Dis 19 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3294 • Amazwana Off ngegolide leziwula? Ukuhlala Kwegolide Kusilinganiso Esihambayo esingu-200
Isimo segolide esiphephile sibonakala silahlekelwe ukukhanya kwalo, noma ngabe lokhu kuwumkhuba noma cha, noma ukulahlekelwa ukholo kwesikhashana (njengoba ukuguqulwa kwenani laminyaka yonke kubanjiwe) kusazobonakala.
Abahlaziyi abaningi nabahlaziyi baqhubekile nokubamba imibono ehlukene mayelana nomkhakha wezinsimbi eziyigugu; ngenkathi ukubalekela egolideni njengenqolobane yengcebo kunengqondo ngokuphelele, ikakhulukazi emhlabeni wezezimali osabhekene nesimo se-Eurozone, i-bug yegolide yabikezela inani legolide "lokukhuphuka liye enyangeni" (kubonakala sengathi) kufanele lilinde omunye unyaka.
Ukushintsha kwepharadigm esimweni sokutshala imali ngegolide kube yinto emangalisayo, ayisabhekwa njengengcebo uma kuqhathaniswa nokwehla kwamandla emali insimbi ibe isitolo esibonakalayo sokuphepha kulabo abakhungethwe yizinkinga zonyaka ka-2008-2009 futhi ngenxa yalokho ukwanda kwenani. okubangelwa ke kuvalwe phakathi kusukela. Kungani ukuwa ngokuzumayo kokuzethemba? Hhayi-ke, uma ungenayo imali yokuthenga igolide futhi kufanele uqedele izimpahla ukuze ukhokhe izikweletu, inani lizokwehla futhi leso simo siyiqiniso ngezimali ze-hedge zamadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziningi njengoba kunjalo nge-'Joe six pack' evakashela ama-pawn broker.
Ukwehla kwe-Bullion ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sayo esinyakazayo sezinsuku ezingama-200 ngesonto eledlule, ebesiyibambe cishe iminyaka emithathu, sekwenze ababukeli abaningi abaqavile bemakethe ukuthi bamise umjikelezo wegolide weminyaka eyishumi. Izintengo zegolide zizokwehla zibe ngaphansi kuka-$1,500 iwunsi eyodwa ezinyangeni ezintathu ezizayo futhi mancane amathuba okuthi ziphinde zihlole ukuphakama kwezikhathi zonke zangoSepthemba kuze kube kamuva u-2012 ekuqaleni, ngokusho kwenhlolovo ye-Reuters yabaphathi be-hedge fund engu-20, osomnotho nabahwebi.
Isibikezelo esifiphele, esiza ngemuva kokuthi igolide selilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-11 yenani lalo kuze kube manje kule nyanga, kungenzeka kubhebhethekise uvalo lokuthi inkunzi isiseduze nokuqeda ukusebenza kwayo okungaphezu kweminyaka eyishumi futhi ingene emakethe yamabhere. Cishe ingxenye yabaphendulile ibikezele ukuthi i-bullion izokwehla ifike ku-1,450 iwunsi engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ozayo, kanti abathathu babona amanani entengo ephansi njengo-$1,400 iwunsi.
Izibikezelo ziza ngemuva kokusebenza okungekuhle ngesonto eledlule lapho amanani entengo ehle ngezinyanga ezi-2 1/2 ngo-$1,560 futhi igolide lalahlekelwa isimo salo sokuphepha. Ukuthengisa kugqugquzelwe umbango wezimali zothango lokuthola imali ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nokuhlengwa kwamakhasimende ekupheleni konyaka onzima kanye nokugijima kwemali ngamabhange aseYurophu afuna ukukhulisa imali.
Insimbi eyigugu manje isibheke ekulahlekelweni kwayo kokuqala kwekota ngekota yesine ngemuva kokwehla kwesibili okubi kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 2008 lapho ukwehla kwezikweletu emhlabeni wonke kwakusezingeni eliphezulu. Kolunye uphawu olusheshayo, izibalo ze-US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ezikhishwe ngoLwesihlanu zibonise ukuthi imali ephethwe ekusaseni legolide nezinketho zinciphisa ukubheja kwe-bullish isonto lesibili lilandelana.
Umbono wesikhathi eside awusenawo umphumela omuhle, njengoba abangaphezu kwesigamu sabaphenduli babikezela ukuthi igolide mancane amathuba okuba liphinde lifinyelele ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kuze kube okungenani engxenyeni yesibili ka-2012. Abane bathi abalindele okusha. irekhodi kuze kube okungenani ngo-2014.
Market Sibutsetelo
Ama-Equities ehle okokuqala ezinsukwini ezintathu nakuba izimakethe zase-Europe sezithole ukulingana namanani okuvula, idola lakhuphuka futhi inqobile yehla yaya phansi ezinyangeni ezimbili ngemuva kokushona komholi waseNyakatho Korea uKim Jong Il futhi njengoba ongqongqoshe bezezimali baseYurophu belungiselela ukuxoxa ngale ndaba. inkinga yezikweletu zesifunda.
I-MSCI All Country World Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.7 ngo-8:01 ekuseni e-London, yamisa inzuzo yezinsuku ezimbili, futhi inkomba ye-Kospi yaseNingizimu Korea yehle ngamaphesenti angu-3.4. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-0.2. Idola likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 laya ku-$1.3012 uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro yezizwe ezingu-17 futhi lahlanganisa amaphesenti angu-1.4 ngokumelene ne-South Korean won. Uwoyela wehla usuku lwesine eNew York futhi ithusi lacwiliswa ngamaphesenti angu-1.
I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.7 kanti I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.9. I-S&P/ASX 200 Index yase-Australia yehle ngamaphesenti angu-2.4, iNikkei 225 Stock Average yaseJapan yehle ngo-1.3% kwathi i-Hang Seng Index yaseHong Kong yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.2.
I-euro yaba buthaka ngaphambi kokuba ongqongqoshe bezezimali besifunda babambe ucingo lwengqungquthela ngo-3:30 pm ngesikhathi saseBrussels ukuze kudingidwe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-200 okuxhaswa ngezimali okwengeziwe nge-IMF. I-France ithengisa izikweletu namuhla ngemuva kokuthi u-Fitch esho ngo-Dec. 16 ukuthi izwe libhekene nenkinga yezikweletu zesifunda kunamanye amazwe aphezulu e-euro-zone ngenxa yokushoda kwesabelomali kanye nomthwalo wezikweletu zikahulumeni. ISpain izodayisa izibambiso zikahulumeni kusasa ezizovuthwa ezinyangeni ezintathu neziyisithupha.
I-crude yokulethwa kukaJanuwari ilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-0.6 yaya ku-$92.95 umgqomo ku-New York Mercantile Exchange, okunweba izinsuku ezintathu, ukwehla okungamaphesenti angu-6.6. Ikhopha yezinyanga ezintathu yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1 yaya ku-$7,270 ithani lemethrikhi eLondon futhi i-nickel yehla ngamaphesenti angu-1.1 yaya ku-$18,350 ngethani. Igolide lehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 laya ku-$1,593.63 i-ounce, lanweba ukwehla okungamaphesenti angu-6.6 kweviki eledlule.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 00 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Izimakethe zase-Asia-Pacific zithengiswa ngeseshini yasebusuku/ekuseni kakhulu. Ngokwemvelo ukushona komholi waseNyakatho Korea kunikeze ukungazinzi. I-Nikkei ivale ngo-1.26%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-1.18%, kanti i-CSI ivale ngo-0.24%. Inkomba ye-KOSPI yaseKorea ivale i-3.43%. i-ASX 200 ivale ngo-2.38%.
Izinkomba ze-European bourse zihweba ziphansi noma zikhuphuke kancane kuseshini yasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.04%, i-UK FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.01% kanti i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.01%. I-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.09%. Ikusasa lenkomba yokulingana yansuku zonke ye-SPX likhuphuke ngo-0.38% okuphakamisa ukuvuleka okuhle kwe-Wall Street. I-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuke ngo-$0.22 umgqomo ku-103.57 Comex igolide yehle ngo-0.2% ngo-$1597.7.
Idola liqinise amaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-$ 1.3025 nge-euro ngayinye kusukela ngo-8:32 ekuseni eLondon kusukela ekupheleni kwe-New York ngo-Dec. 16. I-greenback yengeze amaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-77.88 yen. Imali evamile yaseYurophu ayishintshile kangako ku-101.45 yen. I-Korean iwine yenza buthaka amaphesenti angu-1.4 kuya ku-1,174.80, ngaphambilini yathinta u-1,179.95, izinga elibuthakathaka kusukela ngomhla ka-7 Oct.
intengo yegolideintengo yegolide iyehla
« Ha ha ha, hee hee “Ngiyizinyoni ehlekayo futhi awukwazi ukungibamba” UMad Max noma uBlade Runner? Disemba 19 2012 »
Igolide leziwula? Ukuhlala Kwegolide Kusilinganiso Esihambayo esingu-200
Dis 19 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-3294 • Amazwana Off ngegolide leziwula? Ukuhlala Kwegolide Kusilinganiso Esihambayo esingu-200
Isimo segolide esiphephile sibonakala silahlekelwe ukukhanya kwalo, noma ngabe lokhu kuwumkhuba noma cha, noma ukulahlekelwa ukholo kwesikhashana (njengoba ukuguqulwa kwenani laminyaka yonke kubanjiwe) kusazobonakala.
Abahlaziyi abaningi nabahlaziyi baqhubekile nokubamba imibono ehlukene mayelana nomkhakha wezinsimbi eziyigugu; ngenkathi ukubalekela egolideni njengenqolobane yengcebo kunengqondo ngokuphelele, ikakhulukazi emhlabeni wezezimali osabhekene nesimo se-Eurozone, i-bug yegolide yabikezela inani legolide "lokukhuphuka liye enyangeni" (kubonakala sengathi) kufanele lilinde omunye unyaka.
Ukushintsha kwepharadigm esimweni sokutshala imali ngegolide kube yinto emangalisayo, ayisabhekwa njengengcebo uma kuqhathaniswa nokwehla kwamandla emali insimbi ibe isitolo esibonakalayo sokuphepha kulabo abakhungethwe yizinkinga zonyaka ka-2008-2009 futhi ngenxa yalokho ukwanda kwenani. okubangelwa ke kuvalwe phakathi kusukela. Kungani ukuwa ngokuzumayo kokuzethemba? Hhayi-ke, uma ungenayo imali yokuthenga igolide futhi kufanele uqedele izimpahla ukuze ukhokhe izikweletu, inani lizokwehla futhi leso simo siyiqiniso ngezimali ze-hedge zamadola ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziningi njengoba kunjalo nge-'Joe six pack' evakashela ama-pawn broker.
Ukwehla kwe-Bullion ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sayo esinyakazayo sezinsuku ezingama-200 ngesonto eledlule, ebesiyibambe cishe iminyaka emithathu, sekwenze ababukeli abaningi abaqavile bemakethe ukuthi bamise umjikelezo wegolide weminyaka eyishumi. Izintengo zegolide zizokwehla zibe ngaphansi kuka-$1,500 iwunsi eyodwa ezinyangeni ezintathu ezizayo futhi mancane amathuba okuthi ziphinde zihlole ukuphakama kwezikhathi zonke zangoSepthemba kuze kube kamuva u-2012 ekuqaleni, ngokusho kwenhlolovo ye-Reuters yabaphathi be-hedge fund engu-20, osomnotho nabahwebi.
Isibikezelo esifiphele, esiza ngemuva kokuthi igolide selilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-11 yenani lalo kuze kube manje kule nyanga, kungenzeka kubhebhethekise uvalo lokuthi inkunzi isiseduze nokuqeda ukusebenza kwayo okungaphezu kweminyaka eyishumi futhi ingene emakethe yamabhere. Cishe ingxenye yabaphendulile ibikezele ukuthi i-bullion izokwehla ifike ku-1,450 iwunsi engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ozayo, kanti abathathu babona amanani entengo ephansi njengo-$1,400 iwunsi.
Izibikezelo ziza ngemuva kokusebenza okungekuhle ngesonto eledlule lapho amanani entengo ehle ngezinyanga ezi-2 1/2 ngo-$1,560 futhi igolide lalahlekelwa isimo salo sokuphepha. Ukuthengisa kugqugquzelwe umbango wezimali zothango lokuthola imali ukuze kuhlangatshezwane nokuhlengwa kwamakhasimende ekupheleni konyaka onzima kanye nokugijima kwemali ngamabhange aseYurophu afuna ukukhulisa imali.
Insimbi eyigugu manje isibheke ekulahlekelweni kwayo kokuqala kwekota ngekota yesine ngemuva kokwehla kwesibili okubi kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 2008 lapho ukwehla kwezikweletu emhlabeni wonke kwakusezingeni eliphezulu. Kolunye uphawu olusheshayo, izibalo ze-US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ezikhishwe ngoLwesihlanu zibonise ukuthi imali ephethwe ekusaseni legolide nezinketho zinciphisa ukubheja kwe-bullish isonto lesibili lilandelana.
Umbono wesikhathi eside awusenawo umphumela omuhle, njengoba abangaphezu kwesigamu sabaphenduli babikezela ukuthi igolide mancane amathuba okuba liphinde lifinyelele ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kuze kube okungenani engxenyeni yesibili ka-2012. Abane bathi abalindele okusha. irekhodi kuze kube okungenani ngo-2014.
Market Sibutsetelo
Ama-Equities ehle okokuqala ezinsukwini ezintathu nakuba izimakethe zase-Europe sezithole ukulingana namanani okuvula, idola lakhuphuka futhi inqobile yehla yaya phansi ezinyangeni ezimbili ngemuva kokushona komholi waseNyakatho Korea uKim Jong Il futhi njengoba ongqongqoshe bezezimali baseYurophu belungiselela ukuxoxa ngale ndaba. inkinga yezikweletu zesifunda.
I-MSCI All Country World Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.7 ngo-8:01 ekuseni e-London, yamisa inzuzo yezinsuku ezimbili, futhi inkomba ye-Kospi yaseNingizimu Korea yehle ngamaphesenti angu-3.4. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-0.2. Idola likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 laya ku-$1.3012 uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro yezizwe ezingu-17 futhi lahlanganisa amaphesenti angu-1.4 ngokumelene ne-South Korean won. Uwoyela wehla usuku lwesine eNew York futhi ithusi lacwiliswa ngamaphesenti angu-1.
I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.7 kanti I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.9. I-S&P/ASX 200 Index yase-Australia yehle ngamaphesenti angu-2.4, iNikkei 225 Stock Average yaseJapan yehle ngo-1.3% kwathi i-Hang Seng Index yaseHong Kong yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1.2.
I-euro yaba buthaka ngaphambi kokuba ongqongqoshe bezezimali besifunda babambe ucingo lwengqungquthela ngo-3:30 pm ngesikhathi saseBrussels ukuze kudingidwe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-200 okuxhaswa ngezimali okwengeziwe nge-IMF. I-France ithengisa izikweletu namuhla ngemuva kokuthi u-Fitch esho ngo-Dec. 16 ukuthi izwe libhekene nenkinga yezikweletu zesifunda kunamanye amazwe aphezulu e-euro-zone ngenxa yokushoda kwesabelomali kanye nomthwalo wezikweletu zikahulumeni. ISpain izodayisa izibambiso zikahulumeni kusasa ezizovuthwa ezinyangeni ezintathu neziyisithupha.
I-crude yokulethwa kukaJanuwari ilahlekelwe ngamaphesenti angu-0.6 yaya ku-$92.95 umgqomo ku-New York Mercantile Exchange, okunweba izinsuku ezintathu, ukwehla okungamaphesenti angu-6.6. Ikhopha yezinyanga ezintathu yehle ngamaphesenti angu-1 yaya ku-$7,270 ithani lemethrikhi eLondon futhi i-nickel yehla ngamaphesenti angu-1.1 yaya ku-$18,350 ngethani. Igolide lehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.3 laya ku-$1,593.63 i-ounce, lanweba ukwehla okungamaphesenti angu-6.6 kweviki eledlule.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 00 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Izimakethe zase-Asia-Pacific zithengiswa ngeseshini yasebusuku/ekuseni kakhulu. Ngokwemvelo ukushona komholi waseNyakatho Korea kunikeze ukungazinzi. I-Nikkei ivale ngo-1.26%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-1.18%, kanti i-CSI ivale ngo-0.24%. Inkomba ye-KOSPI yaseKorea ivale i-3.43%. i-ASX 200 ivale ngo-2.38%.
Izinkomba ze-European bourse zihweba ziphansi noma zikhuphuke kancane kuseshini yasekuseni, i-STOXX 50 ikhuphuke ngo-0.04%, i-UK FTSE ikhuphuke ngo-0.01% kanti i-CAC ikhuphuke ngo-0.01%. I-DAX ikhuphuke ngo-0.09%. Ikusasa lenkomba yokulingana yansuku zonke ye-SPX likhuphuke ngo-0.38% okuphakamisa ukuvuleka okuhle kwe-Wall Street. I-ICE Brent crude ikhuphuke ngo-$0.22 umgqomo ku-103.57 Comex igolide yehle ngo-0.2% ngo-$1597.7.
Idola liqinise amaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-$ 1.3025 nge-euro ngayinye kusukela ngo-8:32 ekuseni eLondon kusukela ekupheleni kwe-New York ngo-Dec. 16. I-greenback yengeze amaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-77.88 yen. Imali evamile yaseYurophu ayishintshile kangako ku-101.45 yen. I-Korean iwine yenza buthaka amaphesenti angu-1.4 kuya ku-1,174.80, ngaphambilini yathinta u-1,179.95, izinga elibuthakathaka kusukela ngomhla ka-7 Oct.
intengo yegolideintengo yegolide iyehla
« Ha ha ha, hee hee “Ngiyizinyoni ehlekayo futhi awukwazi ukungibamba” UMad Max noma uBlade Runner? Disemba 19 2012 »