Izimakethe Kawoyela Zomhlaba Wonke Zibhekana Nezinselele Njengoba Isidingo Sisalele Ngemva Kokuhlinzeka Ngempahla Ekhulayo
Izimakethe zikawoyela zivale unyaka ngendlela exakile, zithole ukushona kwazo okokuqala kokubomvu kusukela ngo-2020.
Ukuthathwa Kwempahla Eqagelayo: Kunqanyuliwe kokuthi Okuyisisekelo
Abaqapheli bathathe indawo emaphakathi, ukushintshashintsha kwezimakethe eziqondisayo kukhishwe ezintweni ezibalulekile. UTrevor Woods, uMqondisi Wokutshalwa Kwezimali Wezimpahla e-Northern Trace Capital LLC, ugqamisa ubunzima bokwenza izibikezelo ngale kwekota kule ndawo engaqinisekile.
Izinkomba Zobuthakathaka: I-Contango ne-Bearish Sentiment
Izinkomba ezifana nejika lekusasa le-Brent crude elisele ku-contango kanye nokwanda kwemizwa ye-bearish phakathi kwama-speculators ngo-2023 kubonisa ukuba sengozini kwemboni. Imakethe ibonakala ifuna ubufakazi obuphathekayo kanye nezisekelo eziqinile ngaphambi kokwamukela imbuyiselo njengeqiniso.
Umthelela Wokuhweba Kwe-Algorithmic: Umdlali Omusha Kugeyimu
Ukwenyuka kokuhweba nge-algorithmic, okuhlanganisa cishe ama-80% okuthengiswa kukawoyela kwansuku zonke, kuphinde kube nzima ukuguquguquka kwemakethe. Ukwehla kokholo lwabaphathi bemali emandleni e-OPEC okulinganisa imakethe, okuhambisana nokuhlanganiswa komkhiqizi okuqhubekayo, kwenza buthaka uxhumo lwemakethe yesikhathi esizayo nokugeleza okubonakalayo.
Abaqapheli Bafuna Ubufakazi: Izinselele ze-Hedge Fund
Abaqapheli bayaxwaya, bafuna ubufakazi obuphathekayo ngaphambi kokucabangela izikhundla ezinde ngo-2024. Ukubuyiselwa kwe-Commodity hedge fund kufinyelele emazingeni aphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-2019, kanti isikhwama se-oil hedge fund sika-Pierre Andurand sikulungele ukurekhoda ukulahlekelwa kwayo okubi kakhulu emlandweni.
Ingqinamba ye-OPEC: Ukukhiqiza Kuncishiswa Phakathi Kwe-Pushback
Isinqumo sakamuva se-OPEC sokwenza okunye ukuncishiswa kokukhiqiza sibhekene nezinselelo, ikakhulukazi ukuhlehla okuvela kubakhiqizi baseMelika abafuna ukwenza imali ngamanani aphezulu kawoyela. Ukukhiqizwa kukawoyela kwamasonto onke e-US kufinyelele irekhodi lemiphongolo eyizigidi eziyi-13.3 ngosuku, okudlula izibikezelo futhi kwaba nomthelela emazingeni okukhiqiza amarekhodi alindelwe ngo-2024.
I-Global Consumption Dynamics: Ukukhula Okungalingani
I-International Energy Agency ibikezela ukukhula okuhamba kancane kokusetshenziswa komhlaba wonke njengoba umsebenzi wezomnotho uphola. Nakuba izinga lokukhula liphansi kunango-2023, lihlala liphezulu uma kuqhathaniswa namazinga omlando. Kodwa-ke, ukushintsha okusheshayo kweChina ekufakeni ugesi wezimoto kudala imigoqo yesakhiwo ekusetshenzisweni kukawoyela.
Izingozi ze-Geopolitical kanye Nesiyalo Semakethe: Ukucatshangelwa Kwekusasa
Abahlaziyi basalokhu bebhekile izingozi zezwe, okuhlanganisa ukuhlaselwa koLwandle Olubomvu kanye nengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine. Abakhiqizi bomhlaba wonke basenamandla okulungisa ukukhiqizwa ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nesidingo, kuncike ekubambeleleni okuneziyalo ezivumelwaneni ze-OPEC+ kanye nokuqapha mayelana nokuziphatha kwabakhiqizi abangebona abe-OPEC ngonyaka ozayo.
Isiphetho sendaba
Njengoba imakethe kawoyela yomhlaba wonke izulazula emanzini aneziyaluyalu, ukusebenzisana kwabaqagela, amandla okukhiqiza, kanye nemicimbi ye-geopolitical kuzoqhubeka nokubumba umkhondo wayo. Ukushaja inkambo phakathi kokungaqiniseki kudinga ibhalansi ethambile phakathi kokuziphatha kwemakethe nokuzivumelanisa nezimo eziguquguqukayo zomhlaba.
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