UFebhu 21 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4308 • Amazwana Off ku-Austerity? Hlola. Ibheyili? Hlola. Uhlelo Lokukhula? Err...
Uma kukhona isingathekiso sokuthi ungqongqoshe wezeziMali wase-Dutch uvaleleke ngaphandle kwegumbi lakhe lasehhotela lapho ebuya ngemva kwezingxoxo “ezikhathazayo” kuzodingeka ukuthi abanye bamnikeze. Kwakukhona inani elithile lokuhlekisa ekudlalweni elinikezwe ucingo lwakhe lokuba khona unomphela yi-troika e-Athens ngesikhathi sezinyathelo zokunciphisa.
Nginesiqiniseko sokuthi izintatheli ezingochwepheshe bezobunhloli kanye nosomnotho phakathi kwethu bazozibuza ukuthi ingabe izinga lakhe lekamelo lansuku zonke lizoba ngaphezu kwama-euro angama-685 ubuncane beholo lenyanga amaGreki manje 'asebhalisele' kulo ukuze athole ibheyili yesibili, kuyilapho izindleko zizonke (ngokulinganiselwe) indaba encane kungokwemvelo ukuba nelukuluku lokuthi kungakanani okuye kwahlukunyezwa osopolitiki nabamele i-troika eminyakeni emibili edlule ngenkathi benjiniyela isisombululo senkinga ye-Eurozone. Mhlawumbe umnyango osemthethweni we-Eurostats. inganikeza izibalo nemininingwane yokuthi ubani ozokhokha.
Okunye okuhlaba umxhwele wukubona ukuthi abekho uMerkel noma uSarkozy ukuze bagcine bengompetha besivumelwano, yize bebephethe ifulegi lase-Europe ezinyangeni ezedlule. Bangakwazi yini ukuthi, naphezu kwezindaba 'ezinhle', uhlelo lumane luyisinyathelo sokuqala emgwaqeni onamatshe okwedlulele iGreece engakwazi ukuhamba ubude bawo?
Ukusabela “kwezimakethe” esivumelwaneni kuthulisiwe, i-euro ibhekane nokukhuphuka ngokushesha ngemuva kwesimemezelo kodwa yahlehla, ukukhuphuka kwaba ubufakazi bokuhweba kwe-'algo' ngaphezu komzwelo wangempela oqhubeza imakethe phezulu. Isithiyo esilandelayo se-Greece akusona inkokhelo yokubuyisela ngokuzibophezela ohlelweni, wukhetho lukazwelonke olusondela ngo-Ephreli lapho uhlelo lungahlehliswa emasontweni ayisithupha ngemuva kokuqaliswa. Uhulumeni womfelandawonye wezobuchwepheshe ngeke akwazi ukubambelela ngesikhathi sokhetho, ngakho-ke lolu hlelo lungase luphazamiseke ekugcineni.
Okugxilwe kukho sekushintshile, akusewona ubuhlakani bezezimali ukunaka ukusinda kwanoma yikuphi okufana nentando yeningi kuyindaba esemqoka. Kulawo maGreki 'avamile', ahlehlayo njengoba ebona amandla awo ethathwa ochwepheshe, anethuba lokuzwakalisa ukukhathazeka kwawo ebhokisini lokuvota.. ngokuqinisekile akukho okungavimbela lokho? I-Martial law, isivumelwano somfelandawonye esiyimfihlo esesingenisiwe sokubambezela ukhetho kuze kube ngu-2014?
Lokhu kuyindida kanye nokuqondana kwesimo sonke esingaphezu kukangqongqoshe wezeziMali waseDashi uDe Jäger evalelwe ngaphandle kwegumbi lakhe, abantu baseGreece banethuba lokuthi ekugcineni babe nezwi labo lapho kwazalelwa khona intando yeningi. Uma sifuna izizathu zokuthi kungani imigubho ihoxisiwe amandla wonke akhe isivumelwano khona-ke kukhona impendulo yakho. Lesi 'dili' sineshalofu lesikhathi samasonto ayisithupha yingakho noma iyiphi inkulumo-mpikiswano mayelana nemiphumela egcwele ingalinda uma zonke izinhlangothi zazi ukuthi ngeke zisebenze futhi nesibalo sezindaba zokuhlenga sama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-130 sibukelwa phansi kakhulu.
Market Sibutsetelo
Izinkomba eziningi zase-Europe beziphansi noma zehla ngenkathi i-euro ilinganisa izinzuzo uma iqhathaniswa nedola njengoba abatshalizimali belinganisa ukuthi ukutakulwa kwe-Greece kunikeza izwe indawo eyanele yokuphefumula ukuze lilungise umnotho walo. I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.1 ngo-9:30 ekuseni eLondon. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lingeze amaphesenti angu-0.5 ngemva kokuba igeyiji ikhuphukele ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-Ephreli ngo-Feb. Idola lase-Australia laba buthakathaka uma liqhathaniswa nabangu-17 ontanga abahweba kakhulu. Isivuno seminyaka engu-0.2 sikaMgcinimafa wase-US sikhuphuke ngamaphuzu amane saya kumaphesenti angu-1.3265. I-Copper yanda ngosuku lwesibili.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 00 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Ngaphandle kwe-Japan Asia-Pacific omaka bajabulele iseshini yokuhweba yasekuseni enhle. I-Nikkei ivale ngo-0.23%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-0.25% kanti i-CSI ivale ngo-0.86%. i-ASX 200 ivale ngo-0.82%. Izimakethe zaseYurophu zehlulekile ukuhlangana ngemuva kokuthi izindaba ze-Eurogroup/troika ekugcineni zivumelane nesivumelwano nohulumeni womfelandawonye waseGreece. I-STOXX 50 yehle ngo-0.15%, i-FTSE yehle ngo-0.26%, i-CAC yehle ngo-0.26%, i-DAX yehle ngo-0.13% kuyilapho i-Athens exchange, i-ASE yehle ngo-1.0%. I-ICE Brent crude icwile ngaphansi kuka-$120 umgqomo wehle ngo-$0.30 umphongolo ngamunye. Igolide le-Comex likhuphuka ngo-$15.40 i-ounce.
Izisekelo Zezimpahla
Uwoyela uhwebe ngenani eliphezulu kakhulu ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ngemuva kokuba ongqongqoshe bezezimali bendawo ye-euro bevumelene ngokutakulwa kwesibili kweGreece, okwenza ngcono amathuba okuthengwa kukaphethiloli. Ikusasa eNew York liqhubekele phambili ngamaphesenti angu-2.1 ukusuka ku-Feb. 17. Ikusasa lika-Brent alishintshile kangako e-London njengoba ongqongqoshe bezezimali be-European Union benikeze ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-130 namuhla ekusizeni iGreece.
Ikusasa likawoyela lokulethwa ngoMashi ku-NYMEX liphelelwa yisikhathi namuhla, liqhubekele phambili lafinyelela ku-$2.20 lisuka ngentengo yokuvala yangoFebhuwari 17 laya ku-$105.44, inani eliphakeme kakhulu lentengo yosuku kusukela ngoMeyi 5. Inkontileka ibiku-$105.06 ngo-9:09 am eLondon, kuyilapho i ikusasa lika-Ephreli elihwebe kakhulu lizuze u-$1.80 laya ku-$105.40. Izintengo ziphakeme ngamaphesenti angu-12 kunonyaka odlule.
I-China, umthengi omkhulu we-Iranian crude, yehlise ukuthengwa ngoJanuwari kuya ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu ezinyangeni ezinhlanu ngemuva kokuthi izinkampani zikawoyela kulawa mazwe womabili zihlulekile ukuvuselela izinkontileka. Ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwakungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.08, imiphongolo engu-493,000 ngosuku, kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-5 kusukela ngonyaka odlule kanye namaphesenti angu-14 kusukela ngoDisemba.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-euro inyukele phezulu ezinyangeni ezintathu uma iqhathaniswa ne-yen ngemuva kokuthi ongqongqoshe bezezimali bendawo ye-euro bevumile ukunikeza iGreece isamba sesibili sebheyili ukuze kugwenywe ukusilela kwemali ngenyanga ezayo.
Imali yezizwe eziyi-17 ishintshile kancane uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngemuva kokwesula imali ebiyenziwe ngaphambi kosuku njengoba uNdunankulu waseLuxembourg uJean-Claude Juncker ethe isivumelwano sihlanganisa ukubhala phansi okungamaphesenti angama-53.5 kubatshalizimali kumabhondi aseGreece, okungaphezulu kwelungiselelo langaphambilini. Idola lase-Australia laba buthaka ngemva kokuba i-Reserve Bank ithe emaminithini omhlangano wayo wango-Feb. 7 ukuthi kukhona ithuba lokudambisa inqubomgomo yezimali.
I-euro ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-105.69 yen ngo-8: 22 am isikhathi saseLondon, ngemva kokuthinta i-106.01 yen, iningi kusukela ngo-Nov. Amaphesenti angu-14 kuya ku-1.3247 yen. Idola elibizwa nge-Aussie dollar lehle ngo-1.3293% laya ku-$9.
ukuthuthaisiGreecetroika
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Ubukhali? Hlola. Ukukhishwa kwemali? Hlola. Uhlelo Lokukhula? Iphutha…
UFebhu 21 • Amazwana eMakethe • Ukubukwa okungu-4308 • Amazwana Off ku-Austerity? Hlola. Ibheyili? Hlola. Uhlelo Lokukhula? Err...
Uma kukhona isingathekiso sokuthi ungqongqoshe wezeziMali wase-Dutch uvaleleke ngaphandle kwegumbi lakhe lasehhotela lapho ebuya ngemva kwezingxoxo “ezikhathazayo” kuzodingeka ukuthi abanye bamnikeze. Kwakukhona inani elithile lokuhlekisa ekudlalweni elinikezwe ucingo lwakhe lokuba khona unomphela yi-troika e-Athens ngesikhathi sezinyathelo zokunciphisa.
Nginesiqiniseko sokuthi izintatheli ezingochwepheshe bezobunhloli kanye nosomnotho phakathi kwethu bazozibuza ukuthi ingabe izinga lakhe lekamelo lansuku zonke lizoba ngaphezu kwama-euro angama-685 ubuncane beholo lenyanga amaGreki manje 'asebhalisele' kulo ukuze athole ibheyili yesibili, kuyilapho izindleko zizonke (ngokulinganiselwe) indaba encane kungokwemvelo ukuba nelukuluku lokuthi kungakanani okuye kwahlukunyezwa osopolitiki nabamele i-troika eminyakeni emibili edlule ngenkathi benjiniyela isisombululo senkinga ye-Eurozone. Mhlawumbe umnyango osemthethweni we-Eurostats. inganikeza izibalo nemininingwane yokuthi ubani ozokhokha.
Okunye okuhlaba umxhwele wukubona ukuthi abekho uMerkel noma uSarkozy ukuze bagcine bengompetha besivumelwano, yize bebephethe ifulegi lase-Europe ezinyangeni ezedlule. Bangakwazi yini ukuthi, naphezu kwezindaba 'ezinhle', uhlelo lumane luyisinyathelo sokuqala emgwaqeni onamatshe okwedlulele iGreece engakwazi ukuhamba ubude bawo?
Ukusabela “kwezimakethe” esivumelwaneni kuthulisiwe, i-euro ibhekane nokukhuphuka ngokushesha ngemuva kwesimemezelo kodwa yahlehla, ukukhuphuka kwaba ubufakazi bokuhweba kwe-'algo' ngaphezu komzwelo wangempela oqhubeza imakethe phezulu. Isithiyo esilandelayo se-Greece akusona inkokhelo yokubuyisela ngokuzibophezela ohlelweni, wukhetho lukazwelonke olusondela ngo-Ephreli lapho uhlelo lungahlehliswa emasontweni ayisithupha ngemuva kokuqaliswa. Uhulumeni womfelandawonye wezobuchwepheshe ngeke akwazi ukubambelela ngesikhathi sokhetho, ngakho-ke lolu hlelo lungase luphazamiseke ekugcineni.
Okugxilwe kukho sekushintshile, akusewona ubuhlakani bezezimali ukunaka ukusinda kwanoma yikuphi okufana nentando yeningi kuyindaba esemqoka. Kulawo maGreki 'avamile', ahlehlayo njengoba ebona amandla awo ethathwa ochwepheshe, anethuba lokuzwakalisa ukukhathazeka kwawo ebhokisini lokuvota.. ngokuqinisekile akukho okungavimbela lokho? I-Martial law, isivumelwano somfelandawonye esiyimfihlo esesingenisiwe sokubambezela ukhetho kuze kube ngu-2014?
Lokhu kuyindida kanye nokuqondana kwesimo sonke esingaphezu kukangqongqoshe wezeziMali waseDashi uDe Jäger evalelwe ngaphandle kwegumbi lakhe, abantu baseGreece banethuba lokuthi ekugcineni babe nezwi labo lapho kwazalelwa khona intando yeningi. Uma sifuna izizathu zokuthi kungani imigubho ihoxisiwe amandla wonke akhe isivumelwano khona-ke kukhona impendulo yakho. Lesi 'dili' sineshalofu lesikhathi samasonto ayisithupha yingakho noma iyiphi inkulumo-mpikiswano mayelana nemiphumela egcwele ingalinda uma zonke izinhlangothi zazi ukuthi ngeke zisebenze futhi nesibalo sezindaba zokuhlenga sama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-130 sibukelwa phansi kakhulu.
Market Sibutsetelo
Izinkomba eziningi zase-Europe beziphansi noma zehla ngenkathi i-euro ilinganisa izinzuzo uma iqhathaniswa nedola njengoba abatshalizimali belinganisa ukuthi ukutakulwa kwe-Greece kunikeza izwe indawo eyanele yokuphefumula ukuze lilungise umnotho walo. I-Stoxx Europe 600 Index yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.1 ngo-9:30 ekuseni eLondon. Ikusasa le-Standard & Poor's 500 Index lingeze amaphesenti angu-0.5 ngemva kokuba igeyiji ikhuphukele ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngo-Ephreli ngo-Feb. Idola lase-Australia laba buthakathaka uma liqhathaniswa nabangu-17 ontanga abahweba kakhulu. Isivuno seminyaka engu-0.2 sikaMgcinimafa wase-US sikhuphuke ngamaphuzu amane saya kumaphesenti angu-1.3265. I-Copper yanda ngosuku lwesibili.
Isifinyezo semakethe ngo-10: 00 ekuseni GMT (isikhathi sase-UK)
Ngaphandle kwe-Japan Asia-Pacific omaka bajabulele iseshini yokuhweba yasekuseni enhle. I-Nikkei ivale ngo-0.23%, i-Hang Seng ivale ngo-0.25% kanti i-CSI ivale ngo-0.86%. i-ASX 200 ivale ngo-0.82%. Izimakethe zaseYurophu zehlulekile ukuhlangana ngemuva kokuthi izindaba ze-Eurogroup/troika ekugcineni zivumelane nesivumelwano nohulumeni womfelandawonye waseGreece. I-STOXX 50 yehle ngo-0.15%, i-FTSE yehle ngo-0.26%, i-CAC yehle ngo-0.26%, i-DAX yehle ngo-0.13% kuyilapho i-Athens exchange, i-ASE yehle ngo-1.0%. I-ICE Brent crude icwile ngaphansi kuka-$120 umgqomo wehle ngo-$0.30 umphongolo ngamunye. Igolide le-Comex likhuphuka ngo-$15.40 i-ounce.
Izisekelo Zezimpahla
Uwoyela uhwebe ngenani eliphezulu kakhulu ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalolunye ngemuva kokuba ongqongqoshe bezezimali bendawo ye-euro bevumelene ngokutakulwa kwesibili kweGreece, okwenza ngcono amathuba okuthengwa kukaphethiloli. Ikusasa eNew York liqhubekele phambili ngamaphesenti angu-2.1 ukusuka ku-Feb. 17. Ikusasa lika-Brent alishintshile kangako e-London njengoba ongqongqoshe bezezimali be-European Union benikeze ama-euro ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-130 namuhla ekusizeni iGreece.
Ikusasa likawoyela lokulethwa ngoMashi ku-NYMEX liphelelwa yisikhathi namuhla, liqhubekele phambili lafinyelela ku-$2.20 lisuka ngentengo yokuvala yangoFebhuwari 17 laya ku-$105.44, inani eliphakeme kakhulu lentengo yosuku kusukela ngoMeyi 5. Inkontileka ibiku-$105.06 ngo-9:09 am eLondon, kuyilapho i ikusasa lika-Ephreli elihwebe kakhulu lizuze u-$1.80 laya ku-$105.40. Izintengo ziphakeme ngamaphesenti angu-12 kunonyaka odlule.
I-China, umthengi omkhulu we-Iranian crude, yehlise ukuthengwa ngoJanuwari kuya ezingeni eliphansi kakhulu ezinyangeni ezinhlanu ngemuva kokuthi izinkampani zikawoyela kulawa mazwe womabili zihlulekile ukuvuselela izinkontileka. Ukuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwakungamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.08, imiphongolo engu-493,000 ngosuku, kwehle ngamaphesenti angu-5 kusukela ngonyaka odlule kanye namaphesenti angu-14 kusukela ngoDisemba.
I-Forex Spot-Lite
I-euro inyukele phezulu ezinyangeni ezintathu uma iqhathaniswa ne-yen ngemuva kokuthi ongqongqoshe bezezimali bendawo ye-euro bevumile ukunikeza iGreece isamba sesibili sebheyili ukuze kugwenywe ukusilela kwemali ngenyanga ezayo.
Imali yezizwe eziyi-17 ishintshile kancane uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngemuva kokwesula imali ebiyenziwe ngaphambi kosuku njengoba uNdunankulu waseLuxembourg uJean-Claude Juncker ethe isivumelwano sihlanganisa ukubhala phansi okungamaphesenti angama-53.5 kubatshalizimali kumabhondi aseGreece, okungaphezulu kwelungiselelo langaphambilini. Idola lase-Australia laba buthaka ngemva kokuba i-Reserve Bank ithe emaminithini omhlangano wayo wango-Feb. 7 ukuthi kukhona ithuba lokudambisa inqubomgomo yezimali.
I-euro ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-0.2 kuya ku-105.69 yen ngo-8: 22 am isikhathi saseLondon, ngemva kokuthinta i-106.01 yen, iningi kusukela ngo-Nov. Amaphesenti angu-14 kuya ku-1.3247 yen. Idola elibizwa nge-Aussie dollar lehle ngo-1.3293% laya ku-$9.
ukuthuthaisiGreecetroika
« IGrisi Ifakwa Kuhhavini LaseDashi Fundamentalism For The Forex Trader »