Meyi 28 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2193 • Amazwana Off ebhange elimaphakathi laseCanada kuthiwa libambe isilinganiso senzalo esibalulekile ku-1.75%, abahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi bazojikisa ukugxila kwabo ekulandiseni kwenqubomgomo yemali ye-BOC.
Ngo-15:00pm isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesithathu zingama-29 kuNhlaba, isinqumo sakamuva sezinga lenzalo somnotho waseCanada, sizovezwa yibhange elimaphakathi laseCanada i-BOC, iBhange LaseCanada. Ukuvumelana osekubanjwe kabanzi, ngemuva kokuthi izikhungo zezindaba ezifana neReuters kanye neBloomberg ziphonse iqembu labo losomnotho, kubambe izinga lamanje ku-1.75%. Isinqumo esizogcina izinga lisezingeni elingakaze lishintshe kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2018, lapho izinga likhushulwa okokuqala ngqa eminyakeni eyisikhombisa, lafika ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngemuva kokuwohloka okukhulu komnotho.
Ngaleso sikhathi kwakukhona ukugxekwa, ngaphakathi nakwamanye amazwe, okuvela kubahlaziyi kanye nezazi zezomnotho, ukuthi ibhange elikhulu laseCanada leqa isibhamu, njengoba abahlaziyi abaningi bethi lokhu kukhula kwakungadingekile futhi kwangaphambi kwesikhathi; babekholelwa ukuthi umnotho wawungaqini ngokwanele ukuba ubhekane nokukhuphuka okunjalo. Lokho kungabaza kuye kwathethelelwa, njengoba i-GDP yaseCanada yehle isuka ku-3.8% erekhodiwe ngo-2017, yaya ku-1.6% erekhodiwe engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2019. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kukhuphukile, njengoba ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi bekulokhu kungashintshile, kuyilapho amanani ezindlu kanye nesikweletu sabathengi sendlu. akhombisanga zimpawu zokunciphisa.
Ngakho-ke, izizathu ezibaluliwe zokukhuphula izinga elibalulekile emhlanganweni ka-Okthoba, zibonakala zingenasisekelo, njengoba ungekho umthelela omuhle orekhodiwe emnothweni waseCanada. Ngaleso sikhathi kwavela izinsolo zokuthi esinye sezizathu ezibalulekile zokukhushulwa kwezinga, okungaxoxwanga ngakho yiBOC, sibandakanya ukwesaba ukuthi uma izinga lingahambisani nenqubomgomo yase-USA FOMC, kusho ukuthi umnotho waseCanada ungase ushayeke, ngenxa yokuwa. inani lemali yasekhaya.
Njengokwejwayelekile, akusona isinqumo sangempela sezinga lenzalo esingadala uguquko enanini ledola laseCanada uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo, cishe noma yisiphi isithangami sabezindaba uMbusi uStephen Poloz asiphethe, lapho ayengabeka khona izizathu nezizathu. ngesinqumo sebhange elikhulu. Abahlaziyi nabahwebi be-FX bazocinga noma yiziphi izinkomba zokuqondisa phambili endabeni yakhe, ukuze banqume ukuthi kube khona yini ushintsho olubalulekile kunqubomgomo yezimali ye-BOC, engakwazi ukuchazwa ngokuthi i-hawkish noma i-dovish, ngokusekelwe kokwakamuva, okuqaphile, kodwa okungeyona. izitatimende zokuzibophezela.
Abadayisi be-FX, abancamela ukuhweba ngamapheya edola laseCanada njenge-USD/CAD, noma labo bahwebi abasebenza ngokuhweba ngemicimbi yekhalenda enethonya elikhulu nokukhishwayo, bangalulekwa ukuthi badalule umcimbi. Njengoba naphezu kokuvumelana okubanjwe kabanzi; ukuthi isinqumo sezinga sizogcina izinga lingashintshiwe, ukuphakama ku-1.75% akuzange kubikezelwe futhi izitatimende ezivela kuStephen Poloz zingabangela ukubaluleka kwe-CAD ukuguqula, njengoba isitatimende sisakazwa. Ngo-10:30am isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesibili zingama-28 kuNhlaba, i-USD/CAD ihwebe ngo-0.13%. Umbhangqwana omkhulu ukhuphuka ngo-0.40% masonto onke kanye no-0.002% nyanga zonke. Ushintsho lwaminyaka yonke, naphezu kokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo ngo-Okthoba 2017, lingu-3.40%.
« I-Yen ibhalisa izinzuzo kumaseshini okuqala, inkomba yedola iyakhuphuka, kuyilapho i-euro iyehla njengoba imiphumela yokhetho lwase-Europe ingena ekukhetheni izikhundla eziphambili, njengoba uSalvini wase-Italy ezibophezela ekunciphiseni intela. Izinkomba zezimakethe zezabelo zaseMelika ziyathengiswa njengoba uTrump ekhombisa ukuthi ukuhwebelana neChina kusekude, ama-USD ayakhuphuka, kanti abatshalizimali nabo baba yindawo yamabhondi e-US. »
Ibhange eliphakathi laseCanada likhonjwe ukuthi lizobamba inani lenzalo esemqoka ngo-1.75%, abahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi bazosheshe bagxile ekulandiseni kwenqubomgomo yezimali ye-BOC.
Meyi 28 • Ukuthengiswa Kwama-Forex Izihloko, Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-2193 • Amazwana Off ebhange elimaphakathi laseCanada kuthiwa libambe isilinganiso senzalo esibalulekile ku-1.75%, abahlaziyi be-FX nabahwebi bazojikisa ukugxila kwabo ekulandiseni kwenqubomgomo yemali ye-BOC.
Ngo-15:00pm isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesithathu zingama-29 kuNhlaba, isinqumo sakamuva sezinga lenzalo somnotho waseCanada, sizovezwa yibhange elimaphakathi laseCanada i-BOC, iBhange LaseCanada. Ukuvumelana osekubanjwe kabanzi, ngemuva kokuthi izikhungo zezindaba ezifana neReuters kanye neBloomberg ziphonse iqembu labo losomnotho, kubambe izinga lamanje ku-1.75%. Isinqumo esizogcina izinga lisezingeni elingakaze lishintshe kusukela ngo-Okthoba 2018, lapho izinga likhushulwa okokuqala ngqa eminyakeni eyisikhombisa, lafika ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngemuva kokuwohloka okukhulu komnotho.
Ngaleso sikhathi kwakukhona ukugxekwa, ngaphakathi nakwamanye amazwe, okuvela kubahlaziyi kanye nezazi zezomnotho, ukuthi ibhange elikhulu laseCanada leqa isibhamu, njengoba abahlaziyi abaningi bethi lokhu kukhula kwakungadingekile futhi kwangaphambi kwesikhathi; babekholelwa ukuthi umnotho wawungaqini ngokwanele ukuba ubhekane nokukhuphuka okunjalo. Lokho kungabaza kuye kwathethelelwa, njengoba i-GDP yaseCanada yehle isuka ku-3.8% erekhodiwe ngo-2017, yaya ku-1.6% erekhodiwe engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2019. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kukhuphukile, njengoba ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi bekulokhu kungashintshile, kuyilapho amanani ezindlu kanye nesikweletu sabathengi sendlu. akhombisanga zimpawu zokunciphisa.
Ngakho-ke, izizathu ezibaluliwe zokukhuphula izinga elibalulekile emhlanganweni ka-Okthoba, zibonakala zingenasisekelo, njengoba ungekho umthelela omuhle orekhodiwe emnothweni waseCanada. Ngaleso sikhathi kwavela izinsolo zokuthi esinye sezizathu ezibalulekile zokukhushulwa kwezinga, okungaxoxwanga ngakho yiBOC, sibandakanya ukwesaba ukuthi uma izinga lingahambisani nenqubomgomo yase-USA FOMC, kusho ukuthi umnotho waseCanada ungase ushayeke, ngenxa yokuwa. inani lemali yasekhaya.
Njengokwejwayelekile, akusona isinqumo sangempela sezinga lenzalo esingadala uguquko enanini ledola laseCanada uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo, cishe noma yisiphi isithangami sabezindaba uMbusi uStephen Poloz asiphethe, lapho ayengabeka khona izizathu nezizathu. ngesinqumo sebhange elikhulu. Abahlaziyi nabahwebi be-FX bazocinga noma yiziphi izinkomba zokuqondisa phambili endabeni yakhe, ukuze banqume ukuthi kube khona yini ushintsho olubalulekile kunqubomgomo yezimali ye-BOC, engakwazi ukuchazwa ngokuthi i-hawkish noma i-dovish, ngokusekelwe kokwakamuva, okuqaphile, kodwa okungeyona. izitatimende zokuzibophezela.
Abadayisi be-FX, abancamela ukuhweba ngamapheya edola laseCanada njenge-USD/CAD, noma labo bahwebi abasebenza ngokuhweba ngemicimbi yekhalenda enethonya elikhulu nokukhishwayo, bangalulekwa ukuthi badalule umcimbi. Njengoba naphezu kokuvumelana okubanjwe kabanzi; ukuthi isinqumo sezinga sizogcina izinga lingashintshiwe, ukuphakama ku-1.75% akuzange kubikezelwe futhi izitatimende ezivela kuStephen Poloz zingabangela ukubaluleka kwe-CAD ukuguqula, njengoba isitatimende sisakazwa. Ngo-10:30am isikhathi sase-UK ngoLwesibili zingama-28 kuNhlaba, i-USD/CAD ihwebe ngo-0.13%. Umbhangqwana omkhulu ukhuphuka ngo-0.40% masonto onke kanye no-0.002% nyanga zonke. Ushintsho lwaminyaka yonke, naphezu kokukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo ngo-Okthoba 2017, lingu-3.40%.
« I-Yen ibhalisa izinzuzo kumaseshini okuqala, inkomba yedola iyakhuphuka, kuyilapho i-euro iyehla njengoba imiphumela yokhetho lwase-Europe ingena ekukhetheni izikhundla eziphambili, njengoba uSalvini wase-Italy ezibophezela ekunciphiseni intela. Izinkomba zezimakethe zezabelo zaseMelika ziyathengiswa njengoba uTrump ekhombisa ukuthi ukuhwebelana neChina kusekude, ama-USD ayakhuphuka, kanti abatshalizimali nabo baba yindawo yamabhondi e-US. »