Phakathi kwe-The Lines, i-Morning Roll Call

UJun 18 • Phakathi kwemigqa • Ukubukwa okungu-4360 • Amazwana Off ku-Between The Lines, i-Morning Roll Call

Ukuthepha noma ukungathengi, lowo ngumbuzo?

forexKuyathakazelisa ukubuka ukuthi abahlaziyi bezimakethe kanye nezwe elibanzi lokuhweba bangene kanjani emdlalweni wakamuva wedrama usuku nosuku ngeziteshi ezijwayelekile zabezindaba. Sibe nomqansa wezimali emuva ngasekupheleni kuka-2012, uyakukhumbula lokho? Umnotho wase-USA ubuzowela kanjani phezu komhlaba onqenqemeni lomhlaba uma uhulumeni wase-USA engawuhlungeli umnotho? Amagama ambalwa aduduzayo nemihlangano embalwa kamuva futhi inkinga yaphulukiswa. Empeleni leso sixazululo kwakuyiphuzu lokuncoma kanye nepivot engakholeki, izimakethe zezimali zaqala ukuqhutshwa kwerekhodi labo kusukela ngaleso sikhathi. Manje ukukhathazeka kwe-meme kwakamuva "kuthuthukisa isikhuthazi".

Vula iziteshi zebhizinisi le-tv futhi isihloko asigwemeki; ngeke yini, uma enza lokho kuzoba namuphi umphumela ezimakethe ezinkulu nasezimakethe zemali? Mhlawumbe ezinsukwini ezimbili ezizayo, njengoba uBen Bernanke ephethe inkantolo njengosihlalo weFed, sizothola okungaphezu komoya oshisayo nezinkulumo nempendulo eqondile yemibuzo. Kepha ungabambi umoya wakho njengoba sesingenile futhi kwenye indawo yokuhwalala ngokuzithoba kwenqubomgomo yaseMelika. Ukuqagela kwethu okuhle kakhulu, okufana nokwanoma ngubani omunye, ukuthi uBen uzonciphisa izinhloso zakhe ngaleyo ndlela anciphise ukuthwebula kusenesikhathi. Okufanele akugweme, futhi masingakhohlwa yiqiniso lokuthi lo ungusihlalo weFed okhathazekile ngokugcina izindinganiso zokulingana kanti ne-USA enkulu ikhomba phezulu, yingozi. Udinga ukwehliswa kwebhaluni lomoya oshisayo okulawulwa isikhathi eside.

Umhlangano we-G8

Ezindabeni ezakhayo nezeqiniso nezepolitiki kuhlangene nokuhamba kwezomnotho, i-G8 ihlangane ngoMsombuluko. Elinye lamaphoyinti abalulekile engxoxo yisivumelwano sokuhweba phakathi kwe-Eurozone ne-USA. Engafuni ukubonwa ephuma kulelo tende undunankulu wase-UK wamemezela izingxoxo ukuthi zilungele i-EU, yona le nhlangano iningi lontanga yakhe abayiTory abafuna ukuphuma kuyo. Lokhu kuzodinga iskripthi esehlukile ukufaka i-UK ohlakeni lwezomthetho lwesivumelwano sokuhweba, i-USA kuzofanele ibhale isivumelwano ngqo i-UK. Amagama amathathu; ngeke kwenzeke. I-UK izolahlekelwa yizigidigidi zamathuba okuhweba uma ingashiya, kungaba incwadi emfushane yokuzibulala kwezomnotho emlandweni wezepolitiki.

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Ingabe i-euro iba yin yen entsha?

I-EUR / USD ihlotshaniswa nezinyathelo zokuphikisana nobungozi emasontweni edlule, ngokusho kweCitibank. Ukuhlangana okuhle phakathi kwe-USD kanye nobungozi engcupheni yokudla akusho okusha, umbuzo ukuthi isenzo samanani entengo sakamuva sikhombisa ukuthi i-euro iba yimali 'yokuphepha' njengoba ibinjalo esikhathini esedlule. Lapho izimakethe ezinkulu zamasheya, njenge-DJIA zikhuphuka, idola lathengiswa. Lapho izimakethe ziwa i-USD yaba yindawo ephephile. I-Citi iphawula ukuthi ukuhlangana okuhle phakathi, ngokwesibonelo, i-EUR / AUD, i-EUR / i-CAD kanye ne-EUR / NZD kanye nokuphikisana nobungozi, kuye kwaqina sekwedlule isikhathi.

Isifinyezo se Forex

Idola liqinisile uma liqhathaniswa nozakwabo abaningi abathengiswa kakhulu abangu-16 ngenxa yokuqagela maqondana neFed eqala ukuthola umfutho wayo wezimali. Imali yaseMelika ifake isikhashana inzuzo yayo yokuqala, yawa ne-euro ngenxa yemibiko engqubuzanayo ngaphambi kokuba ibhange elikhulu liqale umhlangano walo wezinsuku ezimbili wenqubomgomo ngoLwesibili. I-yen yawa ngokuqhathaniswa ne-greenback okokuqala ezinsukwini ezinhlanu ngenkathi izimali ezitholakele.

I-euro ngesinye isikhathi yakhuphukela cishe ezinyangeni ezine uma iqhathaniswa nedola njengoba imininingwane eyashicilelwa esimisweni saseLondon ikhombisa ukuthi insalela yebhizinisi lamazwe ayi-17 yayiseduze nezinga lokurekhoda ngo-Ephreli. Insalela yokuhweba endaweni ye-euro inciphe yaya ku-16.1 billion euros isuka ku-18.1 billion ehlaziyiwe kaMashi, kusho ihhovisi lezibalo le-European Union eLuxembourg. Lokhu kufundwa kukaMashi empeleni bekuyikho kakhulu selokhu kwethulwa imali ejwayelekile ngo-1999.

Idola lenyuke ngo-0.2% laya ku-94.51 uma liqhathaniswa ne-yen ngo-5 ntambama ngesikhathi saseNew York, ngemuva kokuwa ngamaphesenti angu-3.3 ngesonto eledlule; kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi 2009. Imali yaseJapane yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.6 yaya ku-126.32 nge-euro ngayinye ngemuva kokubonga amaphesenti angu-2.7 ngesonto eledlule, iningi kakhulu kusukela ezinsukwini ezinhlanu liphele ngoJulayi 6. I-euro yengeze amaphesenti angu-0.2 ku- $ 1.3367, cishe aphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoFebhuwari 13.

I-loonie, (idola laseCanada) lehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 laya ku-C $ 1.0186 ngedola laseMelika ngo-5 ntambama eToronto ngemuva kokuthinta i-C $ 1.0150. Imali ifinyelele ku-C $ 1.0137 ngoJuni 14, okuqine kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 14. I-loonie eyodwa ithenga amasenti angu-98.17 ase-US.

Ikusasa kuwoyela ongahluziwe, okuthekelisa kakhulu eCanada, kuthengiswa ngo- $ 97.90 emgqonyeni eNew York ngemuva kokuthola amaphesenti angama-0.9 nokuwa ngamaphesenti angama-0.5. I-S & P 500 Index (SPX) yamasheya inyuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.8 ngemuva kokuthola okungamaphesenti ayi-1.2.

Amarekhodi amafushane abekiwe aqhathaniswa ne-Aussie ngokusho kombiko we-COT.

Abadayisi besikhathi esizayo banwebe ngokubheja ukuthi i-Aussie izoqhubeka nokuwa uma iqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, izibalo ezivela kwiCommodity Futures Trading Commission kusukela ngesonto eledlule zikhombisile. Umehluko enanini lama-wager ngama-hedge fund nakwabanye abaqageli abakhulu ekwehleni kwe-Aussie uma kuqhathaniswa nalabo abathola inzuzo (ama-net shorts) kwakungu-63,277 ngoJuni 11, okuyidatha eningi kakhulu eyahlehlela emuva ngoJanuwari 1993. Idola lase-Australia yehle ngamaphesenti ayi-8.4 ezinyangeni ezintathu ezedlule, okuyizimali eziphakathi kwezingu-10 ezithuthukile ezilandelwa yi-Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Index.

Izinqumo zenqubomgomo eyisisekelo nemicimbi yezindaba efaka kuhlu umthelela omkhulu

Umhlangano we-G8 ungena osukwini lwawo lwesibili ngenkathi iFed iqala usuku lwayo lokuqala lomhlangano ohleliwe wezinsuku ezimbili.

UMengameli we-ECB uMario Draghi kulindeleke ukuthi akhulume kusasa, uma okwedlule kungakhomba ikusasa angahle afake ibhomu lesandla ekulandiseni kwakhe okubangela ukusabela okweqile ku-euro uma iqhathaniswa nontanga bayo abakhulu.

I-UK ishicilela idatha ebalulekile kusasa, i-ONS izoshicilela izinombolo ezikhuphukeni zokwehla kwamandla emali e-UK, izibalo zabathengi kanye nokuthengisa. Ukulindela ukuthi i-CPI, ukwehla kwamandla emali yabathengi, inyuke isuka ku-2.6% yaya ku-2.8%. Ukuthengisa kulindeleke ukuthi kusuke ku-2.9% kuye ku-3.2%. Izinombolo zokwehla kwamandla emali nazo ziyakhishwa e-USA esimisweni se-NY, okulindelwe ukuthi izinombolo ezisemqoka nezokuthengisa zihlale zimile.

Isibonisi sezomnotho saseJalimane iZEW sishicilelwa ekuseni ngoLwesibili, izibikezelo zingokwenyuka kusuka ku-36.4 kuye ku-38.2. Isibalo esandayo esihle singaba nomthelela omuhle kwi-euro njengoba ukuthembela kwe-EU eJalimane njengendawo yamandla okukhula esifundeni.

Amazwana zivaliwe.

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