IGold Up eDraghi - Phansi kwi-US GDP Namuhla
Ngalokho obekuzoba uLwesihlanu othulile ngasekupheleni kwenyanga, imininingwane yokuphela kwenyanga ngesonto elizayo ishintshiwe ngamagama alula avela kuMongameli we-ECB uDraghi, ethi i-ECB ngeke ihlale phansi ingenzi lutho ivumele inyunyana yezimali ukuthi iwe. Ngalokhu, izimakethe zangena engcupheni ye-ballistic zaphuma ngewindi futhi idatha ye-eco nokuhola akuzange kunakwe. Abaqapheli babefana namahhashi esangweni, belinde isignali yokuqala.
Izinsimbi eziyisisekelo zidayisa ngamaphesenti angama-0.3 kuya ku-1.1 kumapulatifomu e-LME e-elekthronikhi asekelwa yimali eqinile yase-Asia. Ngemuva kokuhlehla izinsuku ezilandelanayo ze-4, izimali zibuyisele emuva endaweni enhle ngenxa yokwanda kwethemba ngemuva kokuthi i-ECB ikhombise ukuzimisela kwayo ukuvikela i-Euro-zone. Ukukhishwa kwasekuseni kwase-Asia kwezentengiselwano okuvela eJapan kuqhubekile nenkontileka ngenkathi inzuzo yezimboni zaseChina isasele e-tenterhook futhi ingaqhubeka nokuxhasa ukwehla kwezinsimbi eziyisisekelo.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukugxila kwezimakethe sekusukile eYurophu kuya e-US futhi ukukhishwa kwe-GDP kuzobhekwa esimisweni sanamuhla. Phakathi nesonto, izimakethe zahlala zibuthakathaka ngenxa yokonakala kwe-Euro-zone, kuyilapho okwamanje inzuzo izuzwa ngemuva kokuxhaswa yi-ECB. Ngakho-ke, okufana nezimpahla ezinobungozi ezinjengezinsimbi eziyisisekelo zamasheya kungahlala kuqinile kuze kube yiseshini yaseYurophu.
Kodwa-ke, ukulindelwa kwenkontileka yezomnotho wase-US kungaqhubeka nokwehla kusihlwa. Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-Euro ingahle ingabi namandla okuqhubeka nokukhuphuka futhi izoguquka kakhulu uma nje ukubhuka kwenzuzo ngemuva kokunyuka kwamandla emali eJalimane. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngaphambi kwesonto elizayo i-Euro ingahlala ibuthakathaka njengoba izingxoxo zesabelomali samaGrikhi zikhubeka futhi zingaqhubeka nokuxhasa ukwehla esimisweni sanamuhla. Kusuka e-US, ukusetshenziswa komuntu siqu kungavunyelwa njengoba izakhamizi zase-US zisebenzisa imali engaphansi kwemiholo ngenkathi ukuzethemba kweMichigan nakho kungahle kwehle ngemuva kokulindelekile kwe-GDP okulindelekile futhi kungaqhubeka nokwenza buthaka izinsimbi. Ngemuva kokukhishwa kwezomnotho okwedlule, i-US ingakhula ngesivinini esincane ngenkathi noma ikuphi ukuphambuka kusuka kokufanayo kungaqhubeka nokuxhasa ukuzuza kuzinsimbi eziyisisekelo ngakho-ke kufanele kuqashelwe usuku.
Ngemuva kwesethembiso se-ECB sokonga i-Euro, isimo semakethe manje sesiphenduke saba sihle okulindeleke ukuthi siqhubeke nokuxhasa imakethe yezezimali. Kulesi sizinda, igolide lisazomisa umhlangano walo wosuku njengoba iseshini yokuqala yeGlobex ingazange ibone inzuzo enkulu ensimbi, mhlawumbe ngenxa yenhliziyo eqinisiwe yokudla kwabatshalizimali.
I-Euro ixhasa umhlangano njengoba isivuno sisakazeka eYurophu sidilikile ngesivuno saseSpain sehle ngaphansi kuka-6.5%. Isimo esihle ngakho-ke kungenzeka sigcine imali eyabiwe ngenothi eliqinile elizosekela igolide namuhla.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukwehla kwamandla emali eJapan kungene esifundeni esingesihle, okukhombisa ukuthi ekugcineni kwe-deflation i-BOJ kufanele ifune ukunciphisa okungaphoqa i-Yen ephansi.
Okubaluleke kakhulu, iseshini yanamuhla kungenzeka iqhutshwe yinombolo ye-GDP yase-US kanye nenye yengxenye yayo, ukusetshenziswa komuntu siqu. Ngaphandle kwempendulo enhle evela ku-ECB, ukusikwa okulindelekile kwi-GDP yase-US kusuka ku-1.9% kuya ku-1.4-1.7% kungasusa ukuzethemba ekubulaweni kokukhishwa komnotho wase-US osekuvele kukhombisile isimo somnotho esintengayo. Lokhu noma kunjalo kuzoxhasa insimbi ephuzi ngenkathi ukuphrinta okwedlulele okungu-1.4% kuzobe kucenga iFed ukuthi ihlinzeke ngokulula emhlanganweni wayo ozoba ngoJulayi 31. Noma ngabe inani kulindeleke ukuthi lehle ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sangaphambili esingu-1.9-2.4%, amathuba okukhuphuka kokuthengiswa kwedola nawo okufanele akhulise ukulindelwa kwe-QE-3. Njengoba sesibonile umkhakha wezindlu entekenteke kanye nokwengezwa kwemisebenzi okuhamba kancane, silindele ukuthi isimo somnotho sase-US esintekenteke sizosekela igolide.
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