Izitoko zase-Europe zikhuphuka ngokulingene, ngenkathi idola laseMelika liqhubeka nokwehla kwalo kwakamuva, igolide liphethe ngaphezu kwe-100 DMA

UNovemba 24 • Ukushayela kwe-Morning Roll • Ukubukwa okungu-2726 • Amazwana Off esitokweni saseYurophu sikhuphuka ngokusesilinganisweni, kuyilapho idola laseMelika liqhubeka nokwehla kwakamuva, igolide lingaphezu kwe-100 DMA

Njengoba izimakethe zezabelo ze-USA zivaliwe ngoLwesine ngenxa yeholide lokubonga, umthamo wokuhweba ezimakethe ze-FX nawo wenziwa, idola lehla uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro kanye nabanye ontanga yalo abakhulu. Kodwa-ke, isenzo samanani besilinganiselwe kakhulu usuku lonke, namapheya amakhulu emali ahlangabezana nokuncane kakhulu ngokuya ngokunyakaza. I-EUR/USD iqede usuku phezulu cishe ngo-0.3%, iphumule eduze komugqa wokuqala wokumelana. Ngenxa yaleli holidi lase-US kwakungekho lutho olutheni ezindabeni zezomnotho ezivela e-United States, kuyilapho ukungezwani kwezombusazwe ezweni nakho kuthathe indawo engemuva.

ULwesine bekuwusuku olumatasatasa kakhulu ezindabeni zekhalenda lezomnotho lase-Europe, kanti iningi lezindaba ezinomthelela omaphakathi kuya phezulu ziza ngaphambi kwezibikezelo. I-GDP yaseJalimane iqhubekile nokusebenza kwayo okuncomekayo ngo-2017, isibalo se-YoY Q3 sifike ku-2.8%, okubeka leso sibalo kumongo ukuthi siseduze nokuphinda kabili ukukhula konyaka okulethwa yi-UK njengamanje. Imikhiqizo yaseJalimane ethunyelwa ngaphandle ikhuphuke ngezinga elibalulekile, ikhuphuke ngo-1.7% MoM, idlula isibikezelo sokunyuka kwe-1.1%, futhi njengoba ukuthengiswa kwamanye amazwe nakho kuza kakhulu ngenani eliphansi kunokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, izibalo zezomnotho eziqinile ziyaqhubeka nokuphakamisa ukuthi umnotho waseJalimane uyasebenza. njengemodeli yakudala ye-orthodoxy yezomnotho nokusebenza kahle.

I-France, iJalimane kanye ne-Eurozone ebanzi nayo yathumela ukufundwa kwe-Markit PMI okuhlaba umxhwele, okuhlaba umxhwele kakhulu yi-PMIs yokukhiqiza zonke izibikezelo ezishayayo, ezinikezwe ukuthi ama-PMIs ahamba phambili ngokungafani nezinkomba ezisalele, kuphakamisa ukuthi abaphathi bebhizinisi kuwo wonke amazwe amathathu ahamba phambili e-Eurozone, badlulele kakhulu. ukuzethemba maqondana nokuchuma kwekusasa lesifunda.

Izimakethe ezimbalwa ze-Eurozone equity zivaleke kakhulu ngenxa yedatha enethemba, i-DAX yavalwa kancane, njengoba u-Angela Merkel eqala ukucabanga ukungena kumfelandawonye nozakwabo wangaphambili weSocial Democratic Party. I-euro ivale usuku uma iqhathaniswa neningi lontanga yayo, ikhuphuke cishe ngo-0.6% uma iqhathaniswa nephawundi lase-UK.

NgoLwesine ibone inqwaba yedatha eshicilelwe mayelana nomnotho wase-UK, i-GDP ifike ngo-YoY ngo-1.5% ingashintshiwe kusukela kwikota edlule, iphakamisa ukuthi i-UK izothumela isibalo esifanayo sonyaka ka-2017 kuze kube manje ukukhula, ngaphansi kakhulu kwezibikezelo ezenziwe nguhulumeni. ingcebo kanye ne-OBR ekuqaleni konyaka. Naphezu kokuba iphawundi lehla ngenani uma liqhathaniswa nezimali zontanga zozakwethu abakhulu bebhizinisi (i-USD ne-EUR), kusukela isinqumo sereferendamu esithathwe ngoJuni 2016, ukunyuka okulindelekile kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe akukenzeki ku-Q3, kuyilapho i-UK isaqhubeka nokudonsa kanzima. impahla ebizayo evela kwamanye amazwe ngenxa yokuwa kwephawundi kusukela ngoJuni 2016, okukhuphuke ngo-1.1% ngekota efanayo.

Le recipe enobuthi ingase inyuse ukwehla kwamandla emali, ikakhulukazi uma i-sterling ihlupheka ngokuqhubekayo uma iqhathaniswa ne-EUR ne-USD njengoba i-Brexit isondela. Utshalomali oluphelele lwebhizinisi lase-UK nalo lwehla, okuphakamisa ukuthi abanikazi bamabhizinisi bazozabalaza ukwenza ngcono isimo sokukhiqiza sase-UK samanje. Ngaphandle kokukhuphuka okuncane uma kuqhathaniswa namadola aseMelika naseCanada, i-sterling yehle iqhathaniswa nontanga yayo ngesikhathi sokuhweba sangoLwesine.

IDOLELA LASEMelika

I-USD/JPY ihwebe ngebanga elicinene kakhulu, umbhangqwana omkhulu uqede usuku phansi cishe ngo-0.1% ku-111.2 futhi manje usuphule izilinganiso ezihambayo ezimbili ezibucayi ezihlangene ukuya phansi; i-100 DMA kanye ne-200 DMA, zombili zibekwe ku-111.6. I-USD/CHF yephule i-200 DMA kuya phansi, ivale i-0.2% ku-0.981. I-USD/CAD yehle nge-bearish range eqinile ngoLwesine, yehla nge-S1 yehle cishe ngo-0.3%, ukuze ilulame kancane, iqede usuku lwehle cishe ngo-0.1% ngo-1.272.

EURO

I-EUR/USD ibonakala ithole umfutho kanye nomfutho wokuhlala ngaphezu kwe-100 DMA, ivale usuku lwe-circa 0.3% ku-1.184, iphumule emgqeni wokuqala wokumelana. I-EUR/GBP igcine usuku inyuke cishe ngo-0.5% ikhuphuka esigabeni esisodwa ifinyelela ku-R2, ukuze ibuye emuva. I-EUR/CAD ilandele iphethini efanayo, i-EUR/JPY ivale usuku kuze kufike ku-0.3%, ngo-131.8.

UKUQALA

I-GBP/USD iqede usuku ngo-1.330, ikhuphuke cishe ngo-0.1% ngosuku, i-GBP/CHF ihwebe ngebanga elincane le-bearish, lehla nge-S1 ngesikhathi esisodwa, ukuze ilulame. I-GBP/CAD iqhume ngobubanzi be-bearish ikakhulukazi, iwela ku-S1, ukuze iphinde ilulame, iphindela emuva ngephoyinti le-pivot yansuku zonke ukuze iqedele usuku phezulu cishe ngo-0.1%, ku-1.691.

I-EQUITY MARKETS ISIFINYEZO SANGO-NOVEMBER 23.

• I-DAX ivale u-0.05%.
• I-FTSE 100 ivale u-0.02%.
• I-CAC ivale u-0.50%.
• I-Euro STOXX ivale ngo-0.26%.

IZENZAKALO ZEKHALENDA EZISEMQOKA ZOMNOTHO ZANGONOVEMBA 24.

• I-EUR German IFO Business Climate (NOV).

• Imalimboleko ye-GBP ye-BBA Yokuthenga Kwendlu (OCT).

• I-USD Markit US Manufacturing PMI (NOV P).

• I-USD Markit US Services PMI (NOV P).

• I-USD Markit US Composite PMI (NOV P).

Amazwana zivaliwe.

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