Ingcindezi izovulelwa ukuthi iBoE inyuse amazinga emali yenzalo, uma i-CPI yase-UK ingena ngo-3%, lindela ukuthi iSterling izosabela uma isibikezelo sihlangatsheziwe
NgoLwesibili ekuseni, ngo-8: 30 ekuseni GMT, inkampani esemthethweni yezibalo yase-UK (i-ONS) izodalula isibalo sakamuva se-CPI ochungechungeni lwemininingwane yokwenyuka kwamandla emali, ezofaka phakathi ne-RPI kanye namanani entengo okhiqiza amanani. Isibikezelo senzelwe ukuthi i-CPI (intengo yamanani abathengi) inyukele eminyakeni emihlanu iphakeme ngo-3% waminyaka yonke, ne-RPI (intengo yamanani okuthengisa), inyukele ku-4%. Ukufakwa kwentengo yomkhiqizi kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke kuye ku-8.2%. Lolu chungechunge lwedatha, ngokunyuka kwamaholo kukhuphuka kuphela nge-approx. I-2.1% YoY, izokwengeza kwingcindezi futhi ingaletha izinhlamvu ezidingekayo, ekomitini lenqubomgomo yezimali yeBhange laseNgilandi ukukhuphula inani lenzalo yase-UK okokuqala ngqa eminyakeni eyishumi, selokhu kwaba nenkinga yezezimali ka-2007.
Izinga lehliselwe ku-0.25% lisuka ku-0.5%, ngemuva nje komphumela wereferensi yaseBrexit, ngasikhathi sinye umphathi weBoE uMark Carney naye uzibophezele ekwenzeni ukuthi kutholakale i- £ 250b eyengeziwe ye-QE, uma umnotho wase-UK ungaba nomthelela omubi ovela eBrexit . Ukwanda kwamandla emali kudalwe ngqo yisinqumo sereferendamu; njengokuqhutshwa kwensiza, ukusetshenziswa kwemali yabathengi, izwe elingenisayo, eliba nokushoda okuqhubekayo (futhi okuvame ukukhula), iphawundi eliwela cishe ngo-10% uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kanye no-14% uma kuqhathaniswa ne-euro, kusukela ngevoti likaJuni 2016, libe nomthelela omkhulu ukusebenza komnotho wase-UK. Kungakho uCarney ne-MPC bebhajwe phakathi kwedwala nendawo enzima lapho kucatshangelwa ukukhuphula izinga lesisekelo libe ngu-0.5%. Ukucatshangelwa kokukhuphula amanani ngeke kuthuthukise ukusebenza komnotho, kusuka ekukhuleni kwe-GDP kuka-0.3% kwikota yakamuva, impela kungalimaza ukukhula, njengoba abathengi bezothola ukuboleka kubiza kakhulu. Esikhundleni salokho ukuphakama kuzozivikela ngokuphelele; ukuqinisa inani lephawundi, ngokuqinisekisa ukuthi izindleko zokungeniswa kwempahla zehla ngokuncane, okuzoba nomthelela omncane emkhakheni wezomnotho oqhutshwa kakhulu yizinsizakalo; ngaphandle uma amaholo enyuka, noma amanani entengo ehla kakhulu, abathengi bazoba nokuncane okuzochithwa.
Izazi zezomnotho ezivela ebhange i-HSBC zibikezele ukuthi kuzokhuphuka izinga lamazinga aphansi amabili; eyodwa izomenyezelwa ngoDisemba, enye ngoMeyi, okufanele (ngombono) idale ukuthi i-CPI ibuyele ku-2.5%. Ngesikhathi esifanele amalungu amathathu e-BoE kufanele avele phambi kwekomidi elikhetha umgcinimafa (ohulumeni nabameli bephalamende) njengoba izibalo zokwehla kwamandla emali zikhishwa, ukuze bachaze ukuphathwa kwabo kwezomnotho besebenzisa amathuluzi wenqubomgomo yemali. Okucatshangelwayo ukuthi isikhathi sokubukeka asiyona ingozi; ukuthi banolwazi lokuthi amamethrikhi asemqoka we-inflation akhuphukile. Abahlaziyi nabatshalizimali ngakho-ke bazoyinaka kakhulu ingxoxo engxoxweni yekomidi elikhethiwe, njengoba bazokwenza nasezibalweni zokwehla kwamandla emali.
UK UKHONA KWEDATHA KOMNOTHO.
Isilinganiso senzalo esingu-0.25%
• Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali le-CPI 2.9%
Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali le-RPI 3.9%
Ukukhula kwe-GDP QoQ 0.3%
• Ukukhula konyaka kwe-GDP 1.5%
• Ukukhula komholo 2.1%
• Ukukhula kokuthengisa okuthengiswayo 2.4%
• I-PMI eyinhlanganisela 54.1
« I-CPI yaseNew Zealand ingumcimbi obalulekile, onomthelela omkhulu, wezindaba zezomnotho ezisohlwini lwangoMsombuluko, kepha-ke, izindaba zepolitiki e-USA, UK nase-Europe kufanele ziqashwe ngeso lokhozi Ama-slipling slips, njengoba izingxoxo zeBrexit zifinyelela esigabeni esibucayi, inkolelo kaJanet Yellen yokuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzonyuka, kubangela idola laseMelika nezimali. »
