Phakathi kwe-The Lines, i-Morning Roll Call
Ukuthepha noma ukungathengi, lowo ngumbuzo?
Kuyathakazelisa ukubuka indlela abahlaziyi bemakethe nomhlaba obanzi wokuhweba ongene ngayo emdlalweni wakamuva usuku nosuku ngeziteshi zemidiya ezivamile. Sasinesimo sezimali emuva ngasekupheleni kuka-2012, uyakhumbula lokho? Ngabe umnotho wase-USA wawuzokwehla kanjani emhlabeni uma uHulumeni wase-USA engazange awulungise umnotho? Amazwi ambalwa apholile kanye nemihlangano embalwa kamuva futhi udaba lwelapheka. Empeleni leso sixazululo kwakuyiphuzu elimangalisayo lokuncoma kanye ne-pivot, izimakethe zokulingana zaqala ukuqothuka kwazo kusukela ngaleso sikhathi. Manje i-meme yakamuva ikhathaza "i-tapering the stimulus".
Vula iziteshi zebhizinisi le-tv futhi isihloko asinakugwenywa; ngeke, ngeke, uma enza lokho kuyoba umphumela ezimakethe ezinkulu kanye nezimakethe zemali? Hhayi-ke mhlawumbe ezinsukwini ezimbili ezizayo, njengoba u-Ben Bernanke ebambe inkantolo njengosihlalo we-Fed, sizothola okungaphezu komoya oshisayo nama-platitudes kanye nempendulo eqinisekile emibuzweni. Kodwa ungabambeki njengoba singene kwenye indawo ye-twilight ngezilokotho zokwenziwa kwenqubomgomo yaseMelika. Ukuqagela kwethu okuhle, okuhle njengokwanoma ubani omunye, ukuthi u-Ben uzonciphisa izinhloso zakhe ngaleyo ndlela ehlise ukushesha. Okufanele akugweme, futhi masingakhohlwa ukuthi lo ngusihlalo weFed ozifelayo ngokugcina amanani e-equity kanye ne-indices enkulu yase-USA iphezulu, kuwukuphahlazeka. Udinga ukuncishiswa kwebhaluni lomoya oshisayo okulawulwayo isikhathi eside.
Umhlangano we-G8
Ezindabeni ezakhayo nezeqiniso nezepolitiki kuhlangene nokuhamba kwezomnotho, i-G8 ihlangane ngoMsombuluko. Elinye lamaphoyinti abalulekile engxoxo yisivumelwano sokuhweba phakathi kwe-Eurozone ne-USA. Engafuni ukubonwa ephuma kulelo tende undunankulu wase-UK wamemezela izingxoxo ukuthi zilungele i-EU, yona le nhlangano iningi lontanga yakhe abayiTory abafuna ukuphuma kuyo. Lokhu kuzodinga iskripthi esehlukile ukufaka i-UK ohlakeni lwezomthetho lwesivumelwano sokuhweba, i-USA kuzofanele ibhale isivumelwano ngqo i-UK. Amagama amathathu; ngeke kwenzeke. I-UK izolahlekelwa yizigidigidi zamathuba okuhweba uma ingashiya, kungaba incwadi emfushane yokuzibulala kwezomnotho emlandweni wezepolitiki.
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Ingabe i-euro iba yin yen entsha?
I-EUR/USD ihlotshaniswa nezinyathelo zokwenqaba ubungozi emasontweni asanda kwedlula, ngokusho kweCitibank. Ukuhlobana okuhle phakathi kwe-USD kanye nengcuphe engcupheni yokungathandi ukudla akuyona into entsha, umbuzo uwukuthi ingabe isenzo sakamuva senani siphakamisa ukuthi i-euro isiba uhlobo lwemali 'lwendawo ephephile' njengoba bekunjalo esikhathini esidlule. Lapho izimakethe zezabelo eziyinhloko, njenge-DJIA zikhuphuka, idola lathengiswa. Lapho izimakethe zehla i-USD yaba yindawo ephephile. U-Citi uphawula ukuthi ukuhlobana okuhle phakathi, ngokwesibonelo, i-EUR/AUD, i-EUR/CAD ne-EUR/NZD kanye nokubukela phansi ubungozi, kuye kwaqina kamuva.
Isifinyezo se Forex
Idola liqinisile uma liqhathaniswa nozakwabo abaningi abathengiswa kakhulu abangu-16 ngenxa yokuqagela maqondana neFed eqala ukuthola umfutho wayo wezimali. Imali yaseMelika ifake isikhashana inzuzo yayo yokuqala, yawa ne-euro ngenxa yemibiko engqubuzanayo ngaphambi kokuba ibhange elikhulu liqale umhlangano walo wezinsuku ezimbili wenqubomgomo ngoLwesibili. I-yen yawa ngokuqhathaniswa ne-greenback okokuqala ezinsukwini ezinhlanu ngenkathi izimali ezitholakele.
I-euro ngesinye isikhathi yakhuphukela cishe ezinyangeni ezine uma iqhathaniswa nedola njengoba imininingwane eyashicilelwa esimisweni saseLondon ikhombisa ukuthi insalela yebhizinisi lamazwe ayi-17 yayiseduze nezinga lokurekhoda ngo-Ephreli. Insalela yokuhweba endaweni ye-euro inciphe yaya ku-16.1 billion euros isuka ku-18.1 billion ehlaziyiwe kaMashi, kusho ihhovisi lezibalo le-European Union eLuxembourg. Lokhu kufundwa kukaMashi empeleni bekuyikho kakhulu selokhu kwethulwa imali ejwayelekile ngo-1999.
Idola lenyuke ngo-0.2% laya ku-94.51 uma liqhathaniswa ne-yen ngo-5 ntambama ngesikhathi saseNew York, ngemuva kokuwa ngamaphesenti angu-3.3 ngesonto eledlule; kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi 2009. Imali yaseJapane yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.6 yaya ku-126.32 nge-euro ngayinye ngemuva kokubonga amaphesenti angu-2.7 ngesonto eledlule, iningi kakhulu kusukela ezinsukwini ezinhlanu liphele ngoJulayi 6. I-euro yengeze amaphesenti angu-0.2 ku- $ 1.3367, cishe aphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoFebhuwari 13.
I-loonie, (idola laseCanada) lehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku-C $ 1.0186 ngedola laseMelika ngo-5 ntambama eToronto ngemuva kokuthinta i-C $ 1.0150. Imali ifinyelele ku-C $ 1.0137 ngoJuni 14, okuqine kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 14. I-loonie eyodwa ithenga amasenti angu-98.17 ase-US.
Ikusasa kuwoyela ongahluziwe, okuthekelisa kakhulu eCanada, kuthengiswa ngo- $ 97.90 emgqonyeni eNew York ngemuva kokuthola amaphesenti angama-0.9 nokuwa ngamaphesenti angama-0.5. I-S & P 500 Index (SPX) yamasheya inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.8 ngemuva kokuthola okungamaphesenti ayi-1.2.
Amarekhodi amafushane abekiwe aqhathaniswa ne-Aussie ngokusho kombiko we-COT.
Abadayisi besikhathi esizayo banwebe ngokubheja ukuthi i-Aussie izoqhubeka nokuwa uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, izibalo ezivela kwiCommodity Futures Trading Commission kusukela ngesonto eledlule zikhombisile. Umehluko enanini lama-wager ngama-hedge fund nakwabanye abaqageli abakhulu ekwehleni kwe-Aussie uma kuqhathaniswa nalabo abathola inzuzo (ama-net shorts) kwakungu-63,277 ngoJuni 11, okuyidatha eningi kakhulu eyahlehlela emuva ngoJanuwari 1993. Idola lase-Australia yehle ngamaphesenti ayi-8.4 ezinyangeni ezintathu ezedlule, okuyizimali eziphakathi kwezingu-10 ezithuthukile ezilandelwa yi-Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index.
Izinqumo zenqubomgomo eyisisekelo nemicimbi yezindaba efaka kuhlu umthelela omkhulu
Umhlangano we-G8 ungena osukwini lwawo lwesibili ngenkathi iFed iqala usuku lwayo lokuqala lomhlangano ohleliwe wezinsuku ezimbili.
UMengameli we-ECB uMario Draghi kulindeleke ukuthi akhulume kusasa, uma okwedlule kungakhomba ikusasa angahle afake ibhomu lesandla ekulandiseni kwakhe okubangela ukusabela okweqile ku-euro uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu.
I-UK ishicilela idatha ebalulekile kusasa, i-ONS izoshicilela izinombolo ezikhuphukeni zokwehla kwamandla emali e-UK, izibalo zabathengi kanye nokuthengisa. Ukulindela ukuthi i-CPI, ukwehla kwamandla emali yabathengi, inyuke isuka ku-2.6% yaya ku-2.8%. Ukuthengisa kulindeleke ukuthi kusuke ku-2.9% kuye ku-3.2%. Izinombolo zokwehla kwamandla emali nazo ziyakhishwa e-USA esimisweni se-NY, okulindelwe ukuthi izinombolo ezisemqoka nezokuthengisa zihlale zimile.
Inkomba yezomnotho yaseJalimane i-ZEW ishicilelwe ekuqaleni kukaLwesibili ekuseni, izibikezelo zizokhuphuka zisuka ku-36.4 ziye ku-38.2. Inani elikhulayo elikhulayo lingase libe nomthelela omuhle ku-euro uma i-EU ithembele eJalimane njengesizinda esinamandla okukhula esifundeni.
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