Ama-Non Payrolls; ingabe imininingwane yakamuva yase-USA yokuqashwa kungenzeka iqhubeke?
NgoLwesihlanu, mhla lulunye kuMandulo (September), umbiko wakamuva ovela kwa-BLS (Bureau Of Labor Statistics) ophathelene nedatha ye-NFP (i-non-Farm payroll). Kwabangakazi phakathi kwethu, lokhu kukhishwa kwedatha, okuvame ukushicilelwa ngoLwesihlanu lokugcina enyangeni, kuveza ukuthi mingaki imisebenzi esungulwe umnotho wase-USA ngokusemthethweni ngenyanga okushicilelwa ngayo umbiko. Ngakho-ke, lo mbiko wakamuva uhlanganisa ukwakhiwa kwamathuba emisebenzi ka-August. Ukukhishwa kwe-NFP kuyingxenye yochungechunge lwedatha eshicilelwe yi-BLS ngosuku; izinga lokungasebenzi eliyisihloko esikhulu nalo liyashicilelwa, njengezibalo zamahora amasonto onke asetshenziwe, noma yiluphi ushintsho emalini etholwa ngehora, izinga lokungasebenzi kanye nezinga lokubamba iqhaza.
Isihloko esiyinhloko sokufundwa kwe-NFP sifika ngosuku olungemva kokushicilelwa kwezicelo zakamuva zamasonto onke zokungasebenzi kanye nedatha yezicelo eqhubekayo, uchungechunge lokukhishwa kwe-BLS nalo lufika ngeviki elifanayo lapho inkampani yedatha yemisebenzi yangasese; I-ADP ishicilela idatha yabo yakamuva, okwathi lapho yembulwa ngoLwesithathu Agasti 30, yafika ngaphambi kwesibikezelo ku-237k ngo-Agasti, idlula i-201k yangoJulayi futhi ngaphezu kwesibikezelo esingu-185k.
Le metric yokushintsha ukuqashwa kwe-ADP eyodwa, ivamise ukusetshenziswa njengenkomba ebalulekile kubatshalizimali nabahlaziyi, ukuze kuzanywe ukubikezela ukuthi isibalo esizayo se-NFP sizoba yini: sishaye, sigeje, noma singene khona kanye esibikezelweni. Isibikezelo sangoLwesihlanu, esivela kuphaneli yosomnotho abavotwe yizikhungo zezindaba ezifana neBloomberg kanye neReuters, singesehla siye ku-180k, sisuka ku-209k esiqoshwe ngenyanga kaJulayi.
Isincomo sethu ukuthi abatshalizimali akufanele baqondiswe kuphela isibikezelo sakamuva, kodwa bakhumbule yonke imininingwane yakamuva yemisebenzi enganikeza iziphakamiso zokuthi isibalo esishicilelwe ngoLwesihlanu singangena kuphi. Esinye isincomo ukuthi abahwebi kufanele hlala uqaphe kakhulu lapho ukufundwa okubalulekile kwe-NFP kushicilelwa, njengoba ngokomlando lesi senzakalo sekhalenda lezomnotho esikhulu, sinamandla okuhambisa izimakethe zamadola aseMelika kanye nezinkomba eziphambili ze-equity yase-US, lapho ekugcineni zikhishwa ngo-12:30pm GMT.
Idatha ebalulekile yamanje yokuqashwa/yokuntuleka kwemisebenzi yase-USA
• Ushintsho lwemisebenzi ye-ADP Agasti 237k
• I-NFP July ifunda 209k
• Izinga labangasebenzi ngoJulayi 4.3%
• Isilinganiso sokukhula kweholo (YoY) Julayi 2.5%
• Izinga lokubamba iqhaza kwabasebenzi ngoJulayi 62.9%
• Izinga lokungasebenzi likaJulayi 8.6%
• Ukuncishiswa kwemisebenzi yama-Challenger July -37.6%
• Izicelo zamasonto onke zokungabi namsebenzi (August 19th) 238k
• Izimangalo eziqhubekayo (Agasti 12th) 1951k.
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