Cabanga Igebe; Ukuvuselelwa Kwesikhathi Sokuhweba KweLondon Ngaphambi Kokuvulwa Kweseshini YaseNew York
I-UK GDP inyukela ku-0.6% ngezimboni zezinsizakalo ezenza umnikelo omkhulu
Ukukhuphuka kwe-GDP yase-UK kuya ku-0.6% bekuhambisana nokuningi kwezibikezelo zezomnotho lapho kuvotelwa ngale ndaba. Kodwa-ke, inani elinamandla kunawo wonke kudatha lifike ku-'jingi '- i-UK GDP njengamanje ingu-1.4% ngaphezulu uma kuqhathaniswa nalesi sikhathi ngonyaka odlule, okuguqukayo okumangazayo, ikakhulukazi uma ukhumbula ukuthi i-UK yeqe' ukudipha okuphindwe kathathu ' kwikota yokugcina, lapho-ke ukucishwa 'kokuphinda kabili' okuqoshiwe kusulwe njengoba izibalo zangaphambilini zazibuyekezwa ziye phezulu…
Ingqikithi yomkhiqizo wasekhaya (i-GDP) inyuke ngo-0.6% ku-Q2 2013 uma iqhathaniswa ne-Q1 2013. Wonke amaqembu amakhulu ezimboni ngaphakathi komnotho (ezolimo, ezokukhiqiza, ezokwakha kanye nezinsizakalo) akhuphuke ku-Q2 2013 uma kuqhathaniswa ne-Q1 2013.
Umnikelo omkhulu kunayo yonke ekukhuleni kwe-Q2 2013 GDP uqhamuke emisebenzini; lezi zimboni zikhuphuke ngo-0.6% zanikela ngamaphuzu wamaphesenti angu-0.48 ekukhuleni kuka-0.6% kwi-GDP. Kwakukhona nomnikelo obheke phezulu (amaphesenti ayi-0.08 amaphuzu) kusuka ekukhiqizeni; lezi zimboni zikhuphuke ngo-0.6%, kanti ukukhiqizwa kukhuphuke ngo-0.4% kulandela ukukhula okungekuhle kuka-0.2% ku-Q1 2013.
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Ngo-Q2 2013, okukhishwayo embonini yezokwakha kwakulinganiselwa ukuthi kwenyuke ngo-0.9% uma kuqhathaniswa no-Q1 2013. Ku-Q1 2013 umkhiqizo owakhiwayo wawusezingeni eliphansi kunawo wonke kusukela ngo-Q1 2001. Ngaphambi kokwehla okukhulu komkhiqizo ngo-2008 nango-2009 umnotho wakhula kakhulu Q1 2008. Ukusuka phezulu kuya emkhombeni umnotho wehla ngo-7.2%. Ku-Q2 2013, i-GDP ilinganiselwe ukuthi ibe ngu-3.3% ngaphansi kwenani eliphakeme ku-Q1 2008.
I-GDP ibiphakeme ngo-1.4% ku-Q2 2013 uma iqhathaniswa nekota efanayo ngonyaka owedlule. U-Q2 2012 ubeneholide elengeziwe lebhange le-Queen's Diamond Jubilee. Abasebenzisi ngakho-ke kufanele bakhombise ukuqaphela lapho behumusha ikota ngekota efanayo ngonyaka odlule ekukhuleni ku-Q2 2013.
Idatha ye-IFO yaseJalimane yembula okulindelwe okuhle
I-Ifo Business Climate Index yezimboni kanye nezohwebo eJalimane inyuke okwesithathu ngokulandelana. Ukuhlolwa kwesimo sebhizinisi samanje kuhle kakhulu kunangenyanga edlule. Yize isimo sebhizinisi sezinyanga eziyisithupha saba buthakathaka kancane, amafemu ahlala enethemba ngokuqapha maqondana nombono webhizinisi labo lesikhathi esizayo. Izimo emnothweni waseJalimane zihlala zilungile. Inkomba yesimo sezulu sebhizinisi ekukhiqizeni inyuke kancane. Ukwaneliseka ngesimo samanje sebhizinisi kukhuphukile ngenyanga yesithathu ngokulandelana. Ukulindelwa kwebhizinisi kwehle kancane, kepha kuhlala kulungile.
Intuthuko yemali endaweni ye-euro
Izinga lokukhula lonyaka lemali ebanzi ebanzi ye-M3 yehle yaya ku-2.3% ngoJuni 2013, isuka ku-2.9% ngoMeyi 2013. Isilinganiso sezinyanga ezintathu samazinga okukhula ngonyaka we-M3 esikhathini esisukela ngo-Ephreli 2013 kuya kuJuni 2013 simi ku-2.8%, uma kuqhathaniswa no-2.9% esikhathini esisuka kuMashi 2013 kuya kuMeyi 2013. Mayelana nezakhi eziyinhloko ze-M3, izinga lokukhula ngonyaka le-M1 lehle laya ku-7.5% ngoJuni 2013, lisuka ku-8.4% ngoMeyi.
Ukuboleka izinkampani nemindeni endaweni eyishumi nesikhombisa yamalungu e-euro anikwe isivumelwano senyanga ye-14 ngokulandelana ngoJuni, uphawu lokuthi isifunda sisalwela ukuxazulula umnotho waso omude kunayo yonke eyake yenzeka. Imalimboleko eya ezinkampanini ezizimele yehle ngo-1.6% kusukela onyakeni owedlule ngemuva kokwehla ngo-1.1% ngoMeyi, kubika i-European Central Bank ezinze eFrankfurt.
Ukubukwa kwemakethe
Ngaphandle kokuphrinta okuhle kwe-UK GDP i-UK FTSE yehlulekile ukusabela kahle futhi ngokuhambisana nenqwaba yamabhasi aseYurophu ahlulekile ukukhula. Ukuthuthuka kwezimali endaweni ye-euro kungenzeka ukuthi kuthinte imizwa kancane, ngenkathi izindaba zokuthi ukungasebenzi kwabantu eSpain kunciphile kusuka esiqongweni kwakunganele ukuguqula umkhondo wezimpahla eziningi eziphakeme zaseYurophu. Amaholo avela ezinkampanini ezinkulu, asebenza njengabahambisi bokusebenza komnotho, nawo adumele izimakethe namhlanje ekuseni, lapho kudumazeka khona inkampani enkulu yamakhemikhali yaseJalimane i-BASF, njengo-Orange, umphakeli wenethiwekhi yeselula omholo wakhe wehle ngo-8.5%
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Inkomba ye-STOXX yehle ngo-0.87%, i-UK FTSE yehle ngo-0.91%, i-CAC yehla ngo-0.72%, i-DAX yehla ngo-1.18%, i-MIB yehla ngo-0.82%, ngenkathi inkomba yesiPutukezi, i-PSI yephule isikhunta njengoba ingu-0.16%.
INikkei ivale u-1.14%, i-Hang Seng yavala u-0.31%, i-CSI yavala u-0.5-%. Izinga elivaliwe le-ASX 200 ngenkathi i-NZX ivale u-0.49%.
Ikusasa lenkomba yokulingana ye-DJIA okwamanje liphansi ngo-0.56%, kanti i-NASDAQ yehle ngo-0.57%.
Uwoyela we-WTI uhlushwa usuku lwayo lwesine lokuwa njengoba ukungezwani kwezimakethe maqondana nesimo saseGibhithe sehla futhi nedatha yokugcina amandla e-USA ithuthukile. I-ICE WTI engahluziwe yehle ngo-0.72% ku- $ 104.63 emgqonyeni ngamunye. Imvelo ye-NYMEX inyuke ngo-0.11% ku- $ 3.70.
I-Spot gold yehle ngo-0.74% ku- $ 1312.78 nge-ounce, kanti isiliva lamabala liphansi ngamaphesenti angaphezu kwelilodwa, lehla ngo-1.27% ku- $ 19.92 nge-ounce.
Gxila ku-FX
U-Yen ukhuphuke waqhathanisa nabo bonke ngaphandle kontanga yakhe enkulu engu-16; ukwehla kwezimali zase-Asia kukhulise ukufunwa kwezimpahla eziphephe kakhulu. Ama-yen abonge amaphesenti angu-0.3 aya ku-100.02 ngedola ngalinye ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseLondon. Kuqinise amaphesenti angu-0.4 kuya ku-131.89 uma kuqhathaniswa ne-euro ngemuva kokuthi izolo kufinyelele ku-132.74, okuyizinga elibuthakathaka elifakazelwe kusukela ngoMeyi 23. I-euro ingeze amaphesenti ayi-0.1 ku- $ 1.3186. Ithinte u- $ 1.3256 izolo, okuyizinga eliphakeme elibhekiwe kusukela ngoJuni 20. Idola laseNew Zealand lenyuke ngemuva kokuthi ibhange elikhulu lesizwe limemezele ukuthi ijubane lanoma yikuphi ukukhuphuka kwamazinga wenzalo okuzayo kuzoncika kumthelela okhulayo wemakethe yezindlu kumanani entengo, kuphindaphinda ukuthi izindleko zokuboleka kungenzeka zihlale kumarekhodi abo aphansi ngamaphesenti ama-2.5 okusele kulo nyaka. I-kiwi ithole amaphesenti angu-1.2 kuya ku-80.23 amasenti ase-US.
ISterling ayiguqulwanga kancane ku- $ 1.5307 kuseshini yaseLondon ngemuva kokukhishwa kwenombolo ye-GDP yase-UK, ngemuva kokukhuphuka ngamaphesenti angama-0.5. Imali yase-UK ithande amaphesenti angaphansi kuka-0.1 kuya kuma-86.14 amapeni nge-euro ngayinye ngemuva kokukhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-0.4 yaya kuma-85.88.
USterling nokho uqinise amaphesenti angu-0.8 kulezi zinyanga ezintathu ezedlule, ngokusho kweBloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index elandela umkhondo wezimali eziyishumi ezithuthuke kakhulu. I-euro ithole amaphesenti angu-3.2 kanti idola lenyuke ngo-1.7%.
Isilinganiso sokulinganiswa seminyaka eyi-10 (GUKG10) besikumaphesenti ama-2.38 ngemuva kokukhuphukela kumaphesenti angama-2.43, okuphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi 10. IGilts inikeze abatshalizimali ukulahlekelwa ngamaphesenti angu-3.2 kulo nyaka, ngokusho kweBloomberg World Bond Indexes. Ukuphepha kweJalimane kulahlekelwa ngamaphesenti angu-1.3 kuze kube manje kanti uMgcinimafa wase-US wehle ngamaphesenti angu-2.6.
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