Meyi 9 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-7704 • Amazwana Off ku-GBP kuqhathaniswa ne-USD kanye ne-EUR
Izolo, kuncane kakhulu obekungashiwo ngesenzo sentengo ngezinga lesiphambano le-EUR / GBP ngemininingwane emincane ye-eco evela eholidini ngoMsombuluko. Laba bobabili bahlala ebangeni elincane cishe phakathi kuka-0.8050 / 75. Umbiko ongezansi wokuvumelana kwamanani ezitolo we-BRC kanye nebhalansi yamanani ezindlu ze-RICS azinakiwe.
Ukungaqiniseki ngesimo eYurophu kuqhubekile nokubamba noma yikuphi ukukhuphuka ku-EUR / GBP, kepha akubanga khona nsolo yomlenze omusha ophakeme obhekene ne-euro. I-EUR / GBP iqhubeke nokushintsha izandla ibanga elitheni lamalows wamuva. Laba bavale usuku ngo-0.8049, uma kuqhathaniswa no-0.8061 ngoMsombuluko kusihlwa.
Ngobusuku obubodwa, ukuthengisa okufana nokuthengwa kwe-BRC kubikwe ukuthi kwehle kakhulu. Kodwa-ke, njengoba kwenzeka sekwephuzile, bekungekho neze umthelela ekuhwebeni okuhle kakhulu. Ngesikhathi sokubhala i-EUR / GBP kuvivinya okwehla kwamuva endaweni engu-0.8035.
Ukulandela kusukela ngesonto eledlule, iPound lehle izinsuku ezine zilandelana uma liqhathaniswa neDola laseMelika ngoLwesibili, njengoba umbiko izolo ukhombisile ukuthi ukukhula ezimbonini zezinsizakalo zase-UK kwehle ngezibikezelo ezingaphezu kuka-Ephreli, kanti umbiko ohlukile ovela eNationalwide uqinisekise leyo ndlu amanani awile ngo-Ephreli. Imali yase-UK ibuyele emuva ekusekelweni okubalulekile esifundeni se-1.6170 uma kuqhathaniswa neDola, njengoba inkomba yezinsizakalo yehle yaya ku-53.3, isuka ku-55.3 ngoMashi.
IPound ihlale ingashintshi kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-Euro neDollar yase-Australia, nokho, njengoba umbiko ukhombisile ukuthi ukukhula kwezinsizakalo kusengaphezulu komugqa okuzokhombisa ukuncipha. Kukhona ukuqagela kokuthi izibalo ze-GDP zizobuyekezwa ngaphezulu kwikota yokuqala futhi imininingwane, yize ingekho kahle, ayenzi lutho ukudikibala lokho.
Kamuva namhlanje akusekho idatha ebalulekile ye-eco ku-ajenda yase-UK. Ngakho-ke, ukuhweba kungahle kufane nalokhu okwenzeke izolo.
Uma i-EUR / USD ingaphula ukwesekwa okuyisihluthulelo esingu-1.2974 / 55, ukwehla kwe-euro jikelele kungashesha futhi lokhu kungathinta nokuhweba nge-EUR / GBP. Ngakho-ke okwamanje, asikho isizathu sokulindela i-U-turn ekumeni okuphansi kwe-EUR / GBP. Lokho kusho ukuthi sikhula ngokwesaba ohlangothini lwase-UK lendaba eya emhlanganweni we-BoE wakusasa.
Ngokunikezwa kwedatha yakamuva, icala le-QE eyengeziwe lisazoba setafuleni kusasa. Ngemuva kokuthi izimakethe zakamuva zokuxhumana (Amaminithi) zingahle zingalungi uma i-BoE ingaphakamisa uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla kusasa futhi ingakhuphula izingqinamba zokuthembeka kwe-BoE. Ngakho-ke, isimo sethu esithandwayo ukuthi i-BoE imise (okungenani okwesikhashana) uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla. Kodwa-ke, nge-BoE, umuntu akaze azi.
Ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, akukho okubonisa noma yikuphi ukuguqulwa kwethrendi nhlobo. Emasontweni adlule, izinga lokuwela le-EUR / GBP lehle ngaphansi kwamazinga wokusekelwa abalulekile ku-0.8222 naku-0.8142. Kuleli sonto, laba bobabili behle ngaphansi kokuxhaswa kwe-0.8068, kwavula indlela yesenzo sokubuyela endaweni engu-0.77. (Okthoba 2008 kuya phansi). Okwamanje, asigudluki kulwandle futhi sigcina isikhundla sethu esifushane se-EUR / GBP.
Kodwa-ke, njengoba sinomuzwa wokuthi imakethe ibekwe endaweni enhle kakhulu, sibeka ukuvikelwa kokulahleka kokumiswa kuma-shorts e-EUR / GBP ukuvikela isikhundla sethu engcupheni yangaphandle yokuvuselelwa kwenqubomgomo emhlanganweni wakusasa we-BoE noma emakethe ukubeka kabusha nganoma yisiphi isizathu. I-EUR / GBP yokuphinda ithole i-MTMA (13 d, njengamanje ku-0.8126) kungaba yisibonakaliso sokuqala sokuthi ingcindezi yokwehla kwesilinganiso esiphansi iyancipha. Ukuhweba okusimeme ngenhla kwendawo engu-0.8198 / 8222 (ukuphakama kwakamuva) kuzomisa isexwayiso esingesihle.
EURGBPUSD
« Ushintsho olusuka ku-Austerity luye ekukhuleni Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe ngoMeyi 10 2012 »
I-GBP iqhathanisa ne-USD ne-EUR
Meyi 9 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-7704 • Amazwana Off ku-GBP kuqhathaniswa ne-USD kanye ne-EUR
Izolo, kuncane kakhulu obekungashiwo ngesenzo sentengo ngezinga lesiphambano le-EUR / GBP ngemininingwane emincane ye-eco evela eholidini ngoMsombuluko. Laba bobabili bahlala ebangeni elincane cishe phakathi kuka-0.8050 / 75. Umbiko ongezansi wokuvumelana kwamanani ezitolo we-BRC kanye nebhalansi yamanani ezindlu ze-RICS azinakiwe.
Ukungaqiniseki ngesimo eYurophu kuqhubekile nokubamba noma yikuphi ukukhuphuka ku-EUR / GBP, kepha akubanga khona nsolo yomlenze omusha ophakeme obhekene ne-euro. I-EUR / GBP iqhubeke nokushintsha izandla ibanga elitheni lamalows wamuva. Laba bavale usuku ngo-0.8049, uma kuqhathaniswa no-0.8061 ngoMsombuluko kusihlwa.
Ngobusuku obubodwa, ukuthengisa okufana nokuthengwa kwe-BRC kubikwe ukuthi kwehle kakhulu. Kodwa-ke, njengoba kwenzeka sekwephuzile, bekungekho neze umthelela ekuhwebeni okuhle kakhulu. Ngesikhathi sokubhala i-EUR / GBP kuvivinya okwehla kwamuva endaweni engu-0.8035.
Ukulandela kusukela ngesonto eledlule, iPound lehle izinsuku ezine zilandelana uma liqhathaniswa neDola laseMelika ngoLwesibili, njengoba umbiko izolo ukhombisile ukuthi ukukhula ezimbonini zezinsizakalo zase-UK kwehle ngezibikezelo ezingaphezu kuka-Ephreli, kanti umbiko ohlukile ovela eNationalwide uqinisekise leyo ndlu amanani awile ngo-Ephreli. Imali yase-UK ibuyele emuva ekusekelweni okubalulekile esifundeni se-1.6170 uma kuqhathaniswa neDola, njengoba inkomba yezinsizakalo yehle yaya ku-53.3, isuka ku-55.3 ngoMashi.
IPound ihlale ingashintshi kakhulu uma iqhathaniswa ne-Euro neDollar yase-Australia, nokho, njengoba umbiko ukhombisile ukuthi ukukhula kwezinsizakalo kusengaphezulu komugqa okuzokhombisa ukuncipha. Kukhona ukuqagela kokuthi izibalo ze-GDP zizobuyekezwa ngaphezulu kwikota yokuqala futhi imininingwane, yize ingekho kahle, ayenzi lutho ukudikibala lokho.
Kamuva namhlanje akusekho idatha ebalulekile ye-eco ku-ajenda yase-UK. Ngakho-ke, ukuhweba kungahle kufane nalokhu okwenzeke izolo.
Uma i-EUR / USD ingaphula ukwesekwa okuyisihluthulelo esingu-1.2974 / 55, ukwehla kwe-euro jikelele kungashesha futhi lokhu kungathinta nokuhweba nge-EUR / GBP. Ngakho-ke okwamanje, asikho isizathu sokulindela i-U-turn ekumeni okuphansi kwe-EUR / GBP. Lokho kusho ukuthi sikhula ngokwesaba ohlangothini lwase-UK lendaba eya emhlanganweni we-BoE wakusasa.
Ngokunikezwa kwedatha yakamuva, icala le-QE eyengeziwe lisazoba setafuleni kusasa. Ngemuva kokuthi izimakethe zakamuva zokuxhumana (Amaminithi) zingahle zingalungi uma i-BoE ingaphakamisa uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla kusasa futhi ingakhuphula izingqinamba zokuthembeka kwe-BoE. Ngakho-ke, isimo sethu esithandwayo ukuthi i-BoE imise (okungenani okwesikhashana) uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla. Kodwa-ke, nge-BoE, umuntu akaze azi.
Ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, akukho okubonisa noma yikuphi ukuguqulwa kwethrendi nhlobo. Emasontweni adlule, izinga lokuwela le-EUR / GBP lehle ngaphansi kwamazinga wokusekelwa abalulekile ku-0.8222 naku-0.8142. Kuleli sonto, laba bobabili behle ngaphansi kokuxhaswa kwe-0.8068, kwavula indlela yesenzo sokubuyela endaweni engu-0.77. (Okthoba 2008 kuya phansi). Okwamanje, asigudluki kulwandle futhi sigcina isikhundla sethu esifushane se-EUR / GBP.
Kodwa-ke, njengoba sinomuzwa wokuthi imakethe ibekwe endaweni enhle kakhulu, sibeka ukuvikelwa kokulahleka kokumiswa kuma-shorts e-EUR / GBP ukuvikela isikhundla sethu engcupheni yangaphandle yokuvuselelwa kwenqubomgomo emhlanganweni wakusasa we-BoE noma emakethe ukubeka kabusha nganoma yisiphi isizathu. I-EUR / GBP yokuphinda ithole i-MTMA (13 d, njengamanje ku-0.8126) kungaba yisibonakaliso sokuqala sokuthi ingcindezi yokwehla kwesilinganiso esiphansi iyancipha. Ukuhweba okusimeme ngenhla kwendawo engu-0.8198 / 8222 (ukuphakama kwakamuva) kuzomisa isexwayiso esingesihle.
EURGBPUSD
« Ushintsho olusuka ku-Austerity luye ekukhuleni Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe ngoMeyi 10 2012 »