Qaphela Umthetho KaGodwin Wommeleli Lapho Uxoxa Ngezinkomba Ekuhwebeni Kwangaphambili
Umthetho kaGodwin umbono ohlekisayo owenziwa uMike Godwin osephenduke isisho se-inthanethi. Ithi: “Njengoba ingxoxo eku-inthanethi ikhula isikhathi eside, kusondela amathuba okuqhathanisa amaNazi noma uHitler”. U-Godwin waphawula ukuthi, uma unikezwa isikhathi esanele, kunoma iyiphi ingxoxo eku-inthanethi, kungakhathaliseki isihloko noma ububanzi, othile ugxeka iphuzu elithile elivezwe engxoxweni ngokuliqhathanisa nezinkolelo zikaHitler namaNazi.
Kuningi okuhambisana nomthetho kaGodwin. Isibonelo, kukhona isiko emaqenjini amaningi ezindaba nakwezinye izinkundla zezingxoxo ze-inthanethi ukuthi uma ukuqhathanisa okunjalo sekwenziwe, intambo isiqediwe futhi noma ngubani okhulume ngamaNazi ulahlekelwe ngokuzenzakalela noma iyiphi inkulumo-mpikiswano ebiqhubeka. Lesi simiso ngokwaso ngokuvamile sibizwa ngokuthi sibiza umthetho ka-Godwin.
Umthetho ka-Godwin ngommeli ubhekisela lapho iqembu lisebenzisa ukuqhathanisa nomuntu othukwe emhlabeni wonke kunoHitler ngokwakhe. Kuyiqhinga lempikiswano elivamile phakathi kwalabo abajwayelene nomthetho ka-Godwin abafuna ukuvusa ukuqhathanisa nobubi obuvamile ngaphandle kokugcwalisa uhlamvu lomthetho ka-Godwin. Ukuqhathanisa okunjalo kufaka, kodwa akugcini nje, u-Oliver Cromwell, uJoseph Stalin, uMao Tse Tung, uPol Pot.
Sekuyisikhathi eside nginombono wokuthi kukhona uhlobo lomthetho ka-Godwin ngommeli ezithangamini zokuhweba, kwesinye isikhathi, ezingenabo ubufakazi obuphikisana nalokho, abamelene nezinkomba bazozihlambalaza futhi baveze izinga labo lokungazi ngokubhuqa. ngaphandle kwesitatimende esithi 'izinkomba azisebenzi.
Kunezigaba eziningi ekuthuthukeni komhwebi osafufusa, ngokungangabazeki isikhathi 'somehlo abanzi' lapho beqala ukuthola izinkomba, izilinganiso ezimsulwa ngokwezibalo zokuziphatha kwamanani ezingase zivule impumelelo yokuhweba nengcebo. Ngokuqondene nokuthi izinkomba 'zisebenza' yini impikiswano yolunye usuku, ungakwazi ukulinganisa imicabango yami mayelana nenani lezinkomba ku-athikili yangaphambilini ebhalwe i-FXCC enesihloko; "izinkomba azisebenzi, ngaphandle uma zenza, okuyinto ngaso sonke isikhathi". Noma ungabhalisa esithangamini sokuhweba futhi uma udinga ukunakwa qalisa intambo enesihloko esithi; "Ngisanda kuqalisa ukusebenzisa i-MACD, wow, ibicashe kuphi impilo yami yonke yokuhweba?" Sazise ukuthi lokho kusebenza kanjani kuwe nokuthi ucela ngokushesha kangakanani inguqulo yemboni yokuhweba yomthetho ka-Godwin.
Ukutholwa kwami kokuqala kwezinkomba kwakuwukubuka ukuthi intengo yenzani lapho 'ifika' ama-avareji athile anyakazayo, noma lokho engangikubheka njengokuthi 'amaphuzu okushintshashintsha' ngaleso sikhathi. Kamuva ngathola ukuthi lawa maphuzu okuguquguquka amabi empeleni kwakungamazinga ahambisana nokuphikiswa nokusekelwa kanye nokubuyiswa okubalulekile kwe-Fibonacci. Angikaze ngizizwe nginamahloni ukuvuma ukuthi ngithole ukutholwa kokuqala kwezinkomba kuthakazelisa futhi kuze kube namuhla 'ukuhweba ngamaleveli' kusayisisekelo sokuhweba kwami ku-FX okuyimpumelelo. Ukumelana nokwesekwa (amazinga amathathu), i-pivot yansuku zonke, i-Fibonacci kanye ne-200 ma yakha isisekelo 'sonqenqema' lwami lokushwibeka noma ukuhweba kwangaphakathi kosuku indawo eyinhloko amapheya emali ye-forex. Naphezu kwalokhu okungangabazeki ukuthi kwakungabaMenzi Bemakethe futhi abahambisi bazothatha izinqumo, isibonelo i-200 ma, angikaze ngilahlekelwe ukuthakaseleka kwezinkomba zokuhweba.
Ngenxa yokuthakaselwa yizibalo ezihilelekile ngizame izinkomba eziningi engingazicabanga, ngobunye noma ngizihlanganise, esikhathini esiyiminyaka emithathu kuya kwemine ngangokunokwenzeka. Lokhu kwangiholela esiphethweni esihlanganiswe esihlokweni esishiwo ngaphambili; ukuthi zonke izinkomba 'ziyasebenza', ngaso sonke isikhathi. Lokho akusho ukuthi uzojabulela izinga lempumelelo elingu-100% kunoma iyiphi indlela esekelwe kunkomba, kufanele wazi ukuthi ulwazi olukhiqizwa kanjani futhi luni futhi usebenzise izinkomba njengendlela yokuqinisa ukuphathwa kwakho kwemali okunengqondo kanye nengqondo eqinile. Inkolelo yami ihlezi igxilile leyo ndlela (usebenzisa izinkomba noma cha) isesendaweni yesithathu ngemuva kwe-MM yakho enomsindo nengqondo yakho yokuhweba enempilo ye-3Ms.
Iphutha elilodwa elivamile enganginecala lalo phakathi nophenyo lwami kwaba ukuphindaphinda, ngokuvamile ngangiphindaphinda ama-oscillator ahambayo, izinkomba ze-oscillator ezishukumisayo kanye nezinkomba zethrendi njengengxenye yesu elifanayo. Lokhu kuphinde kuholele ekutholakaleni mayelana nokuthi yini “eyasilela” nokuthi yini inkomba “ehamba phambili,” isihloko esizokhuluma ngaso ngokuhamba kwesikhathi. Elinye lamaphutha ajwayelekile, futhi ngisebenzisa igama elithi “iphutha” ngokugodla ngokunikezwa noma yikuphi ukuhlola ngezinkomba kwembula ilukuluku lobuhlakani lokuhweba elinempilo, ukusebenzisa izinkomba ezimbili ze-oscillator ezishukumisayo uma umuntu uzokwanela. Isibonelo ngivame ukungasebenzisi i-stochastic, ngincamela ukusebenzisa i-RSI (inkomba yamandla ahlobene). Kodwa-ke, kufanele kugcizelelwe ukuthi lokhu ukukhetha komuntu siqu ngokuphambene nanoma yikuphi 'ukuntula ukholo' ekuhlanzekeni kwezibalo ze-stochastic futhi iphuzu eliphelele ukugcizelela awudingi ngempela ukusebenzisa inkomba ye-oscillator yomfutho engaphezu kweyodwa. Lokhu kukhetha kudlulela kuzikhombisi zethrendi, isibonelo, i-parabolic stop and reverse (psar), inkomba yokuqondisa kanye namashaneli e-Donchian angakhiqiza amasignali afanayo. Ngokufanayo ama-oscillator ahambayo angavamise ukuphindaphindwa, i-MACD, ne-CCI (inkomba yesiteshi sempahla). Okokugcina, ukuphindaphinda kungenzeka futhi uma usebenzisa ububanzi beqiniso obumaphakathi noma amabhendi e-Bollinger ukukala ukuguquguquka.
Njengokungathi ngengozi ngokuphambene nokuklama abadayisi bezobuchwepheshe bavame ukuhlunga ekugcineni ukukhetha kwabo kwezinkomba ukuthatha eyodwa eqenjini ngalinye eliyinhloko, ukwenza indlela yabo noma isu. Ngokujwayelekile amaqembu amane abangakhetha kuwo kungaba; Ama-Oscillator Anyakazayo, Izinkomba Ezithrendayo, Ama-Momentum Oscillator kanye Nezinkomba Zokuguquguquka.
Uma ubheka inhlanganisela yezinkomba ezine umhwebi angase athuthukise indlela esekelwe ekusebenziseni; i-MACD, i-Directional Index, i-RSI kanye nesilinganiso sebanga langempela. Nakuba ngokungangabazeki ukuphindaphinda nge-DI ungasebenzisa futhi i-PSR njengemethrikhi ukuze uhambise isitobhi sakho esilandelanayo. Isu elinjalo elisekelwe kuzinkomba ezine kuya kwezinhlanu alivamile, futhi akufanele lithathwe njengelimatasatasa kakhulu noma ngaphezulu, ikakhulukazi uma lisetshenziswa kuqhinga lokushwiba noma lokuma ngenkathi kubhekwa kakhulu amazinga abalulekile: ukusekela, ukumelana kanye ne-200 ma. .
Phakathi nophenyo lwami kanye ne-odyssey yezinkomba kanye nokusetshenziswa kwazo ngihlangabezane nesiphakamiso sokusebenzisa indlela yamathuluzi okuhweba amane, okusikisela ukuthi kunezinkomba ezine ezibalulekile abadayisi okufanele bazi. Achazwe ngokuhlukile kancane (ngokulula kakhulu) endleleni esivame ukubhekisela ngayo kuwo.
Inkomba No.1: Ithuluzi Elilandela Okuthrendayo
Inkomba No.2: Ithuluzi Lokuqinisekisa Okuthrendayo
Inkomba No.3: Ithuluzi Elithengwa Kakhulu/I-Oversold
Inkomba No.4: Ithuluzi Lokuthatha Inzuzo
Nasi isibonelo sokuhweba esiqondile sokuthi lokhu kungasebenza kanjani ekuhwebeni okude futhi ngizokhetha ngamabomu izinkomba ezilula zesu lonke futhi isiphakamiso siwukusebenzisa isu ukukhipha ukuhweba eshadini lamahora amane. Zibonele ukuthi lokhu kuwukunwaya kuphela njengesiphakamiso njengoba abahwebi bangase babe nemibono ehluke kakhulu mayelana nezilungiselelo zezinkomba, izikhathi ezimisiwe, izitobhi kanye nemikhawulo ye-oda lenzuzo. Izilungiselelo eziphakanyisiwe zijwayelekile, indawo yokumisa i-LL (ephansi kakhulu) yalokho esikunquma njengendawo yokujika.
No.1: izinsuku ezingamashumi amahlanu/ eziyikhulu ezihambayo ezimaphakathi
No.2: I-MACD ishiywe kuzilungiselelo zayo ezijwayelekile
Inombolo yesi-3: I-RSI
Inombolo yesi-4: Amabhendi e-Bollinger
Nakuba ingekho inombolo yesihlanu ungakwazi futhi ukwengeza isitobhi esilandelanayo ngendlela yokufaka endaweni yakho yokuhweba noma ulungise mathupha futhi ulandele intengo njengoba kusikiselwe ngokusebenzisa i-psar. Ngakho-ke kungaba yini indawo yethu yokungena, isibonelo, ukuhamba isikhathi eside naleli su futhi kungaba yini isu lokuphuma eliphakanyisiwe?
Ukungena sifuna i-ema engu-50 ukuwela i-200 ma, i-MACD yokuwela umugqa onguziro, i-RSI ukuwela umugqa wamashumi amahlanu (isiphumile endaweni edayiswe ngokweqile engu-30). Umhwebi kufanele acabange ukuthatha enye inzuzo uma intengo ifinyelela ibhande eliphezulu lamabhendi e-Bollinger noma iphume kulelo phuzu noma uma umgomo wokuthatha inzuzo ushayiwe.
Kumelwe futhi kuqashelwe ukuthi ama-strats asekelwe kunkomba anekhwalithi engokwemvelo evame ukuphuthelwa yisixuku senkundla yomthetho ka-Godwin, ukuhweba kusetshenziswa izinkomba kufakwa (nge-proxy) ukuphatha imali okuqinile kanye nesiyalo njengengxenye yohlelo lokuhweba oluchaziwe noma yimuphi umhwebi oqeqeshiwe okufanele ngabe udalile. futhi unamathele ku. Ukusebenzisa imithetho emine yamathuluzi okuhweba kanye nokungena kuphela lapho zonke izimo zihlangatshezwana nazo, kungathuthukisa kakhulu amathuba okuphumelela omthengisi.
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