UJan 6 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4336 • Amazwana Off ku-Chief we-IMF Ubikezela I-Euro Ukusinda
UMqondisi Ophethe i-International Monetary Fund uChristine Lagarde uthe ngoLwesihlanu embuthanweni obusePretoria South Africa ukuthi ubengacabangi ukuthi unyaka ka-2012 uzoba “ukuphela kwemali ye-euro” yize kunenkinga yezikweletu endaweni ye-euro.
Ngabe u-2012 uzoba ukuphela kwe-euro? Impendulo yami ukuthi, angicabangi kanjalo. Imali uqobo lwayo kungenzeka inyamalale noma inyamalale ngo-2012.
Kodwa-ke, uNkk. Lagarde uphakamise ukuthi iNingizimu Afrika kanye neminye iminotho esezingeni eliphezulu yase-Afrika ingabhekana nemiphumela yenkinga yezikweletu ze-Eurozone ngaphandle uma kutholakala isixazululo kule nkinga. "La mazwe azobhekana nezingqinamba uma kungalungiswa inkinga yase-Europe", esho ngemuva komhlangano noNgqongqoshe Wezimali wase-Afrika u-Paravin Gordhan.
Imininingwane emisha evela ku-ECB ikhombisa ukuthi imali efakwe ngobusuku obubodwa ebhange eliphakathi ebusuku ifike ku- € 455.3bn - enye ephezulu ephezulu. Bathole irekhodi langaphambilini lama- € 453bn ngoLwesibili ebusuku.
Ilungu loMkhandlu Olawula I-European Central Bank uKlaas Knot uthe iGerman kumele isekele ukukhulisa isikhwama sezimo eziphuthumayo sase-Europe ukusiza ukuqeda inkinga yezikweletu zalesi sifunda. Ngokwehlukana, uKnot uthe akakhathazeki ngokwehla kwe-euro uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika;
Kuyingxenye yokuguquguquka kwesilinganiso sokushintshaniswa okujwayelekile, noma ngokubuka komlando i-euro izinze ngokumangazayo uma iqhathaniswa nezinye izimali. Isithiyo esibaluleke kakhulu silele eJalimane, hhayi eNetherlands. Ngicabanga ukuthi kudingeka imali eningi futhi sizosebenzisa leso sikhathi ukukholisa ozakwethu baseJalimane. Asihambanga ngendlela efanele futhi kuyacaca futhi ukuthi izinyathelo ezidingekayo zenzeka kancane kakhulu futhi zikhawulelwe ngosayizi. Ukusheshisa okuphawulekayo ekuthathweni kwezinqumo kuyadingeka.
Izitoko zase-Europe zanyuka okokuqala ezinsukwini ezintathu nethusi ngaphambi kombiko wemisebenzi yase-US ongakhombisa ukuthi ukuqashwa kukhuphuke kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba. I-euro ithengiswe eduze nezinyanga eziyi-15 eziphansi uma kuqhathaniswa nedola.
I-euro ibheke ekulahlekelweni kwesihlanu masonto onke uma kuqhathaniswa nedola ngaphambi kombiko osomnotho abathi uzokhombisa ukuzethemba kwabathengi kwehle esifundeni, okwenza kube nzima kubaholi base-Europe ukubamba inkinga yabo yezikweletu.
Imali yamazwe ayi-17 ibingamaphesenti angu-0.1 kusuka kwababuthaka eminyakeni eyi-11 uma kuqhathaniswa ne-yen njengoba iSpain ne-Italy belungiselela ukuthengisa isikweletu ngesonto elizayo ngemuva kokuthi izindleko zokuboleka zaseFrance zikhuphuke endalini izolo. Idola belibhekise ekuzuzeni masonto onke uma kuqhathaniswa ne-yen ne-euro ngaphambi kombiko wase-US okhombisa ukuthi abaqashi bangeze imisebenzi eminingi ezinyangeni ezintathu ngoDisemba. Inkomba yeDollar ifinyelele onyakeni owodwa.
Ama-payroll cishe akhuphuke ngabasebenzi abangu-155,000 ngemuva kokukhuphuka kuka-120,000 ngenyanga eyedlule, ngokusho kwesibikezelo esiphakathi sabezomnotho abangama-84 abahlolwa yiBloomberg News. Izinga labantu abangasebenzi lenyuke ngemuva kokwehla ngoNovemba laya ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu eminyakeni engaphezu kwemibili, umbiko ungakhombisa futhi. Umbiko woMnyango Wezabasebenzi kufanele ube ngo-8: 30 ekuseni eWashington, ngo-13: 30 GMT. Ukulinganiswa kocwaningo lweBloomberg kusuka kokunyuka kwama-80,000 kuya ku-220,000. Izinga lokungasebenzi kungenzeka likhuphuke laya ku-8.7% ngoDisemba lisuka ku-8.6 wamaphesenti ngenyanga eyedlule, nokuyilona ebeliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoMashi 2009, ngokusho komlinganisi wocwaningo. Abaqashi kungenzeka bangeze abasebenzi abayizigidi eziyi-1.45 ngonyaka odlule kuya kuNovemba. Lokhu kukhuphuka kukhombisa ukuthi umnotho wenze okuncane kakhulu ekubuyiseni imisebenzi eyizigidi eziyi-8.75 eyalahleka ngenxa yokwehla kwamandla omnotho okwaphela ngoJuni 2009.
I-Index Index ye-IntercontinentalExchange Inc., elandelela ukubuyiselwa kwemali okuphambene nezimali zabalingani abayisithupha abakhulu bezohwebo baseMelika, inyuke ngo-0.1% yaya ku-80.970 ngemuva kokufinyelela ku-81.062, okuyisibalo esiphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoJanuwari 11, 2011.
Market Sibutsetelo
I-euro ayishintshwanga kangako ngo- $ 1.2787 ngo-8: 24 ekuseni eLondon njengoba ilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-1.5 kuleli sonto, ukwehla okude kakhulu kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2010. Phambilini yehle yaba ngu- $ 1.2764, okuyisilinganiso esiphansi kunazo zonke kusukela ngoSepthemba 2010. I-euro nayo ayizange ishintshwe kangako ngo-98.53 yen ngemuva kokuwa kuma-yen angu-98.48 izolo, ebuthakathaka kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 2000. Idola lathola amaphesenti ayi-0.1 laya kuma-yen angu-77.16, njengoba lenyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kuleli sonto.
I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kusukela ngo-8: 00 ekuseni eLondon. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti ayi-0.1. I-Shanghai Composite Index ithole amaphesenti angu-0.7, yaveza ukwehla kwesishiyagalolunye masonto onke kwathi i-euro yathenga ama- $ 1.2777.
Uwoyela ekuqaleni ubusenqabile usuku lwesibili eNew York, unciphisa inzuzo yamasonto onke, njengoba ukwanda kwezimpahla ezingahluziwe zase-US kanye nezimpawu zokuthi inkinga enkulu yezikweletu zaseYurophu iya ngokuya isiba nokwehla kwesidingo sophethiloli. Ikusasa lishelele cishe ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 ngemuva kokulahla amaphesenti angu-1.4 izolo. Izimpahla ezingafuneki zaseMelika zikhuphuke ngemigqomo eyi-2.2 million ngesonto eledlule, kusho uMnyango wezaMandla. Okungahluziwe ukulethwa kukaFebhuwari kushibilike cishe amasenti angama-51 kuya ku- $ 101.30 umgqomo ekuhwebeni ngogesi eNew York Mercantile Exchange. Kwakungu- $ 101.54 ngo- 5:11 pm ngesikhathi saseSydney. Inkontileka izolo yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 yaya ku- $ 101.81, okuyisibalo esiseduze kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 30. Amanani athola amaphesenti angu-8.2 ngo-2011.
Uwoyela weBrent wokukhokhwa kukaFebhuwari ekuqaleni wehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 waya ku- $ 112.49 umgqomo ongashintshaniswa ne-ICE Futures Europe eseLondon. Iphrimiyamu yenkontileka yokulinganisa yaseYurophu eya eWest Texas Intermediate future yayiku- $ 10.95, uma kuqhathaniswa ne- $ 10.93 izolo kanye nerekhodi lama- $ 27.88 ngo-Okthoba 14.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-9: 30 ekuseni GMT (UK) isikhathi
Eseshini yase-Asia bobabili uNikkei noHang Seng bahlupheka ngenkathi iCSI ivala. INikkei ivale u-1.16%, iHang Seng yavala u-1.17% kwathi i-CSI yona yavala u-0.62%. i-ASX 200 ivale u-0.83%. Ama-bourses aseYurophu akhuphukile esimisweni sasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 inyuke ngo-0.65%, i-UK FTSE inyuke ngo-0.42%, i-CAC inyuke ngo-0.87% kwathi i-DAX yenyuka ngo-0.69%. Ikusasa lenkomba yokulingana yemihla ngemihla ye-SPX njengamanje lenyuke ngo-0.08%. I-Brent crude manje inyuke ngama- $ 0.53 emgqonyeni ngemuva kokuwa kokuqala kanti igolide leComex likhuphuke ngo- $ 3.94 ku- $ 1624.00.
Ukukhishwa kwekhalenda lezomnotho okungathinta imizwa yeseshini yantambama
I-13: 30 US - Shintsha kuma-Payrolls angekho epulazini ngoDisemba
13:30 US - Izinga Lokungasebenzi NgoDisemba
Ngo-13: 30 US - Isilinganiso Sokuzuza Kwamahora ngoDisemba
13:30 US - Isilinganiso Samahora Masonto onke ngoDisemba
Amehlo onke abheke izibalo zemisebenzi nokungasebenzi ezivela e-USA. Ucwaningo lweBloomberg lwabahlaziyi lwaveza isilinganiso esiphakathi kuka- + 150,000, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esingu- + 120,000. Isibalo esilinganisiwe semaphakathi esivela ocwaningweni lwabahlaziyi baseBloomberg bekuyisilinganiso esingu-8.70%, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo sangenyanga edlule esingu-8.60%.
christine lagardeeuro
« Ingabe i-USA iguqule i-Unemployment Corner? Ngakho-ke i-Euro Iyanyamalala, Kwenzekani Ngokulandelayo? »
Induna ye-IMF ibikezela ukuthi i-Euro izosinda
UJan 6 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4336 • Amazwana Off ku-Chief we-IMF Ubikezela I-Euro Ukusinda
UMqondisi Ophethe i-International Monetary Fund uChristine Lagarde uthe ngoLwesihlanu embuthanweni obusePretoria South Africa ukuthi ubengacabangi ukuthi unyaka ka-2012 uzoba “ukuphela kwemali ye-euro” yize kunenkinga yezikweletu endaweni ye-euro.
Ngabe u-2012 uzoba ukuphela kwe-euro? Impendulo yami ukuthi, angicabangi kanjalo. Imali uqobo lwayo kungenzeka inyamalale noma inyamalale ngo-2012.
Kodwa-ke, uNkk. Lagarde uphakamise ukuthi iNingizimu Afrika kanye neminye iminotho esezingeni eliphezulu yase-Afrika ingabhekana nemiphumela yenkinga yezikweletu ze-Eurozone ngaphandle uma kutholakala isixazululo kule nkinga. "La mazwe azobhekana nezingqinamba uma kungalungiswa inkinga yase-Europe", esho ngemuva komhlangano noNgqongqoshe Wezimali wase-Afrika u-Paravin Gordhan.
Imininingwane emisha evela ku-ECB ikhombisa ukuthi imali efakwe ngobusuku obubodwa ebhange eliphakathi ebusuku ifike ku- € 455.3bn - enye ephezulu ephezulu. Bathole irekhodi langaphambilini lama- € 453bn ngoLwesibili ebusuku.
Ilungu loMkhandlu Olawula I-European Central Bank uKlaas Knot uthe iGerman kumele isekele ukukhulisa isikhwama sezimo eziphuthumayo sase-Europe ukusiza ukuqeda inkinga yezikweletu zalesi sifunda. Ngokwehlukana, uKnot uthe akakhathazeki ngokwehla kwe-euro uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika;
Kuyingxenye yokuguquguquka kwesilinganiso sokushintshaniswa okujwayelekile, noma ngokubuka komlando i-euro izinze ngokumangazayo uma iqhathaniswa nezinye izimali. Isithiyo esibaluleke kakhulu silele eJalimane, hhayi eNetherlands. Ngicabanga ukuthi kudingeka imali eningi futhi sizosebenzisa leso sikhathi ukukholisa ozakwethu baseJalimane. Asihambanga ngendlela efanele futhi kuyacaca futhi ukuthi izinyathelo ezidingekayo zenzeka kancane kakhulu futhi zikhawulelwe ngosayizi. Ukusheshisa okuphawulekayo ekuthathweni kwezinqumo kuyadingeka.
Izitoko zase-Europe zanyuka okokuqala ezinsukwini ezintathu nethusi ngaphambi kombiko wemisebenzi yase-US ongakhombisa ukuthi ukuqashwa kukhuphuke kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba. I-euro ithengiswe eduze nezinyanga eziyi-15 eziphansi uma kuqhathaniswa nedola.
I-euro ibheke ekulahlekelweni kwesihlanu masonto onke uma kuqhathaniswa nedola ngaphambi kombiko osomnotho abathi uzokhombisa ukuzethemba kwabathengi kwehle esifundeni, okwenza kube nzima kubaholi base-Europe ukubamba inkinga yabo yezikweletu.
Imali yamazwe ayi-17 ibingamaphesenti angu-0.1 kusuka kwababuthaka eminyakeni eyi-11 uma kuqhathaniswa ne-yen njengoba iSpain ne-Italy belungiselela ukuthengisa isikweletu ngesonto elizayo ngemuva kokuthi izindleko zokuboleka zaseFrance zikhuphuke endalini izolo. Idola belibhekise ekuzuzeni masonto onke uma kuqhathaniswa ne-yen ne-euro ngaphambi kombiko wase-US okhombisa ukuthi abaqashi bangeze imisebenzi eminingi ezinyangeni ezintathu ngoDisemba. Inkomba yeDollar ifinyelele onyakeni owodwa.
Ama-payroll cishe akhuphuke ngabasebenzi abangu-155,000 ngemuva kokukhuphuka kuka-120,000 ngenyanga eyedlule, ngokusho kwesibikezelo esiphakathi sabezomnotho abangama-84 abahlolwa yiBloomberg News. Izinga labantu abangasebenzi lenyuke ngemuva kokwehla ngoNovemba laya ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu eminyakeni engaphezu kwemibili, umbiko ungakhombisa futhi. Umbiko woMnyango Wezabasebenzi kufanele ube ngo-8: 30 ekuseni eWashington, ngo-13: 30 GMT. Ukulinganiswa kocwaningo lweBloomberg kusuka kokunyuka kwama-80,000 kuya ku-220,000. Izinga lokungasebenzi kungenzeka likhuphuke laya ku-8.7% ngoDisemba lisuka ku-8.6 wamaphesenti ngenyanga eyedlule, nokuyilona ebeliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoMashi 2009, ngokusho komlinganisi wocwaningo. Abaqashi kungenzeka bangeze abasebenzi abayizigidi eziyi-1.45 ngonyaka odlule kuya kuNovemba. Lokhu kukhuphuka kukhombisa ukuthi umnotho wenze okuncane kakhulu ekubuyiseni imisebenzi eyizigidi eziyi-8.75 eyalahleka ngenxa yokwehla kwamandla omnotho okwaphela ngoJuni 2009.
I-Index Index ye-IntercontinentalExchange Inc., elandelela ukubuyiselwa kwemali okuphambene nezimali zabalingani abayisithupha abakhulu bezohwebo baseMelika, inyuke ngo-0.1% yaya ku-80.970 ngemuva kokufinyelela ku-81.062, okuyisibalo esiphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoJanuwari 11, 2011.
Market Sibutsetelo
I-euro ayishintshwanga kangako ngo- $ 1.2787 ngo-8: 24 ekuseni eLondon njengoba ilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-1.5 kuleli sonto, ukwehla okude kakhulu kusukela ngoFebhuwari 2010. Phambilini yehle yaba ngu- $ 1.2764, okuyisilinganiso esiphansi kunazo zonke kusukela ngoSepthemba 2010. I-euro nayo ayizange ishintshwe kangako ngo-98.53 yen ngemuva kokuwa kuma-yen angu-98.48 izolo, ebuthakathaka kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 2000. Idola lathola amaphesenti ayi-0.1 laya kuma-yen angu-77.16, njengoba lenyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kuleli sonto.
I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 kusukela ngo-8: 00 ekuseni eLondon. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti ayi-0.1. I-Shanghai Composite Index ithole amaphesenti angu-0.7, yaveza ukwehla kwesishiyagalolunye masonto onke kwathi i-euro yathenga ama- $ 1.2777.
Uwoyela ekuqaleni ubusenqabile usuku lwesibili eNew York, unciphisa inzuzo yamasonto onke, njengoba ukwanda kwezimpahla ezingahluziwe zase-US kanye nezimpawu zokuthi inkinga enkulu yezikweletu zaseYurophu iya ngokuya isiba nokwehla kwesidingo sophethiloli. Ikusasa lishelele cishe ngamaphesenti angu-0.5 ngemuva kokulahla amaphesenti angu-1.4 izolo. Izimpahla ezingafuneki zaseMelika zikhuphuke ngemigqomo eyi-2.2 million ngesonto eledlule, kusho uMnyango wezaMandla. Okungahluziwe ukulethwa kukaFebhuwari kushibilike cishe amasenti angama-51 kuya ku- $ 101.30 umgqomo ekuhwebeni ngogesi eNew York Mercantile Exchange. Kwakungu- $ 101.54 ngo- 5:11 pm ngesikhathi saseSydney. Inkontileka izolo yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 yaya ku- $ 101.81, okuyisibalo esiseduze kakhulu kusukela ngoDisemba 30. Amanani athola amaphesenti angu-8.2 ngo-2011.
Uwoyela weBrent wokukhokhwa kukaFebhuwari ekuqaleni wehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 waya ku- $ 112.49 umgqomo ongashintshaniswa ne-ICE Futures Europe eseLondon. Iphrimiyamu yenkontileka yokulinganisa yaseYurophu eya eWest Texas Intermediate future yayiku- $ 10.95, uma kuqhathaniswa ne- $ 10.93 izolo kanye nerekhodi lama- $ 27.88 ngo-Okthoba 14.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-9: 30 ekuseni GMT (UK) isikhathi
Eseshini yase-Asia bobabili uNikkei noHang Seng bahlupheka ngenkathi iCSI ivala. INikkei ivale u-1.16%, iHang Seng yavala u-1.17% kwathi i-CSI yona yavala u-0.62%. i-ASX 200 ivale u-0.83%. Ama-bourses aseYurophu akhuphukile esimisweni sasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 inyuke ngo-0.65%, i-UK FTSE inyuke ngo-0.42%, i-CAC inyuke ngo-0.87% kwathi i-DAX yenyuka ngo-0.69%. Ikusasa lenkomba yokulingana yemihla ngemihla ye-SPX njengamanje lenyuke ngo-0.08%. I-Brent crude manje inyuke ngama- $ 0.53 emgqonyeni ngemuva kokuwa kokuqala kanti igolide leComex likhuphuke ngo- $ 3.94 ku- $ 1624.00.
Ukukhishwa kwekhalenda lezomnotho okungathinta imizwa yeseshini yantambama
I-13: 30 US - Shintsha kuma-Payrolls angekho epulazini ngoDisemba
13:30 US - Izinga Lokungasebenzi NgoDisemba
Ngo-13: 30 US - Isilinganiso Sokuzuza Kwamahora ngoDisemba
13:30 US - Isilinganiso Samahora Masonto onke ngoDisemba
Amehlo onke abheke izibalo zemisebenzi nokungasebenzi ezivela e-USA. Ucwaningo lweBloomberg lwabahlaziyi lwaveza isilinganiso esiphakathi kuka- + 150,000, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esingu- + 120,000. Isibalo esilinganisiwe semaphakathi esivela ocwaningweni lwabahlaziyi baseBloomberg bekuyisilinganiso esingu-8.70%, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo sangenyanga edlule esingu-8.60%.
christine lagardeeuro
« Ingabe i-USA iguqule i-Unemployment Corner? Ngakho-ke i-Euro Iyanyamalala, Kwenzekani Ngokulandelayo? »