Umbiko we-COT Wembula Ukuthi Abadayisi Bayinkunzi I-Euro
Naphezu kokunikeza ulwazi olushaqisayo umbiko we-COT, ukuzibophezela kwabahwebi, njalo kunikeza ukuqonda okuthakazelisayo kokuthi imali yesikhungo ibheka kuphi izikhundla zemali. I-Commodity Futures Trading Commission, noma i-CFTC, ishicilela umbiko we-Commitment of Traders (COT) njalo ngoLwesihlanu, cishe ngo-2:30 pm EST.
Umbiko we-COT ukala ingqikithi yezikhundla ezinde nezifushane ezithathwe abadayisi abangabaqambi nabahwebi bezentengiselwano, ngakho-ke uyisisetshenziswa esithakazelisayo sokubheka ukuthi laba badlali bezimakethe babekwe kangakanani emakethe. Imininingwane itholakala mahhala kubo bonke abathengisi, nokho, ukuhumusha idatha kanye 'nokubhoboza phansi' ukuze uthole imininingwane ehlobene nesimo sedola kungaba yinkimbinkimbi.
Abathengisi be-futures banciphise ukubheja kwabo kwe-euro uma kuqhathaniswa nedola ngesivinini esirekhodiwe emasontweni amabili edlule. Umehluko enanini lababhejayo ekuweni kwe-euro uma kuqhathaniswa nalawo akhuphukayo wehle ngo-77,111 phakathi kukaMeyi 28 noJuni 11, ngokwezibalo zeCommodity Futures Trading Commission ezinze eWashington. Lokho'Iwukuthuthuka okukhulu kwamaviki amabili ku-bullish euro erekhodiwe.
I-JPMorgan Global FX Volatility Index, ekhombisa ukuthi imakethe ye-FX iguquguquka kangakanani, ikhuphuke yafinyelela phezulu ngonyaka owodwa ngamaphesenti ayi-11.43 ngoJuni 13. Le gauge ikhuphuke isuka kumaphesenti angu-7.05 ngoDisemba, ephansi kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi 2007, futhi ibikumaphesenti angu-10.49 namuhla.
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I-euro iqinise amaphesenti angu-3.6 kulo nyaka, eyenza kahle kakhulu phakathi kwezimali zemakethe ezithuthukisiwe ezingu-10 ezilandelwa yi-Bloomberg's Correlation-Weighted Indexes. Idola likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-2.5, kanti i-yen ilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-7.3. I-Dollar Index, esetshenziselwa ukuqapha i-greenback ngokumelene nezinhlobo zemali zozakwethu abayisithupha bezohwebo base-US, yengeze amaphesenti angu-0.2 ku-80.791.
Isifinyezo semakethe ye-Forex
I-yen yehle cishe ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 uma iqhathaniswa nabo bonke ontanga yayo abakhulu abangu-16 njengoba ukulingana kwamasheya e-Asia kukhuphuka, okuqeda noma yisiphi isidingo sempahla ephephile. I-euro ikhuphuke uma iqhathaniswa ne-yen ngaphambi kokuthi idatha ishicilelwe bhalansi yezohwebo ye-Eurozone njengoba imali engenayo eya esifundeni isekela uhlobo lwemali lwemakethe olusebenza kahle kakhulu kulo nyaka.
Idola likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.7 laya ku-94.96 yen ngesikhathi seseshini yase-Asia naseLondon, kulandela ukwehla kwayo ngamaphesenti angu-3.3 ngesonto eledlule. I-Dollar iphinde yazuza amaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-1.3327 nge-euro ngayinye. I-euro yengeze amaphesenti angu-0.8 kuya ku-126.59 yen ngemuva kokuthumela ukuwa kwamaphesenti angu-2.6 ngesonto eledlule.
Idola lase-Australia likhuphukile uma liqhathaniswa nalo lonke ngaphandle kweyodwa kontanga yalo abakhulu abangu-16, okunweba inzuzo yalo yokuqala yamasonto onke uma kuqhathaniswa ne-greenback kwabayisithupha, phakathi kokuqagelwa okurekhodiwe kokubheja ngokwehla kohlobo lwemali kungase kudlulele futhi i-Aussie ithengiseke ngokweqile. Idola lase-Australia likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.4 laya kumasenti angama-96.08 ase-US.
Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho okuzayo kanye nezinqumo zenqubomgomo ezibalulekile ezingathinta imizwa
Njengoba iFederal Reserve Bank e-USA iqala umhlangano wayo wezinsuku ezimbili wenqubomgomo ngoLwesibili abatshalizimali kanye nabaqageli sebeqalile ukuzibeka endaweni yabo mayelana nemiphumela engase ibe khona. Imakethe ibheka imikhondo ethile ekulandiseni, noma izimemezelo ezithile ezithile, zokuthi i-Fed izoqala yini ukunqanda noma 'ithayiphe' izinhlelo zokuvuselela imali ezisebenzisayo njengamanje.
U-Ben Bernanke, usihlalo we-Fed, uthe ngoMeyi 22 ukuthi ibhange eliphakathi linganciphisa ukuthenga kwalo kwanyanga zonke kwama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-45 kanye nezibambiso ezixhaswe yimali ebolekwa ngamaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-40, uhlelo lwayo lokunciphisa inani, uma umbono wokuqashwa ukhombisa ukuthuthuka okuqhubekayo. Inhloso yakhe phambilini kwakungu-6.5% wokuntuleka kwemisebenzi. Kodwa-ke, muva nje lokhu okuhlosiwe bekulahlekile endabeni yakhe, njengoba kungadinga ukwakhiwa kwemisebenzi eyengeziwe engaba yizigidi ezi-2.5 emnothweni wase-USA, noma ukubuyisela umnotho ubuyele ezingeni eliphakeme kakhulu lokuqashwa kuka-2007.
Vula i-Akhawunti ye-Demo ye-MAHHALA Manje Ukuzilolonga
Ukuhweba kwangaphambili Ekuhwebeni Kwangempela Okubukhoma & Nendawo Engabungozi!
Ibhalansi yokuhweba ngezimpahla ye-Eurozone ishicilelwe kuseshini yasekuseni futhi ekuhlolweni kokuqala idatha ibonakala ivuna uhlobo lwemali kanye nendawo. Isilinganiso sebhalansi yohwebo lwezimpahla endaweni ye-euro (EA17) nomhlaba wonke ngo-Ephreli 2013 sinikeze imali engaphezu kwezigidigidi eziyi-14.9, uma kuqhathaniswa ne-+3.3 bn ngo-April 2012. Ibhalansi ka-March 2013 yayingu-+22.5 bn, uma kuqhathaniswa + 6.9bn ngoMashi 2012.
E-USA namhlanje ntambama kushicilelwe inhlolovo ye-Empire State Manufacturing. Izilinganiso zingezenyuka ngo-0.4% uma ziqhathaniswa nokwehla okungu-1.4% ngenyanga edlule. Le nhlolovo inkomba yokusabalalisa esekelwe kubakhiqizi abahloliwe eSifundazweni SaseNew York.
Abatshalizimali abaningi bazogxila kakhulu kusihlalo weBundesbank njengoba ethula inkulumo ntambama. Nakuba ukuphawula kwakhe kungalingani njengomphumela omkhulu, mayelana ne-euro kanye ne-Eurozone ebanzi, kunganikeza inkomba ngenqubomgomo yesikhathi esizayo yaseJalimane. Uma yena futhi ngenxa yalokho ibhange libonakala li-hawkish ngaphezulu maqondana ne-euro lingaqinisa.
Imicimbi emibili esohlwini njengenomthelela omkhulu ingqungquthela ye-G8 namaminithi avela ku-Reserve Bank Of Australian. Le ngqungquthela kungenzeka iveze ukulandisa okuphathelene nokungezwani kwezepolitiki eMpumalanga Ephakathi esikhundleni senqubomgomo yezomnotho ebumbene. Nokho, ukushicilelwa kwe-RBA kungabonisa ukuthi iBhange lisondele kangakanani (noma cha) ekunciphiseni isilinganiso senzalo sase-Australia emhlanganweni walo wokugcina. Ku-2.75% izinga liphumile esinyathelweni futhi liphezulu kunanoma yimuphi umnotho othuthukisiwe, ngakho-ke i-RBA inendawo yokunciphisa amanani ukuze ikhuthaze isidingo saphesheya kwezilwandle uma ingaba nobufakazi bokuthi i-Aus. umnotho uba ntekenteke, noma ukuthi isidingo sempahla yayo phesheya kwezilwandle siyancipha ngenxa yamanani.
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