Ngabe uPhilip Hammond, ushansela wase-UK angaletha isabelomali sokudambisa izinzwa zeBrexit?
NgoLwesithathu Novemba 22nd ngo-12:30pm GMT, uShansela wase-UK uzokwethula Isabelomali sakhe ePhalamende. Kuyavunywa ukuthi uPhilip Hammond ulahlekelwe isabelomali sakhe sokuqala ngoNovemba odlule, ememezela ukwenyuka kwentela okumangazayo kwabazisebenzayo. Wabe esethola ukugxekwa ngokushesha kubalandeli abalandela imithetho emisiwe kanye namanye amalungu ePhalamende, ababecasukile futhi bedidekile ngokuthi wayezojezisa ingxenye yesizinda sabo esiyinhloko sabavoti; osomabhizinisi abancane, ngezikhathi zobunzima obuqhubekayo. Ngokusobala lokhu kukhula akuzange kuxoxwe nabanye ongqongqoshe bekhabhinethi futhi ekwenyukeni okuphoxayo, umgomo owawuhlosiwe washesha walahlwa ezinsukwini ezimbalwa kamuva.
Ngokuvamile ethathwa njengoklebe ngokwezimali, u-Hammond ubonakala enqena ukuletha noma yiziphi izithembiso maqondana nokusebenzisa imali kwanoma iyiphi into, ngaphandle kwezindlu. Naphezu kwezithembiso zangaphambili zokwandisa ukwakhiwa kwezindlu zomphakathi, abalondolozi bemvelo babheke ukwakhiwa kwekhaya lomkhandlu eliphansi kakhulu ngonyaka ngo-2016 lika-5,500 futhi cishe. Amakhaya angu-13,000 athengiswe ngaphansi kwelungelo lokuthenga uhlelo, lokhu kushiye kushoda kakhulu izindlu ngeYoY.
Njengesihloko esivusa imizwa kanye nomwini wevoti singalindela izindaba zokwanda kokwakhiwa kwezindlu ezizimele, cishe ngo-300,000 ngonyaka, ngokusekelwa okungaqondile okulandelayo kwabakhi bezindlu ngokwesandiso sosizo lukahulumeni lokuthenga isikimu. Lolu hlelo luvumela abathengi bokuqala ukuthi bathenge amakhaya amasha anengxenye ebolekiwe kuhulumeni, okuholele ekwenyukeni okungama-25% kwezindleko zezindlu ezintsha kusukela lasungulwa kusukela ngo-Ephreli 2013. Izindaba ezimnandi kubavoti abathenge ekuqaleni, kodwa umshikashika. ukuze imindeni emincane ikhiphe izikweletu ezikhulayo ukuze ithenge.
Ngokukhula kwakamuva kwekota yase-UK ngo-0.4% kanye nezinga lokukhula lonyaka lika-1.5%, okubikezelwe ukuthi lizokwehla liye ku-1.4% noma ngaphansi ngo-2017, amabika omnotho oya ku-Brexit awathembisi. Kodwa ngesibikezelo sokushoda kwesabelomali okuzoncipha ngo-£7b ngo-2017, ngokobuchwepheshe u-Hammond unendawo yokuphefumula ukuze enze okuthile okunikezwayo kusabelomali. Kodwa-ke, ukushoda kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzokhuphuka ngo-2020 ngo-£10b futhi izibalo zakamuva ze-MoM, ezikhishwe ngoLwesibili zingama-21, zigeje isibikezelo cishe cishe. £500b.
U-Hammond kulindeleke ukuthi atholele abasebenzi bomkhakha womphakathi imali ngokuphumuza ukumiswa kweholo, kodwa noma yikuphi ukwenyuka kusazokwehla ngaphansi kwezinga lokukhuphuka kwamandla emali elingu-3%, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi ehlise isikhathi sokulinda samasonto ayisithupha abamukeli bezenhlalakahle emhlabeni wonke abasitholayo njengamanje. Yize ibhekene nokushoda kwe-£4b, i-NHS mancane amathuba okuthi ithole imali eyengeziwe, kanjalo nezikole, njengoba i-Tories ikholelwa ukuthi izikole zenza kahle ngaphansi kwezinkinga ezikhona manje. Abafundi bangase babone umkhawulo lapho bekhokha khona imali mboleko yabo yabafundi ekhuphukele ku-£25,000.
Njengenjwayelo, intela yotshwala nogwayi cishe izokhuphuka, kodwa ukukhuphuka kwentela okuhlosiwe kuphethiloli cishe kuzohlala kuqandisiwe, njengoba kwenzekile kusukela ngo-2010, lokhu kuzobiza u-£750m ngonyaka. U-Hammond angaqeda ngezindaba ezinhle zokukhuphula imali yentela yomuntu siqu ibe ngu-£12,500, okusho ukuthi izisebenzi ezimpofu kakhulu zikhokha kancane, kodwa zizoba nelungelo lokuthola izinzuzo ezimbalwa zomsebenzi.
Ngokomlando inani lephawundi ngezikhathi ezithile liye lehla kakhulu, uma liqhathaniswa nontanga yalo eyinhloko, lapho izitatimende zebhajethi zilethwa. Ngokuvamile amabhajethi ase-UK athathwa njenge-bullish ephawundini futhi lesi sabelomali singase senze iphethini efanayo, mayelana nokusetha ithoni yethemba. Kodwa kufanele kuqashelwe ukuthi ukukhishwa kwe-Hammond kuyinqubomgomo yezimali, inqubomgomo yezimali kanjiniyela we-BoE ozimele, u-Hammond akakwazi ukulawula i-QE, noma amanani enzalo. Ngakho-ke noma yikuphi ukukhuphuka okukhulu kwenani lephawundi, ngenxa yesimemezelo esimangalisayo, akunakwenzeka. Kodwa-ke, abadayisi abahamba phambili kufanele bahlale beqaphile ngesikhathi sokusakazwa kwesabelomali futhi balungise izindawo zabo kanye nobungozi ngokufanele.
IZINKOMBI ZOMNOTHO EZINHLOKO E-UK
Ukukhula kwe-GDP ngonyaka ngo-1.5%.
I-GDP ngekota ukukhula ngo-0.4%.
Ukwehla kwamandla emali kwe-CPI ngo-3%.
Ukukhula komholo u-2.2%.
Ukuntuleka kwemisebenzi 4.3%.
Izinga lenzalo ngu-0.5%.
Isikweletu sikahulumeni v GDP 89.3%.
Izinsizakalo ze-PMI 55.6.
Ukukhula kokuthengiswa kwezitolo ngoYoY -0.3%.
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