Ukuwa kwe-GPB / USD njengoba izinkontileka ze-UK GDP kanye nohulumeni wase-UK kungathuthuki eBrexit

UFebhu 12 • Ukuqeqeshwa Kwe Forex Ukuhweba, Ukushayela kwe-Morning Roll • Ukubukwa okungu-2676 • Amazwana Off kuma-GPB / USD slumps njengoba izinkontileka ze-UK GDP kanye nohulumeni wase-UK engenzi nqubekela phambili ku-Brexit

I-ejensi yezibalo yase-UK, i-ONS, inikeze izibalo ezishaqisayo emnothweni wase-UK ngoMsombuluko ekuseni. Ukukhula kwe-GDP kufike ngo -0.4% ngenyanga ngenyanga kaDisemba, kulahleka okulindelwe ukukhula okungu-0.00%. Kumele kuqashelwe ukuthi ngokomlando, emnothweni ofana nowaseBrithani; iqhutshwa yimisebenzi kanye nokusetshenziswa, inyanga yokugcina nekota yonyaka ngokuvamile iyinto enhle, maqondana nokukhula. Kodwa ikota lifike ku-0.2%, lalahleka isibikezelo futhi lehla lisuka ku-0.6% ku-Q3. Ngokusho kwama-ejensi ahlukahlukene, ukukhula minyaka yonke kweza ngokuhlukahluka phakathi kuka-1.3% no-1.4%, kuya ngesibalo. AbakwaReuters bakuqinisekisile ukuthi bangu-1.3%, behla besuka ku-1.6%.

Umnyango wezobudlelwano nomphakathi wase-UK ungene ezimweni ezibucayi, waveza ukuthi ukukhula kumile kuphela, njengoba bekwenze kulo lonke elaseYurophu. Kodwa-ke, ukubheka ngaphansi kwebhonethi kusihlenga sedatha, kuyimbangela yokwethuka. Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwehlile, ngaphandle kwephawundi ebuthakathaka. Ukutshalwa kwezimali kwezebhizinisi kungu -3.7% unyaka nonyaka futhi ukukhiqiza manje sekumnotho, ngemuva kokuletha izinyanga eziyisithupha ochungechungeni lokufundwa okungekuhle. Ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni kanye nomkhiqizo wokwakha nakho kudlala ngocansi nomnotho. Amaningi ala ma-metric, engezwe kusethi eyinhlekelele ye-IHS Markit PMIs eshicilelwe ngesonto eledlule, akhombisa umnotho obheke ekuwohlokeni komnotho, noma ekumeni okungcono kakhulu okuqonde ku-Q3-Q4 ka-2019.

I-Sterling iwele ngokuqhathaniswa neningi lontanga bayo abakhulu kuzo zonke izikhathi zokuhweba zangoMsombuluko; I-GPB / USD iqede ukudayiswa kosuku kwehle ngo-0.67% ngo-1.286, yabhidlika nge-S3, yaqeda ukuzuza okwenziwe kusukela maphakathi noJanuwari, ngenkathi ekugcineni isuka ekudonseni kwamandla wesibambo se-1.300 ne-200 DMA. I-EUR / GBP ithengise ngo-0.27% futhi manje isidayisa ifulethi masonto onke, ngo-0.878. Ukuqhathanisa ne-AUD, i-NZD ne-CHF, okuvelele kuphindaphinde iphethini efanayo yokuwa. Yize kunedatha efiphele, i-UK FTSE 100 ivale u-0.82% ngosuku. Ngenxa yamafemu amaningi enkombeni asuselwa e-USA futhi ahweba ngamadola, ukuwa kwe-sterling kunomphumela omuhle.

Ukuntuleka kwenqubekelaphambili maqondana neBrexit kwaphinde kwagqanyiswa, njengoba umxoxisi we-EU uMichel Barnier kwadingeka ukuthi asho kaninginingi, ngokungagunci, ukuthi imigomo yesivumelwano sokuhoxa ngeke ivulwe ukuze kuxoxiswane kabusha. Ngaphandle kwalokhu, uhulumeni weTory ufaka iminwe yabo ezindlebeni zabo, undunankulu uMay eqhubeka nokuxoxa kube sengathi izingxoxo ziyaqhubeka. Iphalamende lase-UK kufanele liphikisane neBrexit futhi ngoLwesithathu lomhlaka 13, lapho uMay kulindeleke ukuthi acele iphalamende isikhathi esithe xaxa, njengoba umnqamulajuqu kaMashi 29 usondela ngokushesha. Ngezindatshana eziyigugu zaseYurophu, noma izindaba ze-Eurozone ezishicilelwe ngoMsombuluko, izinkomba eziyinhloko ze-Eurozone; I-CAC yaseFrance neDAX yaseJalimane, zavala usuku cishe ngo-1.0%. I-EUR / USD ivale usuku lwehla cishe ngo-0.46% ngo-1.127, njengoba i-euro yanikela ngenani eliqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yalo.

Izinkomba zase-USA zithole inhlanhla yokuhweba okuxubekile ngesikhathi seseshini yaseNew York ngoMsombuluko, i-DJIA ivale -0.21%, i-SPX yenyuka ngo-0.07% kwathi i-NASDAQ yaphakamisa u-0.13%. Isibuko sezingxoxo zokuhweba, obekufanele senzeke kuleli sonto neChina, silinganiswe ekuthathweni kwezinqumo zabatshali bezimali kanye nemizwa, njengoba abatshalizimali nabo befuna induduzo endaweni ephephile ye-USD, ekhuphuke yaqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo. Umthelela (walokho okwakuthathwa njengokuthi) isitatimende esibi se-FOMC kanye nosihlalo weFed uJerome Powell, lapho begcina izinga lokhiye ku-2.5%, kubonakala sengathi sehlile. Umnqamulajuqu kaMashi 2, wokuthi i-USA ifake intela engama-25% kumaRandi ayizigidi ezingama-200 zamaShayina angeniswa eMelika, ibonakala izophela. Ukungenelela okuqondile okuvela kuTrump kuphela, okungenzeka kuguqule inkinga.

Imicimbi enomthelela omkhulu abadayisi beFX abadinga ukuyibhala ngezikhathi zangoLwesibili, ifaka izinkulumo zikaMark Carney uMbusi weBhange laseNgilandi ngo-13: 00 ntambama isikhathi sase-UK noJerome Powell, usihlalo webhange elikhulu lase-USA iFed, ngo-17: 45pm isikhathi sase-UK. Okuqukethwe izinkulumo zabo akukakhishwa ngaphambi kwesikhathi, uhla lwezihloko abangazibekela lukhulu kakhulu.

NoMnu Carney izihloko ze: ukwehla kwamandla emali, izibalo zakamuva zokudumazeka kwe-UK GDP kanye neBrexit kungaxoxwa ngazo. NgoMnu. Powell udaba lungabandakanya ukungezwani okuqhubekayo kwezohwebo neChina, ithemba lokuqhubeka nokukhuphuka kwamazinga wenzalo ngonyaka we-2019, ukukhula komhlaba okungahle kwehle kanye namamethrikhi ahlukahlukene akamuva ahlobene nomnotho wase-USA, angangeni njengesibikezelo. Ngokwemvelo, ngesikhathi sokulethwa kwezinkulumo zombili kuzethameli zazo, izimali ezibhekene nabantu bobabili, zizoqhakanjiswa.

Amazwana zivaliwe.

« »