Ukubikezela okuthrendayo kweviki eliqala ngomhla ka-Julayi 21st 2013
Izimakethe ze-Forex njengamanje zibonakala ziqhutshwa yizimo ezintathu eziyinhloko;
.Inkulumo yemakethe eqhubekayo ye-Fed tapering kanye nesikhathi sakho.
.Ukuthengiswa kwempahla yangaphandle ngabatshalizimali baseJapan.
.Ukuminyanisa komnotho waseShayina kanye nokwehla komnotho wesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni.
Ukuvumelana kwemakethe, ngemuva kokuthi uBen Bernanke enikeze izinsuku zakhe ezimbili 
ubufakazi phambi kwezinhlaka ezahlukene zikahulumeni wase-USA ngesonto eledlule, kubonakale kungenalo ushintsho ezitatimendeni zakhe ze-FOMC zangesonto eledlule - ukuncishiswa kwezimali kuzolandelwa ngonya kuze kube umgomo wokuqala wokungasebenzi u-6.5% (oshiwo ekuqaleni komjikelezo wakamuva wokunciphisa imali. ) ekugcineni ifinyelelwe.
Njengoba lokhu kuzothatha ukwakhiwa kwemisebenzi emisha ecishe ibe yizigidi ezimbili futhi kuyise ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi e-USA emazingeni angaphambi Kokuwohloka Okukhulu Komnotho, izimakethe zihumushe lokhu njengokungaba yizinyanga eziyi-18-24 zokwengeza imali eyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-85 zamarandi, noma kuze kube yisikhathi lapho I-Fed imemezela ukuncipha kwesikhuthazo. Uma inkinga yokuncipha iqhubeka isikhathi eside, maningi amathuba okuthi ukulungiswa kwemakethe kuzovela ngokuzumayo, ngokuphambene nokwehliswa kancane kwamazinga amanje amarekhodi afakazelwa yi-DJIA kanye ne-S&P 500. Ukuthi izinkomba eziyinhloko zizokwehla kungazelelwe futhi ngamaphesenti amangaki akunakwenzeka ukubikezela, kodwa lapho sisondela esinqumweni esinciphayo kulapho ukuqagela kuzoba kukhulu. Iphothifoliyo/ibhalansi enkulu ye-Fed manje idlula ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezintathu, uma inqubomgomo ihlala isikhathi eside, maningi amathuba okuthi izophela ngokudabukisayo...
Abonga, ikakhulukazi abahola impesheni abalwela ukuphila ngemali engenayo emalini abayitshalile, babekwe ekhoneni ukuze bathole izinketho eziphephile. Baphoqelelwe kumasheya/ezitokisini, okuyisizathu esisodwa sokuthi imakethe ibilokhu ikhuphuka ngokomqondo. Njengoba izindleko zokuboleka ziphansi, iCongress kanye ne-White House abanayo inkuthazo encane yokubuyisela isikweleti sezwe, kuyilapho iZIRP iphazamise izimakethe.
Okwamanje ayikho imibono eqondile yokuthi i-Fed ihlela kanjani ukwehlisa izingxenye zezimpahla zayo eziyizigidi eziyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezintathu. Njengoba ekugcineni lithengisa inani lawo wonke amabhondi lingase lehle, lisule labo abatshalizimali abangamabhondi abawatholayo. Uma izinqubomgomo ze-Fed zokuthola imali kalula ziqhubeka isikhathi eside, kuba nkulu ubungozi bokuhlanekezela izimakethe, kudale amabhamuza amasha futhi kumiswe i-USA (kanye nomnotho womhlaba) ukuze kugwemeke enye inkinga.
Ukuhlaziywa kwethrendi yokubhanqa kwemali enkulu
EUR / USD
I-EUR/USD igcine ukuhlehliswa inkambiso ngoJulayi 9th - 10th futhi igcine umzila wamanje kanye nomfutho kusukela. Ukuhlaziya izinkomba ezisetshenziswa kakhulu nezikhethwayo zokuhweba kungaphakamisa ukuthi umfutho wamanje unesizathu esengeziwe sokufuna kabusha. I-PSR ingaphansi kwentengo, i-stochastics (esimisweni esilungisiwe sika-9,9,5) zisazohlehla/ziwele, noma zifinyelele indawo ethengwe ngokweqile. I-DMI (esimisweni esilungisiwe sika-20) iphrinta ukuphakama okuphezulu ku-histogram, kuyilapho i-MACD nayo iphrinta ukuphakama okuphezulu. Ukufundwa kwe-RSI (esimisweni esijwayelekile senkathi yezinsuku eziyi-14) okwamanje kungaphezu kwezinga eliphakathi kwama-50 ku-54.81. Amabhendi e-Bollinger kuzilungiselelo ezijwayelekile aqhelelene nokuphulwa. Isenzo senani esisebenzisa amabha we-Heikin Ashi siveza amakhandlela avaliwe phakathi nokuhweba kwezinsuku ezedlule, ngezithunzi ezincane eziphakamisa umfutho okhuphukayo.
Vula i-Akhawunti ye-Demo ye-MAHHALA Manje Ukuzilolonga
Ukuhweba kwangaphambili Ekuhwebeni Kwangempela Okubukhoma & Nendawo Engabungozi!
Ngaphandle uma kukhona ukuchezuka okukhulu kuleli sonto mayelana nenqubomgomo yebhange elikhulu elihlangene kungaba ubudedengu ukwahlulela ngokungeyikho noma ukuzama ukubikezela ukushintsha kwemizwelo. Ngakho-ke abathengisi abasezikhundleni ezinde ze-EUR/USD bazokwaziswa ukuthi babheke ukuqinisekiswa okugcwele noma okuyingxenye kwezinkomba eziningi ezithandwayo ngaphambi kokucabangela isikhundla esifushane.
GBP / USD
Imizuzu yokuqala yekomiti lenqubomgomo yezimali yase-UK Bank of England, ngemuva kokuba umbusi omusha uMark Carney ethathe izintambo zokuphatha, idalulwe ngesonto eledlule. Ukuhlaziywa kwamaminithi wokuthunyelwe kuphakamise ukuthi isikhuthazo semali esisha asisekho etafuleni. Ngokufanayo noma yikuphi ukulungiswa kwenani lenzalo eliyisisekelo elingu-0.5% kubonakala kungenakwenzeka ngaphandle kwalapho i-UK iqala ukuhlehlela emuva ekuwohlokeni komnotho. Naphezu kokuba abahlaziyi abaningi bekholelwa ukuthi u-Carney uzoqala ukuhlanganisa i-dove-tailing yenqubomgomo ne-USA, umlayezo wonke ubonakale ungowokwenza izinqumo ezilawulwayo nezihlelekile, nakuba zisebenza ngokuqhubekayo uma ziqhathaniswa ne-reactive. Umthelela kukhebuli ubungabikezelwa...
Okufana nekhebula le-EUR/USD imkhuba yokugcina ehlehlisiwe ngoJulayi 9 - 10. Kusukela ngalolo suku ilokhu ikhula njalo. Isethi ekhethwayo yezinkomba zethrendi ezisetshenziswa kakhulu zonke zikhombisa okuhle ngokukhuphuka okuqhubekayo. I-PSR ingaphansi kwentengo, i-DMI yaba iphozithivu (esimisweni esilungisiwe sika-20) ngoJulayi 18 futhi i-histogram yenza ukuphakama okuphezulu ngezinsuku ezilandelanayo. I-MACD ivuma nge-histogram ebonisa ukuphakama okuphezulu kwezinsuku ezinhlanu ezilandelanayo. I-stochastics (ku-9,9,5) imfushane endaweni edayiswe kakhulu futhi izowela, kuyilapho i-RSI ingaphezu komugqa omaphakathi futhi ifunda u-52.77. Ezinsukwini ezine ezedlule ezilandelanayo zokuhweba amakhandlela e-Heikin Ashi avalwa ngezithunzi ezibheke phezulu, izinkomba zokuthi umuzwa wemakethe umile. Ngaphandle uma ukuhlehla komuzwa kufakazelwa ngezinkomba ezisalele emuva, noma ukuguqulwa okukhulu kwenqubomgomo kwembulwa yi-UK BoE noma i-USA Fed, noma izimakethe zithola ukushaqeka kokuzamazama komhlaba, abadayisi abashwibayo/abathrendayo bazolulekwa ukuthi bahlale intambo ende.
USD / JPY
I-Dollar yen igcine ukubhekana nokuhlehla kwethrendi ngomhla ka-10 Julayi. Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi ukuthambekela kwakamuva kwe-bearish bekungagculisi. I-PSR ingaphezu kwentengo, i-RSI ifunda u-56.95, i-MACD iphozithivu ifinyelela ukuphakama okuphezulu, njenge-DMI esimisweni esilungisiwe esingu-20. Ibhendi yeBollinger ephakathi ingenelwe ngomfutho okhuphukayo. Imigqa yesitokofela incishisiwe kusilungiselelo esibuyekeziwe esingu-9,9,5 kodwa sinikezwe izindawo ezingathathi hlangothi noma ezithengiwe ngokweqile noma ezithengwe ngokweqile ezibonakala zifinyeleleka kalula. Abadayisi bethrendi abakhetha ukusebenzisa izinkomba ukuze banqume isiqondiso futhi abafushane njengamanje bazolulekwa ukuthi balinde ukuqinisekiswa okugcwele kwazo zonke izinkomba ezithandwa kakhulu ngaphambi kokuhlehlisa isikhundla sabo uma kubhekwa ukuthi ukufundwa kweshadi kwamanje akugculisi. Ukuba ngaphansi kwenani le-PSR kanye nokuwela isitokostiki kungase kubhekwe njengezimpawu ezidingekayo ukuze ekugcineni zihambe isikhathi eside.
Thola Amandla Akho Nge-Akhawunti Yokuzijwayeza YAMAHHALA futhi Ungabi Nengozi
Chofoza ukuze ufune i-akhawunti yakho manje!
Amafutha e-WTI
Uwoyela wase-US waqala inkambiso yawo yakamuva ye-parabolic ngoJuni 25. Uwoyela wephule u-$109 umphongolo phakathi neseshini yangesonto eledlule futhi wasabisa ngokufinyelela ku-$110 umphongolo ngamunye. Kushubile ukushuba kwesimo sase-Egypt, kwafaka ingcindezi kumsele i-Suez kanye nepayipi le-SUMED ukuze kuqhutshekwe nokuhlinzekwa okunganqamuki. Imibuzo enganqamuki yokuhlinzekwa kwempahla yathinta imizwa njengoba kwenza imibuzo eminingi yasekhaya maqondana nezimali ezikhona e-USA. Ukuqhathaniswa kokugcina kwamasonto onke kwagcina ukubonakala ngoMashi 2012. Izinkomba ezisetshenziswa kakhulu ukwakha izitayela zokushwiba zisafundeka kahle mayelana nomfutho oqhubekayo okhuphukayo. Kodwa-ke, ukushintshashintsha kwemizwelo ngenxa yezixazululo zezepolitiki okufinyelelwa kuzo kungabangela ukudayiswa kukawoyela, njengoba kungase kube ubufakazi obengeziwe bokuthi i-USA isesimweni sokuzimela geqe. PSAR, MACD, DMI, Bollinger bands, Heikin Ashi bar, stochastics konke kuhle. Kumele kukhunjulwe ukuthi njengoba uwoyela wempahla uvamise ukuba nodlame, ngakho-ke kungakuhle ukuthi abahwebi (asebenesikhathi eside benowoyela selokhu kwaqala ukwenziwa kusukela ngasekupheleni kukaJuni) ukuthi balawule izindawo zabo zokulandela umkhondo ngempumelelo..
Spot igolide
Igolide lenze ukusimama okubalulekile, nakuba kungagculisi, emasontweni asanda kwedlula kusukela ihlehla inkambiso ngoJulayi 9 - 10. Njengoba izimakethe zomhlaba ziye zanda, ngenxa yesivumelwano sebhange eliphakathi elihlangene mayelana nezisusa zesikhashana, isidingo segolide njengendawo ephephile sinciphile. Nokho, ukuvikeleka kwenze izinzuzo ezinhle emasontweni asanda kwedlula.
Naphezu kwethemba le-bullish igolide lisazobangela ukuncoma okugcwele kwezinkomba zethrendi, okuphakamisa ukuthi abaqageli abaningi nabatshalizimali basalokhu bengaqinisekanga mayelana nomfutho we-bullish. Ngempela izinkomba ezimbalwa zethrendi kuzilungiselelo ezilungisiwe zibonisa ukuthi lokhu kunyakaza kwe-bullish yezwe kungase kuphele. I-stochastics isendaweni edayiswe ngokweqile, i-DMI isazosebenza kahle, naphezu kokwenza ukwehla okuphezulu kusilungiselelo esilungisiwe esingu-20. I-RSI yeqe izinga elimaphakathi ukuze ifunde u-55.3 kuyilapho ibhendi ye-Bollinger engenhla yephuliwe. Sekukonke igolide libonakala lilungele ukuphuma. Ukuthi lokhu kuzoba phezulu noma cha kunzima kakhulu ukubikezela. Ngakho-ke abadayisi bazokwelulekwa ukuthi bahlale beqaphile uma beyigolide elide ngokuphatha izitobhi zabo nezinto abazilindele..
I-DJIA Index
I-DJIA iqale umnyakazo wayo wakamuva we-bullish ngoJuni 26. Ukukhuphuka sekufinyelele amaphuzu angama-800. Ngaphandle kwezinkomba eziphakamisa ukukhathala okungaba khona komuzwa wemakethe yokuthutha uncike ngokuphelele endabeni emayelana nokukhuthaza imali, ngokuphambene nezinzuzo ezinhle kule sizini yokubika yamanje, noma eminye imicimbi yezindaba eshicilelwe.
Izinkomba zethrendi eziphakamisa imakethe ethengiwe ngokweqile zihlanganisa i-RSI efinyelela ku-70 kanye nestochastics ukuba endaweni edayiswe ngokweqile futhi iphrinte ngaphezu kokufunda okungu-90. Amakhandlela akamuva ansuku zonke abengashoni anezithunzi ezincane kumaseshini akamuva. I-MACD iphrinte ukuphakama okuphansi ku-histogram. Abadayisi osekunesikhathi eside bezokwelulekwa ukuthi baqaphe ukuhwebelana kwabo ngokuqapha njengoba i-DJIA ikhombisa izimpawu eziningi zokuthi amarekhodi azohluleka ukwephulwa nokuthi ukulandisa okuphathelene nokwehliswa kwenani lemali kuye kwafakwa intengo. Imakethe ingase ihlelelwe ukubuyisela emuva okubalulekile. Abahwebi abanolwazi ekusebenziseni ithuluzi le-Fibonacci bangaqala ukucabangela ukuthi kungenzeka yini ukubuyiswa okukhulu.
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