Jul 5 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2008 • Amazwana Off kuma-oda asefekthri aseJalimane ayaqhubeka nokuwa, ukugxila kuphendukela kudatha ye-NFP
Imiyalo yefekthri yakamuva yaseJalimane iqhubekile nokuwohloka ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva ebikwe yisikhungo sezibalo saseJalimane iDestatis ngoLwesihlanu ekuseni. Ama-oda enyanga ngezinyanga ehle ngo-2.2% ngoMeyi, ama-oda onyaka nonyaka ehle ngo-8.6%. Ukwehla kuka-4.3% kwama-oda angaphandle phakathi nenyanga kuyimbangela enkulu yokukhathazeka kwabahlaziyi. Njengenjini yokukhulisa ukukhiqizwa kwe-Eurozone ne-Europe, lezi zibalo zikhathaza kakhulu njengoba zikhomba ukwakheka kokuwohloka okukhulu komkhakha wezokukhiqiza waseJalimane, okuyinto abahlaziyi besaba ukuthi ingase isabalele emnothweni obanzi.
Usizi lwamanje lweDeutsche Bank aluhlobene ngempela nokusebenza komnotho wasekhaya waseJalimane, nokho, ukumemezela ngoLwesine uhlelo lokuqeda abasebenzi baleli bhange ngama-20,000 esikhathini esifushane, akuzange kusize ekubukeni jikelele kweJalimane. Ukusabela kudatha yokukhiqiza kwakubalulekile ku-euro, ngo-8: 30am ngesikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD ihweba ngebanga eliqinile ngokuchema okuqondile kuya phansi, kwephula izinga lokuqala lokusekela (S1) ngokushesha ngemva kokudalulwa kwedatha, ukuhweba phansi -0.15% ku-1.127 futhi phansi -0.90% masonto onke. Inkomba ye-DAX yaseJalimane nayo yehle kakhulu, ihweba phansi -0.10% ukwephula i-S1, ishiya isikhundla sangaphambilini eduze nephuzu le-pivot yansuku zonke. Ukutheleleka kokwesaba okuzungeze ukusebenza komnotho wase-Europe kunwetshwe kukho kokubili inkomba ye-CAC yaseFrance, ehweba phansi -0.20% kanye ne-UK FTSE 100 phansi -0.22%.
I-yen yaseJapan yehla ngesikhathi seseshini yase-Asia kanye nesigaba sokuqala seseshini yokuhweba yaseLondon-European, isikhalazo sayo sendawo ephephile sehlile kusukela ngasekupheleni kukaJuni njengoba ubungozi bethoni buthuthukile ezimakethe zokulingana emhlabeni wonke, okubangele ukuthi izinkomba eziphambili zase-US zifinyelele amarekhodi aphezulu ngaphezulu. izikhathi zokuhweba zakamuva. Idatha ye-Japan ephathelene nezinkomba zakamuva ezihamba phambili nezizenzekele yehlulekile ukudlula izibikezelo lapho izibalo zishicilelwa, ngo-8:40am USD/JPY idayiswe ngo-107.96 ikhuphuke ngo-0.17% yephula izinga lesibili lokumelana (R2). I-Yen yehle uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo njengoba kwenza i-Swiss franc nayo elahlekelwe yimali yayo ephephile ngesikhathi somnyakazo wemakethe yezimakethe zomhlaba wonke emasontweni edlule. I-USD/CHF ihwebe ngo-0.20% yaba ngu-0.986 njengoba intengo yephule u-R1.
Ukusebenza komnotho wase-UK bekulokhu kugqama phakathi nesonto lokuhweba njengoba ama-IHS Markit PMI ahlukahlukene egeje izibikezelo ngebanga elithile. Amasevisi, idatha yokwakha neyokukhiqiza zonke izibikezelo zabahlaziyi ziphuthelwe ngebanga elithile. Njengokuholayo esikhundleni sokusilela kwedatha izibalo ziphakamisa ngokunqwabelanayo ukuthi umnotho wase-UK ungase ubhalise ukufundwa okungekuhle kwe-GDP kwekota yesibili lapho i-ONS ishicilela izibalo zayo zakamuva zengxenye yonyaka ye-GDP ngoJulayi. Ngokwemvelo, ukungaqiniseki kweBrexit kusolwa ngembangela yokunqamuka emikhakheni eminingi.
Kodwa-ke, njengomnotho osekelwe ngokuyinhloko umkhakha wesevisi, okuhlanganisa umsebenzi wokuthengiselana izindlu ngemali ethe xaxa, idatha yentengo yendlu ibhekwe kakhulu uma ishicilelwa ukuze kukalwe imizwa yabantu base-UK. Ukwehla kwangempela komthelela wentengo yentengo yezindlu kuyimbangela ebaluleke kakhulu. NgoLwesihlanu ekuseni izibalo zenkomba yentengo yezindlu zaseHalifax zakamuva ziveze ukwenyuka ngo-5.7% minyaka yonke ngokwehla ngo--0.3% ngoJuni. I-Sterling ithengise ngokucijile uma iqhathaniswa nabanye ontanga yayo ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseLondon-European, ngo-9: 00am UK ngesikhathi i-GBP/USD ihwebe -0.20% ku-1.255, yephula i-S2 futhi isongela ukufinyelela ku-S3. Umbhangqwana omkhulu wehle -0.93% masonto onke okubonisa ukuncishiswa kwakamuva kwemizwa emihle. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe ngo-0.05% ithola ukulahleka kweseshini yangaphambi kwesikhathi.
Umcimbi omkhulu wekhalenda onethonya elikhulu kule ntambama uphathelene nokushicilelwa kwezinombolo zemisebenzi zakamuva zaseNyakatho Melika namazinga okungasebenzi e-Canada nase-USA ngo-13:30pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. Umthelela okhulayo ungashintsha inani lakho kokubili idola lase-Canadian US. Izinga lokungasebenzi e-Canada kubikezelwa ukuthi lizohlala lingashintshile ku-5.3% kuyilapho isibalo sase-USA sibikezelwa ukuthi sizohlala siseduze nerekhodi eliphansi elingu-3.6%. Ukufundwa kwe-NFP kwangoJuni kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzodalulwa amathuba emisebenzi angu-160K, okuwukukhuphuka okuphawulekayo kwesibalo esingaba ngu-70K esidalwe ngoMeyi. Eminyakeni yamuva nje amandla esibalo se-NFP kanye nekhono laso lokushintsha inani lontanga bemali ye-USD liye lehla kakhulu. Kodwa-ke, imali izobhekwa kakhulu njengoba idatha ishicilelwa, ngenxa yalokho abadayisi bazokwaziswa ukuthi baqaphe ngokucophelela izikhundla zabo.
Izimakethe zesikhathi esizayo bezikhombisa ukuwa kwe-SPX (Standard & Poor's index) lapho kuvulwa izimakethe zezabelo ze-USA ngoLwesihlanu ntambama. Ikusasa le-SPX laliphansi -0.07% ne-DJIA (Dow) yehle -0.06%. Naphezu kwezinzuzo zakamuva ze-WTI ezihweba ngo-$56.59 ngomphongolo wehla -1.71% ngo-9:30am ngesikhathi sase-UK, nama-DMA angu-50 nama-200 asondele ekuhlanganeni njengoba ukuwa kwamasonto onke kuqhubeka. Igolide libambe isikhundla esiseduze nokuphakama kwalo kweminyaka eyisithupha okungama-$1,426 ngeounce, i-XAU/USD ihwebe phansi -0.28% ngo-$1,416.
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Ama-oda ezimboni zaseJalimane aqhubeka nokuwa, ukugxila kuphendukela kudatha ye-NFP
Jul 5 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2008 • Amazwana Off kuma-oda asefekthri aseJalimane ayaqhubeka nokuwa, ukugxila kuphendukela kudatha ye-NFP
Imiyalo yefekthri yakamuva yaseJalimane iqhubekile nokuwohloka ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva ebikwe yisikhungo sezibalo saseJalimane iDestatis ngoLwesihlanu ekuseni. Ama-oda enyanga ngezinyanga ehle ngo-2.2% ngoMeyi, ama-oda onyaka nonyaka ehle ngo-8.6%. Ukwehla kuka-4.3% kwama-oda angaphandle phakathi nenyanga kuyimbangela enkulu yokukhathazeka kwabahlaziyi. Njengenjini yokukhulisa ukukhiqizwa kwe-Eurozone ne-Europe, lezi zibalo zikhathaza kakhulu njengoba zikhomba ukwakheka kokuwohloka okukhulu komkhakha wezokukhiqiza waseJalimane, okuyinto abahlaziyi besaba ukuthi ingase isabalele emnothweni obanzi.
Usizi lwamanje lweDeutsche Bank aluhlobene ngempela nokusebenza komnotho wasekhaya waseJalimane, nokho, ukumemezela ngoLwesine uhlelo lokuqeda abasebenzi baleli bhange ngama-20,000 esikhathini esifushane, akuzange kusize ekubukeni jikelele kweJalimane. Ukusabela kudatha yokukhiqiza kwakubalulekile ku-euro, ngo-8: 30am ngesikhathi sase-UK i-EUR/USD ihweba ngebanga eliqinile ngokuchema okuqondile kuya phansi, kwephula izinga lokuqala lokusekela (S1) ngokushesha ngemva kokudalulwa kwedatha, ukuhweba phansi -0.15% ku-1.127 futhi phansi -0.90% masonto onke. Inkomba ye-DAX yaseJalimane nayo yehle kakhulu, ihweba phansi -0.10% ukwephula i-S1, ishiya isikhundla sangaphambilini eduze nephuzu le-pivot yansuku zonke. Ukutheleleka kokwesaba okuzungeze ukusebenza komnotho wase-Europe kunwetshwe kukho kokubili inkomba ye-CAC yaseFrance, ehweba phansi -0.20% kanye ne-UK FTSE 100 phansi -0.22%.
I-yen yaseJapan yehla ngesikhathi seseshini yase-Asia kanye nesigaba sokuqala seseshini yokuhweba yaseLondon-European, isikhalazo sayo sendawo ephephile sehlile kusukela ngasekupheleni kukaJuni njengoba ubungozi bethoni buthuthukile ezimakethe zokulingana emhlabeni wonke, okubangele ukuthi izinkomba eziphambili zase-US zifinyelele amarekhodi aphezulu ngaphezulu. izikhathi zokuhweba zakamuva. Idatha ye-Japan ephathelene nezinkomba zakamuva ezihamba phambili nezizenzekele yehlulekile ukudlula izibikezelo lapho izibalo zishicilelwa, ngo-8:40am USD/JPY idayiswe ngo-107.96 ikhuphuke ngo-0.17% yephula izinga lesibili lokumelana (R2). I-Yen yehle uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo njengoba kwenza i-Swiss franc nayo elahlekelwe yimali yayo ephephile ngesikhathi somnyakazo wemakethe yezimakethe zomhlaba wonke emasontweni edlule. I-USD/CHF ihwebe ngo-0.20% yaba ngu-0.986 njengoba intengo yephule u-R1.
Ukusebenza komnotho wase-UK bekulokhu kugqama phakathi nesonto lokuhweba njengoba ama-IHS Markit PMI ahlukahlukene egeje izibikezelo ngebanga elithile. Amasevisi, idatha yokwakha neyokukhiqiza zonke izibikezelo zabahlaziyi ziphuthelwe ngebanga elithile. Njengokuholayo esikhundleni sokusilela kwedatha izibalo ziphakamisa ngokunqwabelanayo ukuthi umnotho wase-UK ungase ubhalise ukufundwa okungekuhle kwe-GDP kwekota yesibili lapho i-ONS ishicilela izibalo zayo zakamuva zengxenye yonyaka ye-GDP ngoJulayi. Ngokwemvelo, ukungaqiniseki kweBrexit kusolwa ngembangela yokunqamuka emikhakheni eminingi.
Kodwa-ke, njengomnotho osekelwe ngokuyinhloko umkhakha wesevisi, okuhlanganisa umsebenzi wokuthengiselana izindlu ngemali ethe xaxa, idatha yentengo yendlu ibhekwe kakhulu uma ishicilelwa ukuze kukalwe imizwa yabantu base-UK. Ukwehla kwangempela komthelela wentengo yentengo yezindlu kuyimbangela ebaluleke kakhulu. NgoLwesihlanu ekuseni izibalo zenkomba yentengo yezindlu zaseHalifax zakamuva ziveze ukwenyuka ngo-5.7% minyaka yonke ngokwehla ngo--0.3% ngoJuni. I-Sterling ithengise ngokucijile uma iqhathaniswa nabanye ontanga yayo ekuqaleni kweseshini yaseLondon-European, ngo-9: 00am UK ngesikhathi i-GBP/USD ihwebe -0.20% ku-1.255, yephula i-S2 futhi isongela ukufinyelela ku-S3. Umbhangqwana omkhulu wehle -0.93% masonto onke okubonisa ukuncishiswa kwakamuva kwemizwa emihle. I-EUR/GBP ihwebe ngo-0.05% ithola ukulahleka kweseshini yangaphambi kwesikhathi.
Umcimbi omkhulu wekhalenda onethonya elikhulu kule ntambama uphathelene nokushicilelwa kwezinombolo zemisebenzi zakamuva zaseNyakatho Melika namazinga okungasebenzi e-Canada nase-USA ngo-13:30pm ngesikhathi sase-UK. Umthelela okhulayo ungashintsha inani lakho kokubili idola lase-Canadian US. Izinga lokungasebenzi e-Canada kubikezelwa ukuthi lizohlala lingashintshile ku-5.3% kuyilapho isibalo sase-USA sibikezelwa ukuthi sizohlala siseduze nerekhodi eliphansi elingu-3.6%. Ukufundwa kwe-NFP kwangoJuni kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzodalulwa amathuba emisebenzi angu-160K, okuwukukhuphuka okuphawulekayo kwesibalo esingaba ngu-70K esidalwe ngoMeyi. Eminyakeni yamuva nje amandla esibalo se-NFP kanye nekhono laso lokushintsha inani lontanga bemali ye-USD liye lehla kakhulu. Kodwa-ke, imali izobhekwa kakhulu njengoba idatha ishicilelwa, ngenxa yalokho abadayisi bazokwaziswa ukuthi baqaphe ngokucophelela izikhundla zabo.
Izimakethe zesikhathi esizayo bezikhombisa ukuwa kwe-SPX (Standard & Poor's index) lapho kuvulwa izimakethe zezabelo ze-USA ngoLwesihlanu ntambama. Ikusasa le-SPX laliphansi -0.07% ne-DJIA (Dow) yehle -0.06%. Naphezu kwezinzuzo zakamuva ze-WTI ezihweba ngo-$56.59 ngomphongolo wehla -1.71% ngo-9:30am ngesikhathi sase-UK, nama-DMA angu-50 nama-200 asondele ekuhlanganeni njengoba ukuwa kwamasonto onke kuqhubeka. Igolide libambe isikhundla esiseduze nokuphakama kwalo kweminyaka eyisithupha okungama-$1,426 ngeounce, i-XAU/USD ihwebe phansi -0.28% ngo-$1,416.
« Igolide lenyukela ezingeni eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoFebhuwari, izimakethe ziqala intengo ekwehlisweni kwamazinga we-FOMC ngo-2019, ama-FAANGS alahlekelwa ukuluma kwawo. Ukuhlakanipha kwesixuku »