Jul 5 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-5046 • Amazwana Off ngezinqumo zaseSterling nezeCentral Bank
Izolo, ngoSuku Lokuzimela lwaseMelika nezimakethe zase-US kuvaliwe, ukuhweba nge-EUR / GBP kwenziwa ezimakethe ezincane. Isenzo sentengo sasiqhutshwa kakhulu ukucatshangelwa kwezobuchwepheshe. Izinsizakalo zokugcina i-PMI ku-EMU zazingezinhle kangako kunokulindelekile. Izinsizakalo zase-UK i-PMI yehle yaya ku-51.8 ephansi kunalokho obekulindelekile, kepha yahlala ngaphezu kwezinga le-50 boom noma le-bust.
I-EUR / USD ifinyelele phezulu phezulu ku-0.8047 ngaphambi nje kokushicilelwa kwesibalo sase-UK. Kodwa-ke, lesi sinyathelo sihlehlisiwe kungekudala.
I-EUR / GBP iphinde yenze i-spike yesikhashana ephakeme ekuhwebeni ntambama futhi nokunikezwa okugcwalisiwe ngasenyakatho komngcele we-0.8050. Lokhu kungenzeka ukuthi kungenxa yokulungiswa kwezikhundla kukhebula ngaphambi komhlangano we-BoE. Lesi sinyathelo siphinde sahlehliswa njengoba i-euro yanciphisela phansi ibhodi ekugcineni kokuhweba eYurophu. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshini ngo-0.8034, cishe engashintshiwe kusukela ekuvalweni kuka-0.8036 ngoLwesibili.
Namuhla, kuzoba usuku olumatasa lwabadayisi be-EUR / GBP njengoba bobabili i-BoE ne-ECB bezothatha isinqumo ngenqubomgomo yemali. Konke kubukeka kahle ukuze i-BoE iqale kabusha uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla. Idatha yomsebenzi iqinisekisa ukuthi umsebenzi wase-UK uhamba kancane. Ngesikhathi esifanayo ukwehla kwamandla emali kusezingeni eliphansi leminyaka emibili. I-MPC ibisivele isondele ekuqaleni kohlelo ngenyanga edlule noMbusi King evuna ukuthengwa kwempahla okungu- £ 2B. Ngakho-ke, impikiswano emakethe ukuthi ngabe iBoE izomemezela u- £ 50 noma u- £ 50B wokuthengwa kwamabhondi. Ukuphawula okukodwa eceleni: kwesikhashana (isib ekulalelweni phambi kwekomidi lePhalamende), amalungu e-BoE ngokusobala ayazi ukuthi umthelela wokuthengwa kwamabhondi amaningi emnothweni wawungeke usaba muhle.
Ngakho-ke, ezinye izinyathelo (njengohlelo ngokubambisana nohulumeni ukwenza lula ukubolekwa kwezomnotho) ziba zibaluleke kakhulu. Noma kunjalo, kumongo wamanje i-BoE, ayikwazi ukukuziba okulindelwe emakethe. Ngakho-ke, sikhetha ukuthengwa kwempahla okwengeziwe okungu- £ 50B. Lokhu kufanele kungathathi hlangothi kahle. Kwi-ECB, kukhona nendawo yokumangala. Asinqumi ukuthi i-ECB izothatha izinyathelo ezinesibindi. Umthelela ezimakethe zomhlaba akulula ukubikezela. Yize kunjalo, asilindeli ukuthi i-ECB izoletha ukwesekwa okuningi kwe-euro, noma ngabe isinqumo (ngabe sesikhashana?) Sisekela izimpahla eziyingozi. Ngakho-ke, sicabanga ukuthi ukumelana no-0.8100 / 0.8169 kuzohlala kungukuqina okunzima kwezinga lesiphambano le-EUR / GBP.
Isiphambano se-EUR / GBP sihlanganisa ukuthengisa okude okuqale ngoFebhuwari futhi kwaphela ngoMid-May lapho laba ababili bebeka ukulungiswa okuphansi kwaba ngu-0.7950. Ukusuka lapho, ukukhishwa okubuyile / okufushane kungene ngaphakathi.
Okwamanje siyaqhubeka nokudlala uhla futhi sisancamela ukuthengisa i-EUR / GBP ngamandla okwenza isenzo sokubuyela endaweni engu-0.7950.
I-Central Banksephawundi
« Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe yeFXCC ngoJulayi 05 2012 Igolide neSiliva Linda kumaCentral Banks »
Izinqumo ZaseSterling nezeCentral Bank
Jul 5 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-5046 • Amazwana Off ngezinqumo zaseSterling nezeCentral Bank
Izolo, ngoSuku Lokuzimela lwaseMelika nezimakethe zase-US kuvaliwe, ukuhweba nge-EUR / GBP kwenziwa ezimakethe ezincane. Isenzo sentengo sasiqhutshwa kakhulu ukucatshangelwa kwezobuchwepheshe. Izinsizakalo zokugcina i-PMI ku-EMU zazingezinhle kangako kunokulindelekile. Izinsizakalo zase-UK i-PMI yehle yaya ku-51.8 ephansi kunalokho obekulindelekile, kepha yahlala ngaphezu kwezinga le-50 boom noma le-bust.
I-EUR / USD ifinyelele phezulu phezulu ku-0.8047 ngaphambi nje kokushicilelwa kwesibalo sase-UK. Kodwa-ke, lesi sinyathelo sihlehlisiwe kungekudala.
I-EUR / GBP iphinde yenze i-spike yesikhashana ephakeme ekuhwebeni ntambama futhi nokunikezwa okugcwalisiwe ngasenyakatho komngcele we-0.8050. Lokhu kungenzeka ukuthi kungenxa yokulungiswa kwezikhundla kukhebula ngaphambi komhlangano we-BoE. Lesi sinyathelo siphinde sahlehliswa njengoba i-euro yanciphisela phansi ibhodi ekugcineni kokuhweba eYurophu. I-EUR / GBP ivale iseshini ngo-0.8034, cishe engashintshiwe kusukela ekuvalweni kuka-0.8036 ngoLwesibili.
Namuhla, kuzoba usuku olumatasa lwabadayisi be-EUR / GBP njengoba bobabili i-BoE ne-ECB bezothatha isinqumo ngenqubomgomo yemali. Konke kubukeka kahle ukuze i-BoE iqale kabusha uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla. Idatha yomsebenzi iqinisekisa ukuthi umsebenzi wase-UK uhamba kancane. Ngesikhathi esifanayo ukwehla kwamandla emali kusezingeni eliphansi leminyaka emibili. I-MPC ibisivele isondele ekuqaleni kohlelo ngenyanga edlule noMbusi King evuna ukuthengwa kwempahla okungu- £ 2B. Ngakho-ke, impikiswano emakethe ukuthi ngabe iBoE izomemezela u- £ 50 noma u- £ 50B wokuthengwa kwamabhondi. Ukuphawula okukodwa eceleni: kwesikhashana (isib ekulalelweni phambi kwekomidi lePhalamende), amalungu e-BoE ngokusobala ayazi ukuthi umthelela wokuthengwa kwamabhondi amaningi emnothweni wawungeke usaba muhle.
Ngakho-ke, ezinye izinyathelo (njengohlelo ngokubambisana nohulumeni ukwenza lula ukubolekwa kwezomnotho) ziba zibaluleke kakhulu. Noma kunjalo, kumongo wamanje i-BoE, ayikwazi ukukuziba okulindelwe emakethe. Ngakho-ke, sikhetha ukuthengwa kwempahla okwengeziwe okungu- £ 50B. Lokhu kufanele kungathathi hlangothi kahle. Kwi-ECB, kukhona nendawo yokumangala. Asinqumi ukuthi i-ECB izothatha izinyathelo ezinesibindi. Umthelela ezimakethe zomhlaba akulula ukubikezela. Yize kunjalo, asilindeli ukuthi i-ECB izoletha ukwesekwa okuningi kwe-euro, noma ngabe isinqumo (ngabe sesikhashana?) Sisekela izimpahla eziyingozi. Ngakho-ke, sicabanga ukuthi ukumelana no-0.8100 / 0.8169 kuzohlala kungukuqina okunzima kwezinga lesiphambano le-EUR / GBP.
Isiphambano se-EUR / GBP sihlanganisa ukuthengisa okude okuqale ngoFebhuwari futhi kwaphela ngoMid-May lapho laba ababili bebeka ukulungiswa okuphansi kwaba ngu-0.7950. Ukusuka lapho, ukukhishwa okubuyile / okufushane kungene ngaphakathi.
Okwamanje siyaqhubeka nokudlala uhla futhi sisancamela ukuthengisa i-EUR / GBP ngamandla okwenza isenzo sokubuyela endaweni engu-0.7950.
I-Central Banksephawundi
« Ukubuyekezwa Kwemakethe yeFXCC ngoJulayi 05 2012 Igolide neSiliva Linda kumaCentral Banks »