Schadenfreude
ISchadenfreude ingachazwa njengokuthola injabulo ngeshwa labanye. Leli gama lesiJalimane alinakho ukuqhathanisa okuqondile okuqondile noma ukuhumusha ngolimi lwesiNgisi. Singanweba leli gama futhi lisho ukuhweba. Njengabahwebi sikwemukela ngokuphelele lokho, kuzo zonke izinhloso, imboni yethu kanye nobungcweti kungumdlalo 'oyisamba'; ukuze siphumelele kumele kube khona abahlulwayo. Ukulingana kusinda ekuwohlokeni okungafanele..kusobala ukuthi akunjalo uma kwenzeka amabhange ahlulekile, avele asindiswe ngamabhilidi mega futhi umthethosivivinywa 'waqiniswa' kithi, i-untermensch, elinye igama lesiJalimane elingenakho ukuhlangana okuqondile kwesiNgisi.
Izimpesheni zase-UK zilahlwe yi-circa 12-14% ngesikhathi kuthengiswa muva nje, akungabazeki ukuthi izinhlelo zokutshala imali nazo zihlupheke kabi. Konke okunye ukutshalwa kwezimali 'okujwayelekile' kudotiwe kule minyaka edlule futhi lokhu kulungiswa kwezimakethe zakamuva kuzovimba ukuvuselelwa isikhashana. Kodwa-ke, ungaqiniseka ukuthi abaphathi besikhwama sempesheni kanye nabaphathi besikhwama sokutshala imali basazothatha imali yabo 'yokuphathwa kabi'. Azifinyeleli, ziyathenga futhi zibambe, ngokufana ne-swathe enkulu ye-hedge fund engabiyeli empeleni abatshala yona futhi benza inzuzo kuphela lapho izimakethe ziphakama. Uma ukhetha ukudlulisela izinqumo zakho zokutshala imali kumuntu wesithathu bese kuthi ngesikhathi sokuthengiswa kwemakethe uzolimala.
Umhwebi ngamunye akanalo ithuba lokutakula, noma uhlelo lomuntu siqu lwe-QE, ama-akhawunti ethu azilawula ngokwawo 'izimbiza zempesheni', kuphela akudingeki sinikeze imali engama-20%. Ezikhathini zezinkinga zemakethe ngakho-ke kubalulekile ukuthi sithathe (noma kuphi nanoma nini lapho kungenzeka khona) ithuba lokungazinzi ukuze sikwazi ukukhulisa inani le-akhawunti yethu. Uma umnotho womhlaba wonke uya 'esihogweni enqoleni yezandla' akungabazeki ukuthi inqola yezandla izoqashiswa, ifakwe kubhasikidi wokunye ukuqashiswa kwenqola yezandla, kuhlanganiswe bese kuthengiswa njengempahla yokuphepha yezinqola ezingaphansi kwezandla, leyo Fed bese ithatha njengokushintshaniswa kwempahla lapho ibhizinisi lokuqashisa ngezinqola zezandla lihluleka, kepha leyo akuyona inkinga yethu ngokubodwa, lihlangene. Umsebenzi wethu njengabachwepheshe ukubona lokhu kushintsha kwezimo ezinzima nobunzima njengethuba lokwenza imali eningi ngemakethe ye-forex. Uma lokho kusho ukuthi sinabantu abaningi abahola impesheni abanokuningi ngezikhathi zobunzima lokho kuyishwa, kepha umuntu ohola impesheni akakatholi ukusikeka nemihuzuko esinayo ukuze sibe nekhono futhi senze inzuzo.
Kepha ungazuza kanjani kuFX kulolu hlobo lwemakethe, kuqonde phambili ukubona ukuthi abathengisi bangazuza kanjani ngokwesibonelo, kumgcinimafa ngezikhathi ezinjalo, kepha iFX? Ngabe kufanele sibe nolaka ngokwengeziwe, sikhuphule usayizi wethu omningi, sikubone lokhu kanye kanye eminyakeni eyishumi / kabili ethubeni lokuphila esizohlala sizisola ngalo uma singalisebenzisanga?
Nansi into, ngeFX empeleni akudingeki senze utho, kunjalo, akudingeki ukuthi "sixoshe imakethe futhi sizwe ukujaha". Uma ngabe sinqenqemeni olusebenza ezimakethe ezinokuthula, olubuyiselwe emuva ngokuqinile futhi lwadluliselwa phambili, olunethemba elilindelekile futhi lilethe inzuzo ejwayelekile esikhathini esilinganiselwe, khona-ke kungenzeka ukuthi umphetho uzoqhubeka usebenze, mhlawumbe ngokuyimpumelelo ngokulungiswa okuthile, imakethe izofika kithi. Ungalungisa / kufanele ulungise izinhloso zakho zenzuzo ezikhathini eziguquguqukayo, mhlawumbe wandise ukuma kwakho, ukhuphuke noma wehle isikhathi esinqunyiwe, kepha empeleni uma ususungule umugqa osebenzayo, ngokususelwa kulawo ma-3M ashiwo kakhulu, lapho-ke ukungazethembi okwandisiwe emasontweni amabili adlule, okungangabazeki ukuthi azovela futhi kumagagasi emasontweni nasezinyangeni ezizayo, akufanele konakalise izimiso zakho zokuhweba. Ngakho-ke ungabeka impikiswano yokuthi i-Forex nakanjani ayingombuzo umkhakha wezokuphepha ongcono kakhulu ukuhweba ngezikhathi ezinzima.
Sijwayele ukushintsha njengabahwebi be-FX, kunezokuphepha ezimbalwa kakhulu ezisabela njalo emicimbini yezindaba noma ekushicilelweni kwedatha ngendlela ama-FX pair enza ngayo. Empeleni sihlale sithakaselwa ushintsho, ifilosofi yethu yonke yezokuhweba igxile kokungalindelekile, ikakhulukazi uma sesamukele izehlakalo esingazi nakwazi ukuthi sizokwenzani ngokulandelayo. Okuxakayo ukuthi mhlawumbe singabahwebi abahlome ngakho konke okulungele ukusebenzisa ukuntengantenga kwemakethe ngenxa yomkhakha ongalindelekile esikhetha ukuhweba kuwo.
Kudingeke ukuthi ngithuthukise inqubo nobuchule kule minyaka edlule okusangivumela ukuthi ngikwazi ukuhweba ngaphandle kokuyekethisa izibopho zami njengokuqukethwe kwezezimali nomlobi wezimpawu. Ngakho-ke ngijika ngidayisa ngababili abakhulu be-FX. Njengengxenye yesifinyezo sami jikelele ngiphinde ngithuthukise amasu okuhweba ezikhathini eziningi zesikhathi kusuka ekuqhekekeni ukubeka amasu okuhweba, amanye awo, ngosizo lweFXCC, ekugcineni sizonikela kumakhasimende ethu. Lezi zindlela 'zidlalwa' ku-EUR / USD, EUR / JPY, GBP / USD naku-AUS / USD. Ngokuya kokuhlanganisa kanye nokuthengwa kwemali lezi zibhangqwana zihlinzeka ngesilinganiso esanele sokuqhathanisa nokucwaninga, i-ergo ukusabalala, ukugcwaliswa kanye neziliphu konke kubhekwa njengokuhle.
Ngihlale ngiqapha lezi zindlela (okuyizinkomba, ukuqashelwa kwephethini okususelwa emazingeni abalulekile) ukuthola noma yiziphi izinguquko nokuthi yini (uma ikhona) ukulungiswa okuhle kanye nokulungiswa okudinga ukwenzeka ukwamukela imicimbi yezimakethe zokuzamazama komhlaba, kuyefana nokuba uchwepheshe waselebhu , nokuqapha imiphumela yezibalo. Sebethathe isikhathi namhlanje ekuseni ukuhlola amasu ahlukahlukene, (abayishumi njengamanje ababhekiwe) bonke basukume kahle kubha yamuva yokungazethembi izinguquko ezincane okukhulunywe ngazo ekuqaleni; misa, imikhawulo, isikhathi esinqunyelwe njll.
Izinga lokuwina lingama-60%, okungaba yilahleko eyodwa kubo bonke abaphumelele kabili ngokomlando, ngokombono wabathengisi abaningi abanolwazi, imbuyiselo enhle kakhulu. Ngabe lokhu 'kokuhlolwa kwezimo zebhu' kufakazela ukuthi i-FX njengomkhakha wokuhweba ihlala ithengiswa, noma ngabe iziphi izimo? Hhayi-ke i-CHF engenakuguqulwa emavikini amuva nje iyiphotosile leyo mbono. Kodwa-ke, okulungile futhi okunengqondo ukukusho ukuthi ngenxa yokuchayeka kwethu ekushintsheni okungaguquguquki, ukuzimisela kwethu ukwamukela okungahleliwe emakethe, amandla ethu okuzivumelanisa nezimo, kanye nokushona okuqhubekayo kwamabhangqa amakhulu eFX esikule ndawo enhle njenge noma yibaphi abanye abathengisi ukuze basebenzise kahle izimo zamanje. Ngenxa yalokho, lapho izikhathi ezolile zingaphinde zivele, njengabahwebi be-FX abazinikele singakwazi ukuzivumelanisa ngokushesha futhi kalula ukuze sizuze ezimweni ezintsha nezingafani.
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