Okthoba 14 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-9478 • 2 Amazwana ku-The Eurozone Crisis - a Comedy of Amaphutha
Ngaphandle kwesimo sokujikeleza kwemicimbi yezomnotho emikhulu manje sekuba nzima kakhulu ukuhambisana nemicimbi eshintshashintshayo. Isibonelo, akuvamile ukuthi abahlaziyi badideke ukuthi ubani owenza ini kule Comedy Of Errors Shakespearean farce. Ngenkathi uTrichet esezophuma esigabeni esisele futhi athathe umnsalo nehlombe ekhethini lokugcina lesikhathi sakhe, akhuphule uBarroso ukuze aqhubeke nokulandisa. Khonamanjalo 'itulo le-troika' liyaqina, umqulu we-G20 uya edolobheni kanye ne-IMF .. kahle-ke i-IMF iyaqhubeka nokuba yi-IMF.
Ekugcineni, esiphethweni seComedy Of Errors, uMbusi (Solinus) uxola u-Egeon ngokungena edolobheni, u-Antipholus waseSyracuse uqala ukweshela uLuciana ngomshado kanti u-Emelia wenza idili lokuthokozela ukuhlangana komndeni. Idili lesisombululo se-G20 alikwazi ukuza ngokushesha ngokwanele. Mayelana nokuthi lelo dili lomgubho lizobanjelwa noma cha kule mpelasonto, impelasonto yomhla zingama-23, noma uNovemba 3 ukuqagela kwanoma ngubani okunikezwa ukuthi kungaba khona eminye imihlangano ebanjelwa phakathi.
Kufanele uzibuze ukuthi isikhathi ngasinye kunesiphithiphithi esincane sokungakhululeki “ezimakethe” uChristine Lagarde akathumeli umbhalo weqembu kanye ne-imeyili; “Sidinga omunye umhlangano ohleliwe bafo, ake nazise iBloomberg neReuters, okuzoduduza izimakethe elinye isonto. Uxolo uma lokho kuthatha imihlangano ehleliwe kuze kufike kuKhisimusi futhi kuchithe izinhlelo zakho zeholide eKlosters… 'ake ume kancane, uma sinomhlangano eKlosters singafakazela ukuthi noma sinekhefu lethu lokushushuluza, ikakhulukazi Imithambeka ekhethekile ikhona, sisenzima kuyo..genius, ngiwufanele lo msebenzi .. ”
Umcabango uyenzeka uma lolu chungechunge lwemihlangano kumane kuwuchungechunge oluqhubekayo lwemihlangano eminyakeni ezayo? Ukuthi lo mkhawulo wokuzivocavoca umonakalo, ukugcina isiguli siphila ngenkathi sikwi-coma ejulile, ukuphela kwesixazululo? Kufanele uzibuze ukuthi ngabe elinye iqembu lizogcina sehlukane yini futhi 'lisho ukuthi i-Eurozone idinga cishe ama-trillion angama-2-3 ukugwema ukubusa kwenkinga yesikweletu esikhulu ekudilikeni, noma yini enye imane ikhukhumeza nomoya, kuzofanela kufike isigaba lapho “izimakethe” zingakhohliswa inkulumo engenamqondo.
Njenge-G20, oNgqongqoshe be-EU, i-IMF, (begqagqana ne-troika), bahlangane ukukhipha 'uhlelo' iSpain luthola ukwehliswa kwesikweletu kwaStandard & Poor's. Lo mhlangano eParis uyisandulela somunye umhlangano we-G20 ozokuba ngo-Okthoba 23 ngaphambi komunye umhlangano eCannes ekuqaleni kukaNovemba. Amasheya ase-Europe kanye ne-euro azinzile ngoLwesihlanu njengoba amathemba okuqhubekela phambili ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu yendawo ye-euro anciphisa amandla okuphendulwa ngamadolo ekwehlisweni kwesilinganiso sezikweletu eSpain. Kube nesikhathi lapho ukwehliswa okufana nalokhu, komunye weminotho emikhulu yaseYurophu, bekungathumela ukuthi izimakethe zikhule, ikakhulukazi uma kunikezwa osomnotho abaningi kanye nabahlaziyi bezikhombise ukuthi iSpain ne-Italy yizo eziyizinkinga zangempela e-Eurozone uma kuqhathaniswa ngqo IGrisi.
UMqondisi Ophethe we-IMF uChristine Lagarde watshela amazwe angamalungu ngenyanga edlule ukuthi izinga le-IMF lamanje elingu- $ 390 billion lokuxhasa ngemali kungenzeka linganele ukuhlangabezana nazo zonke izicelo zemalimboleko uma umnotho womhlaba uba bucayi. I-IMF kungenzeka isiphindaphinde njalo leso sicelo ngesikhathi kulandelwa imihlangano emasontweni amathathu ezayo. Kodwa-ke, kungaba nzima kakhulu, noma kungenzeki, ukuthi iJapan, iChina, iRussia nezinye izizwe zeBRICS zivume ukufaka isandla. Isinyathelo sokuqinisa amandla e-IMF sizofana nesinqumo se-G-20 ngo-Ephreli 2009 sokuphinda kathathu izinsizakusebenza zesikhwama njengengxenye yohlelo lokukhipha umhlaba ekunciphiseni komnotho. Kepha amazwe athile angathatha isimo sokuhlukaniswa ngokwengeziwe nalokho okungabonakala njengokugula ohlelweni lwasebhange olusentshonalanga olungabekwa ngabatshalizimali basentshonalanga ngokuthatha 'izinwele' eziphakeme ezingamaphesenti ayisithupha eziphakanyisiwe.
Izimakethe ezinkulu zase-Asia zawela ngobusuku obubodwa, ukuhweba kwasekuseni, iNikkei yavala u-0.85%, iHang Seng yavala u-1.35% kwathi i-CSI yavala u-0.33%. Izinkomba eziyinhloko zemakethe zaseYurophu zikhuphukile ekuhwebeni kwasekuseni; i-STOXX inyuke ngo-0.57%, i-FTSE inyuke ngo-0.73%, i-CAC 0.64% ne-DAX inyuke ngo-1.01%. Ikusasa lenkomba ye-SPX njengamanje lenyuke ngo-0.7%. I-euro iphokophele ekutholeni inzuzo enkulu kunazo zonke ngesonto uma iqhathaniswa nedola kusukela ngoJanuwari njengoba ongqongqoshe bezezimali be-G20 beqala umhlangano wabo wezinsuku ezimbili. Le mali ibhekiswe ekusetshenzisweni kwayo kwezinsuku ezinhlanu zokuqala emavikini ayisikhombisa ngokumelene ne-yen.
Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho okungathinta umbono weseshini yantambama kufaka phakathi okulandelayo;
I-13: 30 US - Inkomba Yamanani Okungenisa uSepthemba
13:30 US - Ukuthengisa Okuthuthukile NgoSepthemba
14:55 US - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Okthoba
15:00 US - Izimpahla Zebhizinisi Agasti
Ucwaningo lwaseBloomberg lukhombisa ushintsho olulindelekile oluphakathi kuka -0.4% (inyanga nenyanga) lwentengo yokungenisa ehlala ingashintshiwe kusuka kwinani langaphambilini. Unyaka nonyaka lokhu bekulindeleke ukuthi kube ngu-12.4% uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esikhishwe esingu-13.0%. Izazi zezomnotho ezihlolwe yiBloomberg ziveze isibikezelo esiphakathi esingu-60.3 semizwa yaseMichigan, uma kuqhathaniswa nokukhishwa kwangaphambilini kuka-59.4.
inhlekelele ye-eurozoneiziphakamiso zemakethe zangaphambili
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Inkinga ye-Eurozone - Ihlaya Lamaphutha
Okthoba 14 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-9478 • 2 Amazwana ku-The Eurozone Crisis - a Comedy of Amaphutha
Ngaphandle kwesimo sokujikeleza kwemicimbi yezomnotho emikhulu manje sekuba nzima kakhulu ukuhambisana nemicimbi eshintshashintshayo. Isibonelo, akuvamile ukuthi abahlaziyi badideke ukuthi ubani owenza ini kule Comedy Of Errors Shakespearean farce. Ngenkathi uTrichet esezophuma esigabeni esisele futhi athathe umnsalo nehlombe ekhethini lokugcina lesikhathi sakhe, akhuphule uBarroso ukuze aqhubeke nokulandisa. Khonamanjalo 'itulo le-troika' liyaqina, umqulu we-G20 uya edolobheni kanye ne-IMF .. kahle-ke i-IMF iyaqhubeka nokuba yi-IMF.
Ekugcineni, esiphethweni seComedy Of Errors, uMbusi (Solinus) uxola u-Egeon ngokungena edolobheni, u-Antipholus waseSyracuse uqala ukweshela uLuciana ngomshado kanti u-Emelia wenza idili lokuthokozela ukuhlangana komndeni. Idili lesisombululo se-G20 alikwazi ukuza ngokushesha ngokwanele. Mayelana nokuthi lelo dili lomgubho lizobanjelwa noma cha kule mpelasonto, impelasonto yomhla zingama-23, noma uNovemba 3 ukuqagela kwanoma ngubani okunikezwa ukuthi kungaba khona eminye imihlangano ebanjelwa phakathi.
Kufanele uzibuze ukuthi isikhathi ngasinye kunesiphithiphithi esincane sokungakhululeki “ezimakethe” uChristine Lagarde akathumeli umbhalo weqembu kanye ne-imeyili; “Sidinga omunye umhlangano ohleliwe bafo, ake nazise iBloomberg neReuters, okuzoduduza izimakethe elinye isonto. Uxolo uma lokho kuthatha imihlangano ehleliwe kuze kufike kuKhisimusi futhi kuchithe izinhlelo zakho zeholide eKlosters… 'ake ume kancane, uma sinomhlangano eKlosters singafakazela ukuthi noma sinekhefu lethu lokushushuluza, ikakhulukazi Imithambeka ekhethekile ikhona, sisenzima kuyo..genius, ngiwufanele lo msebenzi .. ”
Umcabango uyenzeka uma lolu chungechunge lwemihlangano kumane kuwuchungechunge oluqhubekayo lwemihlangano eminyakeni ezayo? Ukuthi lo mkhawulo wokuzivocavoca umonakalo, ukugcina isiguli siphila ngenkathi sikwi-coma ejulile, ukuphela kwesixazululo? Kufanele uzibuze ukuthi ngabe elinye iqembu lizogcina sehlukane yini futhi 'lisho ukuthi i-Eurozone idinga cishe ama-trillion angama-2-3 ukugwema ukubusa kwenkinga yesikweletu esikhulu ekudilikeni, noma yini enye imane ikhukhumeza nomoya, kuzofanela kufike isigaba lapho “izimakethe” zingakhohliswa inkulumo engenamqondo.
Njenge-G20, oNgqongqoshe be-EU, i-IMF, (begqagqana ne-troika), bahlangane ukukhipha 'uhlelo' iSpain luthola ukwehliswa kwesikweletu kwaStandard & Poor's. Lo mhlangano eParis uyisandulela somunye umhlangano we-G20 ozokuba ngo-Okthoba 23 ngaphambi komunye umhlangano eCannes ekuqaleni kukaNovemba. Amasheya ase-Europe kanye ne-euro azinzile ngoLwesihlanu njengoba amathemba okuqhubekela phambili ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu yendawo ye-euro anciphisa amandla okuphendulwa ngamadolo ekwehlisweni kwesilinganiso sezikweletu eSpain. Kube nesikhathi lapho ukwehliswa okufana nalokhu, komunye weminotho emikhulu yaseYurophu, bekungathumela ukuthi izimakethe zikhule, ikakhulukazi uma kunikezwa osomnotho abaningi kanye nabahlaziyi bezikhombise ukuthi iSpain ne-Italy yizo eziyizinkinga zangempela e-Eurozone uma kuqhathaniswa ngqo IGrisi.
UMqondisi Ophethe we-IMF uChristine Lagarde watshela amazwe angamalungu ngenyanga edlule ukuthi izinga le-IMF lamanje elingu- $ 390 billion lokuxhasa ngemali kungenzeka linganele ukuhlangabezana nazo zonke izicelo zemalimboleko uma umnotho womhlaba uba bucayi. I-IMF kungenzeka isiphindaphinde njalo leso sicelo ngesikhathi kulandelwa imihlangano emasontweni amathathu ezayo. Kodwa-ke, kungaba nzima kakhulu, noma kungenzeki, ukuthi iJapan, iChina, iRussia nezinye izizwe zeBRICS zivume ukufaka isandla. Isinyathelo sokuqinisa amandla e-IMF sizofana nesinqumo se-G-20 ngo-Ephreli 2009 sokuphinda kathathu izinsizakusebenza zesikhwama njengengxenye yohlelo lokukhipha umhlaba ekunciphiseni komnotho. Kepha amazwe athile angathatha isimo sokuhlukaniswa ngokwengeziwe nalokho okungabonakala njengokugula ohlelweni lwasebhange olusentshonalanga olungabekwa ngabatshalizimali basentshonalanga ngokuthatha 'izinwele' eziphakeme ezingamaphesenti ayisithupha eziphakanyisiwe.
Izimakethe ezinkulu zase-Asia zawela ngobusuku obubodwa, ukuhweba kwasekuseni, iNikkei yavala u-0.85%, iHang Seng yavala u-1.35% kwathi i-CSI yavala u-0.33%. Izinkomba eziyinhloko zemakethe zaseYurophu zikhuphukile ekuhwebeni kwasekuseni; i-STOXX inyuke ngo-0.57%, i-FTSE inyuke ngo-0.73%, i-CAC 0.64% ne-DAX inyuke ngo-1.01%. Ikusasa lenkomba ye-SPX njengamanje lenyuke ngo-0.7%. I-euro iphokophele ekutholeni inzuzo enkulu kunazo zonke ngesonto uma iqhathaniswa nedola kusukela ngoJanuwari njengoba ongqongqoshe bezezimali be-G20 beqala umhlangano wabo wezinsuku ezimbili. Le mali ibhekiswe ekusetshenzisweni kwayo kwezinsuku ezinhlanu zokuqala emavikini ayisikhombisa ngokumelene ne-yen.
Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho okungathinta umbono weseshini yantambama kufaka phakathi okulandelayo;
I-13: 30 US - Inkomba Yamanani Okungenisa uSepthemba
13:30 US - Ukuthengisa Okuthuthukile NgoSepthemba
14:55 US - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Okthoba
15:00 US - Izimpahla Zebhizinisi Agasti
Ucwaningo lwaseBloomberg lukhombisa ushintsho olulindelekile oluphakathi kuka -0.4% (inyanga nenyanga) lwentengo yokungenisa ehlala ingashintshiwe kusuka kwinani langaphambilini. Unyaka nonyaka lokhu bekulindeleke ukuthi kube ngu-12.4% uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esikhishwe esingu-13.0%. Izazi zezomnotho ezihlolwe yiBloomberg ziveze isibikezelo esiphakathi esingu-60.3 semizwa yaseMichigan, uma kuqhathaniswa nokukhishwa kwangaphambilini kuka-59.4.
inhlekelele ye-eurozoneiziphakamiso zemakethe zangaphambili
« Izinyathelo Ezingamashumi amathathu Ezingu-8 EziNyoka Nezinhlamvu Zokuphumelela Ukuhweba I-Flying Auto Pilot - Ukukhetha ukusebenzisa Abeluleki Abachwepheshe (EAs) ukuhweba ku-Meta Trader »