UNovemba 17 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-6281 • Amazwana Off ku-Déjà Vu, I-Uncanny Sense Esikade Silapha Phambilini
Ngezinye izikhathi kufanele uthathe isinyathelo emuva ezimweni ezinesiphithiphithi ukuze uhlole umonakalo. Lokhu kunikeza nethuba lokusungula ukuthi yiziphi izinyathelo ezithathiwe ukusuka kulezinxushunxushu ziye ekuphathweni kwezinhlekelele okusebenzayo. Kuvele isithombe esicace bha ukuthi lo monakalo uqukethwe kanjani, ulungiswa kanjani nokuthi yiziphi izinyathelo ezibekwayo zokwakha kabusha nokugwema isimo esifanayo esineziyaluyalu esizovela futhi.
I-Déjà vu (ngokwezwi nezwi "esivele ibonwe") isipiliyoni sokuzizwa unesiqiniseko sokuthi umuntu usevele usibonile noma wahlangabezana nesimo esikhona manje, noma ngabe izimo eziqondile zokuhlangana kwangaphambilini zingaqinisekile futhi mhlawumbe zacatshangwa. Leli gama laqanjwa ngumcwaningi wemilingo ongumFulentshi, u-Émile Boirac (1851-1917) encwadini yakhe ethi L'Avenir des sciences psychiques (“The Future of Psychic Sciences”), eyanwebeka phezu kwendatshana ayibhala ngenkathi enza iziqu. Okuhlangenwe nakho kwe-déjà vu kuvame ukuhambisana nomqondo ophoqelelayo wokujwayela, kanye nomqondo "wokumangala", "ukungajwayelekile", "ukuxaka", noma lokho uSigmund Freud akubiza ngokuthi "okungaqondakaliyo". Okuhlangenwe nakho “kwangaphambilini” kuvame ukubangelwa iphupho, noma kwezinye izimo kunomqondo oqinile wokuthi lokho okwenzekile kwenzeke esikhathini esedlule…
Ngivame 'ukukhiqiza' endaweni ethile esifundeni samagama angama-5,000 XNUMX ngosuku lweFXCC. Iningi lezindatshana zezindaba zenziwa ngokuba nomdlandla onempilo maqondana nezindaba zamanje zezomnotho, ikakhulukazi izindaba kanye noma nezinqumo eziyisisekelo ezingabumba umhlaba wethu wemali ye-forex. Ngizobhekabheka ngamehlo abomvu iBloomberg, iReuters, i-FT, izindaba ezihamba phambili zase-UK kanye nezitolo zezithonjana ze-iconoclastic ukubamba izingcezu nezingcezu zomhlaba wonke ukuletha lokho esikuthemba ukuthi kuzoba ukuqonda okuthakazelisayo, isifinyezo kanye nokugxila ezindabeni zamanje. Ngokwemvelo kunezikhathi lapho ngikhipha khona i-athikili bese 'kuzwakala' sengathi ngiyaziphinda, kwesinye isikhathi kufanele ngenze kabili ukuqinisekisa ukuthi angibhalanga into efanayo muva nje, njengezindaba izolo ezivelile ukuthi iFrance neJalimane bahlukaniswe ngokujulile esinyathelweni esilandelayo sokuya phambili.
Kwakungu-Okthoba kuphela lapho uMerkel noSarkozy babenezindiza ezingapheli phakathi kweJalimane neFrance ukuze benze njengabadlali abakhulu ukuthola isixazululo enkingeni enkulu yezikweletu zaseYurophu? Ngabe bebengeke yini basikhiphe kule nxushunxushu bangene esivumelwaneni esisha? Kodwa-ke lapha sesinenyanga futhi iReuters yethula isihloko nodaba oluphakamisa ukuthi akukho okufeziwe ngenyanga edlule ngaphandle kwalokho okubonakala kungenakwenzeka; isimo esibi senziwe saba sibi kakhulu ..
Sekuvele uhlobo olwehlukile lwesiphithiphithi ngenxa yokungaphathwa kahle kwesimo ngokuphelele yizo zonke izikhulu ezixhumene nalesi sifo. Kunohulumeni ababili bezobuchwepheshe abangakhethiwe abakhethwe enkabeni ye-maelstrom futhi ngaphandle kochungechunge olungapheli lwemihlangano akukho luhlelo jikelele noma umgwaqo ovunyiwe ingasaphathwa eyokwakhiwa futhi umfelandawonye weMerkozy uhlala ungahambisani ne-ECB esebenza njengombolekisi wokugcina resort, noma ukwehlisa inani kunikezwe ukuthi kushayisana nokukhishwa nomthethosisekelo.
Okuwukuphela kwempumelelo ngamalungu ayishumi nesikhombisa emali eyodwa abheka iso ekuthengweni kwamabhondi okungapheli nokungashicilelwanga kanye nemisebenzi engekho emthethweni i-ECB ebambe iqhaza kuyo njengamanje. Isimo sesinenxushunxushu njengangaphambili, kepha manje sinezingqinamba zobunzima obungadingekile . Kuyisimangaliso ukuthi izinkomba eziyinhloko ezixhunywe eYurophu azikabuyiseli emuva emazingeni ka-2008-2009, yi-zirp kuphela (inqubomgomo yenzalo yenani lenzalo) kanye namazinga we-gargantuan of liquidity entsha kusukela ngo-2008-2009 okuvimbele lokhu kungenakugwemeka. IFrance neJalimane bayiqinisile impi yabo yamazwi yokuthi ngabe i-European Central Bank kufanele ingenelele ngamandla yini ukunqanda inkinga yezikweletu yendawo yase-euro ngemuva kokuthengwa okuncane kwamabhondi kwehlulekile ukudambisa izimakethe.
Ibhekene nezindleko ezikhulayo zokuboleka njengoba isilinganiso sayo sesikweletu se-'AAA 'sisongelwa, iFrance inxuse ukuthi kuthathwe izinyathelo ezinqala ze-ECB. Isiphithiphithi semakethe yamaBond sisabalala kulo lonke elaseYurophu. Izithelo zeminyaka eyi-10 zase-Italy zikhuphuke ngaphezu kwamaphesenti ayi-7, ezingafinyeleleki esikhathini eside. Izithelo kumabhondi akhishwe yiFrance, iNetherlands ne-Austria nazo kanye neGermany ezakha umnyombo wendawo ye-euro nazo zikhuphukile. “Umsebenzi we-ECB ukuqinisekisa ukusimama kwe-euro, kodwa nokuzinza kwezezimali kwe-Europe. Siyethemba ukuthi i-ECB izothatha izinyathelo ezidingekayo ukuqinisekisa ukuzinza kwezezimali eYurophu, ” Okhulumela uhulumeni waseFrance uValerie Pecresse uthe ngemuva komhlangano weKhabhinethi eParis. UNgqongqoshe Wezezimali waseFrance uFrancois Baroin uwuphindile umbono kaParis wokuthi isikhwama sokutakula i-EFSF sendawo ye-euro kufanele sibe nemvume yokubhanga, okuyinto iBerlin ephikisana nayo. Ukuhamba okunjalo kuzovumela isikhwama ukuthi siboleke ku-ECB, siyinike amandla okulwa nomlilo wokulwa nenkinga yokusabalala. "Isimo seFrance ukuthi indlela yokuvimbela ukutheleleka ngeyokuthi i-EFSF ibe nelayisense yokubhanga," Kusho uBaroin eceleni komcimbi wokuklomelisa ngezindondo.
Kodwa uShansela waseJalimane u-Angela Merkel ukubeke kwacaca ukuthi iBerlin izomelana nengcindezi yokuthi ibhange elikhulu libambe iqhaza elikhulu ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu, lathi imithetho ye-European Union iyasenqabela lesi senzo. "Ngendlela esibona ngayo izivumelwano, i-ECB ayinakho ukuxazulula lezi zinkinga," uthe ngemuva kwezingxoxo noNdunankulu wase-Ireland ovakashele u-Enda Kenny. Ukuphela kwendlela yokubuyisa ukuzethemba kwezimakethe bekungukuqalisa izinguquko kwezomnotho okuvunyelwene ngazo nokwakha inyunyana yezepolitiki yaseYurophu eseduze ngokushintsha isivumelwano se-EU, kusho uMerkel. Abenzi bezinqubomgomo ze-ECB bayaqhubeka nokulahla izingcingo zamazwe omhlaba zokungenelela ngokuqinile njengomuntu obolekisayo wokugcina waseYurophu, begcizelela ukuthi kuxhomeke kohulumeni ukuxazulula inkinga yezikweletu ngokusebenzisa izindlela zokuqina nezinguquko.
Kodwa-ke, abahlaziyi abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi isenzo esinje manje simele ukuphela kwendlela yokunqanda ukutheleleka, yize kunengozi yokuba namanani emali avela ekuphrinteni imali. UNdunankulu wase-Italy uMario Monti uzofuna ukwesekwa yiphalamende ngezinhlelo zakhe zokunciphisa isikweletu sesibili ngobukhulu esifundeni se-euro njengoba isivuno samabhondi sihlala ngaphezu komkhawulo wokutakula ongamaphesenti ayi-7. Isivuno esilinganisweni sokulinganisa se-Italy seminyaka eyishumi sikhuphuke ngamaphuzu ayisi-10 saba ngamaphesenti ayi-6, usuku lwesithathu lubambe ngaphezu kwezinga eliholele eGrisi, ePortugal nase-Ireland ukufuna usizo lwe-European Union. IMonti, izovivinya ukwesekwa kwePhalamende kuhulumeni wayo wezobuchwepheshe namuhla lapho izokwethula uhlelo lwayo eSenate eRome ngo-7.07 ntambama ngaphambi kokubhekana nevoti lokuzethemba kuhulumeni wayo omusha oqala ngo-1 ebusuku.
I-Italy izama ukunciphisa isikweletu esingu-1.9 trillion euros ($ 2.6 trillion), ngaphezu kweSpain, iGrisi, iPortugal ne-Ireland kuhlangene, futhi ukweqa kwemali yesibambiso sekuvele kukhuphula izindleko zokuboleka ezweni elidinga ukuthengisa cishe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-440 isikweletu ngonyaka ozayo. UMgcinimafa kwakudingeka anikeze isivuno samaphesenti angu-6.29, okuyisibalo esikhulu kunazo zonke kusukela ngo-1997, kumabhondi eminyaka emihlanu endalini ngoNovemba 14. URoberto d'Alimonte, uprofesa wezepolitiki eLuiss University eRome;
IMonti izozama ukwethula izinhlelo zikahulumeni wayo 'ngenqubo yokuhlanganisa,' ngasikhathi sinye imemezele izinyathelo ezizokwenza amaqembu womabili aphambili angajabuli. Kungahle kube nokuvuselelwa kwentela enkulu yempahla engafunwa iqembu likaBerlusconi kanye nomthetho omusha ohlelweni lwempesheni kanye nemakethe yezabasebenzi ephikiswa yiDemocratic Party noma abanye babameli bayo.
Ukuzethemba kwe-UK Kuyaphela Ukufinyelela Okusha Okurekhodiwe Phansi Ukuzethemba kwabathengi e-UK kushaye phansi kakhulu, kubhebhethekiswa ukuwa kwenkinga ye-eurozone kanye nengcindezi enkulu kwizabelomali zasendlini, kusho umbiko ovela kwaNationalwide. I-Consumer Confidence Index, esuselwa ocwaningweni olwenziwa nyangazonke, ithole ukuthi ukuzethemba kwehle ngenyanga yesihlanu kulandelana ngo-Okthoba laya edwaleni elisha lamaphuzu angama-36. Lokhu kungaphansi kwesilinganiso esisebenza isikhathi eside sama-78, ngenkathi okulindelwe ngabathengi nakho kufinyelele ekufundeni kwabo okuphansi kunazo zonke okungama-48, kwehle ngamaphuzu ayi-14 ngenyanga edlule. Bangu-3% kuphela abathengi abachaze isimo sezomnotho njengamanje “njengesihle” kanti kuphela ngo-13% abalindele ukuthi sithuthuke ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo.
URobert Gardner, isazi sezomnotho ezweni lonke, uthe:
Ukuzethemba kwabathengi kuqhubekile ukwehla ngo-Okthoba, kwehla ngamaphuzu ayisishiyagalolunye kwehla konke okukhona okungama-36. Inkomba manje isiwele izinyanga ezinhlanu zilandelana, ishiye ithola amaphuzu amahlanu ngaphansi kwephansi langaphambilini lama-41 elirekhodwe ngoFebhuwari kulo nyaka. . Inkomba yokuzethemba, eyaqala ngoMeyi 2004, manje ingaphezu kwamaphoyinti angama-40 ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sayo esesikhathi eside singama-78.
Inkomba yakamuva yakhishwa ngosuku olulandelayo lapho iBhange LaseNgilandi libikezele ingozi ebanzi yokwehla kwamandla emali okubili futhi yavula indlela yezinye izindlela zokuphuthumayo.
Market Sibutsetelo Izitoko zaseYurophu zawa, zathumela iStoxx Europe 600 Index ephansi ngosuku lwesithathu kwezine, ngaphambi kokuba iFrance neSpain bathengise amabhondi phakathi kwezindleko ezikhulayo zokuboleka. Ikusasa lezinkomba zase-US lenyuke ngenkathi amasheya ase-Asia engashintshiwe kangako. I-Stoxx 600 ishelele ngo-0.5% yaya ku-235.75 ngo-9: 25 ekuseni eLondon njengoba isivuno seminyaka eyishumi saseSpain sikhuphuka saba yirekhodi lenkathi ye-euro kwathi isivuno seminyaka emihlanu saseFrance sakhuphukela ezinyangeni eziyisithupha. Ikusasa ku-Standard & Poor's 10 Index ephela ngoDisemba inyuke ngo-500%. I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index ayishintshwanga kangako. IFrance neSpain bahlela ukuthengisa ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-0.4 (amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-12.2) namuhla ekuvivinyweni kwesidingo sabatshalizimali njengoba izindleko zokuboleka ezikhuphukayo zithinta ingqikithi yesifunda. Izindali zaseFrance ezibalelwa ezigidigidini ezingama-16.5 zama-euro ezikweletu ngemuva kokuthola isivuno kumabhondi esizwe iminyaka eyishumi zikhuphuke izolo zaba irekhodi lenkathi ye-euro elihlobene nezilinganiso ze-German. ISpain ikhipha cishe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezine ama-benchmark wokuvikeleka kokuma okusha ngoJanuwari 8.2.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 15 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK) Izimakethe zase-Asia zithole inhlanhla ehlanganisiwe esimisweni sokusa ekuseni. INikkei ivale u-0.19%, iHang Seng yavala u-0.76% kwathi i-CSI yona yavala u-0.3%. E-Australia i-ASX 200 ivale u-0.25%. Ama-bourses aseYurophu anenye futhi ekuseni engenazinqumo futhi engakhululeki, zonke izinkomba ezinkulu okwamanje zimbi. I-STOXX okwamanje yehle ngo-1.08%, i-UK FTSE okwamanje yehle ngo-1.30%, i-CAC yehle ngo-1.43% kwathi i-DAX yehla ngo-0.78%. IBrent Circe yehle ngo-1.23% ku-ICE kanti indawo yegolide yehle ngo-0.43%. ikusasa lokulingana le-SPX lenyuke ngo-0.14%.
Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho okungathinta imizwa yeseshini yantambama 13:30 US - Ezezindlu Iqala Ngo-Okthoba 13:30 US - Imvume Yokwakha ngo-Okthoba 13:30 US - Izimangalo Zokuqala Nokuqhubekayo Ezingenamsebenzi 15:00 US - Philly Fed Novemba Isibikezelo senhlolovo yaseBloomberg Izicelo Zokuqala Ezingenamsebenzi zika-395K, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esakhishwa okwakungu-390K. Ucwaningo olufanayo lubikezela ama-3633K ngezimangalo eziqhubekayo, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esingu-3615K.
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UDejà Vu, Umqondo Ongaqondakali wokuthi Sibe Silapha Phambilini
UNovemba 17 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-6281 • Amazwana Off ku-Déjà Vu, I-Uncanny Sense Esikade Silapha Phambilini
Ngezinye izikhathi kufanele uthathe isinyathelo emuva ezimweni ezinesiphithiphithi ukuze uhlole umonakalo. Lokhu kunikeza nethuba lokusungula ukuthi yiziphi izinyathelo ezithathiwe ukusuka kulezinxushunxushu ziye ekuphathweni kwezinhlekelele okusebenzayo. Kuvele isithombe esicace bha ukuthi lo monakalo uqukethwe kanjani, ulungiswa kanjani nokuthi yiziphi izinyathelo ezibekwayo zokwakha kabusha nokugwema isimo esifanayo esineziyaluyalu esizovela futhi.
I-Déjà vu (ngokwezwi nezwi "esivele ibonwe") isipiliyoni sokuzizwa unesiqiniseko sokuthi umuntu usevele usibonile noma wahlangabezana nesimo esikhona manje, noma ngabe izimo eziqondile zokuhlangana kwangaphambilini zingaqinisekile futhi mhlawumbe zacatshangwa. Leli gama laqanjwa ngumcwaningi wemilingo ongumFulentshi, u-Émile Boirac (1851-1917) encwadini yakhe ethi L'Avenir des sciences psychiques (“The Future of Psychic Sciences”), eyanwebeka phezu kwendatshana ayibhala ngenkathi enza iziqu. Okuhlangenwe nakho kwe-déjà vu kuvame ukuhambisana nomqondo ophoqelelayo wokujwayela, kanye nomqondo "wokumangala", "ukungajwayelekile", "ukuxaka", noma lokho uSigmund Freud akubiza ngokuthi "okungaqondakaliyo". Okuhlangenwe nakho “kwangaphambilini” kuvame ukubangelwa iphupho, noma kwezinye izimo kunomqondo oqinile wokuthi lokho okwenzekile kwenzeke esikhathini esedlule…
Ngivame 'ukukhiqiza' endaweni ethile esifundeni samagama angama-5,000 XNUMX ngosuku lweFXCC. Iningi lezindatshana zezindaba zenziwa ngokuba nomdlandla onempilo maqondana nezindaba zamanje zezomnotho, ikakhulukazi izindaba kanye noma nezinqumo eziyisisekelo ezingabumba umhlaba wethu wemali ye-forex. Ngizobhekabheka ngamehlo abomvu iBloomberg, iReuters, i-FT, izindaba ezihamba phambili zase-UK kanye nezitolo zezithonjana ze-iconoclastic ukubamba izingcezu nezingcezu zomhlaba wonke ukuletha lokho esikuthemba ukuthi kuzoba ukuqonda okuthakazelisayo, isifinyezo kanye nokugxila ezindabeni zamanje. Ngokwemvelo kunezikhathi lapho ngikhipha khona i-athikili bese 'kuzwakala' sengathi ngiyaziphinda, kwesinye isikhathi kufanele ngenze kabili ukuqinisekisa ukuthi angibhalanga into efanayo muva nje, njengezindaba izolo ezivelile ukuthi iFrance neJalimane bahlukaniswe ngokujulile esinyathelweni esilandelayo sokuya phambili.
Kwakungu-Okthoba kuphela lapho uMerkel noSarkozy babenezindiza ezingapheli phakathi kweJalimane neFrance ukuze benze njengabadlali abakhulu ukuthola isixazululo enkingeni enkulu yezikweletu zaseYurophu? Ngabe bebengeke yini basikhiphe kule nxushunxushu bangene esivumelwaneni esisha? Kodwa-ke lapha sesinenyanga futhi iReuters yethula isihloko nodaba oluphakamisa ukuthi akukho okufeziwe ngenyanga edlule ngaphandle kwalokho okubonakala kungenakwenzeka; isimo esibi senziwe saba sibi kakhulu ..
Sekuvele uhlobo olwehlukile lwesiphithiphithi ngenxa yokungaphathwa kahle kwesimo ngokuphelele yizo zonke izikhulu ezixhumene nalesi sifo. Kunohulumeni ababili bezobuchwepheshe abangakhethiwe abakhethwe enkabeni ye-maelstrom futhi ngaphandle kochungechunge olungapheli lwemihlangano akukho luhlelo jikelele noma umgwaqo ovunyiwe ingasaphathwa eyokwakhiwa futhi umfelandawonye weMerkozy uhlala ungahambisani ne-ECB esebenza njengombolekisi wokugcina resort, noma ukwehlisa inani kunikezwe ukuthi kushayisana nokukhishwa nomthethosisekelo.
Okuwukuphela kwempumelelo ngamalungu ayishumi nesikhombisa emali eyodwa abheka iso ekuthengweni kwamabhondi okungapheli nokungashicilelwanga kanye nemisebenzi engekho emthethweni i-ECB ebambe iqhaza kuyo njengamanje. Isimo sesinenxushunxushu njengangaphambili, kepha manje sinezingqinamba zobunzima obungadingekile . Kuyisimangaliso ukuthi izinkomba eziyinhloko ezixhunywe eYurophu azikabuyiseli emuva emazingeni ka-2008-2009, yi-zirp kuphela (inqubomgomo yenzalo yenani lenzalo) kanye namazinga we-gargantuan of liquidity entsha kusukela ngo-2008-2009 okuvimbele lokhu kungenakugwemeka. IFrance neJalimane bayiqinisile impi yabo yamazwi yokuthi ngabe i-European Central Bank kufanele ingenelele ngamandla yini ukunqanda inkinga yezikweletu yendawo yase-euro ngemuva kokuthengwa okuncane kwamabhondi kwehlulekile ukudambisa izimakethe.
Ibhekene nezindleko ezikhulayo zokuboleka njengoba isilinganiso sayo sesikweletu se-'AAA 'sisongelwa, iFrance inxuse ukuthi kuthathwe izinyathelo ezinqala ze-ECB. Isiphithiphithi semakethe yamaBond sisabalala kulo lonke elaseYurophu. Izithelo zeminyaka eyi-10 zase-Italy zikhuphuke ngaphezu kwamaphesenti ayi-7, ezingafinyeleleki esikhathini eside. Izithelo kumabhondi akhishwe yiFrance, iNetherlands ne-Austria nazo kanye neGermany ezakha umnyombo wendawo ye-euro nazo zikhuphukile. “Umsebenzi we-ECB ukuqinisekisa ukusimama kwe-euro, kodwa nokuzinza kwezezimali kwe-Europe. Siyethemba ukuthi i-ECB izothatha izinyathelo ezidingekayo ukuqinisekisa ukuzinza kwezezimali eYurophu, ” Okhulumela uhulumeni waseFrance uValerie Pecresse uthe ngemuva komhlangano weKhabhinethi eParis. UNgqongqoshe Wezezimali waseFrance uFrancois Baroin uwuphindile umbono kaParis wokuthi isikhwama sokutakula i-EFSF sendawo ye-euro kufanele sibe nemvume yokubhanga, okuyinto iBerlin ephikisana nayo. Ukuhamba okunjalo kuzovumela isikhwama ukuthi siboleke ku-ECB, siyinike amandla okulwa nomlilo wokulwa nenkinga yokusabalala. "Isimo seFrance ukuthi indlela yokuvimbela ukutheleleka ngeyokuthi i-EFSF ibe nelayisense yokubhanga," Kusho uBaroin eceleni komcimbi wokuklomelisa ngezindondo.
Kodwa uShansela waseJalimane u-Angela Merkel ukubeke kwacaca ukuthi iBerlin izomelana nengcindezi yokuthi ibhange elikhulu libambe iqhaza elikhulu ekuxazululeni inkinga yezikweletu, lathi imithetho ye-European Union iyasenqabela lesi senzo. "Ngendlela esibona ngayo izivumelwano, i-ECB ayinakho ukuxazulula lezi zinkinga," uthe ngemuva kwezingxoxo noNdunankulu wase-Ireland ovakashele u-Enda Kenny. Ukuphela kwendlela yokubuyisa ukuzethemba kwezimakethe bekungukuqalisa izinguquko kwezomnotho okuvunyelwene ngazo nokwakha inyunyana yezepolitiki yaseYurophu eseduze ngokushintsha isivumelwano se-EU, kusho uMerkel. Abenzi bezinqubomgomo ze-ECB bayaqhubeka nokulahla izingcingo zamazwe omhlaba zokungenelela ngokuqinile njengomuntu obolekisayo wokugcina waseYurophu, begcizelela ukuthi kuxhomeke kohulumeni ukuxazulula inkinga yezikweletu ngokusebenzisa izindlela zokuqina nezinguquko.
Kodwa-ke, abahlaziyi abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi isenzo esinje manje simele ukuphela kwendlela yokunqanda ukutheleleka, yize kunengozi yokuba namanani emali avela ekuphrinteni imali. UNdunankulu wase-Italy uMario Monti uzofuna ukwesekwa yiphalamende ngezinhlelo zakhe zokunciphisa isikweletu sesibili ngobukhulu esifundeni se-euro njengoba isivuno samabhondi sihlala ngaphezu komkhawulo wokutakula ongamaphesenti ayi-7. Isivuno esilinganisweni sokulinganisa se-Italy seminyaka eyishumi sikhuphuke ngamaphuzu ayisi-10 saba ngamaphesenti ayi-6, usuku lwesithathu lubambe ngaphezu kwezinga eliholele eGrisi, ePortugal nase-Ireland ukufuna usizo lwe-European Union. IMonti, izovivinya ukwesekwa kwePhalamende kuhulumeni wayo wezobuchwepheshe namuhla lapho izokwethula uhlelo lwayo eSenate eRome ngo-7.07 ntambama ngaphambi kokubhekana nevoti lokuzethemba kuhulumeni wayo omusha oqala ngo-1 ebusuku.
I-Italy izama ukunciphisa isikweletu esingu-1.9 trillion euros ($ 2.6 trillion), ngaphezu kweSpain, iGrisi, iPortugal ne-Ireland kuhlangene, futhi ukweqa kwemali yesibambiso sekuvele kukhuphula izindleko zokuboleka ezweni elidinga ukuthengisa cishe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-440 isikweletu ngonyaka ozayo. UMgcinimafa kwakudingeka anikeze isivuno samaphesenti angu-6.29, okuyisibalo esikhulu kunazo zonke kusukela ngo-1997, kumabhondi eminyaka emihlanu endalini ngoNovemba 14. URoberto d'Alimonte, uprofesa wezepolitiki eLuiss University eRome;
IMonti izozama ukwethula izinhlelo zikahulumeni wayo 'ngenqubo yokuhlanganisa,' ngasikhathi sinye imemezele izinyathelo ezizokwenza amaqembu womabili aphambili angajabuli. Kungahle kube nokuvuselelwa kwentela enkulu yempahla engafunwa iqembu likaBerlusconi kanye nomthetho omusha ohlelweni lwempesheni kanye nemakethe yezabasebenzi ephikiswa yiDemocratic Party noma abanye babameli bayo.
Ukuzethemba kwe-UK Kuyaphela Ukufinyelela Okusha Okurekhodiwe Phansi Ukuzethemba kwabathengi e-UK kushaye phansi kakhulu, kubhebhethekiswa ukuwa kwenkinga ye-eurozone kanye nengcindezi enkulu kwizabelomali zasendlini, kusho umbiko ovela kwaNationalwide. I-Consumer Confidence Index, esuselwa ocwaningweni olwenziwa nyangazonke, ithole ukuthi ukuzethemba kwehle ngenyanga yesihlanu kulandelana ngo-Okthoba laya edwaleni elisha lamaphuzu angama-36. Lokhu kungaphansi kwesilinganiso esisebenza isikhathi eside sama-78, ngenkathi okulindelwe ngabathengi nakho kufinyelele ekufundeni kwabo okuphansi kunazo zonke okungama-48, kwehle ngamaphuzu ayi-14 ngenyanga edlule. Bangu-3% kuphela abathengi abachaze isimo sezomnotho njengamanje “njengesihle” kanti kuphela ngo-13% abalindele ukuthi sithuthuke ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo.
URobert Gardner, isazi sezomnotho ezweni lonke, uthe:
Ukuzethemba kwabathengi kuqhubekile ukwehla ngo-Okthoba, kwehla ngamaphuzu ayisishiyagalolunye kwehla konke okukhona okungama-36. Inkomba manje isiwele izinyanga ezinhlanu zilandelana, ishiye ithola amaphuzu amahlanu ngaphansi kwephansi langaphambilini lama-41 elirekhodwe ngoFebhuwari kulo nyaka. . Inkomba yokuzethemba, eyaqala ngoMeyi 2004, manje ingaphezu kwamaphoyinti angama-40 ngaphansi kwesilinganiso sayo esesikhathi eside singama-78.
Market Sibutsetelo Izitoko zaseYurophu zawa, zathumela iStoxx Europe 600 Index ephansi ngosuku lwesithathu kwezine, ngaphambi kokuba iFrance neSpain bathengise amabhondi phakathi kwezindleko ezikhulayo zokuboleka. Ikusasa lezinkomba zase-US lenyuke ngenkathi amasheya ase-Asia engashintshiwe kangako. I-Stoxx 600 ishelele ngo-0.5% yaya ku-235.75 ngo-9: 25 ekuseni eLondon njengoba isivuno seminyaka eyishumi saseSpain sikhuphuka saba yirekhodi lenkathi ye-euro kwathi isivuno seminyaka emihlanu saseFrance sakhuphukela ezinyangeni eziyisithupha. Ikusasa ku-Standard & Poor's 10 Index ephela ngoDisemba inyuke ngo-500%. I-MSCI Asia Pacific Index ayishintshwanga kangako. IFrance neSpain bahlela ukuthengisa ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-0.4 (amaRandi ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-12.2) namuhla ekuvivinyweni kwesidingo sabatshalizimali njengoba izindleko zokuboleka ezikhuphukayo zithinta ingqikithi yesifunda. Izindali zaseFrance ezibalelwa ezigidigidini ezingama-16.5 zama-euro ezikweletu ngemuva kokuthola isivuno kumabhondi esizwe iminyaka eyishumi zikhuphuke izolo zaba irekhodi lenkathi ye-euro elihlobene nezilinganiso ze-German. ISpain ikhipha cishe ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezine ama-benchmark wokuvikeleka kokuma okusha ngoJanuwari 8.2.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 15 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK) Izimakethe zase-Asia zithole inhlanhla ehlanganisiwe esimisweni sokusa ekuseni. INikkei ivale u-0.19%, iHang Seng yavala u-0.76% kwathi i-CSI yona yavala u-0.3%. E-Australia i-ASX 200 ivale u-0.25%. Ama-bourses aseYurophu anenye futhi ekuseni engenazinqumo futhi engakhululeki, zonke izinkomba ezinkulu okwamanje zimbi. I-STOXX okwamanje yehle ngo-1.08%, i-UK FTSE okwamanje yehle ngo-1.30%, i-CAC yehle ngo-1.43% kwathi i-DAX yehla ngo-0.78%. IBrent Circe yehle ngo-1.23% ku-ICE kanti indawo yegolide yehle ngo-0.43%. ikusasa lokulingana le-SPX lenyuke ngo-0.14%.
Ukukhishwa kwedatha yezomnotho okungathinta imizwa yeseshini yantambama 13:30 US - Ezezindlu Iqala Ngo-Okthoba 13:30 US - Imvume Yokwakha ngo-Okthoba 13:30 US - Izimangalo Zokuqala Nokuqhubekayo Ezingenamsebenzi 15:00 US - Philly Fed Novemba Isibikezelo senhlolovo yaseBloomberg Izicelo Zokuqala Ezingenamsebenzi zika-395K, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esakhishwa okwakungu-390K. Ucwaningo olufanayo lubikezela ama-3633K ngezimangalo eziqhubekayo, uma kuqhathaniswa nesibalo esedlule esingu-3615K.
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