Meyi 24 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2498 • Amazwana Off kokuthi Ungabona kanjani lapho abatshalizimali bethuthela ezindaweni eziphephile nokuthi ukuthutha kunganikeza kanjani amathuba alula okuhweba ama-FX.
Abahwebi kufanele baqinisekise ukuthi bayasiqonda isimo sengozi engozini. Ngokuvamile okubizwa ngokuthi “i-RORO”, ukuhlonza isimo semakethe esinjalo kungasiza abahwebi ukuthi bathuthukise izinqumo zabo. Lapho imizwa yabatshalizimali nemakethe iphakeme futhi i-bullish, abatshalizimali bazifaka engcupheni. Lapho imizwa yabatshalizimali kanye nemakethe iphansi futhi ine-bearish, abatshalizimali bazifaka engcupheni, noma baphume ezimakethe. Ubungozi obukhona bungabonakala ngokukhula kwezimakethe zezabelomali, ngokuvamile esikhathini samaseshini ambalwa. Ubungozi obukhona bungase busizwe yizinkomba zase-USA ezifana nalezi: DJIA, SPX kanye ne-NASDAQ ziyakhuphuka. Amafemu ayishumi abaluleke kakhulu e-USA nasemhlabeni jikelele, aqukethwe ku-NASDAQ tech index. I-FAANGS; I-Facebook, i-Apple, i-Amazon, i-Netflix kanye ne-Google, banamanani emali emakethe asondele noma angaphezu kwethriliyoni eyodwa USD lilinye. Manje sezibonwa njengezitoko ezibonisa ukukhula okuvamile ebhodini lonkana, e-USA nakuzo zonke izimakethe zomhlaba.
Ngokuhambisanayo, ezinye izibambiso nazo zizokhuphuka ezimakethe ze-bullish, njengezimpahla. Uma ukuvumelana kwemakethe kuyi-bullish, khona-ke uwoyela we-WTI ungase ukhuphuke, njengoba kungase kube nethusi, ngokusekelwe kwezentengiselwano zomhlaba wonke ezidinga izinto eziyisisekelo, ukukhulisa ukukhiqiza nokukhiqiza. Idola laseMelika lingase likhuphuke, ngenxa yokuthi liyimali ebekiwe yomhlaba wonke. Ngokuphambene futhi ebudlelwaneni obungebuhle, lokho okubizwa ngokuthi "impahla ephephile" izokwehla inani, ngesikhathi sengozi yezimo zokuhweba.
Izimpahla ezijwayelekile eziphephile ziyizinsimbi eziyigugu nezinhlobo zemali ehlukahlukene. Izintengo zegolide nezesiliva zivame ukukhuphuka ezikhathini lapho ubungozi bungasekho futhi bungekho emakethe, ngokufanayo, inani lezimali ezifana ne-yen yaseJapan kanye ne-Swiss franc liyakhuphuka. Mayelana nabatshalizimali baseYurophu nabaseMelika, i-Swiss franc inesimo esidumile sokuphepha, ngenxa yokuzinza kwesistimu yasebhange yaseSwitzerland. Naphezu kokuba nezinga lenzalo endaweni engeyinhle, ibhange elikhulu lase-Swiss SNB, alikaze lizibandakanywe emizuliswaneni eyeqile yokunciphisa inani amanye amabhange abe nayo, ngakho-ke i-Swiss franc ihlala idingeka njengesitolo senani. E-Asia, naphezu kokuthi ibhange eliphakathi le-BOJ lizibandakanya ohlelweni lwe-yen lwama-trillion wemali kanye nezezimali eminyakeni yamuva nje, i-yen iphinde ihehe isikhalazo sokutshala imali endaweni ephephile. Ukuzinza kwayo kungenxa yefa layo nokuguquleka kwayo, ngokungafani nezinhlobo zemali zezomnotho ezisafufusa (okuhlanganisa ne-yuan yase-China). Ngakho-ke, ngezikhathi zokungabaza abatshalizimali abaningi base-Asia baphephela e-yen.
Phakathi nezikhathi zokuphumula engcupheni, njengoba isikhalazo sempahla evikelekile sikhuphuka, inani lamapheya emali afana ne-USD/CHF, USD/JPY, EUR/CHF kanye ne-GBP/JPY, lizokwehla. Izinkomba ze-Equity nazo zingase zehle, njengoba nenani likawoyela we-WTI lingehla, kuyilapho izinsimbi eziyigugu zivame ukukhuphuka, ekuhambeni okuhlobene okungalungile. Ukuhlonza izimo zemakethe ezishibhile kanye nokukhomba isikhathi esiqondile lapho imizwa ephathelene nezibambiso ezithile kanye nezinkomba ziphenduka, kuwumsebenzi olula uma ubhekwa ngemuva. Kodwa-ke, njengezinkinga eziningi, ukwenza imali ohlelweni njengoba imakethe ye-bearish ishintsha, kudinga amakhono okubuka.
Enye indlela kungaba ukuqinisekisa ukuthi une-lens ebanzi egxile ekuvikelekeni okuningana, ngale ndlela usesimweni sokusebenzisa amathuba amaningana, kuyilapho uqinisekisa ukuthi awukho ngakolunye uhlangothi lokushintsha imizwa. Ngokwesibonelo; uma i-SPX ne-NASDAQ ziwa kakhulu, kusho ukuthi, i-WTI, USD/CHF, USD/JPY kufanele yehlele ngokuhambisana nezinkomba ezihamba phambili ze-USA. Ngokulinganayo, izinsimbi eziyigugu kufanele zikhuphuke ngenani. Ngakho-ke, akudingekile ukuthi ukhombe isikhathi esiqondile izibambiso ezima bese zihlehla, kodwa ungakwazi ukuhlonza ubungozi bethoni kanye nokujaha okungaba khona ezindaweni eziphephile.
Ntambama yangoLwesine mhla zingama-23 kuNhlaba, izimakethe zibonise okwakudala, incwadi yombhalo, i- risk off, imizwa. Ukungezwani kwezombusazwe/kwezomnotho okuphathelene nempi yohwebo yaseChina ne-USA kwaqala ukubusa, ngokusekelwe ezindlekweni abaphathi bakaTrump ababezisebenzisa emasontweni amabili nantathu ngaphambili, manje sekuqala ukusebenza njengoba ukuthengwa kwezimpahla zaseChina kuqala ukufika emachwebeni ase-USA. Ngokunjalo, ukuthengiswa kwemikhiqizo yasepulazini yase-USA kwaqala ukufika emachwebeni aseShayina. UMengameli wase-USA naye ubenengcindezi evuselelwe ekhaya, njengoba isigubhu sokushushiswa siqala ukuba phezulu. Ngokuhambisana nalezi zici ezimbili, idatha yekhalenda yezomnotho yase-USA eshicilelwe ngoLwesine, igeje izibikezelo ngebanga elithile.
Lezi zenzakalo ezihlukahlukene zenze ukuba uwoyela we-SPX kanye ne-WTI wehle futhi i-Swiss franc, yen yaseJapane negolide kwakhuphuka. Njengoba kungabonwa ngokucacile ngamashadi anikeziwe, isikhathi soshintsho ngalunye asiqondanga. Njengoba izimakethe zezabelo zaseShayina zithengiswa ngesikhathi seseshini yase-Asia, i-SPX yalandela okufanayo. Ikusasa likawoyela we-WTI nalo lithengisiwe. Igolide liqale ukukhuphuka inani ngemuva nje kokuthi kuvulwe imakethe yaseLondon-Europe, i-Swiss franc kanye ne-yen yaseJapan aqala ukukhuphuka uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga bawo abakhulu kamuva phakathi nezigaba zasekuseni zeseshini yasekuseni. Inselele yakho bekuzokhomba: ukuthi lezi zinguquko zenzeka nini, kungani futhi bukhulu kangakanani ubungozi kanye nokuphuthuma ezimpahleni eziphephile kungaba. Kungase kudinge ukuthi udinge ukuvala izindawo ezithile, uhlehlise isiqondiso sakho kwezinye izibambiso futhi uvule izikhundla ezintsha. Kodwa-ke, njengoba kushiwo ngaphambili, kubalulekile, ikakhulukazi kubahwebi bansuku zonke, ukuthi ube ngakwesokudla sokubheja kanye nomuzwa wemakethe. Ngandlela thize, isikhathi asibalulekile, uma ukwazi ukubona ushintsho olwenzekayo, phakathi newindi lesikhathi.
« Izimakethe zomhlaba ziyalulama phakathi neseshini yasebusuku neyasekuseni ngoLwesihlanu ngemuva kokwehlulwa ngoLwesine, idola laseMelika liyaqhubeka nokushibilika, ngemuva kokuncipha kwamahemuhemu. Izibalo zakamuva ze-GDP ze-USA zizoshicilelwa phakathi nesonto, iGDP yaseCanada nayo iyavezwa njengoba kunjalo ngesinqumo senzalo yeBhange laseCanada. »
Ungabona kanjani lapho abatshalizimali bethuthela ezimpahleni zokuphepha eziphephile nokuthi ukuhambisa kunganikeza kanjani ngamathuba alula we-FX wokuhweba.
Meyi 24 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2498 • Amazwana Off kokuthi Ungabona kanjani lapho abatshalizimali bethuthela ezindaweni eziphephile nokuthi ukuthutha kunganikeza kanjani amathuba alula okuhweba ama-FX.
Abahwebi kufanele baqinisekise ukuthi bayasiqonda isimo sengozi engozini. Ngokuvamile okubizwa ngokuthi “i-RORO”, ukuhlonza isimo semakethe esinjalo kungasiza abahwebi ukuthi bathuthukise izinqumo zabo. Lapho imizwa yabatshalizimali nemakethe iphakeme futhi i-bullish, abatshalizimali bazifaka engcupheni. Lapho imizwa yabatshalizimali kanye nemakethe iphansi futhi ine-bearish, abatshalizimali bazifaka engcupheni, noma baphume ezimakethe. Ubungozi obukhona bungabonakala ngokukhula kwezimakethe zezabelomali, ngokuvamile esikhathini samaseshini ambalwa. Ubungozi obukhona bungase busizwe yizinkomba zase-USA ezifana nalezi: DJIA, SPX kanye ne-NASDAQ ziyakhuphuka. Amafemu ayishumi abaluleke kakhulu e-USA nasemhlabeni jikelele, aqukethwe ku-NASDAQ tech index. I-FAANGS; I-Facebook, i-Apple, i-Amazon, i-Netflix kanye ne-Google, banamanani emali emakethe asondele noma angaphezu kwethriliyoni eyodwa USD lilinye. Manje sezibonwa njengezitoko ezibonisa ukukhula okuvamile ebhodini lonkana, e-USA nakuzo zonke izimakethe zomhlaba.
Ngokuhambisanayo, ezinye izibambiso nazo zizokhuphuka ezimakethe ze-bullish, njengezimpahla. Uma ukuvumelana kwemakethe kuyi-bullish, khona-ke uwoyela we-WTI ungase ukhuphuke, njengoba kungase kube nethusi, ngokusekelwe kwezentengiselwano zomhlaba wonke ezidinga izinto eziyisisekelo, ukukhulisa ukukhiqiza nokukhiqiza. Idola laseMelika lingase likhuphuke, ngenxa yokuthi liyimali ebekiwe yomhlaba wonke. Ngokuphambene futhi ebudlelwaneni obungebuhle, lokho okubizwa ngokuthi "impahla ephephile" izokwehla inani, ngesikhathi sengozi yezimo zokuhweba.
Izimpahla ezijwayelekile eziphephile ziyizinsimbi eziyigugu nezinhlobo zemali ehlukahlukene. Izintengo zegolide nezesiliva zivame ukukhuphuka ezikhathini lapho ubungozi bungasekho futhi bungekho emakethe, ngokufanayo, inani lezimali ezifana ne-yen yaseJapan kanye ne-Swiss franc liyakhuphuka. Mayelana nabatshalizimali baseYurophu nabaseMelika, i-Swiss franc inesimo esidumile sokuphepha, ngenxa yokuzinza kwesistimu yasebhange yaseSwitzerland. Naphezu kokuba nezinga lenzalo endaweni engeyinhle, ibhange elikhulu lase-Swiss SNB, alikaze lizibandakanywe emizuliswaneni eyeqile yokunciphisa inani amanye amabhange abe nayo, ngakho-ke i-Swiss franc ihlala idingeka njengesitolo senani. E-Asia, naphezu kokuthi ibhange eliphakathi le-BOJ lizibandakanya ohlelweni lwe-yen lwama-trillion wemali kanye nezezimali eminyakeni yamuva nje, i-yen iphinde ihehe isikhalazo sokutshala imali endaweni ephephile. Ukuzinza kwayo kungenxa yefa layo nokuguquleka kwayo, ngokungafani nezinhlobo zemali zezomnotho ezisafufusa (okuhlanganisa ne-yuan yase-China). Ngakho-ke, ngezikhathi zokungabaza abatshalizimali abaningi base-Asia baphephela e-yen.
Phakathi nezikhathi zokuphumula engcupheni, njengoba isikhalazo sempahla evikelekile sikhuphuka, inani lamapheya emali afana ne-USD/CHF, USD/JPY, EUR/CHF kanye ne-GBP/JPY, lizokwehla. Izinkomba ze-Equity nazo zingase zehle, njengoba nenani likawoyela we-WTI lingehla, kuyilapho izinsimbi eziyigugu zivame ukukhuphuka, ekuhambeni okuhlobene okungalungile. Ukuhlonza izimo zemakethe ezishibhile kanye nokukhomba isikhathi esiqondile lapho imizwa ephathelene nezibambiso ezithile kanye nezinkomba ziphenduka, kuwumsebenzi olula uma ubhekwa ngemuva. Kodwa-ke, njengezinkinga eziningi, ukwenza imali ohlelweni njengoba imakethe ye-bearish ishintsha, kudinga amakhono okubuka.
Enye indlela kungaba ukuqinisekisa ukuthi une-lens ebanzi egxile ekuvikelekeni okuningana, ngale ndlela usesimweni sokusebenzisa amathuba amaningana, kuyilapho uqinisekisa ukuthi awukho ngakolunye uhlangothi lokushintsha imizwa. Ngokwesibonelo; uma i-SPX ne-NASDAQ ziwa kakhulu, kusho ukuthi, i-WTI, USD/CHF, USD/JPY kufanele yehlele ngokuhambisana nezinkomba ezihamba phambili ze-USA. Ngokulinganayo, izinsimbi eziyigugu kufanele zikhuphuke ngenani. Ngakho-ke, akudingekile ukuthi ukhombe isikhathi esiqondile izibambiso ezima bese zihlehla, kodwa ungakwazi ukuhlonza ubungozi bethoni kanye nokujaha okungaba khona ezindaweni eziphephile.
Ntambama yangoLwesine mhla zingama-23 kuNhlaba, izimakethe zibonise okwakudala, incwadi yombhalo, i- risk off, imizwa. Ukungezwani kwezombusazwe/kwezomnotho okuphathelene nempi yohwebo yaseChina ne-USA kwaqala ukubusa, ngokusekelwe ezindlekweni abaphathi bakaTrump ababezisebenzisa emasontweni amabili nantathu ngaphambili, manje sekuqala ukusebenza njengoba ukuthengwa kwezimpahla zaseChina kuqala ukufika emachwebeni ase-USA. Ngokunjalo, ukuthengiswa kwemikhiqizo yasepulazini yase-USA kwaqala ukufika emachwebeni aseShayina. UMengameli wase-USA naye ubenengcindezi evuselelwe ekhaya, njengoba isigubhu sokushushiswa siqala ukuba phezulu. Ngokuhambisana nalezi zici ezimbili, idatha yekhalenda yezomnotho yase-USA eshicilelwe ngoLwesine, igeje izibikezelo ngebanga elithile.
Lezi zenzakalo ezihlukahlukene zenze ukuba uwoyela we-SPX kanye ne-WTI wehle futhi i-Swiss franc, yen yaseJapane negolide kwakhuphuka. Njengoba kungabonwa ngokucacile ngamashadi anikeziwe, isikhathi soshintsho ngalunye asiqondanga. Njengoba izimakethe zezabelo zaseShayina zithengiswa ngesikhathi seseshini yase-Asia, i-SPX yalandela okufanayo. Ikusasa likawoyela we-WTI nalo lithengisiwe. Igolide liqale ukukhuphuka inani ngemuva nje kokuthi kuvulwe imakethe yaseLondon-Europe, i-Swiss franc kanye ne-yen yaseJapan aqala ukukhuphuka uma kuqhathaniswa nontanga bawo abakhulu kamuva phakathi nezigaba zasekuseni zeseshini yasekuseni. Inselele yakho bekuzokhomba: ukuthi lezi zinguquko zenzeka nini, kungani futhi bukhulu kangakanani ubungozi kanye nokuphuthuma ezimpahleni eziphephile kungaba. Kungase kudinge ukuthi udinge ukuvala izindawo ezithile, uhlehlise isiqondiso sakho kwezinye izibambiso futhi uvule izikhundla ezintsha. Kodwa-ke, njengoba kushiwo ngaphambili, kubalulekile, ikakhulukazi kubahwebi bansuku zonke, ukuthi ube ngakwesokudla sokubheja kanye nomuzwa wemakethe. Ngandlela thize, isikhathi asibalulekile, uma ukwazi ukubona ushintsho olwenzekayo, phakathi newindi lesikhathi.
« Izimakethe zomhlaba ziyalulama phakathi neseshini yasebusuku neyasekuseni ngoLwesihlanu ngemuva kokwehlulwa ngoLwesine, idola laseMelika liyaqhubeka nokushibilika, ngemuva kokuncipha kwamahemuhemu. Izibalo zakamuva ze-GDP ze-USA zizoshicilelwa phakathi nesonto, iGDP yaseCanada nayo iyavezwa njengoba kunjalo ngesinqumo senzalo yeBhange laseCanada. »