Meyi 31 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2693 • Amazwana Off kweGolide ne-yen ukukhuphuka njengoba abatshalizimali befuna isiphephelo esiphephile, izinkomba zezabelo ze-European ziyancipha ekuhwebeni kwangaphambi kwesikhathi, njengoba izinkomba zesikhathi esizayo zase-US zibonisa ukuvuleka okungekuhle ezimakethe zezabelo ze-USA.
Ezingqungqutheleni zasebusuku zase-Sydney-Asian, ngoLwesine ebusuku/ngoLwesihlanu ekuseni, kwashicilelwa inqwaba yedatha ephathelene nomnotho wase-Japan. Iningi lokufundwayo lingene njengoba bekubikezelwe ngabakwaReuters, nokukhiqizwa kwezimboni kuyathuthuka. Nokho, ukusebenza kwezitolo zaseJapan kwehle, kokubili inyanga nenyanga nonyaka nonyaka, kuyilapho ukwakhiwa kwehle ngo-19.9%, izindlu ziqala ukwehla ngo-5.7%. Inkomba eyinhloko yaseJapan i-NIKKEI 225 ivale -1.63%, yehlisa unyaka kuze kube manje ukuzuza ngo-2019, kuya ku-2.93%.
I-Yen yenyuka kakhulu iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo, njengoba isikhalazo sayo esiphephile sabatshalizimali bemali siphinde savela, ekhonsathini nokwesaba ukuhweba komhlaba wonke okuvuselelwe; ngo-8:40am isikhathi sase-UK i-USD/JPY ihwebe phansi -0.70%, ebangeni elibanzi, ku-108.8, iphahlazeka ngezinga lesibili lokusekela, i-S2. Umbhangqwana omkhulu wehle ngo-1.67% nyanga zonke, okubonisa isimo sengqondo esiphelele esigubuzele izimakethe ngokujwayelekile, phakathi nenyanga kaMeyi. I-Yen yabhala izinzuzo ezifanayo ngokumelene neningi lontanga yayo; ikhuphuke ngo-0.60% uma iqhathaniswa ne-GBP kanye ne-0.40% uma iqhathaniswa ne-EUR.
Ukwesaba ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kubhebhetheke ngobusuku obubodwa, ngemuva kokuthi uMongameli uTrump elule uhlelo lwakhe lokushintshwa kwentela eMexico, njengesijeziso esisobala sokwanda kwabantu abafudukela e-USA. Lesi sinqumo sibeka ngokushesha isivumelwano esibuyekeziwe sohwebo lwamahhala eNyakatho Melika, engcupheni. Izinxushunxushu zamanje ziboniswe yipeso yaseMexico yehla ngenani ngo -2.99% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika.
I-PMI yakamuva yokukhiqiza yaseChina ifike ku-49.4 ngoMeyi, yehla ngaphansi komugqa obalulekile wamashumi amahlanu, ehlukanisa ukufinyela nokunwetshwa. Abahlaziyi bazoba nokukhathazeka ngokuthi ukufundwa okunjalo, kuveza umthelela amanani entengo yokungenisa elizweni enawo, kusisekelo sokukhiqiza saseShayina nokusebenza kokuthekelisa.
Ubungozi besimo semakethe obuvezwe kumaseshini akamuva, kufakazelwa nayi-XAU//USD (igolide) ekhuphuka kakhulu phakathi neseshini yaseNew York ngoLwesine, iqhubekela kuseshini yase-Sydney-Asia kanye neseshini yaseLondon-European. Ngo-8:50am ngesikhathi sase-UK, insimbi eyigugu igcine ithole ileveli yesibambo sika-$1,300 iounce ngayinye, njengoba intengo yephule izinga lika-R1, ikhuphuke ngo-0.45%. I-Swiss franc iphinde yathola isikhalazo esiphephile phakathi neseshini yasekuseni; I-USD/CHF ihwebe phansi -0.47% ku-1.004, i-EUR/CHF ihwebe phansi -0.12%. Idola laseMelika lehle ngenani uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo abaningi abakhulu, njengoba ukusimama komnotho womhlaba kungaphansi kwemibuzo; inkomba yedola, i-DXY, ihwebe phansi -0.20%, ihlehla ibuyele ngaphansi kwesibambo esingu-98.00 kuya ku-97.96.
Amasheya aseYurophu awela ekuvulekeni, njengoba ukwesaba ukuhwebelana emhlabeni wonke kwanda kuzo zonke izimakethe; ngo-9:10am ngesikhathi sase-UK i-DAX ihweba phansi -1.48% kanye ne-CAC yehle -1.09%. I-UK FTSE yehle ngo-1.08%. I-euro yathola ingcebo yokuhweba okuxubile; ngo-9:15am EUR/USD ihwebe ngo-0.15%, ngenkathi yehla iqhathaniswa ne-JPY ne-CHF. Izibalo zokudayiswa kwezitolo zaseGermany ezishicilelwe ngoLwesihlanu, zidwebe isithombe esididekile; ukuthengiswa kwenyuka ngo-4% unyaka nonyaka kuze kube ngu-Ephreli, kodwa kwehle kakhulu ngenyanga, kwehle ngo-2.0%.
Abahlaziyi nabathengisi be-FX bazoqala ukugxila ku-CPI yaseJalimane, okubikezela ukuthi izokwehla ifike ku-1.6% unyaka nonyaka, lapho idatha ishicilelwa yi-Destatis ngo-13:00pm isikhathi sase-UK. Umnotho wase-Italy uhlehle wabuyela endaweni yezobuchwepheshe, njengoba ukukhula kwe-GDP yonyaka kufinyelele ku--0.1%, nokuphrinta kwe-Q1 ku-0.1%.
Ngokusho kwebhange lase-UK kuzwelonke, amanani ezindlu e-UK ehle ngo--0.2% ngoMeyi, anciphisa unyaka ngonyaka akhuphukele ku-0.6%. Kodwa-ke, isifiso sabathengi base-UK sesikweletu, sibonakala sibonisa isidingo esikhulayo. Ukugunyazwa kwezindlu ezibolekwayo kukhuphuke ngo-Ephreli, njengoba kwenza isamba sesikweletu somthengi, kuyilapho ukutholakala kwemali kunyukile, ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva eshicilelwe ngoLwesihlanu ekuseni. U-Sterling uthole imiphumela yokuhweba exubile phakathi nezikhathi zokuqala, njengoba isiphithiphithi sikahulumeni samanje siqhubeka, kuyilapho i-Brexit specter isalokhu izwakalisa imizwa yabatshalizimali, mayelana nokuqagela kokusebenza komnotho wase-UK, lapho izwe liphuma e-EU.
Ngo-9:40am isikhathi sase-UK i-GBP/USD ihwebe ngebanga eliqinile, phakathi kwephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke kanye nezinga lokuqala lokumelana; ku-1.262, ikhuphuke ngo-0.12% kumaseshini okuqala, ukunyuka kwakukweleta ubuthakathaka bedola kulo lonke ibhodi, ngokuphambene namandla amangalisayo. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe ngo-0.14%, njengesenzo sansuku zonke, samanani entengo, sasongela ukwephula u-R1.
Abahlaziyi be-FX nabadayisi bazoqala ukugxila kudatha yaseNyakatho Melika namhlanje ntambama, njengoba izibalo zakamuva zokukhula kwe-GDP yaseCanada zizoshicilelwa, ngo-13: 30pm isikhathi sase-UK. Izibikezelo zeReuters zibonisa ukukhuphuka okufika ku-1.2% unyaka nonyaka, nokukhuphuka ngo-0.7% ku-Q1 2019, ngenyanga kaMashi kubikezelwe ukuthi izokhombisa ukwenyuka okunethemba ngo-0.3%. Izibalo ezinjalo uma zihlangatshezwana nazo, zingaba nomthelela enanini le-CAD, kuye ngokuthi idatha itholwa kanjani, uma kubhekwa izitatimende ezishubile zakamuva ezivela kuMbusi webhange elikhulu laseCanada uStephen Poloz, ngemuva kokuba izinga lenzalo yobusuku bonke ligcinwe ku-1.75%.
Kusukela e-USA izibalo zakamuva zezindleko zomuntu siqu kanye nemali engenayo yezakhamuzi zase-USA zizoshicilelwa ngo-13:30pm; imali engenayo ibikezelwa ukuthi izokhuphuka ngo-0.3% ngo-Ephreli, kanti ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwehla kusuka ku-0.9% kuya ku-0.2%, okungaba umfanekiso wokuthi abathengi base-USA baqinisa imikhuba yabo yokusebenzisa imali. Ukufundwa kwe-PCE okuyisisekelo kulindeleke ukuthi kuhlale kungashintshiwe ku-1.6%. Kamuva ntambama, ukuwa kancane ekufundeni kwemizwelo yaseYunivesithi yaseMichigan kubikezelwa; yehla yaya ku-101.0 ngoMeyi, isuka ku-102.4. Ikusasa lemakethe ye-equity yase-USA lalikhombisa ukuvuleka okungekuhle kweseshini yaseNew York; ngo-10:00am intengo yesikhathi esizayo ye-NASDAQ yehle -1.24%, ne-SPX yehle -0.92%.
« I-Sterling ibamba cishe izinyanga ezine, njengoba ukudideka kukhuphuka maqondana ne-govt. umkhombandlela, ukuwa kwamafutha e-WTI, ngenkathi izimali zase-USA zibuyisa okunye ukulahlekelwa masonto onke. Azikho izizathu noma izaba zokuqhuma i-akhawunti, noma i-akhawunti yedemo. »
Kukhuphuka igolide ne-yen njengoba abatshalizimali befuna isiphephelo esiphephile, izinkomba zamanani okulingana zaseYurophu ziyehla ekuhwebeni kokuqala, njengoba izinkomba zekusasa laseMelika zikhombisa ukuvuleka okungalungile ezimakethe zezimali zase-USA.
Meyi 31 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2693 • Amazwana Off kweGolide ne-yen ukukhuphuka njengoba abatshalizimali befuna isiphephelo esiphephile, izinkomba zezabelo ze-European ziyancipha ekuhwebeni kwangaphambi kwesikhathi, njengoba izinkomba zesikhathi esizayo zase-US zibonisa ukuvuleka okungekuhle ezimakethe zezabelo ze-USA.
Ezingqungqutheleni zasebusuku zase-Sydney-Asian, ngoLwesine ebusuku/ngoLwesihlanu ekuseni, kwashicilelwa inqwaba yedatha ephathelene nomnotho wase-Japan. Iningi lokufundwayo lingene njengoba bekubikezelwe ngabakwaReuters, nokukhiqizwa kwezimboni kuyathuthuka. Nokho, ukusebenza kwezitolo zaseJapan kwehle, kokubili inyanga nenyanga nonyaka nonyaka, kuyilapho ukwakhiwa kwehle ngo-19.9%, izindlu ziqala ukwehla ngo-5.7%. Inkomba eyinhloko yaseJapan i-NIKKEI 225 ivale -1.63%, yehlisa unyaka kuze kube manje ukuzuza ngo-2019, kuya ku-2.93%.
I-Yen yenyuka kakhulu iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo, njengoba isikhalazo sayo esiphephile sabatshalizimali bemali siphinde savela, ekhonsathini nokwesaba ukuhweba komhlaba wonke okuvuselelwe; ngo-8:40am isikhathi sase-UK i-USD/JPY ihwebe phansi -0.70%, ebangeni elibanzi, ku-108.8, iphahlazeka ngezinga lesibili lokusekela, i-S2. Umbhangqwana omkhulu wehle ngo-1.67% nyanga zonke, okubonisa isimo sengqondo esiphelele esigubuzele izimakethe ngokujwayelekile, phakathi nenyanga kaMeyi. I-Yen yabhala izinzuzo ezifanayo ngokumelene neningi lontanga yayo; ikhuphuke ngo-0.60% uma iqhathaniswa ne-GBP kanye ne-0.40% uma iqhathaniswa ne-EUR.
Ukwesaba ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kubhebhetheke ngobusuku obubodwa, ngemuva kokuthi uMongameli uTrump elule uhlelo lwakhe lokushintshwa kwentela eMexico, njengesijeziso esisobala sokwanda kwabantu abafudukela e-USA. Lesi sinqumo sibeka ngokushesha isivumelwano esibuyekeziwe sohwebo lwamahhala eNyakatho Melika, engcupheni. Izinxushunxushu zamanje ziboniswe yipeso yaseMexico yehla ngenani ngo -2.99% uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika.
I-PMI yakamuva yokukhiqiza yaseChina ifike ku-49.4 ngoMeyi, yehla ngaphansi komugqa obalulekile wamashumi amahlanu, ehlukanisa ukufinyela nokunwetshwa. Abahlaziyi bazoba nokukhathazeka ngokuthi ukufundwa okunjalo, kuveza umthelela amanani entengo yokungenisa elizweni enawo, kusisekelo sokukhiqiza saseShayina nokusebenza kokuthekelisa.
Ubungozi besimo semakethe obuvezwe kumaseshini akamuva, kufakazelwa nayi-XAU//USD (igolide) ekhuphuka kakhulu phakathi neseshini yaseNew York ngoLwesine, iqhubekela kuseshini yase-Sydney-Asia kanye neseshini yaseLondon-European. Ngo-8:50am ngesikhathi sase-UK, insimbi eyigugu igcine ithole ileveli yesibambo sika-$1,300 iounce ngayinye, njengoba intengo yephule izinga lika-R1, ikhuphuke ngo-0.45%. I-Swiss franc iphinde yathola isikhalazo esiphephile phakathi neseshini yasekuseni; I-USD/CHF ihwebe phansi -0.47% ku-1.004, i-EUR/CHF ihwebe phansi -0.12%. Idola laseMelika lehle ngenani uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo abaningi abakhulu, njengoba ukusimama komnotho womhlaba kungaphansi kwemibuzo; inkomba yedola, i-DXY, ihwebe phansi -0.20%, ihlehla ibuyele ngaphansi kwesibambo esingu-98.00 kuya ku-97.96.
Amasheya aseYurophu awela ekuvulekeni, njengoba ukwesaba ukuhwebelana emhlabeni wonke kwanda kuzo zonke izimakethe; ngo-9:10am ngesikhathi sase-UK i-DAX ihweba phansi -1.48% kanye ne-CAC yehle -1.09%. I-UK FTSE yehle ngo-1.08%. I-euro yathola ingcebo yokuhweba okuxubile; ngo-9:15am EUR/USD ihwebe ngo-0.15%, ngenkathi yehla iqhathaniswa ne-JPY ne-CHF. Izibalo zokudayiswa kwezitolo zaseGermany ezishicilelwe ngoLwesihlanu, zidwebe isithombe esididekile; ukuthengiswa kwenyuka ngo-4% unyaka nonyaka kuze kube ngu-Ephreli, kodwa kwehle kakhulu ngenyanga, kwehle ngo-2.0%.
Abahlaziyi nabathengisi be-FX bazoqala ukugxila ku-CPI yaseJalimane, okubikezela ukuthi izokwehla ifike ku-1.6% unyaka nonyaka, lapho idatha ishicilelwa yi-Destatis ngo-13:00pm isikhathi sase-UK. Umnotho wase-Italy uhlehle wabuyela endaweni yezobuchwepheshe, njengoba ukukhula kwe-GDP yonyaka kufinyelele ku--0.1%, nokuphrinta kwe-Q1 ku-0.1%.
Ngokusho kwebhange lase-UK kuzwelonke, amanani ezindlu e-UK ehle ngo--0.2% ngoMeyi, anciphisa unyaka ngonyaka akhuphukele ku-0.6%. Kodwa-ke, isifiso sabathengi base-UK sesikweletu, sibonakala sibonisa isidingo esikhulayo. Ukugunyazwa kwezindlu ezibolekwayo kukhuphuke ngo-Ephreli, njengoba kwenza isamba sesikweletu somthengi, kuyilapho ukutholakala kwemali kunyukile, ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva eshicilelwe ngoLwesihlanu ekuseni. U-Sterling uthole imiphumela yokuhweba exubile phakathi nezikhathi zokuqala, njengoba isiphithiphithi sikahulumeni samanje siqhubeka, kuyilapho i-Brexit specter isalokhu izwakalisa imizwa yabatshalizimali, mayelana nokuqagela kokusebenza komnotho wase-UK, lapho izwe liphuma e-EU.
Ngo-9:40am isikhathi sase-UK i-GBP/USD ihwebe ngebanga eliqinile, phakathi kwephoyinti le-pivot lansuku zonke kanye nezinga lokuqala lokumelana; ku-1.262, ikhuphuke ngo-0.12% kumaseshini okuqala, ukunyuka kwakukweleta ubuthakathaka bedola kulo lonke ibhodi, ngokuphambene namandla amangalisayo. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe ngo-0.14%, njengesenzo sansuku zonke, samanani entengo, sasongela ukwephula u-R1.
Abahlaziyi be-FX nabadayisi bazoqala ukugxila kudatha yaseNyakatho Melika namhlanje ntambama, njengoba izibalo zakamuva zokukhula kwe-GDP yaseCanada zizoshicilelwa, ngo-13: 30pm isikhathi sase-UK. Izibikezelo zeReuters zibonisa ukukhuphuka okufika ku-1.2% unyaka nonyaka, nokukhuphuka ngo-0.7% ku-Q1 2019, ngenyanga kaMashi kubikezelwe ukuthi izokhombisa ukwenyuka okunethemba ngo-0.3%. Izibalo ezinjalo uma zihlangatshezwana nazo, zingaba nomthelela enanini le-CAD, kuye ngokuthi idatha itholwa kanjani, uma kubhekwa izitatimende ezishubile zakamuva ezivela kuMbusi webhange elikhulu laseCanada uStephen Poloz, ngemuva kokuba izinga lenzalo yobusuku bonke ligcinwe ku-1.75%.
Kusukela e-USA izibalo zakamuva zezindleko zomuntu siqu kanye nemali engenayo yezakhamuzi zase-USA zizoshicilelwa ngo-13:30pm; imali engenayo ibikezelwa ukuthi izokhuphuka ngo-0.3% ngo-Ephreli, kanti ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwehla kusuka ku-0.9% kuya ku-0.2%, okungaba umfanekiso wokuthi abathengi base-USA baqinisa imikhuba yabo yokusebenzisa imali. Ukufundwa kwe-PCE okuyisisekelo kulindeleke ukuthi kuhlale kungashintshiwe ku-1.6%. Kamuva ntambama, ukuwa kancane ekufundeni kwemizwelo yaseYunivesithi yaseMichigan kubikezelwa; yehla yaya ku-101.0 ngoMeyi, isuka ku-102.4. Ikusasa lemakethe ye-equity yase-USA lalikhombisa ukuvuleka okungekuhle kweseshini yaseNew York; ngo-10:00am intengo yesikhathi esizayo ye-NASDAQ yehle -1.24%, ne-SPX yehle -0.92%.
« I-Sterling ibamba cishe izinyanga ezine, njengoba ukudideka kukhuphuka maqondana ne-govt. umkhombandlela, ukuwa kwamafutha e-WTI, ngenkathi izimali zase-USA zibuyisa okunye ukulahlekelwa masonto onke. Azikho izizathu noma izaba zokuqhuma i-akhawunti, noma i-akhawunti yedemo. »