Kuzogxilwa kuMario Draghi ngoLwesine, lapho ethula isitatimende mayelana nenqubomgomo yezimali ye-ECB, ngemuva kokudalulwa kwesinqumo senzalo.
NgoLwesine ngoJanuwari 25, ngo-12: 45 pm isikhathi sase-UK (GMT), i-Central Bank yase-Eurozone i-ECB, izomemezela isinqumo sayo sakamuva maqondana nezinga lenzalo ye-EZ. Ngemuva kwesikhashana (ngo-13: 30 ntambama), uMario Draghi, umongameli we-ECB, uzobamba isithangami nabezindaba eFrankfurt, ezochaza izizathu zesinqumo. Uzokwethula nesitatimende esikhuluma ngenqubomgomo yemali ye-ECB, ehlanganisa izici ezimbili eziyinhloko, okokuqala; ukuqhutshwa okuthe xaxa kwe-APP (uhlelo lokuthengwa kwempahla). Okwesibili; lapho isikhathi silungile sokuqala ukukhuphula isilinganiso senzalo se-EZ, kusuka kusilinganiso samanje esingu-0.00%.
Ukuvumelana okubanjelwe kabanzi, okuqoqwe kosomnotho abavotelwe yiReuters kanye neBloomberg, akulona ushintsho kusuka kusilinganiso samanje esingu-0.00%, kuthi isilinganiso sediphozi sigcinwe ku -0.40%. Kodwa-ke, yingqungquthela kaMario Draghi okungenzeka ukuthi kugxilwe kuyo kakhulu. I-ECB iqale ukuthwebula i-APP ngo-2017, yehlisa umfutho kusuka ku- € 60b kuye ku- € 30b ngenyanga. Isiphakamiso sokuqala esivela ku-ECB, uma sekufakwe i-taper, sithinte ukuphela kohlelo lokukhuthaza ngoSepthemba 2018. Abahlaziyi babumbene ngombono wokuthi; Uma kuphela i-APP, lapho ibhange eliphakathi lizobheka kunoma ikuphi ukukhuphuka kwamazinga okungenzeka kube khona.
Umqondo ovamile, umbono we-pragmatic, kungaba ukuhlaziya ukuhoxiswa okuqhubekayo kwesikhuthazo, ngaphambi kokukhuphula amanani. Njengoba ukwehla kwamandla emali ku-1.4% kanye nezinga lama-2% elizwakaliswa yi-ECB njengezinga elibhekiswe kulo, ibhange eliphakathi lingaba nesizathu sokusho ukuthi basenenhliziyo eyanele nendawo yokuqhuba, ukugcina uhlelo lokukhuthaza luphila, ngaphezu kwesimo sabo sokuqala .
I-EUR / USD inyuke nge-circa engu-15% ngo-2017, umbhangqwana omkhulu wemali ususondele ku-approx. 2% ngo-2018, abahlaziyi abaningi bacaphuna i-1.230 njengezinga elibalulekile lapho i-ECB ibheka khona i-euro njengenani elifanele, ngaphezu kwalokho okungamelela isithiyo sesikhathi eside empumelelweni yokukhiqiza nokuthumela i-Eurozone. Yize ukungenisa, kufaka phakathi amandla, kushibhile ngenxa yalokho.
Ngenkathi inqubomgomo ehlukahlukene ye-ECB ikomidi, njenge; UJens Weidmann no-Ardo Hansson, bacele ukuthi kuqiniswe inqubomgomo yezezimali engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka ka-2018, ezinye izikhulu ze-ECB zisanda kuzwakalisa ukukhathazeka ngokuthi i-ECB izoqhubeka nokusebenzisa indlela eqaphelayo futhi iguqule inqubomgomo ngokusebenza okusebenzayo, ngokungafani ne-pro isisekelo esisebenzayo. IPhini likaMongameli we-ECB uVitor Constancio uzwakalise ukukhathazeka ngesonto eledlule "ngokunyakaza okungazelelwe kwe-euro, okungakhombisi ushintsho kuzisekelo". Ngenkathi ilungu loMkhandlu Olawulayo u-Ewald Nowotny esanda kusho ukuthi ukwazisa kwakamuva kwe-euro “akusizi” emnothweni we-Eurozone. I-ECB ayinanhloso yokushintshanisa nge-EUR / USD, kodwa-ke uNototny ugcizelele ukuthi ibhange elikhulu lizoqapha intuthuko.
Ngamazwi alula; UMario Draghi njengendawo okugxilwa kuyo inqubomgomo ye-ECB nezwi lokuqondisa phambili, angaba nombono wokuthi i-euro ibekeke kahle uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu futhi ukwehliswa kokuqala kwe-APP kusebenze kahle; kungadala ushintsho olukhulu kunani lwemali, noma ukulimaza ukusebenza komnotho kwe-EZ Ngakho-ke ukuqondiswa kwakhe phambili engqungqutheleni kanye nesitatimende senqubomgomo yezimali, kungenzeka kungathathi hlangothi, ngokungafani ne-dovish, noma i-hawkish.
IZIKHOMBISI ZOMNOTHO EZISEMQOKA ZE-EUROZONE
- I-GDP YoY 2.6%.
- Izinga lenzalo ngu-0.00%.
- Ukwehla kwamandla emali 1.4%.
- Izinga lokungasebenzi 8.7%.
- Ukukhula komholo u-1.6%.
- Isikweletu v GDP 89.2%.
- I-PMI eyinhlanganisela 58.6.
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