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Agasti 29 • Ukushayela kwe-Morning Roll • Ukubukwa okungu-3173 • Amazwana Off Ekushayweni Kwezingcingo Zakusasa

Lokho Kwakamuva Kwentengo Yendlu Kungase Kuphele Ngaphambi Kokuthi Iqale

Uyazi ukuthi ngeke sibe sodwa ekuhlahleni amehlo lapho sifunda ngokubuya 'kwamaphiko ezindlu' e-USA. Abaningi bebenethemba lokuthi lezi zilwane zase ziphelile ngokuwa kwemodeli ye-mortgage backed securitization eyehla efana ne-Lehman Brothers. Amaphiko ngokuvamile athenga indlu enenani eliphansi lemali, angenzi lutho bese ezama ukuyidayisa ukuze athole enye imali. Uma kuke kwaba nophawu lokuthi ubunxiwankulu busondela ekuwohlokeni emalahleni abo afayo, ingabe kwakunjalo? Izindaba ezinhle ukuthi intengo yendlu okuthiwa i-USA 'ijabulele' kulezi zinyanga ezimbalwa ezedlule ingase ime ngendlela ethusayo.

Amanani ezindlu ezibolekwayo e-USA ayenyuka, kuyilapho ukuthengiswa kwezindlu ezikhona kanye nokuthengiswa kwemizi emisha kwehle kakhulu ezinyangeni ezimbili ezedlule. Izintengo zezindlu ziphezulu kakhulu, futhi...

Ukuthengiswa kwezindlu okukhona kwehle ngo-1.3% ngoJulayi, iningi kakhulu kulo nyaka, kuyilapho amanani emali ebolekiwe ephakeme kakhulu iminyaka emibili ebangela ukuthi abathengi bangagcini nje ngokuthengisa ngentengo yokuthengisa, kodwa nezindleko zezimali. Futhi njenge eceleni kufanele ubuze ukuthi ingabe kukhona okungahambi kahle emakethe lapho amanani aku-4%, nokho izinga eliyisisekelo lisondele ku-zero.

E-UK kube kuhle ukuzwa uMark Carney ethi uzokwethula izinyathelo uma kudingekile ukuze kunqandwe ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo yendlu, ngokwemvelo akekho ongaba nesibindi ngokwanele ukusho ukuthi uMnu Carney 'unecala' lokubangela isikweletu somuntu siqu esigcwele kanye nokwenyuka kwamanani entengo yendlu. eCanada, ngaphambi (ngesikhathi esihle) waphuma ngokuthula esiteji ukuze athathe isikhundla sakhe esisha njengombusi we-BoE…

Ukubukwa kwemakethe

Izimakethe zase-USA ziphinde zathola enye yezindawo ebezilahlekile izolo, kanti izimakethe zase-Europe zahlala ziphansi futhi zivaliwe ikakhulukazi. I-DJIA ivale ngo-0.33%, i-SPX ivale ngo-0.27% kanti i-NASDAQ ivale ngo-0.41%.

Ezimakethe zaseYurophu iningi lama-indices livalwe ngokubomvu; i-FTSE ivale ngo-0.17%, i-CAC yehle ngo-0.21% kanti i-DAX yaseJalimane ivale ngo-1.03%. I-ISE Istanbul exchange ivale ngo-0.10% ngemuva kwephuzu elilodwa elisabisa ngokuvala elinye i-4%, elifana nosuku lwangaphambilini. Ukusondela kweTurkey eSyria kanye nokwabelana ngomngcele kuthinta ngokwemvelo imizwa yabatshalizimali. Nokho, u-lira uphinde waba ngaphansi kwengcindezi yokudayisa.

Uma sibheka ikusasa lenkomba ye-equity i-DJIA ngesikhathi sokubhala okwamanje yehle kancane ngo-0.04%, i-SPX yehle ngo-0.07%, kuyilapho i-NASDAQ yehle ngo-0.02%. Izimakethe zaseYurophu zibukeka zizovuleka; ikusasa lenkomba ye-STOXX yehle ngo-0.62%, i-FTSE yehle ngo-0.22%, i-DAX yehle ngo-1.32% kanye ne-CAC yehle ngo-0.23%. I-ISE isethwe ukuthi ivuleke, okwamanje iphrinta u-0.72% njengekusasa lenkomba yezabelo.

Ngokwemvelo, uma kubhekwa ukwanda kwengxabano yaseSyria ebukeka iseduze, izimpahla zazidingeka njengokuthengiswa noma ukuthengwa. Uwoyela we-ICE WTI uvale ngo-1.00%, i-ICE Brent crude ivale ngo-1.97% ku-$116.61, inani eliphakeme kakhulu kule minyaka emibili edlule. I-NYMEX yemvelo ivale phansi ngo-0.11% ngo-$3.58 therm ngayinye.

Igolide le-COMEX livale u-0.16% ngo-$1416.5 i-ounce ngayinye, kanti isiliva livale ngo-0.28% ngo-$24.37 i-ounce ngayinye.

Ukugxila kwe-Forex

I-Sterling ilinganise ukwehla kwayo ngokumelene nedola ngemuva kokuba umbusi we-BoE uCarney ekhulume. Bekuku-$1.5522 ngasekupheleni kweseshini yaseLondon, phansi cishe. Amaphesenti angu-0.2 kusukela izolo. UMbusi weBhange Lase-England uMark Carney uthe izikhulu zikulungele ukwengeza umfutho wezimali uma okulindelwe abatshalizimali ngamanani enzalo ephakeme kubukela phansi ukubuyiswa.

I-Aussie yashelela uma iqhathaniswa nawo wonke ozakwabo abakhulu abangu-16 yafinyelela ngesikhathi esisodwa isibalo esiphansi seminyaka emithathu uma siqhathaniswa ne-euro. I-Aussie yehle ngo-0.9% yaya ku-89.08 U.S. cents sekwephuzile e-Sydney ngemva kokuthinta u-89.02 cents, izinga eliphansi kakhulu elibonwe kusukela ngomhla ka-Aug 5, lapho lehla laya phansi ngeminyaka emithathu. I-Aussie ithinte u-A$1.5031 nge-euro ngayinye, izinga elibuthaka kunawo wonke elibonwe kusukela ngoMeyi 2010, ngaphambi kokuhweba ngamaphesenti angu-0.8 aphansi ngo-A$1.5023. Imali yaseNew Zealand ifinyelele ku-77.48 US cents, ebuthakathaka kusukela ngo-Aug 5, ngaphambi kokuthenga amasenti angu-77.60, amaphesenti angu-0.5 aphansi kusukela ekuvaleni izolo. Idola lase-Australia lehle laya phansi emasontweni amathathu njengoba amanani omhlaba ehla anciphisa isidingo sezimpahla ezikhiqiza kakhulu ngenxa yamathemba okulwa neSyria.

I-US Dollar Index, ilandelela i-greenback ngokumelene nontanga bayo abakhulu abayishumi, ithuthuke ngamaphesenti angu-10 yaya ku-0.4 ngasekupheleni kweseshini yaseNew York. Phambilini inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-1,028.68, okuwukunyuka okukhulu kwansuku zonke okubonwe kusukela ngomhlaka-0.5 Aug. Idola likhuphuke kakhulu ngesonto njengoba ithemba lesenzo samasosha ase-US ngokumelene neSyria livimbela ukuthatha ubungozi, likhuthaza abatshalizimali ukuthi bathenge impahla ephephe kakhulu.

Izinguquko zenqubomgomo eziyisisekelo kanye nemicimbi yezindaba enomthelela omkhulu engase ithinte imizwa yabatshalizimali ngomhla ka-29 Agasti

ULwesine usuku olugcwele imicimbi yezindaba enomthelela omaphakathi kuya phezulu. Mhlawumbe izindaba eziyinhloko ezinomthelela omkhulu kuzoba ukushicilelwa kwesibalo sokuqala se-GDP yase-USA, okubikezelwe ukuthi sizongena ku-2.2% sisuka ku-1.7% wenyanga edlule. Izimangalo zokungasebenzi zibikezelwa ukuthi zizohlala ebangeni lazo elincane ku-330K isonto lonke.

Kamuva kuseshini yaseNew York ilungu le-FOMC u-Bullard uyakhuluma ngakho-ke abatshalizimali kanye nabahlaziyi bezimakethe bazobheka ikhodi mayelana nokuqoshwa. Umongameli weBundesbank yaseJalimane uWeidmann uzophinde ethule inkulumo esimisweni santambama.