UFebhu 20 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4586 • Amazwana Off ku Ngabe Yilokhu Okusho Umbono Wama-20-20 NgeGreece?
Kunesihloko esisodwa nephuzu lengxoxo, maqondana nenkulumo-mpikiswano yaseGreece, ehlala idonsa ukunaka UMA ugxilile;
“Okusengcupheni umgomo wokwehlisa isikweletu sibe ngamaphesenti angu-120 esilawuleka kakhudlwana esamba somkhiqizo wasekhaya ngo-2020. Izikhulu ze-EU ne-IMF zikholelwa ukuthi lokho okuhlosiwe, okucabanga ukuthi iGreece izosebenzisa imali enqwabelene yesabelomali ngonyaka ozayo, ngaphandle kwezindleko ezinkulu zezikweletu zayo, uzophuthelwa. Ngaphansi kwesimo esiyinhloko sokuhlaziya okwenziwa yi-European Commission, i-European Central Bank kanye ne-International Monetary Fund, izilinganiso ziphakamisa ukuthi isikweletu saseGreece sizokwehla sifinyelele kumaphesenti angu-129 kuphela we-GDP ngo-2020.
Ngakho-ke ngokusebenzisa amamethrikhi anethemba elikhulu isikweletu sokuqala saseGreece ngokumelene ne-GDP isilinganiso singase sehle sifike ku-120% ngo-2020 futhi lokhu akuzicabangeli ezinye izikweletu ezifana nomthwalo wesikweletu somuntu siqu esingaba nomthelela omubi emalini egciniwe yasebhange kanye ne-liquidity/ukukhokha okudinga okwengeziwe. ukuhlenga njll. Imethrikhi evamile yezomnotho amazwe amaningi abhekwa ngayo ukuthi asaphilile iyisilinganiso sesikweletu v GDP esingeqile ku-65-80%, nokho silapha, ne-troika ivuma ngokusobala ukuthi isibalo esisondela ngokuphindwe kabili kunomkhawulo ophansi okungcono kakhulu okungafezwa, kodwa ngokusobala lokho kuyisisekelo lapho kungase kutholakale khona isivumelwano sokuhlenga.
Kuyamangaza ukucabanga ukuthi iGreece inganamathela ohlelweni lonke, noma ngabe ikleliswe isonto ngalinye njengomfana wesikole okhuthele, ebuzwa ukuthi imisebenzi yasekhaya iyanakekelwa yini bese ikhipha imali ephaketheni ukuze ikhokhele izisebenzi zikahulumeni ezisele zamathambo. amaholo ancishisiwe futhi agcwalise ama-ATM. Kuzoba namaqhubu emgwaqeni phakathi kwamanje no-2020 futhi njengoba iGreece ihlaselwa imikhuhlane nakanjani izophoqeleka ukuthi iphuze imithi eyisijeziso eyengeziwe. Kodwa-ke, ingabe amaGreki asayina kuze kube yiminyaka eyisishiyagalombili yobunzima obumangalisayo nobungadingekile, lapho impendulo esobala kusukela ekuqaleni yayiwuhlelo oluhlelekile oluhleliwe?
Njengoba sibuka i-Iceland iphuma enhlekeleleni yayo yango-2009 ezinye izintatheli nabahlaziyi bezomnotho bazokhombana ngeminwe baphakamise ukuthi bekusekhona, okusengenzeka. Kodwa njengoba sesenze i-Greece yaba inqola kanye nenkinga esemqoka (njengomsebenzi wokuhlenga wokusindisa i-euro ne-Eurozone) amandla abanzi ase-Europe kungenzeka enze induku enkulu kakhulu kuzo zonke izakhamizi zase-Euro.
U-2020 ubukeka ukude futhi noma yimuphi umcabango wokuthi iGreece izoguqulwa ibe yinoma yini enye ngaphandle kwezwe le-zombie ngaleso sikhathi kuwukufisa. Izoqhubeka idonsa futhi inqina enkosini yayo enonya, kuze kube yilapho ingane yesikole ingase ikhathale ukubeka umugqa ngokufanelekile futhi icele i-handout yezinga lokudla.
Market Sibutsetelo
Amasheya omhlaba wonke akhuphuka ngosuku lwesine ngenkathi izinsimbi zikhula ngamandla ngenxa yokuthi ibhange elikhulu laseShayina linqamule izimfuneko zamabhange, kuyilapho i-euro yaqina ngaphambi kokuba abaholi base-Europe bahlangane ukuze baxoxe ngokuhlenga amaGreki. Uwoyela ufinyelele ezingeni eliphakeme ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ngenxa yokuthi i-Iran yathi isiyekile ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eYurophu.
I-MSCI All-Country World Index izuze amaphesenti angu-0.4 kusukela ngo-8:00 ekuseni eLondon. I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.6 kanti ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3. I-euro ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.3199. I-yen yaba buthaka uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu abangu-13 kwabangu-16 ngemva kokuba iJapane ifake isikweletu esikhulu kunazo zonke sokuhweba sanyanga zonke kumarekhodi. Isivuno seminyaka eyishumi se-German bund sengeze amaphuzu amabili esisekelo samaphesenti angu-1.95. I-Copper ibuyisele emuva izinsuku zayo eziyisithupha zokulahlekelwa, ikhule ngamaphesenti angu-1.4, kuyilapho uwoyela wenyuka ngamaphesenti angu-1.5.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-9: 30 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Naphezu kokushicilela izibalo zokushoda kwerekhodi lokuhweba inkomba eyinhloko yaseJapane, i-Nikkei, ivale amaphuzu angaphezu kwe-100 noma i-1.02%. I-Hang Seng ivale ngo-0.31% kwathi i-CSI yavala ngo-0.14%. I-ASX 200 ivale ngo-1.44%, okuwukunyuka okunempilo esifundeni sase-Asia Pacific, isabela kahle ezindabeni zokuthi ukwehlisa kweChina izimfuneko zokubeka imali emabhange kungase kwenyuse isidingo sempahla eluhlaza ethunyelwa yi-Australia futhi kunikeze umnotho wawo wonke amandla. Izinkomba ze-European bourse zijabulele ukugxuma engxenyeni yokuqala yeseshini yasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.84%, i-FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.54%, i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.73% kanti i-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.75%. Ukuhwebelana okukhulu kwe-Athens kwenyuke ngo-1.42% 'esikhuphukeni' esihamba phambili namuhla ekuseni. Ikusasa lenkomba ye-SPX yokulingana okwamanje likhuphuke ngo-0.36%, i-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuke ngo-0.97% ngaphezu kuka-€120 umphongolo, igolide le-Comex likhuphuke ngo-$9.70 iounce.
Izisekelo Zezimpahla
Uwoyela we-Brent wokuxazululwa kuka-Ephreli ukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.97 wafinyelela ku-$120.53 umphongolo ekuhwebeni kwe-ICE Futures Europe ezinze eLondon. I-Copper eLondon ikhuphuke cishe ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 yaya ku-$8,396.50 ithani lemethrikhi. I-Zinc inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-1.9 yafinyelela ku-$1,982 ithani, i-nickel yengeza amaphesenti angu-1.4 yaya ku-$19,900 futhi ithini yakhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-1.6 yaya ku-$23,850.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-yen yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 yaya ku-104.79 nge-euro ngayinye futhi yathinta u-105.75 ngaphambili, ebuthakathaka kusukela ngoNovemba 14. Ukuthengiswa kwe-Japan kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-9.3 kusukela ngonyaka odlule, kusho uMnyango Wezezimali namuhla, uma kuqhathaniswa nesilinganiso esimaphakathi phakathi kosomnotho ngokuncipha kwamaphesenti angu-9.4. . I-euro izuzwe ngosuku lwesithathu uma iqhathaniswa nedola. I-euro ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.3199.
UChancellor waseJalimane u-Angela Merkel, uNdunankulu waseGreece uLucas Papademos kanye noNdunankulu wase-Italy uMario Monti bazwakalise ukuzethemba ngoFebhuwari 17 ukuthi ongqongqoshe bazoyixazulula imibuzo evulekile. Uma kwenzeka behluleka ukweseka uhlelo lwebheyili emhlanganweni waseBrussels, lolu daba lungahlehliselwa engqungqutheleni elandelayo ye-European Union ngoMashi 1.
Imali yase-Australia ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.0762 kanti i-kiwi yaseNew Zealand ithole amaphesenti angu-0.9 kuya kumasenti angu-83.97 ase-US. Lawa mazwe amabili, abala iChina phakathi kwezindawo ezinkulu zokuthumela ngaphandle, azuze ngamathemba okuthi ukuncishiswa kwenani elibekiwe kuzonyusa isidingo sempahla.
i-ecbisiGreeceimf
« Abathukuthele, Ama-Indignados aseSpain, Babhikisha ESpain, Ngenkathi I-Iran Iphendulela Amathebula EYurophu Njenge-Economic Winter Thaws Yase-Iceland Iziphi Izifundo Ezingafundwa Abenzi Bezinqubomgomo zaseYurophu? »
Ingabe Yilokhu Okudala Umbono Wama-20-20 WeGreece?
UFebhu 20 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4586 • Amazwana Off ku Ngabe Yilokhu Okusho Umbono Wama-20-20 NgeGreece?
Kunesihloko esisodwa nephuzu lengxoxo, maqondana nenkulumo-mpikiswano yaseGreece, ehlala idonsa ukunaka UMA ugxilile;
“Okusengcupheni umgomo wokwehlisa isikweletu sibe ngamaphesenti angu-120 esilawuleka kakhudlwana esamba somkhiqizo wasekhaya ngo-2020. Izikhulu ze-EU ne-IMF zikholelwa ukuthi lokho okuhlosiwe, okucabanga ukuthi iGreece izosebenzisa imali enqwabelene yesabelomali ngonyaka ozayo, ngaphandle kwezindleko ezinkulu zezikweletu zayo, uzophuthelwa. Ngaphansi kwesimo esiyinhloko sokuhlaziya okwenziwa yi-European Commission, i-European Central Bank kanye ne-International Monetary Fund, izilinganiso ziphakamisa ukuthi isikweletu saseGreece sizokwehla sifinyelele kumaphesenti angu-129 kuphela we-GDP ngo-2020.
Ngakho-ke ngokusebenzisa amamethrikhi anethemba elikhulu isikweletu sokuqala saseGreece ngokumelene ne-GDP isilinganiso singase sehle sifike ku-120% ngo-2020 futhi lokhu akuzicabangeli ezinye izikweletu ezifana nomthwalo wesikweletu somuntu siqu esingaba nomthelela omubi emalini egciniwe yasebhange kanye ne-liquidity/ukukhokha okudinga okwengeziwe. ukuhlenga njll. Imethrikhi evamile yezomnotho amazwe amaningi abhekwa ngayo ukuthi asaphilile iyisilinganiso sesikweletu v GDP esingeqile ku-65-80%, nokho silapha, ne-troika ivuma ngokusobala ukuthi isibalo esisondela ngokuphindwe kabili kunomkhawulo ophansi okungcono kakhulu okungafezwa, kodwa ngokusobala lokho kuyisisekelo lapho kungase kutholakale khona isivumelwano sokuhlenga.
Kuyamangaza ukucabanga ukuthi iGreece inganamathela ohlelweni lonke, noma ngabe ikleliswe isonto ngalinye njengomfana wesikole okhuthele, ebuzwa ukuthi imisebenzi yasekhaya iyanakekelwa yini bese ikhipha imali ephaketheni ukuze ikhokhele izisebenzi zikahulumeni ezisele zamathambo. amaholo ancishisiwe futhi agcwalise ama-ATM. Kuzoba namaqhubu emgwaqeni phakathi kwamanje no-2020 futhi njengoba iGreece ihlaselwa imikhuhlane nakanjani izophoqeleka ukuthi iphuze imithi eyisijeziso eyengeziwe. Kodwa-ke, ingabe amaGreki asayina kuze kube yiminyaka eyisishiyagalombili yobunzima obumangalisayo nobungadingekile, lapho impendulo esobala kusukela ekuqaleni yayiwuhlelo oluhlelekile oluhleliwe?
Njengoba sibuka i-Iceland iphuma enhlekeleleni yayo yango-2009 ezinye izintatheli nabahlaziyi bezomnotho bazokhombana ngeminwe baphakamise ukuthi bekusekhona, okusengenzeka. Kodwa njengoba sesenze i-Greece yaba inqola kanye nenkinga esemqoka (njengomsebenzi wokuhlenga wokusindisa i-euro ne-Eurozone) amandla abanzi ase-Europe kungenzeka enze induku enkulu kakhulu kuzo zonke izakhamizi zase-Euro.
U-2020 ubukeka ukude futhi noma yimuphi umcabango wokuthi iGreece izoguqulwa ibe yinoma yini enye ngaphandle kwezwe le-zombie ngaleso sikhathi kuwukufisa. Izoqhubeka idonsa futhi inqina enkosini yayo enonya, kuze kube yilapho ingane yesikole ingase ikhathale ukubeka umugqa ngokufanelekile futhi icele i-handout yezinga lokudla.
Market Sibutsetelo
Amasheya omhlaba wonke akhuphuka ngosuku lwesine ngenkathi izinsimbi zikhula ngamandla ngenxa yokuthi ibhange elikhulu laseShayina linqamule izimfuneko zamabhange, kuyilapho i-euro yaqina ngaphambi kokuba abaholi base-Europe bahlangane ukuze baxoxe ngokuhlenga amaGreki. Uwoyela ufinyelele ezingeni eliphakeme ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ngenxa yokuthi i-Iran yathi isiyekile ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe eYurophu.
I-MSCI All-Country World Index izuze amaphesenti angu-0.4 kusukela ngo-8:00 ekuseni eLondon. I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.6 kanti ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3. I-euro ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.3199. I-yen yaba buthaka uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu abangu-13 kwabangu-16 ngemva kokuba iJapane ifake isikweletu esikhulu kunazo zonke sokuhweba sanyanga zonke kumarekhodi. Isivuno seminyaka eyishumi se-German bund sengeze amaphuzu amabili esisekelo samaphesenti angu-1.95. I-Copper ibuyisele emuva izinsuku zayo eziyisithupha zokulahlekelwa, ikhule ngamaphesenti angu-1.4, kuyilapho uwoyela wenyuka ngamaphesenti angu-1.5.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-9: 30 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Naphezu kokushicilela izibalo zokushoda kwerekhodi lokuhweba inkomba eyinhloko yaseJapane, i-Nikkei, ivale amaphuzu angaphezu kwe-100 noma i-1.02%. I-Hang Seng ivale ngo-0.31% kwathi i-CSI yavala ngo-0.14%. I-ASX 200 ivale ngo-1.44%, okuwukunyuka okunempilo esifundeni sase-Asia Pacific, isabela kahle ezindabeni zokuthi ukwehlisa kweChina izimfuneko zokubeka imali emabhange kungase kwenyuse isidingo sempahla eluhlaza ethunyelwa yi-Australia futhi kunikeze umnotho wawo wonke amandla. Izinkomba ze-European bourse zijabulele ukugxuma engxenyeni yokuqala yeseshini yasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.84%, i-FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.54%, i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.73% kanti i-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.75%. Ukuhwebelana okukhulu kwe-Athens kwenyuke ngo-1.42% 'esikhuphukeni' esihamba phambili namuhla ekuseni. Ikusasa lenkomba ye-SPX yokulingana okwamanje likhuphuke ngo-0.36%, i-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuke ngo-0.97% ngaphezu kuka-€120 umphongolo, igolide le-Comex likhuphuke ngo-$9.70 iounce.
Izisekelo Zezimpahla
Uwoyela we-Brent wokuxazululwa kuka-Ephreli ukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.97 wafinyelela ku-$120.53 umphongolo ekuhwebeni kwe-ICE Futures Europe ezinze eLondon. I-Copper eLondon ikhuphuke cishe ngamaphesenti angu-2.7 yaya ku-$8,396.50 ithani lemethrikhi. I-Zinc inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-1.9 yafinyelela ku-$1,982 ithani, i-nickel yengeza amaphesenti angu-1.4 yaya ku-$19,900 futhi ithini yakhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-1.6 yaya ku-$23,850.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-yen yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 yaya ku-104.79 nge-euro ngayinye futhi yathinta u-105.75 ngaphambili, ebuthakathaka kusukela ngoNovemba 14. Ukuthengiswa kwe-Japan kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-9.3 kusukela ngonyaka odlule, kusho uMnyango Wezezimali namuhla, uma kuqhathaniswa nesilinganiso esimaphakathi phakathi kosomnotho ngokuncipha kwamaphesenti angu-9.4. . I-euro izuzwe ngosuku lwesithathu uma iqhathaniswa nedola. I-euro ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.3199.
UChancellor waseJalimane u-Angela Merkel, uNdunankulu waseGreece uLucas Papademos kanye noNdunankulu wase-Italy uMario Monti bazwakalise ukuzethemba ngoFebhuwari 17 ukuthi ongqongqoshe bazoyixazulula imibuzo evulekile. Uma kwenzeka behluleka ukweseka uhlelo lwebheyili emhlanganweni waseBrussels, lolu daba lungahlehliselwa engqungqutheleni elandelayo ye-European Union ngoMashi 1.
Imali yase-Australia ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 yaya ku-$1.0762 kanti i-kiwi yaseNew Zealand ithole amaphesenti angu-0.9 kuya kumasenti angu-83.97 ase-US. Lawa mazwe amabili, abala iChina phakathi kwezindawo ezinkulu zokuthumela ngaphandle, azuze ngamathemba okuthi ukuncishiswa kwenani elibekiwe kuzonyusa isidingo sempahla.
i-ecbisiGreeceimf
« Abathukuthele, Ama-Indignados aseSpain, Babhikisha ESpain, Ngenkathi I-Iran Iphendulela Amathebula EYurophu Njenge-Economic Winter Thaws Yase-Iceland Iziphi Izifundo Ezingafundwa Abenzi Bezinqubomgomo zaseYurophu? »