bonds abizwa ngokuthi ama-BTP akhuphuke aya kumaphesenti ayi-10, okuyizinga elibonwa kabanzi njengelingasimami esikhathini eside futhi esiseduze nezinga eliphoqe iRoma ukuthi ifune usizo kwi-European Central Bank ngo-Agasti. I-ECB iqhubeke nokungenelela kwayo ukukhokha izindleko zokubolekwa kweRoma ngokuthenga amabhondi ase-Italy emakethe ngoMsombuluko kodwa imali ekhokhelwa ubungozi iqhubekile nokukhuphuka futhi isivuno seminyaka eyishumi sase-Italiya siqede usuku ngaphezu kwamaphuzu ayisisekelo angama-6.1 ngenhla kwesilinganiso samaBunds aseGerman.
Ukweqa kwesivuno kukhombise ukukhathazeka okwandayo kwemakethe ngezinyathelo abaholi be-EU abavumelene ngazo ngesonto eledlule ukuqeda inkinga ye-euro zone futhi kwagcizelela isikhundla se-Italy enkabeni yesimo esiphuthumayo. Ngesonto eledlule, i-Italy ikhokhe isivuno samaphesenti angama-6.06 endalini yamabhondi weminyaka eyi-10, okuyimali ephezulu kakhulu selokhu kwethulwe i-euro eminyakeni engaphezu kweyishumi edlule, okwenza ukukhathazeka okwandayo ngokuthi izoyikhokhela kanjani imali engaphezulu kwama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-600 idinga ukulungiswa kabusha eminyakeni emithathu ezayo. I-Italy, umnotho wesithathu ngobukhulu we-euro, ungaba mkhulu kakhulu ukuba iziphathimandla ze-euro zikwazi ukutakula futhi abaholi be-EU bebelokhu becindezela iBerlusconi ngezinguquko ezisheshayo nezifinyelela kude zokunciphisa ukushoda nokukhulisa ukukhula.
Ukwehla kwamandla emali kwe-Euro zone bekuphakeme ngokumangazayo ngamaphesenti ama-3.0 enyangeni yesibili eqondile ngo-Okthoba, i-EU imemezele ngoMsombuluko, okwenza osomnotho bahlehlise ukubheja kwabo ngenani lebhange eliphakathi elizoncishiswa kuze kube nguDisemba. Imizamo yokunxenxa iChina ukunikela ngendawo ye-euro ngentambo ezosebenza izobusa eNgqungqutheleni ye-G20 futhi ishiye iBeijing ibambe amakhadi njengoba abaholi bamazwe bezama ukubuyisa ukuzethemba emakethe. Yize bephika izikhulu zase-Europe ukuthi balahlekelwe yisikhundla sabo sokuxoxisana futhi bathembisa ukuthi i-China ngeke inikezwe imvume, isifiso se-Europe sokuthi iBeijing ifake isandla emotweni ekhethekile yokutshala imali (i-SPIV) ukuze isetshenziselwe isikhwama sayo sokutakula i-EFSF ibeke ibhola enkantolo yase China ngomhlangano wokugcina we-G20 waseFrance.
Abatshalizimali bebekhathazeke kakhulu ngokuthi abaholi bendawo ye-euro ngeke bafinyelele esivumelwaneni ngokuxazulula inkinga yezikweletu ngo-Okthoba ukuthi banciphise ukubanjwa kwezimali kube sezingeni lesibili eliphansi ezinyangeni eziyi-12, izinhlolovo zeReuters zikhombisile ngoMsombuluko. Ucwaningo lweReuters lwezindlu ezingama-56 ezihola phambili zokutshalwa kwezimali e-United States, eJapan, e-Europe nase-UK naseBrithani lukhombise ukuthi isilinganiso sesitoko esiphethe iphothifoliyo elinganisiwe bekungamaphesenti angama-49.5, kwehle kusuka kumaphesenti angama-50.5 ngoSepthemba.
Amabhondi anyuke aya kuma-35.9% asuka kuma-34.6% kanti imali yehle yaya kuma-5.9%, namanje kusezingeni lesibili eliphakeme ezinyangeni eziyi-12 ezedlule ngemuva kuka-Septhemba ka-6.3%. Ukwanda kokwabiwa kwamabhondi kukhombisa okunye ukwesaba abatshalizimali, kepha manje bekuyindlela ngisho. Ukwabiwa komhlaba wonke esikweletini sase-US kwehle kwaba ngamaphesenti angama-40.3 kusuka kumaphesenti angama-35.2 kwathi ukubanjwa kwamabhondi aseJapan kwenyuka kancane. Kepha ukubanjwa kwesikweletu se-euro zone kwehle kwaba ngamaphesenti angama-27.4 kusuka kumaphesenti angama-29.1 - inyanga yesine ilandelana isikwe.
Markets
I-SPX ivale u-2.47%, i-STOXX yavala u-3.13%, i-FTSE yavala u-2.77%, i-CAC yavala u-3.16% kwathi i-DAX yavala u-3.23%. Ikusasa lenkomba yezimali ze-FTSE liphakamisa ukuthi kuvulwe cishe u-1% phansi, ikusasa le-SPX equity lehle cishe ngo-0.3% ngo-23: 00 GMT ngoMsombuluko.
Ukukhishwa kwekhalenda lezomnotho kungathinta imakethe yezikhathi zaseLondon naseYurophu ekuseni.
07:00 UK - Izintengo Zendlu Yomhlaba Wonke Ngo-Okthoba
09:30 UK - PMI Ukukhiqiza ngo-Okthoba
09:30 UK - GDP Q3
09:30 UK - Inkomba Yezinsizakalo Agasti
Izibalo ze-GDP yase-UK zizobonakala zisebenza kakhulu. Abahlaziyi abahlolisiswe yiBloomberg banikeze isibikezelo samakota aphakathi nendawo sika-0.30%, sisuka ku-0.1% wekota edlule. Unyaka nonyaka, ucwaningo lwabikezela ukuthi u-0.4%, kusukela ekukhishweni kwangaphambilini kuka-0.6%. Kodwa-ke, kunethuba elinamandla lokuthi umuntu omubi athathe isimakethe ngokungalindelekile.
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