Ukwehla kwamandla emali eJalimane kufinyelela eminyakeni emithathu ephansi, i-UK yehle yafika ku-2.2%, njengoba u-Asmussen ethi i-ECB ayikafiki umkhawulo wokuthi “yini engayenza” kumazinga wenzalo…
Ngemuva kokuncipha kwesilinganiso se-ECB sika-0.25% ngesonto eledlule abahlaziyi abaningi, kufaka phakathi owakho ngokweqiniso, bakholelwa ukuthi i-ECB ngeke ime lapho futhi izonqwabelanisa nenkulumo futhi ihambise ukulandisa okusongelayo kokuncishiswa kwenzalo eningi ukuze buthaka i-euro, i-ECB ibheka njengephezulu kakhulu futhi engalimaza ibhizinisi elithunyelwa ngaphandle. 'Ukukhuluma' kungenzeka kwandulele noma yisiphi isenzo, i-ECB inethemba lokuthi amahemuhemu azodala ukuthengiswa okwanele kwi-euro njengoba kunzima kakhulu (futhi kuyingozi) ukufaka ngokuzithandela indawo enezinga elibi.
I-ECB ingaphinde ikwenze kube nzima ukulethwa kohlelo lwayo lwe-LTRO emabhange, amanye awo okungenzeka ukuthi asenezinkinga zokukhishwa kwemali ngokuya ngezivivinyo zakamuva zokuxineka. U-Asmussen we-ECB uthi i-ECB ibingakafiki kumkhawulo walokho engakwenza emazingeni enzalo kuye ngokwentuthuko yamanani ngokwentando yephephandaba laseJalimane.
I-Bank of France ikhipha izibikezelo ezintsha
Izibikezelo ezintsha zezomnotho ezivela eBhange laseFrance zishicilelwe namhlanje ekuseni. Kubikezela ukuthi umnotho waseFrance uzokhula ngo-0.4% ezinyangeni ezintathu zokugcina zonyaka wezi-2013. Sizothola ngoLwesine ukuthi iFrance yenze kanjani kwikota yesithathu yalo nyaka, lapho kukhishwa idatha entsha ye-eurozone GDP. Izazi zezomnotho zibheka ukuthi ukukhishwa kweFrance kukhuphuke ngo-0.1% kuphela ku-Q3, ukwehla kusuka ku-0.5% okurekhodwe phakathi kuka-Ephreli noJuni. Nge-S & P ehlisa isithunzi eFrance ngesonto eledlule.
Idatha ye-inflation yase-UK ikhishiwe
Ukwehla kwamandla emali e-UK kwehlele ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 2012. Inkomba Yamanani Abathengi ingene ngo-2.2% kuphela ngo-Okthoba, yehla isuka ku-2.7% ngenyanga edlule futhi yehla kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe ngabezomnotho. Iminikelo emikhulu ekwehleni kwezinga iqhamuke emikhakheni yezokuthutha (ikakhulukazi okokubasa ngezimoto) kanye nemfundo (imali yokufunda). Ezinye izinkomba zamanani wabathengi ezinkulu zihanjiswe ngendlela efanayo. I-CPIH ikhule ngo-2.0% ngonyaka kuya ku-Okthoba 2013, yehla isuka ku-2.5%. I-RPIJ ikhule ngo-1.9%, yehle isuka ku-2.5%.
I-UK House Price Index ngoSepthemba 2013 ikhombisa amanani anyuka ngo-3.8% unyaka nonyaka.
Izinga lenkomba yamanani ezindlu yase-UK (184.9) lehle emuva kancane ukusuka kwinani eliphakeme ngenyanga edlule (186.0). Kodwa-ke, ukwanda kwentengo yaminyaka yonke yase-UK kuqhubekile nokukhuphuka ngenxa yokwehla okukhulu kwamanani ezimpahla ngoSepthemba 2012. Ezinyangeni eziyi-12 kuya kuSepthemba 2013 amanani ezindlu zase-UK enyuke ngo-3.8%, enyuka ngo-3.7% wezinyanga eziyi-12 kuya ku-Agasti 2013. Ukukhula kwentengo yezindlu kuhlala kuzinzile kulo lonke elase-UK, yize amanani eLondon ekhula ngokushesha kune-UK average. Ukwanda konyaka nonyaka kukhombise ukukhula kwe-4.2% eNgilandi kanye ne-1.4% eWales, okususwe ngokuwa kuka-1.1% eScotland no-1.5% eNyakatho ye-Ireland.
Amanani wabathengi baseJalimane ngo-Okthoba 2013: + 1.2% ngo-Okthoba 2012
Izintengo zabathengi eJalimane zikhuphuke ngo-1.2% ngo-Okthoba 2013 uma kuqhathaniswa no-Okthoba 2012. Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali njengoba lilinganiswe yinkomba yamanani wabathengi liphinde lehla futhi (Septhemba 2013: + 1.4%). Isikhathi sokugcina lapho kubonakale izinga eliphansi lokwehla kwamandla emali kwaba ngo-Agasti 2010 (+ 1.0%). Uma kuqhathaniswa noSepthemba 2013, inkomba yentengo yabathengi yehle ngo-0.2% ngo-Okthoba 2013. Ngakho-ke iFederal Statistical Office (iDesatis) iqinisekisa imiphumela yayo yesikhashana isiyonke yangomhla zingama-30 kuOkthoba 2013. Izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali elilinganiselwe ngo-Okthoba 2013 lalibangelwa ikakhulu intuthuko yamanani imikhiqizo kawoyela yezimbiwa (−7.0% ngo-Okthoba 2012).
Izintengo zaseJalimane ezisezingeni eliphakeme ngo-Okthoba 2013: –2.7% ngo-Okthoba 2012
Inkomba yamanani okuthengisa ekuhwebeni okuphelele yehle ngo-2.7% ngo-Okthoba 2013 ngo-Okthoba 2012, njengoba kwabikwa yi-Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). Uma kuqhathaniswa noSepthemba 2013, inkomba yamanani ashibhile yehle ngo-1.0% ngo-Okthoba 2013.
Ukugxila kwe-Forex
I-yen yehle ngamaphesenti ama-0.5 aya kuma-99.69 ngedola ngalinye ekuqaleni kweLondon, ebuthakathaka kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 13. Kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.4 kuya ku-133.42 nge-euro ngayinye. Idola lenyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku- $ 1.3386 nge-euro ngayinye. Ipondo lithole amaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku-A $ 1.7109 ngemuva kokukhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-1.7 ezifundweni ezinhlanu ezedlule. I-yen yehle yaya ezingeni layo eliphansi kakhulu emavikini ayisishiyagalombili uma iqhathaniswa nedola njengoba igebe phakathi kokuvunwa kwezibopho zaseJapan nase-US zeminyaka engama-30 likhule kakhulu kusukela ngo-2011 phakathi kwezimpawu zokuzinza emnothweni omkhulu kunayo yonke emhlabeni.
Imali yase-Australia yehle ngo-0.3% yaya ku-93.30 US cents ngemuva kombiko ovela ku-National Australia Bank Ltd. okhombisa ukuthi ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi kwehle kwaba ngu-5 ngo-Okthoba kusuka ku-12 ngenyanga eyedlule.
Ipondo lehle ngamaphesenti ayi-0.1 lafika ku- $ 1.5968 ekuqaleni kwesikhathi saseLondon ngemuva kokuwela ku- $ 1.5951, okuyisilinganiso esiphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoNovemba 5. I-Sterling yayingu-83.88 pence nge-euro ngayinye ngemuva kokuthola u-83.01 pence ngoNovemba 7, okuyizinga eliqine kakhulu kusukela ngoJanuwari 17. Iphawundi lehle usuku lwesithathu uma liqhathaniswa nedola ngaphambi kombiko osomnotho abathi uzokhombisa ukwehla kwamandla emali e-UK ngokusheshisa ngenyanga edlule.
Ama-bond nama-Gilts
Isivuno esilinganisweni seminyaka eyi-10 soMgcinimafa singeze amaphuzu ayisisekelo amathathu kumaphesenti angama-2.77 ekuqaleni kweLondon ngemuva kokuthinta phambilini u-2.776, okuyisona esiningi kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 18. Intengo yenothi lamaphesenti ama-2.5 ngo-Agasti 2023 yehle ngo-1/4, noma $ 2.50 ngemali yobuso eyi- $ 1,000, yaya kuma-97 22/32. Isivuno seminyaka engu-30 sikaMgcinimafa sifike kumaphesenti angama-3.882, okuyizinga eliphakeme kakhulu elibonwe kusukela ngoSepthemba 11. Amagugu esikhathi eside abekelwe ukuletha ukulahleka okukhulu emhlabeni kwesikweletu esizimele kulo nyaka njengoba idatha yezomnotho enamandla kunalindelekile evela e-US ingeza izizathu zeFederal Reserve yokwehlisa ukuthengwa kwempahla yabo.
« Ngabe ungaphila ngokuhweba nge-FX? Lapho iqiniso liluma futhi libuhlungu… Izibalo zamanani emali ezisezingeni eliphansi zase-UK zisho kuphela uhhafu wendaba… »
